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算力需求强劲,AI投资机会由点及面
Orient Securities· 2026-01-25 00:45
电子行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 算力需求强劲,AI 投资机会由点及面 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 算力需求强劲,AI 投资机会由点及面。相关标的:AI 算力相关硬件:晶圆制造:中 芯国际、华虹半导体;封测:长电科技、通富微电、汇成股份、华天科技、甬矽电 子、深科技;服务器存储:澜起科技;CPU:海光信息、龙芯中科、中国长城、芯 原股份;被动元件:三环集团,风华高科;服务器制造:工业富联、华勤技术;模 拟和功率芯片:纳芯微、思瑞浦、英诺赛科、天岳先进;半导体设备:中微公司、 北方华创、拓荆科技、百傲化学、华海清科、芯源微。端侧及 AI 应用:端侧 AI 主 控芯片:晶晨股份、翱捷科技、恒玄科技;端侧存储:兆易创新、佰维存储;终端 制造商及品牌厂商:海康威视、立讯精密、领益智造、比亚迪电子、蓝思科技、萤 石网络、影石创新、联想集团、小米集团等; AI 端侧核心零部件:环旭电子、舜宇 光学科技、奥比中光、速腾聚创、思特威、豪威集团、鹏鼎控股、瑞声科技等。 风险提示 AI 落地不及预期,下游需求不及预期风险,上游原材料价格变动风险 国家/地区 中国 行业 电子行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 24 ...
特步国际:主品牌短期承压,看好索康尼未来持续快增-20260125
Orient Securities· 2026-01-25 00:45
特步国际 01368.HK 公司研究 | 动态跟踪 主品牌短期承压 看好索康尼未来持续快增 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据公司 25 年四季度经营数据以及运动服饰消费行业目前的形势,我们调整公司盈 利预测,同时考虑到股本的变动,预计公司 2025-2027 年每股收益分别为 0.49、 0.53 元和 0.59 元(原预测分别为 0.49、0.56 元和 0.62 元)。参考可比公司,给予 公司 2026 年 12 倍 PE 估值,对应目标价 7.06 港币(1 人民币=1.11 港币),维持 "买入"评级。 风险提示 行业竞争加剧,运动服饰消费复苏不及预期,新品牌增长低于预期等 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 14,346 | 13,577 | 14,380 | 15,321 | 16,451 | | 同比增长 (%) | 10.9% | -5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | | 营业利润(百万元) | ...
钴锂金属行业周报:上行趋势不改,价格加速走强
Orient Securities· 2026-01-25 00:45
有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 上行趋势不改,价格加速走强 ——钴锂金属行业周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 短期来看,期货情绪推动锂价高位震荡,节前在趋势惯性与成本支撑下仍存在阶段性冲 高可能;而下游对高价接受度有限,后续或逐渐转向震荡消化涨幅;中期维度下,供给 释放受限、成本中枢抬升已逐步确认,锂价中枢上行趋势未改。钴方面,终端需求偏弱 但原料供应紧张延续、冶炼成本支撑仍在,钴盐价格相对坚挺,短期价格重心下行空间 有限。 风险提示 新能源汽车增速不及预期,储能装机增速不及预期。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 24 日 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号:S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 宁紫微 | 执业证书编号:S0860525120005 | | | ningziwei@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 流动性预期回摆,无碍长多逻辑延续:— | 2026-01-19 | | -- ...
钴锂金属行业周报:上行趋势不改,价格加速走强-20260124
Orient Securities· 2026-01-24 15:29
有色金属行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 风险提示 新能源汽车增速不及预期,储能装机增速不及预期。 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色金属行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 24 日 | 于嘉懿 | 执业证书编号:S0860525110005 | | --- | --- | | | yujiayi1@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 宁紫微 | 执业证书编号:S0860525120005 | | | ningziwei@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 流动性预期回摆,无碍长多逻辑延续:— | 2026-01-19 | | --- | --- | | —有色及贵金属周报 | | | 情绪干扰,价格放大高波动:——钴锂金 | 2026-01-18 | | 属行业周报 | | | 奇点已至,镁业腾飞:——镁行业系列报 | 2026-01-16 | | 告一 | | 上行趋势不改,价格加速走强 ——钴锂金属行业周报 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 短期来看,期货情绪推动锂价高位震荡,节前在趋势惯性与成本支撑下仍存在阶段性冲 高可 ...
环旭电子(601231):拓展光通讯业务,深化云端和终端模组产品布局
Orient Securities· 2026-01-24 15:28
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 32.48 CNY based on a 29x PE valuation for comparable companies in 2026 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is actively expanding its optical communication business and enhancing its product layout in cloud and terminal modules, aiming to integrate into the global optical interconnect ecosystem [11]. - The company has strong competitive advantages in technology, industrial synergy, and production capacity, which are expected to support its growth in the optical communication sector [11]. - The company is also focusing on strengthening its product offerings related to cloud computing and data centers, with promising growth in its server board business [11]. - The smart glasses market is projected to grow significantly, and the company is well-positioned to benefit from this trend as a leading manufacturer of SiP modules for smart wearable devices [11]. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.75 CNY, 1.12 CNY, and 1.37 CNY for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively, with adjustments made to revenue and gross margin forecasts [3][12]. - Revenue is expected to decline slightly in 2025 before rebounding with growth rates of 18% and 12% in 2026 and 2027, respectively [5][12]. - The company’s net profit is forecasted to recover significantly, with a projected increase of 50% in 2026 and 22% in 2027 [5][12].
机器人产业跟踪:特斯拉计划27年向公众销售人形机器人,产业速度较快,市场期待提升
Orient Securities· 2026-01-24 13:31
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the machinery equipment industry [6]. Core Insights - Tesla plans to sell humanoid robots to the public by 2027, with expectations for increased market interest and investment opportunities [3][9]. - The humanoid robot production capacity is set to accelerate, with Tesla aiming to produce 50,000 units in 2026 and ramping up to 1 million units by 2030 [9]. - Companies with strong manufacturing and operational capabilities are expected to gain higher market shares as humanoid robot sales increase and prices decrease [9]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report highlights the rapid development of the humanoid robot industry, with Tesla's announcements indicating a faster-than-expected timeline for public sales [9]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests several investment opportunities, including Top Group (601689, Buy), Sanhua Intelligent Control (002050, Buy), Wuzhou New Spring (603667, Buy), Hengli Hydraulic (601100, Not Rated), and Zhenyu Technology (300953, Buy) [3]. Market Expectations - The anticipated deployment of Tesla's humanoid robots in industrial settings by late 2026 is expected to enhance market expectations and create investment opportunities [3][9].
持续看好PVC等高能耗产品价值重估
Orient Securities· 2026-01-24 13:14
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The PVC industry is expected to undergo continuous revaluation due to its high energy consumption and carbon emissions, particularly as China approaches its carbon peak during the 14th Five-Year Plan. The supply side may face strict controls, leading to potential reductions in production quotas. The demand for PVC in developing regions such as Africa and Latin America is anticipated to drive growth, despite the challenges posed by domestic production constraints [2][7] - The petrochemical industry is experiencing an upward trend in profitability, driven by significant price increases in key products such as butadiene rubber, PX, PTA, styrene, and ethylene glycol. The market's expectations for improved demand in 2026 are contributing to this positive outlook, with potential adjustments in operational strategies by leading companies likely to reshape supply and demand dynamics [7] Summary by Relevant Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report recommends several companies across various sub-sectors, including: - MDI leader: Wanhua Chemical (600309, Buy) - PVC-related companies: Zhongtai Chemical (002092, Not Rated), Xinjiang Tianye (600075, Not Rated), Chlor-alkali Chemical (600618, Not Rated), Tianyuan Co., Ltd. (002386, Not Rated) - Refining sector leaders: Sinopec (600028, Buy), Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493, Buy), Hengli Petrochemical (600346, Buy) - Phosphate chemical companies benefiting from energy storage growth: Chuanheng Co., Ltd. (002895, Not Rated), Yuntianhua (600096, Not Rated) - Oxalic acid sector: Hualu Hengsheng (600426, Buy), Huayi Group (600623, Buy), Wankai New Materials (301216, Buy) [3]
装备新科技挖掘:特斯拉发布机器人新进展,柔性防护外层迎来发展机遇
Orient Securities· 2026-01-22 13:25
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the mechanical equipment industry, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [6]. Core Insights - The production of humanoid robots is expected to drive growth in the flexible protective outer layer market, leading to increased orders for related manufacturers [3]. - Tesla's Optimus robot has made significant advancements with the introduction of a flexible protective outer layer, enhancing its humanoid appearance and functionality [9][11]. - The flexible protective outer layer is designed to protect the robot and reduce safety risks during human-robot interactions, with domestic manufacturers making progress in this area [12]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report focuses on the mechanical equipment industry, highlighting the potential for growth driven by advancements in robotics and related technologies [5]. Investment Recommendations - Key investment targets include Henghui Security (300952), Meirui New Materials (300848), and Nanshan Zhishang (300918), which are positioned to benefit from the growth in the flexible protective outer layer market [3]. Technological Developments - Tesla's Optimus robot has transitioned from a bare steel exterior to a more human-like design with a flexible protective outer layer, which is expected to open new market opportunities, especially in consumer-facing service scenarios [9][11]. - The flexible protective outer layer not only protects the robot but also enhances safety in collaborative environments, with domestic companies like Xiaopeng and Henghui Security making strides in this technology [12]. Market Potential - The flexible protective outer layer is anticipated to become a consumable item for robots, similar to clothing for humans, leading to higher replacement rates and a larger market space [15]. - The report suggests that as robotic applications become more widespread, consumer demand for customization in the appearance of robots will increase, further expanding the market for flexible protective outer layers [15].
多策略及理财配置周报:CTA策略仍强,指增和中性策略回暖
Orient Securities· 2026-01-22 10:24
资产配置 | 定期报告 CTA 策略仍强,指增和中性策略回暖 20260119 多策略及理财配置周报 研究结论 风险提示 1、 极端风险事件,例如中美关系、全球地缘超预期事件等,可能打破统计上的历史规 律; 2、 量化指标失效的风险,历史数据对未来的指引效果有限。 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 22 日 | 郑月灵 | 执业证书编号:S0860525120003 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyueling@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 周仕盈 | 执业证书编号:S0860125060012 | | | zhoushiying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 董翱翔 | 执业证书编号:S0860125030016 | | | dongaoxiang@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | | 风偏继续向中间集中:20260119 多资产配 | 2026-01-20 | | --- | --- | | 置周报 | | | 以对冲配置思路应对美股/黄金"畏高" | ...
20260119多策略及理财配置周报:CTA策略仍强,指增和中性策略回暖-20260122
Orient Securities· 2026-01-22 07:49
资产配置 | 定期报告 CTA 策略仍强,指增和中性策略回暖 20260119 多策略及理财配置周报 研究结论 风险提示 1、 极端风险事件,例如中美关系、全球地缘超预期事件等,可能打破统计上的历史规 律; 2、 量化指标失效的风险,历史数据对未来的指引效果有限。 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 22 日 | 郑月灵 | 执业证书编号:S0860525120003 | | --- | --- | | | zhengyueling@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 周仕盈 | 执业证书编号:S0860125060012 | | | zhoushiying@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 董翱翔 | 执业证书编号:S0860125030016 | | | dongaoxiang@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 风偏继续向中间集中:20260119 多资产配 | 2026-01-20 | | --- | --- | | 置周报 | | | 以对冲配置思路应对美股/黄金" ...