Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the non-ferrous and steel industry in China [5] Core Insights - The report emphasizes that investing in resource stocks is not only about bullish metal prices but also serves as a hedge against rising inflation. The recent surge in metal prices, including gold, silver, copper, and aluminum, is attributed to a significant drop in market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut, alongside rising inflation expectations [8][13] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical events, with China's electrolytic aluminum industry poised to enjoy valuation premiums due to its supply chain security and competitive advantages. The report highlights the increasing domestic supply of bauxite and alumina, which enhances the industry's resource security [14] - The precious metals sector is viewed positively as the long-term debt cycle enters its late stage, with rising physical prices reflecting a loss of trust in fiat currency systems. The report anticipates that precious metal prices will continue to reach historical highs in 2026 [15] - The copper sector faces supply chain vulnerabilities, with recent labor disputes leading to production cuts. The report suggests that the basic fundamentals support the equity side of copper investments, which are expected to rise alongside copper prices [16] Summary by Sections Non-Ferrous Metals - The report indicates that the recent collective rise in metal prices is a response to inflationary pressures and a re-evaluation of physical asset values as the dollar debt cycle matures [8][13] - The aluminum sector is highlighted for its strong supply chain capabilities, with domestic production of bauxite and alumina expected to increase, providing a competitive edge [14] - The precious metals market is projected to see continued price increases, driven by a shift in investor sentiment towards physical assets as a safeguard against debt risks [15] Steel Industry - The steel industry is currently experiencing a weak fundamental outlook as it approaches the year-end off-season, with a slight increase in iron and steel production but a decrease in demand [17][22] - Inventory levels for both social and steel mill stocks have increased, indicating a potential oversupply situation [24] - Steel prices have shown a slight overall increase, with specific products like hot-rolled steel experiencing marginal price rises [36][37] New Energy Metals - The report notes a significant year-on-year increase in lithium carbonate production, with December 2025 figures showing a 69.09% rise [40] - The demand for new energy vehicles remains strong, with production and sales figures for November 2025 reflecting substantial growth [44] - Prices for lithium and cobalt have risen sharply, indicating a robust market for new energy metals [49][50]

公用事业行业 行业研究 | 行业周报 长协电价风险落地，结算电价有望好于预 期 公用事业行业周报（2026.01.05-2026.01.09） 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 国家/地区 中国 行业 公用事业行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 11 日 孙辉贤 执业证书编号：S0860525090003 sunhuixian@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 用电增速维持高位，长协电价或存压力： | 2025-12-28 | | --- | --- | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2025.12.22- | | | 2025.12.26） | | | 电量增速回落，煤价持续下行：公用事业 | 2025-12-21 | | 行业周报（2025.12.15-2025.12.19） | | | 云南容量电价提升，各省政策有望加速： | 2025-12-14 | | 公 用 事 业 行 业 周 报 （2025.12.08- | | | 2025.12.12） | | 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读 ...

AI 流量新入口带来营销渠道新机遇，把握 GEO 投资机会 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 有关分析师的申明，见本报告最后部分。其他重要信息披露见分析师申明之后部分，或请与您的投资代表联系。并请阅读本证券研究报告最后一页的免责申明。 风险提示 宏观经济影响广告主投放预算，GEO 应用落地不及预期，竞争加剧 传媒行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 传媒行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 11 日 看好（维持） | 项雯倩 | 执业证书编号：S0860517020003 | | --- | --- | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP120 | | | xiangwenqian@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 李雨琪 | 执业证书编号：S0860520050001 | | | 香港证监会牌照：BQP135 | | | liyuqi@orientsec.com.cn | | | 021-63326320 | | 金沐阳 | 执业证书编号：S0860525030001 | 021-63326320 | 沈熠 | 执业证书编号：S0860124120 ...

Group 1: Economic Outlook - A moderate "opening red" is expected for 2026, with a divergence in market opinions regarding initial economic data and risk preferences[5] - The overall fiscal strength for 2026 will depend on the outcomes of local two sessions, impacting early-year economic performance[8] - The broad fiscal index showed slight improvement at the end of 2025, but remains low, indicating limited rebound potential for early 2026 infrastructure growth[15] Group 2: Investment Trends - Investment direction is shifting from traditional infrastructure to new productive forces, with increased focus on digital economy, AI, and green initiatives[19] - In Henan province, the first quarter investment targets for transportation, energy, and water conservancy are significantly lower than previous years, indicating a shift in investment focus[19] - Policy-driven financial tools are expected to support investments beyond traditional infrastructure, with significant funding allocated to emerging sectors[19] Group 3: Risks and Challenges - The risk of "anti-involution" policies may exceed the positive effects of fiscal tools, potentially suppressing investment and impacting overall growth[20] - Changes in assumptions regarding fiscal measurements could lead to deviations in projected outcomes, highlighting the uncertainty in economic forecasts[22]

Inflation Overview - November CPI and core CPI year-on-year were 0.8% and 1.2% respectively, indicating a stable upward trend[5] - December food CPI year-on-year increased from 0.2% to 1.1%, primarily due to adverse weather affecting supply[5] Core CPI Insights - Core CPI remains stable, suggesting a decrease in economic downturn risks; December industrial consumer goods prices (excluding energy) rose by 2.5% year-on-year, marking an expansion for eight consecutive months[5] - Prices for household appliances and automobiles are recovering, with household appliances CPI year-on-year growth increasing to 5.9%[5] PPI Trends - December PPI year-on-year decline narrowed, supported by supply-side policy effects and a gradual recovery in domestic demand[5] - Life goods PPI year-on-year was -1.3%, with prices for cultural and quality goods rebounding due to consumption initiatives[5] Consumer Behavior - Tourism CPI in December maintained a high year-on-year growth of 2.1%, indicating resilience in service consumption[5] - The overall inflation data signals a positive trend in market conditions, reflecting improvements in consumer sentiment and spending[5] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected fluctuations in commodity prices due to geopolitical conflicts[5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the computer industry, indicating an expectation of returns exceeding the market benchmark by over 5% [6]. Core Insights - The AI industry is experiencing significant advancements with the upcoming release of DeepSeek's V4 model, which focuses on enhancing programming capabilities [2]. - Major AI companies in China, such as Zhipu and MiniMax, have recently gone public, with Zhipu's stock rising over 36% and MiniMax's stock increasing over 109% on their debut, leading to a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion HKD [2]. - The report emphasizes that the new model iterations and the accelerated application promotion by major internet companies will create favorable investment opportunities in AI applications and the computing power supply chain [3]. Summary by Sections AI Model Development - The programming capability is highlighted as a key area of improvement for AI models, with significant investments from leading companies like Anthropic and OpenAI to enhance their coding abilities [9]. - DeepSeek's V4 model is reported to surpass existing models in programming tasks, indicating a potential shift in market leadership [9]. - The introduction of innovative architectures, such as mHC by DeepSeek, aims to address stability issues in large model training, supporting future model iterations and application growth [9]. AI Application Market - Major internet companies are intensifying their competition for AI application entry points, with notable product launches aimed at enhancing user engagement and functionality [9]. - The report notes that the recent public listings of major AI model companies will positively impact the overall industry development [9]. Investment Targets - In the AI application sector, recommended investment targets include companies like TaxFriend (603171, Buy) and iFLYTEK (002230, Buy) among others [3]. - In the AI computing power sector, companies such as Haiguang Information (688041, Buy) and Runze Technology (300442, Buy) are highlighted as potential investment opportunities [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the electronic industry, specifically focusing on NAND and SSD sectors driven by AI demand [6]. Core Insights - AI applications are expected to drive a rapid increase in SSD usage, leading to a prolonged boom cycle for both SSD and NAND markets [3][10]. - The global data volume is projected to grow significantly, with active data becoming a larger portion due to AI model applications [19][31]. - The demand for SSDs is anticipated to rise sharply as they meet the high throughput requirements for active data in data centers, surpassing traditional HDDs [10][34]. Summary by Sections 1. AI - The application of AI models is expected to significantly increase the proportion of active data, transforming previously dormant data into frequently accessed data [21][22]. - By 2030, it is estimated that 100% of hot data will be stored on SSDs, reflecting a shift in data storage paradigms [22]. 2. SSD - SSDs are favored for their high read/write speeds and ability to handle high workloads, making them suitable for active data storage in data centers [34][40]. - The power efficiency of SSDs is a significant advantage, especially as data center power demands increase [48][51]. - AI training and inference are driving the development of AI SSDs, which require high performance, large capacity, and energy efficiency [54][56]. 3. NAND - The NAND market is expected to experience a prolonged period of supply-demand imbalance, with limited capital expenditure from leading manufacturers [10][11]. - The concentration of the global NAND market is high, with major players like Samsung, Micron, and SK Hynix focusing on high-bandwidth memory (HBM) rather than expanding NAND production [10][11]. 4. Enterprise SSD - The report highlights several key companies in the semiconductor and storage sectors that are well-positioned to benefit from the ongoing trends, including domestic semiconductor equipment manufacturers and storage module companies [3][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" investment rating for the agricultural industry [5] Core Insights - The report highlights a structural shortage in the pig market, with expectations for a price turning point in Q2 2026 due to ongoing capacity reduction and favorable policies [3][9] - The report emphasizes the potential for long-term performance improvement in the pig farming sector, driven by policy and market forces [3][9] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the pig farming sector, anticipating a price recovery in Q2 2026, with suggested stocks including Muyuan Foods (002714, Buy), Wens Foodstuff Group (300498, Buy), and Shennong Group (605296, Not Rated) [3] - It also suggests looking at the animal health sector, which may benefit from profit transmission down the supply chain, with recommended stocks including Haida Group (002311, Buy) and Reap Bio (300119, Not Rated) [3] - In the planting chain, the report notes a confirmed upward trend in grain prices, highlighting investment opportunities in large-scale planting, with suggested stocks including Suqian Agricultural Development (601952, Not Rated) and Beidahuang (600598, Not Rated) [3] - The pet food sector is also highlighted, with growth driven by increasing domestic brand recognition and overseas market expansion, recommending stocks such as Guibao Pet (301498, Not Rated) and Zhongchong Co. (002891, Not Rated) [3] Industry Fundamentals - The report indicates that December saw a continued increase in pig output, with 13 listed pig companies collectively reporting an output of 18.72 million heads, a month-on-month increase of 7.11% and a year-on-year increase of 6.8% [13] - The average selling price for pigs in December remained low, with a range from 10.66 yuan/kg to 12.54 yuan/kg, and an overall average around 11.5 yuan/kg [15] - The average weight of pigs sold in December was 124.85 kg, reflecting a decrease of 1.8 kg from the previous month, indicating a trend of accelerated inventory reduction [15][16] Market Trends - The report notes that the natural rubber market is experiencing price strength, with futures prices reaching 16,030 yuan/ton, a week-on-week increase of 2.72% [47] - The report also highlights a stable upward trend in grain prices, with corn and wheat prices showing slight declines while soybean meal prices have increased [37]

TPU 材料性能优势明显，有望广泛应用于 人形机器人 ——装备新科技挖掘 核心观点 投资建议与投资标的 ⚫ 人形机器人轻量化趋势不可逆转，未来电子皮肤有望得到广泛应用，推动灵巧手、 电子皮肤相关厂商订单增长，带动轻量化材料及部件供应商订单增长，相关标的包 括模塑科技(000700，未评级)、美瑞新材(300848，未评级)、福莱新材(605488，未 评级)。 风险提示 新材料研发进展不及预期、人形机器人厂商生产不及预期、机器人场景需求落地不明确 导致低于预期、机器人行业政策变化导致行业发展放缓、机器人行业融资不及预期。 机械设备行业 行业研究 | 动态跟踪 国家/地区 中国 行业 机械设备行业 报告发布日期 2026 年 01 月 10 日 看好（维持） 杨震 执业证书编号：S0860520060002 香港证监会牌照：BSW113 yangzhen@orientsec.com.cn 021-63326320 | 海关统计挖机出口加速，行业健康发展的 | 2025-12-25 | | --- | --- | | 确定性上升：——机械行业跟踪 | | | 锂电装备厂商签获合同，行业订单有望继 | 2025-1 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [7] Core Insights - The U.S. military's raid on Venezuela is expected to boost oil shipping demand. Since December 2025, the U.S. has expanded sanctions on Venezuelan oil tankers, limiting oil exports. Following the raid on January 3, 2026, it was announced that Venezuela may transfer up to 50 million barrels of oil to the U.S., potentially easing sanctions and increasing compliant market shipping volumes [7] - Short-term oil exports from Venezuela may remain constrained, but long-term legalization could enhance compliant market shipping demand. Venezuela's oil production is projected to account for about 1% of global output by 2025, with oil shipping exports making up around 2% of global exports. Currently, 17% of these exports go to the U.S., with over 50% shipped to Asia via shadow fleets [7] - The tightening of sanctions since 2025 has improved oil shipping supply and demand dynamics. The U.S. has intensified sanctions on Iranian shadow fleets, increasing the proportion of sanctioned VLCCs from 8% to 17%. This is expected to further reduce Iranian oil export efficiency, while OPEC+ production increases may help balance the market [7] - Oil shipping rates are anticipated to rise significantly in 2025 due to ongoing crude oil production increases and continued sanctions on shadow fleets. The oil shipping market is expected to recover, with potential for better-than-expected conditions in 2026 [7] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - Related investment targets include COSCO Shipping Energy (600026, not rated) and China Merchants Energy Shipping (601872, not rated) [7]