丨证券研究报告丨 固定收益丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 估值修复，利差收窄 ——信用利差周报（3/30） 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 3 月 24 日-3 月 28 日各券种收益率总体下行，信用利差跟随收窄。收益率方面，0.5Y 大多数券 种下行幅度超 3bp，产业债、商金债、证券公司次级债多数下行幅度超 5bp。1Y 大多数券种下 行超 3bp，城投债多数下行幅度超 4bp，2-3Y 大多数券种下行幅度在 1-3bp，城投债下行幅度 大，多数下行幅度超 5bp。5Y 大多数券种下行幅度超 5bp，城投债、证券公司次级债多数下行 幅度超 7bp。信用利差方面，0.5Y-2Y 多数券种收窄超 3bp，城投债、商金债多数收窄超 5bp。 3Y-5Y 各券种收窄幅度有所分化，城投债多数收窄超 5bp。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵增辉 赖逸儒 SAC：S0490524080003 SAC：S0490524120005 SFC：BVN394 SFC：BVZ968 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_T ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 28.4 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.6 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year [1][3]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 10 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 1.1 billion yuan, which accounts for 68.9% of the net profit attributable to shareholders, representing a significant increase of 66.7% year-on-year [3][8]. - The company is a leading player in the phosphate chemical industry, with a complete industrial chain and strong R&D capabilities, currently facing short-term pressure due to product market downturns but is expected to recover as new projects are implemented [8]. Financial Performance - In Q4, the company achieved a revenue of 6.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.7% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 26.6%. The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 was 290 million yuan, down 35.5% year-on-year and 43.6% quarter-on-quarter [1][3]. - The gross margin for the company was 24.9%, a year-on-year decrease of 2.0 percentage points but an increase of 6.1 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [8]. - The company’s main products, including phosphate rock and glyphosate, showed stable pricing trends, with minor fluctuations in market prices [8]. Product Outlook - The company has a production capacity of 230,000 tons per year for glyphosate and 600,000 tons per year for organosilicon monomers. The current market conditions for these products are at historical lows, but there are signs of potential recovery due to improving demand and reduced competition [8]. - The company is advancing key projects, including a 1 million tons per year optical mining project and a 2 million tons per year phosphate mining project, which are expected to enhance its overall strength [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][8]. Core Insights - The controller industry is recovering, and the company's market share is expected to increase, with positive trends in its main business. The digital energy, smart automotive, and robotics sectors are opening up new growth opportunities. The projected net profit attributable to the parent company for 2025-2027 is estimated at 0.89 billion, 1.12 billion, and 1.40 billion respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 33%, 26%, and 25%, with corresponding PE ratios of 22, 17, and 14 [2][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 10.501 billion, a year-on-year increase of 16.78%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 0.671 billion, up 30.25% year-on-year. In Q4 2024, the operating revenue was 2.802 billion, a 6.48% increase year-on-year, while the net profit was 0.119 billion, a decrease of 14.30% year-on-year [5][10]. Business Segments - **Tools and Home Appliances**: This segment generated revenue of 7.981 billion, a year-on-year increase of 25.48%, with a gross margin of 23.17%. The smart controller is the core product, with a shipment volume of 178 million units, up 28.5% year-on-year [10]. - **Digital Energy and Smart Automotive**: This segment reported revenue of 2.052 billion, a decline of 6.32%, with a gross margin of 20.91%. The company has made significant progress in overseas markets, particularly in large-scale energy storage applications [10]. - **Robotics**: The robotics segment achieved sales revenue of 0.468 billion, a year-on-year increase of 6.09%, with a gross margin of 28.68%. The company is focusing on humanoid robots and has developed a product platform for hollow cup motors [10].

[Table_Summary] 2024 年公司实现营业收入 2859.81 亿元，同比增长 4.29%，实现归母净利润 187.41 亿元，同 比增长 12.92%，实现扣非归母净利润 178.05 亿元，同比增长 12.52%。其中，2024Q4 公司 实现营业收入 830.10 亿元，同比增长 9.88%，实现归母净利润 35.87 亿元，同比增长 3.96%， 实现扣非归母净利润 31.20 亿元，同比增长 0.52%。 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨海尔智家（600690.SH） [Table_Title] 营收规模稳健增长，Q4 归母净利润有所扰动 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈亮 SAC：S0490517070017 SFC：BUW408 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 海尔智家（600690.SH） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 营收规模稳健增长，Q4 归母净利润有所扰动 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司披露年报：2024 年公司实现营业收入 2859.8 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Viewpoints - The company is expected to achieve double-digit revenue growth in 2024 through vertical integration in military products and horizontal expansion in emerging industries, with a notable comparative advantage amidst fluctuations in defense demand [2][6] - The company reported a revenue of 20.686 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 3.04%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.354 billion yuan, up 0.45% year-on-year [6] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 6.591 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 39.77% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 34.56%, with a net profit of 841 million yuan, up 88.79% year-on-year [6] Summary by Sections Business Performance - The company actively stocked up in Q4 2024 to meet surging short-term demand, resulting in accounts payable reaching a historical high of 6.574 billion yuan [8] - Fixed asset balance at the end of 2024 reached 6.493 billion yuan, a 45% increase from the beginning of the year, driven by the completion of several key projects [8] Financial Forecast and Valuation - The forecasted net profit for 2025-2027 is 3.731 billion, 4.114 billion, and 4.524 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 11%, 10%, and 10% [8] - Corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to be 24, 21, and 20 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 [8] Cost Management - The company has implemented a comprehensive cost management mechanism, resulting in a slight decrease in gross margin to 36.54% due to changes in revenue structure [12] - Research and development expenses increased by 2.48% to 2.252 billion yuan, reflecting a commitment to innovation and growth in emerging sectors [12]

丨证券研究报告丨 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王贺嘉 王清 SAC：S0490520110004 SAC：S0490524050001 SFC：BUX462 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 公司研究丨点评报告丨航天电器（002025.SZ） [Table_Title] 存货高增保短期交付，景气向上成长加速 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司 2024 年受防务需求波动、订单不饱满导致收入业绩同比下滑，毛利率稳中有升，但期间 费用率提升导致净利率同比下滑；存货余额大幅增长保障短期交付，产能落地夯实中长期成长 确定性。 航天电器（002025.SZ） cjzqdt11111 research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 存货高增保短期交付，景气向上成长加速 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年报，2024A 实现营业收入 50.25 亿元，同比减少 19.08%，实现归母净利润 3.47 亿元，同比减少 53.75%；2024Q4 实现营业收入 10.30 亿元，同比增长 2.31%，环比减 少 4.03% ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8] Core Views - The company achieved a historical high in profitability, with a gross margin of 12.47% and a net margin of 7.97%, indicating strong operational efficiency [2][6] - In Q4 2024, the company reported a significant revenue increase of 50.99% year-on-year, reaching 175.40 billion yuan, and a net profit growth of 145.19% year-on-year, amounting to 15.76 billion yuan [6][2] - The company is actively expanding production capacity to support the launch of new models, with inventory levels indicating strong short-term demand [2][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For the full year 2024, the company reported total revenue of 428.37 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.37% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 33.94 billion yuan, an increase of 12.86% year-on-year [6][2] - The Q4 2024 results showed a remarkable recovery, with revenue of 175.40 billion yuan and net profit of 15.76 billion yuan, marking a significant turnaround from earlier quarters [6][2] Operational Insights - The company has successfully navigated external challenges related to contract signing and supply chain issues, achieving a balanced production goal [2][6] - The inventory balance at the end of 2024 reached a historical high of 136.01 billion yuan, reflecting robust short-term demand and ongoing capacity expansion [2][6] Profitability and Efficiency - The company maintained a stable gross margin throughout the year, with a historical high net margin of 9.15% in Q4 2024, driven by effective cost control measures [2][6] - The forecast for net profit from 2025 to 2027 is projected to grow to 39.56 billion yuan, 47.32 billion yuan, and 55.77 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 31, 26, and 22 times [2][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hainan Huatie (603300.SH) is "Buy" and is maintained [11] Core Views - The company plans to issue a total of up to RMB 2 billion in debt financing tools in the interbank bond market, primarily for projects in intelligent computing and low-altitude operations, as well as to supplement working capital [2][8] - The issuance includes up to RMB 1 billion in short-term financing bonds and RMB 1 billion in medium-term notes [14] - The company has successfully signed contracts for computing power services totaling RMB 6.67 billion, with significant orders expected to contribute to profits in 2025 [14] - The management team has shown confidence in the company's future by increasing their shareholdings [14] - The company anticipates revenue growth from 2024 to 2026, with projected revenues of RMB 700 million, RMB 890 million, and RMB 1.09 billion respectively, corresponding to current market valuations of 28.7, 22.5, and 18.4 times [14] Summary by Sections Company Background - Hainan Huatie is engaged in intelligent computing and low-altitude operations, with a focus on expanding its service offerings and enhancing its financial position through debt issuance [14] Financial Performance - The company reported total revenue of RMB 4.444 billion in 2023, with projections of RMB 5.247 billion in 2024, RMB 6.322 billion in 2025, and RMB 7.347 billion in 2026 [19] - The net profit for 2023 was RMB 840 million, with forecasts of RMB 747 million, RMB 952 million, and RMB 1.164 billion for the following years [19] Market Position - The company has established a strong order book in the computing power sector, with cumulative signed orders reaching RMB 66.7 billion, indicating robust demand for its services [14] - The management's confidence is reflected in their recent share purchases, which may positively influence market perception and investor sentiment [14]

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨点评报告丨电子元件 [Table_Title] 折叠视界，创新无界——用想象推动世界 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 我们强调折叠屏手机产业链是在 4-5 月份非常值得关注的一条投资主线，一方面市场需要寻找 新的底部轮动方向，另一方面消费电子板块尤其是苹果供应链条公司在一季度及全年的业绩有 支撑、短期估值底部，叠加苹果折叠屏手机 5 月开始 NPI 催化，在铰链、屏幕、中框、轴盖等 多处零部件将有材料、工艺、结构等升级创新，我们判断今年果链的投资节奏有望重现在 2024 年 5 月苹果 AI 手机开启的果链行情。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Title2] 折叠视界，创新无界——用想象推动世界 %% %% research.95579.com 1 电子元件 cjzqdt11111 [Table_Author] 杨洋 蔡少东 SAC：S0490517070012 SAC：S0490522090001 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 细数过往消费电子行业创新层出不穷，折叠屏手机作为消费电子领域创新的 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨行业周报丨建材 [Table_Title] 重视麦加芯彩船舶突破，继续推荐玻纤 ——建材周专题 2025W12 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 重视麦加芯彩船舶突破，继续推荐玻纤 基本面：水泥价格由降转升，玻璃库存延续下降 重视一季报行情：玻纤/风电链+存量链 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] SAC：S0490513080001 SAC：S0490518080002 SAC：S0490516040002 SAC：S0490520080026 SAC：S0490523030002 SFC：BQK473 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 范超 张佩 李金宝 李浩 董超 地产高频成交：30 大中城市商品房一周滚动成交面积阳历同比+6%（上周+7%），12 城二手 房一周滚动成交面积阳历同比+27%（上周+34%），地产高频成交维持相对稳定。 水泥：三月底，全国重点地区水泥企业出货率约 46%，环比继续上升 2 个百分点，同比约持 平。价格方面，尽管下游需求总体表现不温不火，但在错峰生产加持，以及各地企业 ...