Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained for the non-ferrous metals sector [5]. Core Insights - The rare earth sector is expected to experience a dual boost in profitability and valuation, with a focus on asset integration opportunities within rare earth groups [3][6]. - Recent export control measures highlight the strategic value of rare earths, potentially mirroring the situation in 2010, where a significant reduction in export quotas led to a dramatic price increase for neodymium oxide [6]. - Supply and demand dynamics are expected to support rare earth prices, with neodymium oxide prices remaining above 600,000 yuan per ton, driven by supply constraints and recovering overseas demand [6]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The rare earth sector is anticipated to see profitability and valuation improvements, emphasizing the importance of asset integration within rare earth groups. Recommended stocks include Northern Rare Earth (600111, Buy), among others [3]. Industry Overview - The recent export control policy by the Ministry of Commerce is a response to geopolitical tensions and is expected to stimulate overseas stocking demand, thereby supporting prices [6]. - Supply-side constraints are anticipated due to environmental regulations and production quota issues, which may lead to temporary shutdowns in some processing plants [6].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is Neutral (maintained) [5] Core Insights - NVIDIA has launched an open-source autonomous driving model, Alpamayo, which is expected to enhance the penetration rates of high-level autonomous driving and Robo-X. This development is anticipated to benefit related vehicle manufacturers, component suppliers, and mobility service providers [3][9] - The Robo-X scale is expected to accelerate, with leading companies like LoBot and Pony.ai achieving or nearing single-vehicle breakeven points for their Robotaxi services. The deployment of Robovans is also increasing, with significant cost reductions in unmanned logistics vehicles [8] - NVIDIA is building a comprehensive autonomous driving ecosystem, which is likely to create growth opportunities for suppliers of autonomous driving hardware and software as demand for advanced components rises [8] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Recommended stocks in the component sector include: - Jingwei Hirain (688326, Buy) - Bertel (603596, Buy) - Desay SV (002920, Buy) - Huayang Group (002906, Buy) - Coboda (603786, Buy) - Horizon Robotics (09660, Not Rated) - Hesai (02525, Not Rated) - Nexperia (01316, Not Rated) - Recommended stocks in the vehicle and mobility service sector include: - Xpeng Motors (09868, Not Rated) - Seres (601127, Not Rated) - Pony.ai (02026, Not Rated) [3][9]

Core Insights - The report indicates that the A-share market welcomed a strong start in 2026, with trading volume exceeding 2.5 trillion yuan over two consecutive trading days, driven significantly by the non-bank financial sector [7][3] - The current market is characterized by a healthy upward trend, with a focus on mid-cap blue chips in cyclical and manufacturing sectors, particularly in chemicals and non-ferrous metals, as well as smart vehicles and robotics [7][3] - The upcoming CES event is expected to showcase significant innovations in AI glasses, robotics, and other smart consumer hardware, indicating a strong pipeline of new products [7][4] Industry Strategy - The home appliance sector is witnessing price increases from leading companies, with CES acting as a catalyst for upcoming innovations [4] - In the consumer electronics space, there is a focus on the integration of AI at the edge, with expectations for accelerated adoption and breakthroughs in hardware products [5][7] - The report highlights potential uncertainties regarding the sustainability of trade-in subsidies, tariff fluctuations, and the pace of AI implementation, which could impact downstream demand and upstream raw material prices [6] Investment Focus - Key investment themes include mid-cap blue chips in cyclical industries and technology growth, with specific ETFs recommended for sectors such as chemicals, non-ferrous metals, robotics, and smart vehicles [7][3] - The report emphasizes the potential for AI to enhance traditional consumer electronics, with innovations in AI glasses and headphones expected to improve user interaction experiences [7][5] - Notable companies mentioned for potential investment include Stone Technology and various semiconductor firms, indicating a focus on innovative hardware solutions [7][5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the social services industry [4] Core Insights - The Ministry of Culture and Tourism data aligns with expectations, highlighting strong performance in duty-free shopping, inbound tourism, and leading mountain scenic spots. The upcoming long Spring Festival holiday and supportive tourism policies are expected to boost domestic consumption, leading to a favorable outlook for the social services industry in 2026 [3][7] Summary by Sections Domestic Tourism Demand - Domestic travel demand is steadily increasing, with 142 million domestic trips taken during the New Year holiday, a 5.2% increase compared to 2024. Total domestic travel expenditure reached 84.79 billion yuan, up 6.3% year-on-year, with per capita spending increasing by 1.1% [7] Duty-Free Shopping - Duty-free sales in Hainan during the New Year holiday showed significant growth, with 442,000 items sold, a 52.4% increase year-on-year. The number of shoppers reached 83,500, up 60.6%, and total spending was 712 million yuan, a 128.9% increase. This growth is attributed to the official launch of duty-free operations, new policies, and promotional activities [7] Scenic Spots - Leading mountain scenic spots demonstrated strong visitor elasticity, with Huangshan receiving over 75,000 visitors (up 76.5% year-on-year), Emei Mountain hosting 126,200 visitors (up 20.9%), and Changbai Mountain seeing a 41% increase in visitors compared to 2025. The expansion of high-speed rail and airports contributed to this growth [7] Online Travel Agencies (OTAs) - Inbound tourism and winter sports are emerging as key growth drivers, with a 110% year-on-year increase in inbound ticket bookings and a more than 30-fold increase in experiential product bookings. Domestic winter sports continue to be a central theme for growth in 2026 [7]

1. Report's Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The improvement of A-share market efficiency provides a solid foundation for the development of passive investment, with the scale of passive equity funds in the domestic public fund market exceeding 50% in 2025 [5]. - The effectiveness of the A-share market is lower than that of Hong Kong and US stocks, and the effectiveness of small-cap and technology stock indices is weaker than that of large-cap stock indices. The effectiveness of the A-share market shows an overall upward trend [5]. - There is a significant negative correlation between the excess return of active funds and index effectiveness. As the difficulty of obtaining Alpha increases, the demand for diversified Beta and Smart Beta on the equity side increases, highlighting the importance of asset allocation [5]. - There is a balance point between the scale ratios of active and passive funds. In the choice of funds, it is recommended to allocate ETFs in the large-cap style market, select active equity funds in the mid-cap style market, and choose quantitative funds for small-cap style allocation [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 A-share Equity Fund Market: Passive Investment Proportion Exceeds 50% - In 2025, the scale of domestic passive equity funds exceeded that of active equity funds for the first time, and this trend continues. The reasons include the difficulty of obtaining sustainable excess returns from active funds, the improvement of A-share market efficiency, and the development of domestic investment advisory services [9]. 3.2 Rise in Passive Investment Proportion Due to Market Efficiency Improvement - As market efficiency improves, it becomes more difficult to obtain Alpha, leading to the rise of Beta investment. Passive investment includes pure passive investment and factor-based passive investment (Smart Beta) [14]. - There is a balance point between active and passive funds, and the scale ratio of passive investment will not increase indefinitely. Ideal asset allocation should be an organic combination based on the market cycle, asset categories, and strategy capacity [15]. 3.3 Market Efficiency and Testing Methods 3.3.1 Origin and Connotation of the Efficient Market Theory - The study of market efficiency can be traced back to 1889, and Eugene Fama formally defined and improved the efficient market theory, dividing market efficiency into three levels: weak, semi-strong, and strong [18][19][20]. 3.3.2 Testing Methods for the Efficient Market Theory - **Weak Form Tests**: By testing whether the price sequence residual is white noise, it can be determined whether the stock price is likely to follow a random walk, which is used to judge market efficiency. The Ljung - Box test is commonly used for white noise testing [21][25][27]. - **Semi - Strong Form Tests**: Economists generally use the event study method to test the reaction speed of stock prices to public information [29]. - **Strong Form Tests**: This tests whether investors can obtain excess returns using insider information. It studies the returns of professional investors or insiders [30][31]. 3.4 Exploration of Market Efficiency in A-share, Hong Kong, and US Stocks - Since 2013, the efficiency of A-share has been slightly lower than that of Hong Kong and US stocks, and the efficiency of small-cap and technology stock indices is weaker than that of large-cap stock indices. After 2018, the efficiency of the A-share market has increased rapidly [34][38][40]. - There is a significant negative correlation between the excess return of active funds and index efficiency. As market efficiency improves, the difficulty of obtaining Alpha in A-shares increases [43]. 3.5 Fund Investment Choices under the Background of Improved Market Efficiency 3.5.1 ETF: Emphasizing Multi-Asset ETFs and Equity Smart Beta - As the demand for diversified Beta increases, the importance of asset allocation becomes prominent. ETFs are becoming increasingly important in the strategic position of asset allocation, and the proportion of ETFs in the holdings of public FOFs continues to rise, with diversified demand [47][50]. - Strategy ETFs (Smart Beta factor ETFs) show relatively independent trends, providing a source of differentiated Beta in the equity market and playing an important role in asset allocation [52]. - Industry ETFs are mostly market - capitalization weighted, with large-cap stocks contributing more to returns. Since it is difficult to obtain excess returns from large-cap stocks, investment is recommended to be based on long - term allocation [55][56]. 3.5.2 Active Equity and Quantitative Investment: Obtaining Alpha Returns from Small and Mid - Cap Stocks - Active equity funds are more exposed to mid - cap stocks. The trading environment of mid - cap stocks is more friendly to actively managed funds, with lower pricing efficiency and lower difficulty in obtaining excess returns compared to large - cap stocks, and relatively sufficient liquidity [61][62]. - Quantitative funds may be a better choice for investing in small - cap stocks. Quantitative strategies can improve the objectivity and winning rate of decision - making, and have advantages in terms of stock coverage and trading execution [69][70][71].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry in China [5]. Core Insights - NVIDIA has launched a context memory storage platform for inference, indicating a continuous expansion in AI storage demand. This platform aims to create a new memory layer optimized for inference between GPU memory and traditional storage, supporting long-term AI operations [3][6]. - The bottleneck in AI inference is shifting from computation to context storage, leading to a significant growth in demand for storage chips. As AI models become more complex, the need for high-frequency data access will drive changes in storage architecture [6][7]. - The ongoing shortage of storage capacity presents historic opportunities for domestic storage manufacturers, especially as international competitors may have limited expansion capabilities. Domestic companies like Changxin Technology and Yangtze Memory Technologies are positioned to benefit from this trend [6][7]. Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report highlights several investment targets in the semiconductor and storage sectors, including: - Semiconductor equipment companies: Zhongwei Company, Jingzhida, Jingyi Equipment, Weidao Nano, Tuojing Technology, and Northern Huachuang [3][7]. - Domestic packaging and testing companies: Deep Technology, Huicheng Co., and Tongfu Microelectronics [3][7]. - Logic chip manufacturers: Jinghe Integration [3][7]. - Companies focusing on edge AI storage solutions: Zhaoyi Innovation and Beijing Junzheng [3][7]. - Companies benefiting from storage technology iterations: Lianqi Technology and others [3][7]. - Domestic storage solution providers: Jiangbolong, Demingli, Baiwei Storage, and Lenovo Group [3][7].

Group 1: Market Trends and Economic Outlook - The "American exceptionalism" narrative has reversed, impacting major asset performance throughout the past year[7] - The trend of "exceptionalism" is driven by weakening internal narratives and external challenges, with significant doubts about the U.S.'s ability to maintain global order[10] - Economic and market momentum is overly reliant on AI narratives, which are now facing increasing skepticism, leading to a decline in confidence[11] Group 2: Impact of Venezuela Events - The Venezuela situation may provide short-term support for the "exceptionalism premium," potentially enhancing market perceptions of U.S. power projection[14] - Optimistic scenarios suggest that U.S. control over Venezuela could temporarily boost risk appetite for U.S. assets, but long-term benefits are limited[14] - Risks include the possibility of the U.S. becoming entrenched in a prolonged conflict in Venezuela, which could shift the impact from short-term gains to long-term burdens[14] Group 3: Employment Data and Future Projections - Key observation points include upcoming U.S. employment data, particularly the December non-farm payrolls, which could influence market sentiment[15] - If employment data exceeds expectations, it may create a temporary "exceptionalism recovery" window, favoring U.S. assets[15] - However, if employment continues to weaken, the U.S. dollar is likely to revert to a downward trend, with a mid-term outlook of continued dollar weakness and benefits for non-U.S. markets[21]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [4] Core Insights - Rising raw material prices have led some brands to initiate price increases, with leading companies demonstrating stronger pricing power and higher profit certainty. The upcoming CES event is expected to catalyze interest in smart consumer hardware [2] - The report highlights two main investment themes: 1. Leading companies exhibit higher operational efficiency and stability during cost-up cycles, making them preferred choices for conservative allocations. Recommended stocks include Midea Group (000333, not rated), Haier Smart Home (600690, not rated), and Hisense Visual (600060, increase holding) [2] 2. International expansion remains a long-term focus, with a potential valuation shift expected in 2026. Recommended stock is Stone Technology (688169, buy) [2] Summary by Sections - **Price Increases**: Midea announced price hikes of 2% and 4% for certain models starting January 3 and January 5, 2026, respectively, due to significant increases in copper prices, which have risen by 11% over the past month and 42% over the past year. Copper is a key raw material, accounting for approximately 20% of air conditioner costs [6] - **Profitability Mechanism**: The report estimates that a 30% increase in copper prices would necessitate a 5% price increase to fully offset cost increases, while Midea's price hikes exceed 6%, indicating effective cost management strategies [6] - **CES Focus Areas**: The report identifies three main areas of interest for CES: 1. AI glasses with over 50 brands showcasing new products 2. Robotics, including new laser radar lawnmowers and advanced cleaning robots 3. Other smart consumer hardware innovations such as AI companion robots and 3D printing [6]

Group 1: Geopolitical Impact - The U.S. launched a large-scale military operation against Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing President Maduro, signaling a strategic shift towards consolidating influence in Latin America[7] - The immediate economic impact on China-Venezuela trade is limited, with exports to Venezuela accounting for only 0.14% and imports for 0.06% of China's total trade in 2024[7] - However, the event raises concerns about increased uncertainty for China's trade and investment in the region due to U.S. strategic adjustments[7] Group 2: Trade and Investment Implications - China's exports to Latin America represent 7.7% of total exports, while imports from the region account for 9.3%, indicating significant reliance on Latin American markets[7] - Agricultural and mineral imports from Latin America constitute 42% and 16.1% of China's total imports in these categories, respectively, highlighting potential supply risks[7] - Direct investment from China to Venezuela is minimal, under 0.1%, but overall investment in Latin America ranges from 7.5% to 10%, suggesting a broader regional concern[7] Group 3: Strategic Shifts - The military action may further diminish Chinese enterprises' confidence in investing in Latin America, as evidenced by a slowdown in capital goods exports to the region in 2024[7] - The event could reinforce a strategic pivot for Chinese companies towards "Belt and Road" countries, providing new opportunities amid U.S. regional adjustments[7] - Despite U.S. trade regulations, China's export resilience was evident in 2025, with significant contributions from the EU, ASEAN, and Africa, while Latin America's share in export growth declined[7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of advancements and innovations in edge AI, predicting accelerated integration into various hardware products and industrial applications by 2026 [9][10] - Key players in the edge AI sector include chip manufacturers, terminal product manufacturers, and core component manufacturers, with specific companies highlighted for investment opportunities [3][10] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Focus on the upgrade and innovation breakthroughs in edge AI, with recommended stocks including: - Edge AI main control chip manufacturers: Amlogic, Aojie Technology, Hengxuan Technology, Espressif Technology, Starshine Technology, Rockchip [3][10] - Terminal product manufacturers: Lenovo Group, Xiaomi Group, Luxshare Precision, Linying Intelligent Manufacturing, BYD Electronics, Lens Technology, Ezviz, Innosilicon [3][10] - Core component manufacturers: Huanxu Electronics, Sunny Optical Technology, Orbbec, SUTENG, STMicroelectronics, OmniVision, and Pegatron [3][10]