Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [5] Core Insights - The gold-silver ratio has broken through 50, indicating that precious metals are likely to lead industrial metals in accelerating price increases. Recent significant price increases in silver reflect a broader trend of rising physical metal prices as a response to the weakening trust in fiat currency systems [7][12] - The long-term debt cycle is entering its late stage, with rising physical metal prices signaling a loss of confidence in existing fiat currency systems. This trend is expected to continue into 2026, with precious metals likely to set new historical price records [12] - Zinc is identified as an overlooked material in the context of de-globalization, with favorable supply-demand dynamics suggesting continued price increases. The report highlights the potential for increased demand from re-industrialization efforts in Asia, Africa, and Latin America [13] - The aluminum sector is expected to benefit from geopolitical concerns, with China's electrolytic aluminum industry poised to enjoy valuation premiums due to its supply chain security and competitive advantages [13] Summary by Sections Precious Metals - The report emphasizes the importance of precious metals in preserving wealth amid a declining trust in fiat currencies, recommending active investment in this sector [12] Zinc Sector - The report suggests that zinc, as a fundamental material for de-globalization, will see increased demand driven by infrastructure needs in emerging markets, despite current market skepticism [13] Aluminum Sector - The electrolytic aluminum industry in China is expected to benefit from enhanced supply chain security and competitive advantages, with a positive outlook for profitability and valuation [13] Steel Industry - The steel sector is currently facing weak fundamentals as it approaches the seasonal low around the Spring Festival, with expectations for policy measures to support the industry [14] - Steel production has seen a slight increase, but demand for rebar is weakening, indicating a mixed outlook for the sector [19] New Energy Metals - Lithium and carbonate prices have shown significant increases, with production levels rising sharply, indicating strong demand in the new energy vehicle sector [37][41] - The report notes a substantial increase in the production of lithium carbonate and hydroxide, reflecting the growing demand for electric vehicles [37] Industrial Metals - The report indicates that political risks and supply constraints are contributing to an overall increase in industrial metal prices, with copper production expected to rise despite declining refining fees [56][57]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a "structural" investment strategy, focusing on mid-cap blue-chip stocks amidst ongoing market fluctuations. The expectation of a slow bull market reinforces this approach [4][8]. - The chemical sector, particularly PVC, is highlighted for its potential value re-evaluation due to supply constraints during China's carbon peak period. The demand from developing regions in Asia, Africa, and Latin America is expected to drive this sector [4][8]. - The report discusses Tesla's advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology, which may influence domestic automakers to adopt software payment models, potentially transforming the automotive industry [4][8]. Market Strategy - The market is currently experiencing a high-level consolidation phase, with expectations of reduced trading activity as the Chinese New Year approaches. The report suggests maintaining a focus on mid-cap blue-chip stocks [4][8]. - The report identifies specific ETFs related to mid-cap blue-chip stocks and the chemical sector, indicating a strategic investment direction [4][8]. Industry Strategy - The PVC industry is noted for its high energy consumption and carbon emissions, which may lead to stricter supply controls. This could create a significant supply-demand imbalance, driving up the value of PVC [4][8]. - The report suggests that the strong energy infrastructure in China makes it difficult for other countries to replicate the production of energy-intensive products like PVC, further emphasizing the industry's unique position [4][8]. Theme Strategy - Tesla's push for FSD subscription services is expected to enhance its revenue streams and set a precedent for other automakers to follow suit in software monetization [4][8]. - The report recommends monitoring companies involved in intelligent driving and the broader automotive supply chain as this trend develops [4][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the utility sector [8] Core Views - The growth rate of electricity generation is marginally declining, with a narrowing decrease in thermal power generation. In December 2025, the electricity generation of large-scale power plants increased by 0.1% year-on-year, a recovery from a decline of 2.6 percentage points in November 2025, primarily affected by temperature factors [8][12] - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with a focus on thermal power companies. As of the end of Q4 2025, the utility sector accounted for 1.25% of the total fund equity investment market value, up by 0.10 percentage points from the previous quarter [11] - The performance expectations for the utility sector have reached a low point, making low-priced utility assets worth considering. The report indicates that the utility sector's long-term dividend assets remain attractive for allocation [8][11] Summary by Sections Electricity Generation - In December 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for various power sources were as follows: wind power +8.9%, solar power +18.2%, hydropower +4.1%, and nuclear power +3.1%. The decrease in thermal power was -3.2% [8][12][18] Fund Holdings - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with significant increases in holdings of Huaneng International (+1.1%), Waneng Power (+0.9%), and Jiantou Energy (+0.9%) [11][12] Market Performance - The utility sector outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, with a 2.3% increase compared to a 0.6% decrease in the index during the week of January 19-23, 2026 [47][49] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on thermal power companies such as Jiantou Energy, Huaneng International, and Guodian Power, as well as hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guangxi Power [8][11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6]. Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. In the past week, the negative feedback for copper and aluminum has significantly weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9]. Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The report indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13]. 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The report lists several investment targets, including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining (600988, Buy) and Zijin Mining (601899, Buy) [4]. 3. Precious Metals - Precious metals are experiencing intense liquidity trading, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The report notes that the market expects limited upward pressure on precious metals in the short term due to anticipated interest rate stabilization [14][30]. 4. Copper - The report highlights renewed support for copper prices due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. Supply tightness continues, with recent strikes in Chile affecting copper concentrate availability [17][70]. 5. Aluminum - The report indicates a reduction in negative feedback for aluminum, with demand showing marginal recovery. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate has risen by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][83].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the utility sector [8] Core Views - The growth rate of electricity generation is marginally declining, with a narrowing decrease in thermal power generation. In December 2025, the electricity generation of large-scale power plants increased by 0.1% year-on-year, a 2.6 percentage point improvement from November 2025, primarily affected by temperature factors [8][12] - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with a focus on thermal power companies. As of the end of Q4 2025, the utility sector accounted for 1.25% of total fund equity investment, up by 0.10 percentage points from the previous quarter [11] - The performance expectations for the utility sector have reached a low point, making low-priced utility assets worth considering. The report indicates that the utility sector is still a quality dividend asset worth long-term allocation [8][11] Summary by Sections Electricity Generation - In December 2025, the year-on-year growth rates for various power sources were as follows: wind power +8.9%, solar power +18.2%, hydropower +4.1%, and nuclear power +3.1%. The decrease in thermal power generation was -3.2% [8][12][18] Fund Holdings - Fund holdings in the utility sector have increased, with the most significant increases in companies like Huaneng International (+1.1%), Anhui Energy (+0.9%), and Jintou Energy (+0.9%) [11][39] Market Dynamics - The report highlights that the average market clearing price for electricity in Guangdong increased by 4.5% year-on-year, while in Shanxi, it rose by 18.2% year-on-year [25][27] - Coal prices have weakened, with the Qinhuangdao Q5500 coal price at 685 CNY/ton, down 1.4% week-on-week [29][30] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on thermal power companies such as Jintou Energy, Huaneng International, Huadian International, Guodian Power, and Anhui Energy for potential investment opportunities [8][11] - For hydropower, it suggests investing in quality large hydropower companies like Yangtze Power and Guangxi Power [8] - For nuclear power, it recommends China General Nuclear Power as a long-term growth opportunity [8] - In the wind and solar sectors, it suggests waiting for the industry profit bottom to turn, with a focus on companies with a high proportion of wind power [8]

Core Insights - The report emphasizes a "structural" investment strategy amidst ongoing market fluctuations, with a focus on mid-cap blue-chip stocks as the primary direction for investment [4][8] - The chemical sector, particularly PVC, is highlighted for its potential value re-evaluation due to supply constraints during China's carbon peak period [4][8] - The report discusses the impact of Tesla's Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscription model on the automotive industry, suggesting a shift towards software monetization among domestic car manufacturers [4][8] Market Strategy - The market is expected to maintain a high-level oscillation, influenced by the upcoming long holiday and regulatory signals for counter-cyclical adjustments [4][8] - Mid-cap blue-chip stocks are recommended, with a specific focus on the chemical sector and energy-related stocks, as they have shown resilience during market adjustments [4][8] Industry Strategy - The PVC industry is projected to face stricter supply controls, potentially leading to a significant re-evaluation of its market value due to its high energy consumption and carbon emissions [4][8] - Demand for PVC in developing regions such as Africa, Asia, and Latin America is expected to grow, driven by their industrial development needs [4][8] Theme Strategy - Tesla's advancements in FSD and the launch of Robotaxi services are anticipated to influence the domestic automotive sector, encouraging a transition towards software-based revenue models [4][8] - The report suggests monitoring companies involved in intelligent driving and related technologies, as they may benefit from the shift in the automotive landscape [4][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the non-ferrous metals industry [6] Core Viewpoints - Liquidity expectations have upgraded, leading to intensified trading. Recent optimistic interest rate cut expectations have resurfaced, driving both precious and industrial metals to break through previous levels. The negative feedback for copper and aluminum has notably weakened, and improvements in the real economy may be observed under high price conditions. Overall, the bullish trend for industrial products remains unchanged under the support of domestic and international policies [3][9] Summary by Sections 1. Cycle Assessment - The cycle assessment indicates an upgrade in liquidity expectations and a continuation of intense trading. The probability of BlackRock executive Riedel being elected as the Federal Reserve Chairman has surged to 54%. The optimistic expectations for interest rate cuts have reignited, pushing precious and industrial metals to new highs. Although copper and aluminum inventories continue to accumulate, the pace of accumulation has slowed, and the negative feedback from downstream processing has significantly diminished, with operating rates beginning to recover [9][13] 2. Industry and Stock Performance - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 6.03%, ranking fourth among all industries [28]. The precious metals sector experienced the highest gains [21]. 3. Precious Metals - For precious metals, trading has become intensely liquid, awaiting the confirmation of the Federal Reserve Chairman nomination. As of January 23, SHFE gold rose by 8.07% to 1,115.64 CNY per gram, while COMEX gold increased by 7.54% to 4,036.00 USD per ounce. The inventory levels for SHFE gold were 102 tons, an increase of 1.96 tons from the previous week [14][30]. 4. Copper - The copper market is experiencing renewed support due to supply disruptions. As of January 23, SHFE copper rose by 0.57% to 101,340 CNY per ton, and LME copper increased by 2.44% to 13,115 USD per ton. The operating rate for refined copper rods was 67.98%, up by 10.51 percentage points [17][29]. 5. Aluminum - The aluminum market shows signs of demand recovery as negative feedback weakens. As of January 23, SHFE aluminum rose by 1.53% to 24,290 CNY per ton, and LME aluminum increased by 1.12% to 3,169 USD per ton. The processing operating rate rose by 0.7 percentage points to 60.9% [16][85].

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "Positive" [5] Core Viewpoints - The coal industry's long-term fundamentals are expected to improve, with a focus on the value of sector allocation. Despite concerns about seasonal price trends in the coal industry from March to May, domestic capacity is expected to decrease, and the quantity of imported coal is likely to shrink. It is believed that the bottom of the coal sector's long-term cycle has been established, and a long-term upward trend is anticipated, suggesting a strategy of buying on dips in the coal sector [3][57]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Fundamentals - Marginally positive factors for the coal industry are accumulating, with expectations of improved profitability in downstream sectors such as chemicals, steel, and cement, which saw index increases of 7.3%, 6.5%, and 6.5% respectively [8] - Import coal prices have risen for four consecutive weeks since the beginning of the year, with Indonesian Kalimantan thermal coal (4200 kcal) priced at $47.1 per ton, up 4.9% year-to-date, and Australian Newcastle thermal coal (5500 kcal) at $73.4 per ton, up 2.2% year-to-date [8] - The CBCFI coastal coal transportation price index is on an upward trend, currently at 681 points, a week-on-week increase of 5.1%, indicating strong demand for coal shipping [8] - Average temperatures in major cities have significantly decreased, leading to record high electricity loads. On January 20, 2026, national electricity load reached 1.417 billion kilowatts, breaking the 1 billion kilowatt mark for the first time in winter [8] - Domestic and international coking coal prices have risen, with independent coking plants actively replenishing stocks. As of January 23, the price of low-sulfur coking coal in Liulin was 1618 yuan per ton, up 48 yuan week-on-week and 254 yuan year-on-year [8] - The coal sector's relative valuation is at historical lows, with the coal mining index up 3.8% since the beginning of 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which is up 1.6% [8] Supply and Demand - The coal mine operating rate has remained stable compared to the previous week [22] - The significant drop in temperatures is expected to lead to better daily consumption performance in power plants [23] - Independent coking plants are continuing seasonal replenishment of coking coal, while steel mills have shown low enthusiasm for replenishment due to weak production [29] Shipping and Inventory - The daily shipping volume on the Daqin line remains low, and the number of anchored vessels has decreased [48] - Coal inventories at major ports are at varying levels, with Qinhuangdao port's coal inventory at the median level for the same period [31]

Investment Rating - The coal industry is rated as "Positive" (maintained) [5] Core Viewpoints - The coal industry's long-term fundamentals are expected to improve, with a focus on the value of sector allocation. Despite concerns about seasonal price trends in the coal industry from March to May, domestic capacity is expected to be reduced, and the quantity of imported coal is likely to shrink. It is believed that the bottom of the coal sector's long-term cycle has been established, and a long-term upward trend is anticipated, suggesting to accumulate positions in the coal sector during dips [3][57]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Fundamentals - Marginally positive factors for the coal industry are accumulating, with expectations of improved profitability in downstream sectors such as chemicals, steel, and cement, which saw index increases of 7.3%, 6.5%, and 6.5% respectively [8] - Imported coal prices have risen for four consecutive weeks since the beginning of the year, with Indonesian Kalimantan thermal coal (4200 kcal) priced at $47.1 per ton, up 4.9% year-to-date, and Australian Newcastle thermal coal (5500 kcal) at $73.4 per ton, up 2.2% year-to-date [8] - The CBCFI coastal coal transportation price index is on an upward trend, currently at 681 points, up 5.1% week-on-week, indicating strong demand for coal shipping [8] Supply and Demand - The average temperature in 28 major cities has significantly decreased, leading to a record high in electricity load for winter. The national electricity load reached 1.417 billion kilowatts on January 20, breaking the 1 billion kilowatt mark for the first time in winter [8] - Independent coking plants are in a seasonal restocking phase, with coking coal inventory at 9.95 million tons, up 4.2% week-on-week. However, sample steel mills show low restocking enthusiasm due to weak production performance [8][29] - Domestic coal prices have declined, while overseas coal prices have increased [9] Price Comparisons and Valuation - The coal sector's relative valuation is at historical low levels, with the coal mining index up 3.8% since the beginning of 2026, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which is up 1.6% [8] - As of January 23, 2026, the CITIC coal industry index PB is 1.46 times, with a ratio of 0.75 times compared to the PB of the A-share market, indicating that the current coal sector valuation is at historical low levels [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a neutral investment rating for the automotive and parts industry [5] Core Insights - Tesla is actively promoting the FSD subscription upgrade, which is expected to drive domestic automakers towards a software payment model. The launch of the Robotaxi service without a safety driver in Austin is anticipated to enhance FSD penetration rates, making software payments a significant revenue contributor for Tesla [8][12] - The restart of Tesla's Dojo project is expected to create new opportunities for domestic liquid cooling companies, supported by a $16.5 billion agreement with Samsung for AI6 chip production [13] - Continuous attention is recommended for companies in the autonomous driving and robotics supply chains, as partnerships and collaborations in these sectors are expected to boost demand for key components [14][15] Summary by Sections Investment Suggestions and Targets - The report suggests focusing on the liquid cooling supply chain, humanoid robotics chain, T chain, and autonomous driving companies, as they are expected to benefit from ongoing catalysts [15] - Key liquid cooling stocks include Invec (未评级), Silver Wheel (买入), Top Group (买入), Feilong (未评级), and Chuanhuan Technology (未评级) [16] - Key robotics stocks include New Spring (买入), Top Group (买入), Silver Wheel (买入), Daimai (买入), and Sanhua Intelligent Control (买入) [16] - Key autonomous driving stocks include Jingwei Hengrun-W (买入), Bertley (买入), and Desay SV (买入) [16] Sales Tracking - The report indicates that the wholesale sales of passenger cars in China for the week of January 12-18 were 359,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 28% [17] - The retail sales for the same period were 351,000 units, down 22% year-on-year [17] Market Trends - The automotive sector showed overall strength, with the automotive index rising by 2.2%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index [28] - The commercial vehicle sector saw a significant increase of 7.38%, while the passenger vehicle sector experienced a slight decline of 0.67% [28]