Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has made significant breakthroughs in the North American data center power generation market, enhancing growth certainty and potential valuation uplift [3][9] - The company has crossed two major business thresholds, which are expected to further increase growth certainty [9] - The company has established strategic partnerships with leading brands in the gas turbine sector, enhancing its hardware capabilities and market recognition [9] - The company has gained practical experience in the U.S. data center market, which is expected to improve its chances of securing future projects [9] Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are estimated at 31.53 billion, 38.18 billion, and 44.64 billion yuan respectively [3] - The target price for the company is set at 63.4 yuan, based on a 17x PE ratio for 2026 [3] - The company's revenue is expected to grow from 13,912 million yuan in 2023 to 22,680 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 14.7% [11] - The gross margin is projected to improve from 32.8% in 2023 to 35.3% in 2027 [11] - The net profit margin is expected to stabilize around 19.7% by 2027 [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 248.49 HKD / 226.29 CNY [3][5]. Core Insights - The company's Blizzard games are gradually resuming operations, and the evergreen game "Yan Yun Shi Liu Sheng" is performing excellently both domestically and internationally. The anticipated launch of "Forgotten Sea" in 2026 is expected to drive growth [3]. - The adjusted profit forecasts for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 362 billion, 398 billion, and 450 billion CNY respectively, reflecting slight adjustments based on game performance and Q3 financial results [3]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecasts**: The company expects revenues of 103,468 million CNY in 2023, growing to 138,188 million CNY by 2027, with a CAGR of approximately 12.37% from 2025 to 2027 [4]. - **Net Profit**: The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to increase from 29,417 million CNY in 2023 to 44,999 million CNY in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 21.98% in 2025 [4]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: EPS is expected to rise from 9.29 CNY in 2023 to 14.20 CNY in 2027 [4]. - **Profit Margins**: The gross margin is projected to improve from 60.95% in 2023 to 66.19% in 2027, while the net margin is expected to stabilize around 32% [4]. Market Performance - The company's stock price as of November 20, 2025, was 212.6 HKD, with a 52-week high of 248 HKD and a low of 125.99 HKD [5]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately 673,508 million HKD [5]. Game Performance Insights - The total revenue from games and related value-added services in Q3 2025 was 233 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12% [10]. - The game "Dream Journey" continues to see high activity levels, and "Yan Yun Shi Liu Sheng" is expected to perform well in overseas markets in Q4 [10].

⚫ 公司暴雪游戏陆续恢复运营，长青游戏《燕云十六声》海内外表现优异。2026 年期 待《遗忘之海》上线驱动增长。我们预测公司 25~27 年归母净利润为 362/398/450 亿元（原 25~27 为 363/390/433 亿元，因根据游戏表现及 Q3 财报调整收入、毛利 率，费率等，从而调整盈利预测）。我们采用 SOTP 估值，给予目标价 248.49 港币 /226.29 人民币（HKD/CNY=0.91），维持"买入"评级。 风险提示 新游戏表现不及预期；版号审批不确定性；游戏净利率波动性较大；直播竞争加剧 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 103468 | 105295 | 113480 | 122977 | 138188 | | 同比增长 (%) | 7.23% | 1.77% | 7.77% | 8.37% | 12.37% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 27709 | 29584 | 36157 | 39580 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 47 CNY, reflecting a 20x PE for 2026 [3][6]. Core Views - The company's main business is under short-term pressure, but new business initiatives are accelerating, opening up long-term growth potential. The company is expected to leverage its strong channel and brand barriers to replicate success in new markets and overseas [3][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company reported a revenue of 15,695 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 11.5%. The projected revenues for 2025 and 2026 are 16,837 million CNY and 17,614 million CNY, respectively, indicating a stagnation in growth for 2025 [5]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025 is forecasted to be 40.24 billion CNY, reflecting a decrease of 6% compared to the previous year, followed by a slight recovery in 2026 and 2027 [3][5]. - The gross margin is expected to decline from 43.2% in 2023 to 41.2% by 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to stabilize around 24% [5][11]. Business Development Summary - The company is focusing on new business areas, including international expansion and renewable energy, which are showing promising growth. The international strategy aims for comprehensive product offerings in developed markets, while the renewable energy segment is expected to see significant growth in 2026 [9][10]. - The data center business is also experiencing rapid growth, with partnerships established with major clients like ByteDance and Tencent, indicating a strong market position [9].

Core Insights - Asset allocation is not just about risk diversification; predicting returns is equally important. The report emphasizes that the significance of asset allocation lies in systematically designing strategies that allow investors to leverage their predictive abilities, enabling those with a 60% win rate to outperform those with a 40% win rate [5][8] - The allocation approach can be categorized into passive and active types. Passive strategies focus on risk diversification, while active strategies, such as Mean-Variance Optimization (MVO) and Black-Litterman (B-L), aim to enhance returns while considering risk [5][8] - Active asset allocation's core is return prediction and risk penalty, where risk is defined as "uncertainty." For professional investors, asset volatility is not risk if they can predict it; thus, true risk stems from inadequate predictive ability [5][11] MVO Model Application - The MVO model is suitable for active asset allocation, with its derivatives like the B-L model incorporating subjective views on returns. However, the model is sensitive to input variables, which can lead to concentrated positions in a few asset classes [9][10] - The MVO model requires high accuracy in return predictions, which is both a limitation and a value. It allows investors with a predictive edge to construct effective asset allocation strategies [10][29] Active Asset Allocation Scenarios - Active asset allocation can be applied in two scenarios: directly obtaining allocation schemes or enhancing passive allocations with active strategies. The latter involves using passive models to establish a base and then applying active strategies to enhance returns on assets where predictive capabilities exist [36][43] ETF-Based Active Asset Allocation - The report discusses an ETF-based active asset allocation strategy, replacing traditional indices with investable ETFs. This includes using an industry rotation strategy for equities and bond ETFs to replicate mixed bond fund indices [49][51] - The active ETF allocation strategy can be categorized into two types: one directly based on MVO and the other combining a passive strategy with MVO enhancements [59][60]

Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Market expectations for the bond market in Q1 2026 may be reflected in advance in Q4 2025. The end of 2025 may be a good time to build positions, while the bond market may not continue to adjust after the beginning of 2026 [6][9]. - There is limited trading opportunity in the bond market within the year. Products with overly long durations of trading varieties can appropriately shorten the duration, and coupon - bearing varieties such as credit bonds can be held continuously [6][12]. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 1. Bond Market Weekly Viewpoint - Market expectations for the bond market in Q1 2026 may be reflected in advance in Q4 2025. End - of - year interest rates are difficult to decline, and the end of the year is a good time to build positions [6][9]. - From the perspective of past market expectations and institutional behavior, the current market expectation of rising interest rates in 2026 will be reflected in the end - of - year bond market. There is a possibility that inflation will rise slower than expected and the central bank will guide interest rates down in 2026. There is a limited reduction pressure in the bond market within the year [6][10][12]. 2. This Week's Focus in the Fixed - Income Market 2.1 Domestic PMI Release - China will release the manufacturing PMI for November, and the US will release data such as September PPI and September retail sales month - on - month rate. The ECB will release the minutes of its monetary policy meeting [14][15]. 2.2 Interest - Rate Bond Issuance - This week, the issuance scale of interest - rate bonds is expected to be 723.5 billion yuan, including 242 billion yuan of treasury bonds, 351.5 billion yuan of local bonds, and about 130 billion yuan of policy - bank bonds [15][16]. 3. Interest - Rate Bond Review and Outlook 3.1 Reverse Repurchase Net Injection - This week, the reverse repurchase injection continued to increase, with a total of 1.68 trillion yuan and a net injection of 554 billion yuan. After considering the maturity of treasury deposits, the net injection of open - market operations was 434 billion yuan. The capital interest rate fluctuated and then declined, and the repurchase trading volume decreased [19][20]. 3.2 Differentiated Changes in Interest Rates of Various Tenors - Last week, the bond market was weakly volatile. The yields of 10 - year treasury bonds and CDB active bonds changed by 0.8bp and - 0.1bp respectively to 1.81% and 1.87%. The yields of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, 7 - year, and 10 - year treasury bonds changed by - 1bp, - 0.5bp, 0.9bp, - 0.8bp, and 0.3bp respectively [37][40]. 4. High - Frequency Data - On the production side, most operating rates declined, and the year - on - year growth rate of the average daily crude - steel output in early November remained negative at - 11.7%. - On the demand side, the year - on - year decline in passenger - car wholesale and retail sales narrowed, and the year - on - year decline in commercial - housing transaction area slightly narrowed. The SCFI and CCFI composite indices changed by - 4% and 2.6% respectively [47][48]. - In terms of prices, crude - oil, copper, aluminum, and coking - coal prices declined. The building - materials composite price index increased, while the cement and glass indices declined. The prices of vegetables, fruits, and pork decreased [48].

Core Insights - The report indicates that the market is experiencing a "rebalancing," with funds flowing from previously high-performing technology sectors to relatively undervalued sectors such as resources, consumption, and manufacturing [8] - The short-term rebound in the technology growth sector is limited due to overhead pressure and a lack of investor interest, while some industries like non-bank financials and steel show improved capital returns [8] - The food and beverage industry is expected to have short-term opportunities and mid-term performance improvements driven by supply-side factors, focusing on companies that can expand market share and optimize customer resources [8] Market Strategy - The market is likely to maintain a volatile pattern, suggesting investors should consider reallocating to sectors that will benefit from marginal improvements in economic conditions next year [8] - Key ETFs mentioned for potential investment include the CSI 500 ETF and CSI 1000 ETF [8] Sector Strategy - The food and beverage sector is highlighted for its potential, with specific recommendations for companies like Yili (伊利股份) and Salted Fish (盐津铺子) due to their market positioning and growth strategies [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying leading companies that can leverage competitive advantages during the current market conditions [8] Theme Strategy - The robotics industry is noted for its transition from demonstration to practical application, with significant advancements in technology and increased order volumes for companies like Linker Hand and the four-legged robot "Steel Coin" [8] - Relevant ETFs for the robotics sector include various options that focus on this emerging technology [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6][3]. Core Views - The company is experiencing full orders and tight capacity, leading to the acquisition of Shanghai Huafeng Puen Polyurethane Co., Ltd. to alleviate material storage issues [11]. - The acquisition will allow the company to expand production scale and efficiency by utilizing the acquired facilities for aluminum thermal transfer materials and stamping parts [11]. - The competitive landscape remains stable, with the second phase project expected to enhance the company's capabilities by adding significant production capacity [11]. Financial Forecasts - EPS forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 1.39, 1.78, and 2.19 yuan respectively [3]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 9,291 million yuan in 2023 to 16,473 million yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of approximately 12.7% [5]. - Operating profit is projected to increase from 1,013 million yuan in 2023 to 2,387 million yuan in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 40.0% in 2024 [5]. Valuation Metrics - The target price for the company is set at 23.63 yuan based on a 17x P/E ratio for 2025 [3]. - The company’s current P/E ratio is 20.1, which is expected to decrease to 8.3 by 2027 [5]. - The projected net profit margin is expected to improve from 9.7% in 2023 to 13.3% in 2027 [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 10.66 CNY, based on a projected average PE of 26 times for comparable companies in 2025 [3][7]. Core Insights - The company is establishing a wholly-owned subsidiary, Shanghai Daimei Robot Technology Co., Ltd., with an investment of 100 million CNY to develop its robotics business, indicating a strong commitment to this new growth area [10]. - The company's ceiling business is expected to continue expanding, contributing positively to revenue and profitability. The average price of ceiling products exceeds 1500 CNY, significantly higher than previous products, which is anticipated to enhance the company's per-vehicle value and gross margin [10]. - The company has a high proportion of overseas sales, with 86.4% of its main business revenue expected to come from exports in 2024, suggesting stronger profitability in international markets compared to domestic competition [10]. Financial Forecasts - The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is 871 million CNY, 1,039 million CNY, and 1,198 million CNY, respectively, with a year-on-year growth of 8.6%, 19.2%, and 15.3% [5]. - Revenue is forecasted to grow from 5,861 million CNY in 2023 to 8,604 million CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 11.2% [5]. - The gross margin is expected to improve from 26.9% in 2023 to 28.1% in 2027, indicating enhanced operational efficiency [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 49.50 CNY, based on an average P/E ratio of 18 times for comparable companies in 2026 [3][5]. Core Insights - The company's main business is gradually recovering after hitting a low point, leading to a slight downward adjustment in revenue and profit forecasts. The projected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 542 million CNY, 631 million CNY, and 716 million CNY respectively [3][4]. - The company achieved a revenue of 4.509 billion CNY in the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.72%, with a net profit of 392 million CNY, up 24.92% year-on-year [9]. - The company is actively expanding into new business areas, including a partnership with Jima Gene for bioblock products and the acquisition of IPITECH INC. to enter the electronic-grade PI materials market [9]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue projections for the years 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 5,278 million CNY (2023), 5,687 million CNY (2024), 6,297 million CNY (2025), 6,862 million CNY (2026), and 7,414 million CNY (2027), with respective growth rates of 9.0%, 7.7%, 10.7%, 9.0%, and 8.1% [4][11]. - The company's gross profit margin is expected to improve from 19.8% in 2023 to 24.0% in 2027, while the net profit margin is projected to increase from 6.9% to 9.7% over the same period [4][11]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to rise from 1.58 CNY in 2023 to 3.12 CNY in 2027 [4][11].