Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Viewpoints of the Report - The pre - profit - taking behavior of convertible bonds has eased, but under the current high absolute price and high valuation, the volatility has intensified and the bond nature has weakened. November may be the last wave of adding positions from the perspective of institutional behavior. The current high - valuation situation is expected to remain unchanged [5][8]. - The view on the future of convertible bonds is neutral. It is difficult for convertible bond valuations to have a logic of continuous strengthening. It is likely to fluctuate around the current point. The key to the subsequent trend lies in equities. Investors should appropriately lower the return expectations of convertible bonds, cash out and switch in a timely manner, and low - position institutions can actively allocate on dips. The trading opportunities of convertible bonds are greater than the trend opportunities [5][8]. - Despite the overseas capital market turmoil, the domestic market has slightly recovered this week, hovering around 4000 points, indicating sufficient market confidence. Some over - valued sectors have corrected in the short term, and the weight sectors have temporarily attracted attention. The technology - led slow - bull market remains unchanged, and the subsequent equity trend is still bullish [5][8]. Group 3: Summary According to the Directory 1. Convertible Bond Views: Double - Low Performance Stands Out, Style Slightly Switches - The pre - profit - taking behavior of convertible bonds has eased, but with high absolute prices and valuations, volatility has increased and bond nature has weakened. November may be the last chance for institutional position - adding. The high - valuation situation is expected to remain. The view on convertible bonds is neutral, with the key to subsequent trends in equities. Investors should adjust expectations, cash out and switch, and low - position institutions can allocate on dips. The domestic market has recovered slightly, and the technology - led slow - bull market remains [8]. 2. Convertible Bond Review: Index Approaches Previous High, Valuation Slightly Rises 2.1 Market Overall Performance: Most Indexes Close Higher, Trading Volume Declines - This week, most equity indexes closed slightly higher. The Shanghai Composite Index led the gains with a 1.08% increase, while the North - Bound 50 Index fell 3.79%. In terms of industries, power equipment, coal, and petroleum and petrochemicals led the rise, while beauty care, computer, and pharmaceutical biology led the decline. The average daily trading volume decreased by 3108.43 billion yuan to 2.01 trillion yuan. The top - ten rising convertible bonds last week were Zhongneng, Zhenhua, etc., and some convertible bonds were more active in trading [11]. 2.2 Trading Volume Continues to Increase, Double - Low and Large - Cap High - Rating Convertible Bonds Perform Well - This week, convertible bonds performed well, following the rise of equities. The average daily trading volume slightly increased to 68.526 billion yuan. The CSI Convertible Bond Index rose 0.86%, the parity center rose 1.0% to 114.4 yuan, and the conversion premium rate center remained flat at 18.7%. In terms of style, double - low and large - cap high - rating convertible bonds performed well, while high - price and small convertible bonds performed weakly [14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [6]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of addressing overseas electricity shortages with Chinese solutions, particularly in the context of rising industrial electricity costs due to increasing energy prices in major countries [9][14]. - It highlights the potential for significant growth in the electrolytic aluminum sector driven by export demand, as overseas power supply issues lead to production cuts [14]. - The report also points out investment opportunities in the special steel sector, particularly related to advancements in nuclear fusion technology [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is expected to benefit from a surge in overseas energy storage demand, with prices across the supply chain showing signs of recovery [16]. Summary by Sections 1. Non-Ferrous Metals - The report suggests that electrolytic aluminum, special steel, and lithium carbonate are primarily driven by domestic demand, but it presents a contrasting view that focuses on overseas electricity shortages as a growth opportunity [9][13]. - The electrolytic aluminum sector is poised for a revaluation due to strong production cut expectations stemming from overseas electricity shortages [14]. - The special steel sector is highlighted for its potential growth linked to nuclear fusion advancements, with significant demand expected for materials that can withstand extreme conditions [15]. - The lithium carbonate sector is experiencing a price rebound, with recent contracts indicating a positive outlook for the entire supply chain [16]. 2. Steel Industry - The steel industry is facing short-term profitability pressures, with slight declines in iron and steel production noted [17][19]. - Inventory levels for both social and steel mill stocks are decreasing, indicating a tightening supply [24]. - The report notes a general decline in steel prices, with various product categories experiencing price drops [34]. - Cost pressures are evident, with mixed trends in raw material prices impacting profitability across different steel production processes [27][30]. 3. New Energy Metals - The report indicates a significant year-on-year increase in lithium carbonate production, reflecting a robust supply response to market demand [39]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures showing substantial growth [43]. - Price trends for lithium and nickel are mixed, with lithium prices experiencing a notable decline while cobalt prices have seen increases [48][50].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 40.61 CNY based on a projected PE of 31 times for 2026 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company's robot business is set to ramp up, positioning itself as a leading platform in the domestic and international markets, with significant orders and expected deliveries of humanoid and quadruped robots [11]. - The company is expected to benefit from strong demand for consumer electronics, particularly from major North American clients, with anticipated double-digit growth in iPhone revenue [11]. - The company is leveraging its technological capabilities across various sectors, including consumer electronics and automotive electronics, establishing a competitive edge through vertical integration and horizontal expansion [11]. Financial Forecasts - The projected net profits for the company from 2025 to 2027 are 5 billion, 6.9 billion, and 8.9 billion CNY respectively, with slight adjustments made to previous forecasts [3][12]. - Revenue is expected to grow from 54.49 billion CNY in 2023 to 143.2 billion CNY in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of approximately 21.5% [5][13]. - The company's gross margin is projected to remain stable around 15% over the forecast period, with net profit margins gradually increasing from 5.5% in 2023 to 6.2% in 2027 [5][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 27.74 CNY, based on a revised average P/E ratio of 19x for comparable companies in 2026 [3][6]. Core Insights - The company is expected to optimize its self-developed game portfolio in 2026, leading to an increase in gross profit margin as new projects are launched. The forecasted net profit for the company from 2025 to 2027 is 3.072 billion, 3.234 billion, and 3.546 billion CNY respectively, reflecting adjustments based on game launch schedules and marketing data [3][10]. - The third quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 3.98 billion CNY, a year-on-year decrease of 3%, primarily due to declines in older games. However, the net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 49% to 940 million CNY, attributed to controlled sales expenses [10]. Financial Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: The company’s revenue is projected to be 16.086 billion CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year decline of 7.8%, followed by a recovery to 16.873 billion CNY in 2026 and 17.366 billion CNY in 2027 [5][12]. - **Profitability Metrics**: The gross margin is expected to decline to 76.7% in 2025 but recover to 79.8% by 2027. The net profit margin is projected to increase from 19.1% in 2025 to 20.4% in 2027 [5][12]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: The EPS is forecasted to rise from 1.39 CNY in 2025 to 1.60 CNY in 2027 [5][12]. - **Valuation Ratios**: The company’s P/E ratio is expected to decrease from 16.5 in 2025 to 14.3 in 2027, indicating a potentially attractive valuation [5][12]. Product Development and Market Position - The company has a robust product pipeline with multiple global projects set to launch, including genres such as MMORPG, SLG, and card games. Key upcoming titles include "赘婿" and "代号 MLK" [10][12]. - The performance of existing games like "Puzzles & Survival" has stabilized, while new titles like "斗罗大陆：猎魂世界" are expected to contribute positively to revenue in the latter half of the year [10].

有色、钢铁行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 央行连续 12 个月增持，看好黄金中期上涨 ——黄金行业动态跟踪 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 风险提示 美国等主要国家财政货币政策变化、中美关系变化、金价大幅波动 国家/地区 中国 行业 有色、钢铁行业 报告发布日期 2025 年 11 月 10 日 | 刘洋 | 执业证书编号：S0860520010002 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BTB487 | | | liuyang3@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 李一涛 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120001 | | --- | --- | | | liyitao@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 重视供给预期趋紧的细分板块机会：—— | 2025-11-02 | | --- | --- | | 有色钢铁行业周观点（2025 年第 44 周） | | | 新版《钢铁行业产能置换办法》公开征求 | 2025-10-27 | | 意见，供给侧变革或将临近 | | | 矿端+冶炼均存利好，重申铜板块 ...

风电高景气度提升业绩，高端材料或打开 利润空间 ——广大特材 2025 三季报点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 根据 25Q3 季报，我们调整相关产品售价、成本、财务费用等，预测公司 25-27 年归 母净利润分别为 3.18、4.37、5.68 亿元（25-27 年原预测值为 3.59、4.69、6.16 亿 元）。根据可比公司 26 年 18X 的 PE 估值，对应目标价 28.08 元，维持买入评级。 风险提示 风电铸件市场竞争加剧风险、风电大型化进程不及预期风险、齿轮箱精密部件产品开发 或客户拓展不及预期风险、大型铸钢件需求不及预期风险 公司主要财务信息 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 3,788 | 4,003 | 5,468 | 5,829 | 6,178 | | 同比增长 (%) | 12.5% | 5.7% | 36.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 135 | 164 | 408 | 551 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has introduced a new ATTC platform that enhances innovation in drug development, particularly in cancer and immune disease treatments [10]. - The first candidate drug from the ATTC platform, HMPL-A251, shows promising anti-tumor activity and is expected to enter clinical development by the end of the year [10]. - The company's core pipeline is progressing steadily, with key data readouts for the drug Savolitinib anticipated soon, which could lead to market expansion [10]. Financial Forecasts and Investment Recommendations - Projected revenues for the company from 2025 to 2027 are $600.43 million, $705.84 million, and $796.91 million respectively, with a target price of HKD 33.29 for 2026 [3][5]. - The company is expected to see significant growth in net profit, with a forecasted increase of 1110.15% in 2026 [5]. - The report highlights a projected net profit margin of 76.12% in 2026, indicating strong profitability potential [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the defense and military industry [5] Core Viewpoints - The commissioning of the Fujian aircraft carrier marks China's entry into the electromagnetic catapult aircraft carrier era, indicating a significant leap in naval capabilities and advanced military technology [9][12] - The establishment of space data centers by Starlink highlights the competitive landscape in space computing, with China's low-orbit satellite network expected to accelerate [14][15] - The upcoming "14th Five-Year Plan" is anticipated to clarify new equipment construction strategies, emphasizing the importance of domestic demand and military trade as growth drivers [16] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - Focus on companies involved in the aerospace and engine supply chain, new quality domains, military electronics, and military trade [16] - Recommended stocks include: - Aerospace & Engine Chain: Western Superconducting (688122, Buy), among others [16] - New Quality Domains: Aerospace Electronics (600879, Buy), among others [16] - Military Electronics: Aerospace Electric (002025, Buy), among others [16] - Military Trade/Main Equipment: AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (600760, Not Rated), among others [16] Industry Performance - The defense and military industry index (Shenwan) decreased by 0.47%, underperforming the CSI 300 index which increased by 0.82% [18][21] - The industry ranked 25th out of 31 in terms of performance among Shenwan's primary industry indices [21] Key News and Announcements - The report highlights significant events such as the commissioning of the Fujian aircraft carrier and international military cooperation agreements [26][27] - Important announcements from military companies regarding stockholder actions and management changes are also summarized [31][33]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the automotive and parts industry is maintained at "Neutral" [5] Core Insights - The approval of Elon Musk's compensation plan reflects investor confidence in Tesla's long-term vision, with plans for mass production of the Optimus robot and Cybercab starting in 2026 [8][12] - The new generation humanoid robot IRON from Xiaopeng is expected to accelerate technological iterations in the industry, with mass production anticipated by the end of 2026 [13][14] - The humanoid robot sector is witnessing significant orders, indicating a shift towards large-scale production and collaborative development within the supply chain [14] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Companies expected to benefit include those involved in Tesla's robotics and automotive supply chains, as well as competitive domestic brands leading in intelligent driving technology [3][15] - Suggested companies for continued monitoring include SAIC Motor, BYD, and various parts suppliers such as Silver Wheel and Top Group [3][16][17] Sales Tracking - Nationwide passenger car wholesale sales reached 1.05 million units from October 27-31, a year-on-year increase of 24% [18] - Cumulative wholesale sales for the year reached 23.76 million units, reflecting a 12% year-on-year growth [18] Market Trends and Industry Dynamics - The commercial vehicle sector showed strong performance, with a notable increase in sales compared to other segments [33] - The overall automotive industry underperformed against the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, indicating market challenges [35][36]

Market Strategy - The market is currently experiencing a volatile rotation, with a focus on defensive strategies. It is recommended to prioritize defensive tactics while considering low-value recovery opportunities in the mid-term [2][8] - The "dumbbell strategy" is suggested as a foundational approach, balancing between high dividend yield and low volatility sectors, particularly in the traditional Chinese medicine sector [8] Style Strategy - The technology growth sector is under pressure, while cyclical consumer sectors are positioned for defensive layouts. The market is seeing rapid rotation between technology growth and low-value cyclical sectors [3][8] Industry Strategy - The construction materials industry is expected to emerge from its cyclical bottom, supported by the "Construction Materials Industry Stable Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" which provides clear policy guidance and development momentum. This plan aims to improve supply-demand relationships and restore profitability through systematic measures [4][8] - Structural opportunities in the construction materials sector include traditional leading companies with optimized supply patterns, leaders in green and emerging materials, and pioneers in digital transformation [8] Thematic Strategy - The environmental protection sector is gaining momentum, with potential for long-term driving forces. Recent climate commitments and policy changes signal a significant shift towards green and low-carbon transitions [5][8] - Relevant stocks in the environmental sector include Xuedilong (002658) and Yongqing Environmental Protection (300187), with associated ETFs such as the Environmental ETF (512580) and Carbon Neutrality ETF (159885) [8]