非白酒 重庆啤酒（600132.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 03 日 | 公司盈利预测及估值 | 买入（维持） | 评级： | 指标 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 14,815 | 14,645 | 14,834 | 15,136 | 15,502 | 分析师：熊欣慰 | 增长率 | 6% | -1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | yoy% | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,337 | 1,115 | 1,240 | 1,272 | 1,311 | 执业证书编号：S0740519080002 | 增长率 | 6% | -17% | 11% | 3% | 3% | yoy% | | Email：xiongxw@zts.com.cn | 每股收益（元） | 2.76 | 2.30 | 2.56 | 2.6 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Luoyang Molybdenum Co., Ltd. is "Buy" (maintained) [1][13] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 213 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 13.5 billion yuan, up 64% year-on-year [3][6] - The copper production for 2024 was 650,200 tons, exceeding initial guidance of 520,000 to 570,000 tons, with a significant increase in both production and sales of cobalt [6][7] - The company is entering a capacity release phase, with projected net profits for 2025-2027 expected to be 14.68 billion, 16.38 billion, and 17.42 billion yuan respectively [7][11] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 was 186.27 billion yuan, with projections of 211.86 billion yuan for 2025 and 220.73 billion yuan for 2027 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 8.25 billion yuan in 2023, expected to rise to 14.68 billion yuan in 2025 and 17.42 billion yuan in 2027 [1] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from 0.38 yuan in 2023 to 0.68 yuan in 2025 and 0.81 yuan in 2027 [1] Production and Sales - Copper production in 2024 reached 650,200 tons, a 65.02% increase year-on-year, while cobalt production was 114,200 tons, up 105.61% [6][7] - The average price of copper on the LME was $9,268 per ton in 2024, reflecting an 8.72% increase year-on-year [6] Profitability - The copper segment achieved a gross profit of 21.037 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross margin increase from 45.3% to 50.26% [6] - The tungsten segment saw a gross profit of 1.187 billion yuan, up 34.71% year-on-year, with a gross margin increase from 59.54% to 65.15% [6] Future Outlook - The company aims to produce 600,000 to 660,000 tons of copper and 100,000 to 120,000 tons of cobalt in the Democratic Republic of Congo by 2025 [7] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 14.68 billion, 16.38 billion, and 17.42 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 11.1, 10.0, and 9.4 [7][11]

| 汽车行业首席分析师：何俊艺 | 汽车行业分析师：刘欣畅 | 汽车行业分析师：毛䶮玄 | | --- | --- | --- | | S0740523020004 | S0740522120003 | S0740523020003 | | hjy@zts.com.cn | liuxc03@zts.com.cn | maoyx@zts.com.cn | | 汽车行业分析师：汪越 | 汽车行业分析师：白臻哲 | | | S0740525010002 | S0740524070006 | | | wangyue07@zts.com.cn | baizz@zts.com.cn | | 【中泰汽车|何俊艺团队】汽车周报（03/24-03/30） 持续看好强势自主整车，年度重视整车&智驾&机器人 证券研究报告 2025年4月2日 1 目 录 | 一、核心观点：持续看好强势自主整车，年度重视整车&智驾&机器人 | | --- | | 二、行情跟踪：全行业&汽车板块&覆盖标的跟踪 | | 三、行业景气度：终端&订单&出口总量+分车企数据跟踪 | | 四、重要新闻 | | 五、个股跟踪 | | 六、风险提示 | 2 核心观点 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company [3][26]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue growth of 10.6% year-on-year in 2024, with net profit increasing by 16.2% [5][10]. - The growth in net interest income was 7.55% year-on-year, while non-interest income saw a significant increase of 29.31% [5][19]. - The asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 0.77% [22][24]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2023 was 9,869 million, projected to grow to 10,912 million in 2024, and further to 11,554 million in 2025, reflecting a growth rate of 12.0% in 2023 and 10.6% in 2024 [3][10]. - Net profit for 2023 was 3,280 million, expected to rise to 3,813 million in 2024 and 4,291 million in 2025, with growth rates of 19.6% and 16.3% respectively [3][10]. Income Sources - Net interest income is projected to be 9,143 million in 2024, with a slight decrease in net interest margin to 2.61% [27]. - Non-interest income is expected to contribute significantly, with net non-interest income accounting for 16.2% of total revenue in 2024 [19][21]. Asset Quality - The company reported a non-performing loan generation rate of 1.43% for the year, with a stable non-performing loan ratio of 0.77% [22][24]. - The provision coverage ratio stands at 500.38%, indicating a strong buffer against potential loan losses [24]. Market Position and Strategy - The company focuses on personal operating loans, maintaining a strong risk control framework and expanding its market reach [26]. - The business model emphasizes a diversified customer base, contributing to sustained asset quality [26]. Future Projections - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 42.9 billion and 47.5 billion respectively, with an increase in the 2027 forecast to 52 billion [26][27]. - Price-to-Book (P/B) ratios are projected to decrease from 0.76 in 2024 to 0.53 by 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [3][26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for Agricultural Bank of China [3][26]. Core Views - Agricultural Bank of China shows a steady growth in revenue and net profit, with revenue increasing by 2.3% year-on-year and net profit increasing by 4.7% year-on-year in 2024 [5][10]. - The growth in revenue is attributed to both interest income and non-interest income, with net interest income rising by 1.6% year-on-year [5][10]. - The bank's asset quality remains stable, with a non-performing loan ratio of 1.30% and a provision coverage ratio of 299.61% [22][23]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 is projected at 702,856 million yuan, with a growth rate of 2.3% year-on-year [3]. - Net profit for 2024 is projected at 282,083 million yuan, with a growth rate of 4.7% year-on-year [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 0.24 yuan for 2024 [3]. Income Sources - Net interest income is expected to reach 580,692 million yuan in 2024, with a slight increase in the net interest margin [27]. - Non-interest income is projected to grow by 5.7% year-on-year, with significant contributions from other non-interest income, which is expected to increase by 31.5% [20][27]. Asset and Liability Management - The bank's total loans are projected to grow, with a significant increase in personal loans and a rise in the proportion of savings deposits [15][16]. - Total deposits are expected to increase by 1.5% in the fourth quarter of 2024, with a notable rise in savings deposits [16][19]. Asset Quality - The non-performing loan generation rate for 2024 is expected to be 0.43%, showing improvement [22]. - The overdue rate is projected to be 1.18%, with a slight increase compared to earlier periods [22]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that Agricultural Bank of China has a solid fundamental outlook, with a low valuation and high dividend yield, making it a stock to actively monitor [26].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a relative performance increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index within the next 6 to 12 months [18]. Core Views - The company's 2024 annual report shows a revenue of 34.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.6%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.90 billion yuan, up 9.1% year-on-year [3][4]. - The successful ramp-up of the Jingzhou project has significantly contributed to sales growth, with notable increases in the sales volume of various products, including chemical fertilizers and acetic acid derivatives [4]. - The company is focused on cost control and efficiency improvements, with a period expense ratio of 3.8% in 2024, slightly down from the previous year [4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating income of 34.23 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 25.6% [3]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 3.90 billion yuan, reflecting a 9.1% increase year-on-year [3][4]. - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw an operating income of 9.05 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year and 10.3% quarter-on-quarter [3]. Business Segments - The company reported significant sales growth in its new energy materials, chemical fertilizers, and organic amines, with year-on-year increases of 44.5% and 116.7% respectively [4]. - The successful production ramp-up of the Jingzhou project has led to a substantial increase in sales volume, contributing to the overall revenue growth [4]. Cost Management - The company has implemented measures to control costs, resulting in a slight decrease in the period expense ratio to 3.8% [4]. - Financial, management, and research expenses have shown varied changes, with financial expenses increasing slightly while management and research expenses decreased [4]. Future Outlook - The company has ongoing projects that are expected to enhance production capacity and drive future growth, including the amine resin and nylon 66 high-end materials projects [4]. - Profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been adjusted to 4.07 billion yuan and 4.45 billion yuan respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 4.75 billion yuan [4].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The capital replenishment plans of four major banks have been implemented, aligning with market expectations. The overall scheme balances market impact and fiscal costs, with larger financing scales leading to higher issuance premiums [3][4][11] - The average projected dividend yield for the six major banks' A-shares in 2025 is approximately 4.45%, while the H-shares (considering tax exemptions) yield around 5.5% [3][10] - The capital increase is expected to enhance the core Tier 1 capital adequacy ratio by 0.5% to 1.5%, remaining above the regulatory minimum by three percentage points, supporting high growth over the next five years [3][12][18] Summary by Sections Capital Replenishment Plans - The capital replenishment plans of four major banks have been announced, with sizes ranging from 100 billion to 165 billion, and price-to-book (PB) ratios of 0.76, 0.69, and 0.78 [4][7][10] - The dilution effects on dividend yields and return on equity (ROE) have been analyzed, showing an average A-share dividend yield of 4.45% and H-share yield of 5.5% post-dilution [10][12] Financial Projections - The projected growth rates for risk-weighted assets (RWA) for major banks in 2024 are as follows: ICBC at 4.3%, CCB at -2.4%, ABC at 1.2%, BOC at 3.4%, BC at 6.4%, and PSBC at 5.3% [15] - The capital increase is expected to support stable growth over the next five years, with a focus on credit allocation to the real economy and risk mitigation [15][18] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that high-dividend stocks will remain favorable in the first half of the year, with specific recommendations for banks with high dividend yields and strong regional advantages [19]

旅游零售Ⅱ 执业证书编号：S0740524040004 Email：zhangji01@zts.com.cn Email：zhengch@zts.com.cn 基本状况 执业证书编号：S0740523060001 | 总股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | --- | --- | | 流通股本(百万股) | 2,068.86 | | 市价(元) | 61.61 | | 市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | | 流通市值(百万元) | 127,462.41 | 交易预期》2024-11-11 2、《23 年业绩符合预期，需求承压 下估值或不低》2024-04-09 中国中免（601888.SH） 证券研究报告/公司点评报告 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | 评级： | 买入（维持） | 公司盈利预测及估值 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 指标 | | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | 分析师：郑澄怀 | | 营业收入（百万元 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [1][4][10] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve significant revenue growth driven by the recovery in demand for traditional consumer electronics and high-end products related to AI servers [6][7] - The company has successfully developed and certified multiple products for advanced end customers, which are widely used in various high-tech applications [9] - The forecasted net profit for the company is projected to be 2.704 billion, 3.455 billion, and 4.120 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating strong growth potential [10] Financial Summary - Total shares outstanding: 2,429.36 million [2] - Market price: 27.75 yuan [2] - Market capitalization: 67,414.75 million yuan [2] - Revenue forecast for 2023A: 16,586 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of -8% [4] - Revenue forecast for 2024A: 20,388 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 23% [4] - Net profit forecast for 2024A: 1,739 million yuan, with a year-over-year growth rate of 49% [4] - Projected P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 24.9, 19.5, and 16.4 respectively [4][10] Market Performance - The company reported a revenue of 20.388 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-over-year increase of 22.92% [6] - The gross margin for 2024 was 22.04%, an increase of 2.8 percentage points year-over-year [6] - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.16%, an increase of 2.23 percentage points year-over-year [6] Product Development and R&D - The company is actively engaged in R&D for new products, including low-loss copper-clad laminates for next-generation server platforms and high thermal conductivity copper-clad laminates for 5G communication power supplies [9] - The company’s product technology planning is forward-looking, ensuring a strong foundation for future growth [8][9]

专题 | 详细拆解国有大型银行（六家）2024 年报： 业绩增速边际改善，资产质量保持稳健，四大行增资方案落地 银行 证券研究报告/行业专题报告 2025 年 03 月 31 日 | | | 执业证书编号：S0740517030004 Email：daizf@zts.com.cn 分析师：邓美君 执业证书编号：S0740519050002 Email：dengmj@zts.com.cn 联系人：乔丹 Email：qiaodan@zts.com.cn | 上市公司数 | 42 | | | --- | --- | --- | | 行业总市值(亿元) | 134,935.34 | 同比 -1.8% | | 行业流通市值(亿元) | 133,825.82 | | 1、《银行角度看 2 月社融：政府债发 行提速，信贷受置换+透支影响》 2025-03-15 资产质量稳中向好》2025-02-26 宽松继续，节奏审慎》2025-02-17 | 评级： | 增持（维持） | | 重点公司基本状况 | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...