证 券 研 究 报 告 评论： 一、对于新保险合同准则执行年度为 2025 年度及之前的企业，自 2026 年起以 新保险合同准则为基础，作纳税调整并计算缴纳企业所得税。 企业首次执行《保险合同准则》产生的留存收益累积影响数，按税前金额计入 2026 年度应纳税所得额，或自 2026 年度起分五个年度均匀计入各年度应纳税 所得额。两种方法可自主选择，一经选择不得更改。 首次执行年度至 2025 年度期间，企业执行《保险合同准则》为基础计算的应 纳税所得额与已申报的应纳税所得额的差额，计入 2026 年度应纳税所得额， 或自 2026 年度起分五个年度均匀计入各年度应纳税所得额。 二、对于 2026 年度及以后年度为首次执行年度的企业，在计算缴纳企业所得 税时，自首次执行年度起以《保险合同准则》为基础，按照企业所得税现行规 定作纳税调整并计算缴纳企业所得税。 中国太平（00966.HK）2025 年报预增点评 推荐（维持） 业绩增长两倍，主因投资与税收 目标价：29.6 港元 事项： ❖ 根据公司初步估算，本集团 2025 年度股东应占溢利预计同比增加 215%至 225%。 企业因执行《保险合同准则》产生的留 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that in Q4 2025, the issuance of actively managed equity funds continued to recover, with a total issuance of 562 billion, which is stable compared to Q3 [1][10] - The report highlights a significant decrease in the redemption of existing funds, dropping to 126.1 billion from 218.4 billion in Q3, reflecting improved market conditions and risk appetite [1][10] - The report notes that the market showed a volatile trend in Q4, influenced by factors such as improved overseas liquidity, the implementation of the "14th Five-Year Plan," and the political bureau meeting [1][10] Group 2 - The report suggests an increase in allocation to cyclical sectors and financial real estate, with the proportion of cyclical stocks rising from 11.9% in Q3 to 15.4% in Q4, and financial real estate increasing from 3.9% to 4.5% [2][22] - Conversely, the report indicates a reduction in allocation to consumer sectors and TMT, with consumer stock allocation decreasing from 20.1% to 18.0% and TMT from 39.8% to 38.0% [2][22] Group 3 - The report identifies that in Q4 2025, the top five industries for increased allocation were non-ferrous metals (up 2.1 percentage points), communication (up 1.8 percentage points), non-bank financials (up 0.9 percentage points), chemicals (up 0.8 percentage points), and machinery (up 0.7 percentage points) [3][30] - The report also highlights that the top five industries for reduced allocation were electronics (down 1.6 percentage points), pharmaceuticals (down 1.6 percentage points), media (down 1.2 percentage points), new energy (down 0.9 percentage points), and computers (down 0.8 percentage points) [3][30] Group 4 - The report states that the concentration of holdings in the top three industries decreased to 46.5% in Q4, down 1.1 percentage points from Q3, while the top five industries accounted for 62.7%, down 0.2 percentage points [4][37] - The report mentions that there were six changes in the top 20 holdings compared to Q3, with new entries including China Ping An, Shengyi Technology, and Haiguang Information, while exits included Yiwei Lithium Energy, Shenghong Technology, and Shenzhen South Circuit [4][40]

- In the past two years, broad-based ETFs have experienced significant net outflows, with a cumulative net outflow of 534.63 billion yuan since 2026, including 267.32 billion yuan from CSI 300, 71.58 billion yuan from CSI 1000, 45.67 billion yuan from STAR 50, 49.11 billion yuan from SSE 50, and 33.39 billion yuan from ChiNext Index[3] - Since 2024, there have been four major net inflows of medium- and long-term funds through broad-based ETFs, mainly into CSI 300 (current retained market value of approximately 608.8 billion yuan), CSI 1000 (approximately 163.4 billion yuan), CSI 500 (approximately 137.7 billion yuan), and ChiNext Index (approximately 105.8 billion yuan)[3] - Medium- and long-term funds in Q3 2025 were heavily invested in banks (37% of market value), non-bank financials (19%), food and beverage (5%), construction (4%), and utilities (4%)[3] - The report provides detailed statistics on the net inflows and outflows of major broad-based ETFs, including CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, SSE 50, ChiNext Index, and others, with specific figures for each ETF[5] - The report includes a table estimating the current cost lines for major ETFs, showing the buy and sell cost lines for each round of net inflows and outflows, along with the retained market value and the current index price[7] - The report lists the top holdings of medium- and long-term funds in Q3 2025, including Agricultural Bank of China, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Ping An Insurance, Bank of China, and others, with specific market values and percentages[9] - The report notes that the data comes from periodic reports disclosed by listed companies, fund reports, and other sources, and that medium- and long-term funds include entities such as Central Huijin, China Securities Finance, and others[10]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, under the "controlling incremental" policy, the national land transaction volume continued to decline, but the decline significantly narrowed. The full - year transaction volume was about 3.35 trillion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 9%, and the decline decreased by 9 percentage points year - on - year. The premium rate was about 7.5%, a year - on - year increase of 1.25 percentage points, and the proportion of land purchased by urban investment companies was around 45%, a year - on - year decrease of 6 percentage points [6][9]. - Looking forward, land supply may continue to be optimized, and the decline in land transaction volume may narrow, driving the year - on - year decline in land transfer income in government fund revenue to continue narrowing. Attention should be paid to land supply in core cities and the confidence of real - estate enterprises in land acquisition [6][13]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 2025 National Land Transaction Changes - In 2025, the central government made efforts in demand, supply, and real - estate enterprise financing to promote the market to "stop falling and stabilize". The land transaction volume continued to decline but with a narrowing decline. Structurally, in the first half of the year, the transaction volume increased by 12% year - on - year, decreased by 7% in the third quarter, and decreased by 22% in the fourth quarter, with a significant increase in urban investment companies' land acquisition for support [6][9]. 3.2 2025 Provincial and Municipal Land Transaction Status Analysis 3.2.1 Provincial Land Transactions - In terms of transaction volume, Jiangsu and Zhejiang exceeded 400 billion yuan, Shandong and Guangdong exceeded 200 billion yuan, and Qinghai and Ningxia were less than 10 billion yuan. 14 provinces had year - on - year growth, with Jilin at 84%, while Shaanxi decreased by 37%, and Jiangsu and Guangxi decreased by over 20% [2][20]. - In terms of premium rate, 15 provinces exceeded 5%, with Zhejiang, Shanghai, etc. exceeding 10%, and Tianjin, Jiangsu, and Shaanxi less than 2%. 20 provinces had a year - on - year increase, with Zhejiang increasing by nearly 11 percentage points, and Guangxi decreasing by about 9 percentage points [2][21]. 3.2.2 Top 30 Cities in Land Transaction Volume - The top 30 cities in land transaction volume were mainly in Jiangsu and Zhejiang. Hangzhou had the highest transaction volume at 183 billion yuan, followed by cities with over 70 billion yuan. 10 cities had year - on - year growth, and Yancheng and Changzhou decreased by over 50% [3][23]. - In terms of premium rate, Shenzhen and Hangzhou were around 30%. 17 cities had a year - on - year increase, with Hangzhou, Jinhua, and Taizhou increasing by 10 percentage points or more, and Yangzhou decreasing by 48 percentage points [3][23]. 3.3 2025 Provincial and Municipal Urban Investment Company Land Acquisition Status Analysis 3.3.1 Provincial Urban Investment Company Land Acquisition - In terms of land acquisition amount, Jiangsu ranked first at 332.2 billion yuan, with Shandong, Zhejiang, Hubei, and Sichuan exceeding 100 billion yuan. 9 provinces had year - on - year growth, and Liaoning, Inner Mongolia, and Shaanxi decreased by over 50% [4][25]. - In terms of the proportion of land acquisition, 10 provinces had a proportion over 50%, concentrated in the central and western regions. 9 provinces had a year - on - year increase, and Liaoning decreased by over 20 percentage points [4][25]. 3.3.2 Top 30 Cities in Urban Investment Company Land Acquisition Amount - The top 30 cities in urban investment company land acquisition amount were mainly in Jiangsu. Nantong, Wuhan, and Nanjing exceeded 40 billion yuan. 7 cities had year - on - year growth, and Yancheng, Changzhou, and Xi'an decreased by over 50% [5][27]. - In terms of the proportion of land acquisition, 19 cities had a proportion over 50%, with Yangzhou at 80% and Hangzhou at 12%. 6 cities had a year - on - year increase, with Hefei increasing by nearly 12 percentage points and Wuxi decreasing by nearly 27 percentage points [5][27]. 3.3.3 Top 30 Urban Investment Entities in Land Acquisition Amount - In 2025, the top 30 urban investment entities in land acquisition amount were mainly in Jiangsu and Fujian. Wuhan Urban Construction Ruizhen Real Estate Development Co., Ltd. had the highest amount at 12.9 billion yuan. Beijing Huarong Infrastructure Investment Co., Ltd. had the highest proportion of local land transaction volume at 100% [29].

行业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 保险行业重大事项点评 25Q4 预定利率研究值为 1.89%，预计 2026 年 推荐（维持） 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：陈海椰 邮箱：chenhaiye@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360525070004 证券分析师：徐康 电话：021-20572556 邮箱：xukang@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360518060005 事项： 2026 年 1 月 20 日，中国保险行业协会组织召开人身保险业利率研究专家咨询委员 会（原"人身保险业责任准备金评估利率专家咨询委员会"）2025 年四季度例会，认为当 前普通型人身保险产品预定利率研究值为 1.89%。 评论： 最新预定利率研究值为 1.89%，距离下调红线还有 14bps，降幅环比显著收敛。2025 年 9 月 1 日开始，人身险行业普通型保险预定利率上限由 2.5%下调至 2%，分红型对应 1.75%， 万能险最低保证利率上限为 1%。根据预定利率动态调整机制，预定利率研究值需连续两 个季度小于当前预定利率最高值 25bps 及以上，才会触发预定利率上限下调，对应当前 门槛值为 1.75%。当前研究值 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [16]. Core Insights - NVIDIA and Eli Lilly announced a partnership to establish an AI joint innovation lab aimed at addressing challenges in the pharmaceutical industry, with a planned investment of up to $1 billion over the next five years [2][5]. - The global AI pharmaceutical market is projected to grow from approximately $1.76 billion in 2024 to $2.99 billion in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of about 30% from 2021 to 2026 [5]. - Companies like 英矽智能, 华兰股份, and 晶泰控股 are highlighted as key players in the AI + biopharmaceutical sector, showcasing significant advancements and investments in AI-driven drug discovery and development [5]. Industry Data - The computer industry consists of 337 listed companies with a total market capitalization of ¥64,957.50 billion and a circulating market capitalization of ¥58,620.09 billion [2]. - The absolute performance of the industry over the past 12 months is reported at 42.4%, with a relative performance of 19.2% compared to the benchmark [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the commercial aviation engine industry, indicating a positive investment outlook [1]. Core Insights - The commercial aviation engine is referred to as the "crown jewel" of modern industry, with engines accounting for approximately 25% of the total value of commercial aircraft [4][20]. - The report emphasizes the significant growth potential of China's commercial aviation engine market, projecting a total market size exceeding 2.6 trillion yuan over the next 20 years, with an annualized scale of over 130 billion yuan [5][11]. - The commercial aviation engine supply chain is characterized by high barriers to entry, with a global oligopoly dominated by a few major manufacturers [5][6]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report introduces the commercial aviation engine as a critical component of modern industrial capabilities, highlighting China's reliance on imported engines and the low marketization rate of domestic engines, which is less than 1% [4][21]. Commercial Aviation Engine Analysis - The structure of commercial aviation engines includes key components such as fans, compressors, combustion chambers, and turbines, with the hot section being the most critical and challenging to manufacture [26][33]. - The aftermarket services for engines can generate revenues up to four times the initial sale price, indicating a lucrative long-term profit potential [4][18]. Business Model Exploration - The primary manufacturers operate under a "super blade + long-term blade" profit model, leveraging significant discounts on initial sales to capture market share while securing long-term service contracts for profitability [5][6]. - Suppliers in the engine manufacturing chain are positioned as "hidden champions," benefiting from high entry barriers and the need for extensive certification processes [5][6]. Global Valuation Perspective - The average price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for major engine manufacturers is reported at 30.2 times, with leading companies like GE Aerospace at 42 times, indicating robust valuation metrics driven by order backlog and aftermarket growth [5][6]. - Core suppliers exhibit an even higher average PE of 68.5 times, reflecting their scarcity and stable demand characteristics [5][6]. China's Commercial Aviation Engine Market - The report highlights the Longjiang series of engines as a key initiative to reduce reliance on foreign technology and enhance domestic capabilities [5][11]. - The projected growth of the Chinese aviation market is supported by forecasts indicating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 4.4% from 2024 to 2044, with expectations of 10,175 aircraft by 2044 [5][11]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on three key areas within the domestic aviation engine supply chain: core component suppliers, high-temperature alloy manufacturers, and raw material suppliers [5][11].

Market Overview - The macroeconomic environment in China showed a mild recovery in December 2025, with social financing stock reaching 442.12 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.3%[9] - The total market capitalization of public funds reached a record high of 37.15 trillion yuan, growing by 0.88% month-on-month and 13.16% year-on-year[44] Savings and Deposits - Resident savings deposits increased significantly, with a monthly increase of 25,850 billion yuan in December, marking a month-on-month growth rate of 1.58% and a year-on-year growth rate of 9.68%[22] - The proportion of demand deposits rose, while the share of time deposits fell to 73.42% in December from 74.04% in November, indicating a shift towards liquidity preference[30] Financial Products - The total number of wealth management products reached 45,172, with a total scale of 31.69 trillion yuan in November, slightly down from October but maintaining a year-on-year growth rate of 6.12%[33] - The public fund market saw a significant rebound in equity funds, with the average return of mixed equity funds reaching 33.19% by the end of December[13] Bond Market - The one-year government bond yield was recorded at 1.337% at the end of December, showing a decline compared to previous months, while the ten-year yield remained stable at 1.872%[10] - The 20-year government bond yield increased by 6.1 basis points to 2.321% at the end of December[10] Cross-Border Wealth Management - The southbound capital flow recorded a net outflow of 16.762 billion yuan, while the northbound flow saw a minimal net inflow of 0.025 billion yuan, indicating an imbalance in cross-border capital movement[25]

产业研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 金融和理财市场 1 月报 金融市场温和修复，储蓄和基金总量稳增 综合金融 2026 年 01 月 22 日 华创证券研究所 证券分析师：洪锦屏 邮箱：hongjinping@hcyjs.com 执业编号：S0360516110002 行业基本数据 | | | 占比% | | --- | --- | --- | | 股票家数(只) | 10 | 0.00 | | 总市值(亿元) | 1,240.11 | 0.10 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 1,204.75 | 0.12 | 相对指数表现 | % | 1M | 6M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 绝对表现 | 8.5% | -2.7% | 28.1% | | 相对表现 | 5.2% | -19.0% | 4.9% | -8% 8% 24% 40% 25/01 25/04 25/06 25/08 25/11 26/01 2025-01-20~2026-01-20 综合金融 沪深300 相关研究报告 《理财产品跟踪报告 2025 年第 15 期（12 月 15 日 -12 月 28 日） ...

评论： 证 券 研 究 报 告 立高食品（300973）2025 年业绩预告点评 强推（维持） Q4 促销拖累盈利，26 年增长抓手明确 事项： ❖ 公司发布业绩预告，2025 年全年实现营业总收入 42.6-44.2 亿元，同比增长 11.07%-15.24%；扣非归母净利润 3.06-3.26 亿元，同比增长 20.61%-28.49%。 预告中枢对应 2025Q4 实现营业总收入 12.0 亿元，同比增长 6.91%；扣非归母 净利润 0.74 亿元，同比增长 18.17%。 ❖ 风险提示: 需求恢复不及预期、市场竞争加剧、盈利波动性较大等。 [ReportFinancialIndex] 主要财务指标 | | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万) | 3,835 | 4,351 | 4,844 | 5,336 | | 同比增速(%) | 9.6% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.2% | | 归母净利润(百万) | 268 | 321 | 382 | 440 | | 同比增速(%) ...