Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][9]. Core Insights - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2024 increased significantly by 128.6% year-on-year, reaching 0.23 billion yuan, while revenue was 4.87 billion yuan, a slight increase of 1.7% year-on-year [2][3]. - The improvement in gross margin by 2.74 percentage points year-on-year contributed to the rapid growth in profit despite nearly flat revenue [3]. - The company is set to establish a second growth curve through the development of planetary roller screw production capacity, with a total investment of 1.85 billion yuan planned in Jiangsu Kunshan Economic and Technological Development Zone [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 4.87 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 1.7% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.2% [2]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 0.23 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 128.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.8% [2]. - The net profit after deducting non-recurring gains and losses was 0.18 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 102.6% [2]. Growth Prospects - The company is focusing on the humanoid robot screw market, with plans to build a comprehensive production line for planetary roller screws, which is expected to significantly contribute to future revenue growth [3]. - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 20.64 billion yuan, 24.00 billion yuan, and 30.26 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10%, 16%, and 26% respectively [3]. - The net profit forecasts for the same period are 0.87 billion yuan, 1.14 billion yuan, and 1.76 billion yuan, with growth rates of 70%, 32%, and 54% respectively [3]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price is 28.09 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 7.47-29.45 yuan [3]. - The estimated P/E ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 116, 88, and 57 respectively [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][6][9] Core Insights - The company reported significant profit growth in Q3 2024, with revenue reaching 76.83 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17.81% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13.28% [3] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 2024 was 14.55 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 45.26% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 45.55% [3] - The company’s overall revenue for the first three quarters of 2024 was 218.1 billion yuan, up 10.54% year-on-year, with a net profit of 44.00 billion yuan, up 22.73% year-on-year [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 286.4 billion yuan, 297.7 billion yuan, and 358.4 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 7%, 4%, and 20% [6][7] - The forecasted net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 54.9 billion yuan, 58.4 billion yuan, and 67.3 billion yuan, with growth rates of 20%, 6%, and 15% respectively [6][7] Business Segments Performance - The coal business is expected to maintain stable profitability, with a high proportion of long-term contracts reducing market volatility impact [4] - The aluminum segment is benefiting from rising aluminum prices, contributing positively to the company's performance [3][4] - The power generation business is anticipated to recover, with industrial power generation increasing by 8.9% year-on-year in September 2024 [3][4] Market Performance - The company's stock has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with a 12-month return of 55.1% compared to the index's 12.9% [3] - The current stock price is 20.29 yuan, with a 52-week price range of 13.19 to 23.86 yuan [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2][5][8] Core Views - The company reported a year-on-year revenue increase of 20.48% for the first three quarters of 2024, reaching 784 million yuan, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 28.03% to 60 million yuan [2][3] - The company is benefiting from the recovery in the semiconductor industry and is increasing its market expansion efforts, leading to improved performance and profitability [3][5] - The company is expected to see significant growth in integrated circuit packaging materials as it capitalizes on domestic substitution trends and expands its product offerings [3][5] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 321 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 25.37% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.56% [2][3] - The net profit for Q3 2024 was 27 million yuan, down 20.28% year-on-year but up 34.17% quarter-on-quarter [2][3] - The operating cash flow for the first three quarters was 183 million yuan, a significant increase of 70.25% year-on-year [2][3] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company is focusing on increasing the volume of existing products and introducing new products, with notable growth in sales of wafer UV film materials and chip bonding materials [3][5] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 1.047 billion yuan, 1.262 billion yuan, and 1.535 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, with corresponding net profits of 91 million yuan, 138 million yuan, and 196 million yuan [5][6][8] - The expected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 62, 41, and 29 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [5][6][8]

2024 年 10 月 24 日 公司研究 评级：买入(维持) 研究所： 证券分析师： 姚健 S0350522030001 yaoj@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 姚丹丹 S0350524060002 yaodd@ghzq.com.cn 证券分析师： 杜先康 S0350523080003 duxk01@ghzq.com.cn [Table_Title] Q3 收入承压，毛利率同环比显著提升 ——芯源微（688037）2024 年三季报点评 事件: 最近一年走势 芯源微 10 月 23 日公告 2024 年三季报：2024 年前三季度公司实现收入 11.05 亿元，同比减少 8.44%；实现归母净利润 1.08 亿元，同比减少 51.12%；实现扣非归母净利润 0.40 亿元，同比减少 77.97%。 投资要点: 相对沪深 300 表现 2024/10/23 受长、短交验周期订单分布不均影响，2024Q3 收入承压。受订单结构、 排产及交付周期、客户端装调验收计划等因素影响，公司短交验周期订 单与长交验周期订单分布不均匀，导致分季度收入存在一定波动， 2024Q3 公司实现收入 4.11 亿元，同比减少 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company has shown a year-on-year revenue growth of 19.99% in the first three quarters of 2024, achieving a total revenue of 1.892 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 596 million yuan, which is a 15.10% increase year-on-year [2][3] - The core growth driver for the company is its adsorption materials business, which has demonstrated strong resilience despite a relatively low lithium resource price environment [3][4] - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected revenues of 2.963 billion yuan, 3.645 billion yuan, and 4.430 billion yuan for 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, alongside net profits of 910 million yuan, 1.150 billion yuan, and 1.419 billion yuan for the same years [4][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported a revenue of 597 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 4.92% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 10.00% [2] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 51.20%, up 1.78 percentage points year-on-year and 1.76 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit for Q3 2024 was 192 million yuan, which is an 11.71% increase year-on-year but a decrease of 18.13% quarter-on-quarter [2] Market Position - The company has maintained a strong market position, outperforming the CSI 300 index with a 1-month performance of 19.2% and a 3-month performance of 38.3% [2] - The company is actively expanding its business in various sectors, including lithium extraction, metal resources, life sciences, and water treatment, which are all contributing to its growth [3][4] Valuation Metrics - The projected P/E ratios for the company are 29, 23, and 18 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation outlook [4][5] - The expected return on equity (ROE) is projected to be 22% for 2024 and 2025, reflecting strong profitability [5][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1][5][8] Core Views - The company's performance in Q3 2024 met market expectations, with significant growth in revenue and net profit. Revenue reached 2.631 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 58.3%, while net profit attributable to shareholders was 288 million yuan, up 40.3% year-on-year [1][2] - The order delivery scale aligns with market expectations, and the gross profit margin remains stable. In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.394 billion yuan from land cables (up 53.2% year-on-year) and 1.232 billion yuan from submarine cables and offshore engineering (up 64.3% year-on-year) [2] - The company's accounts receivable reached 3.889 billion yuan by the end of Q3 2024, an increase of 856 million yuan quarter-on-quarter and 924 million yuan year-on-year, marking a historical high [2] - The actual orders on hand for submarine cables exceeded 4 billion yuan, showing a significant increase compared to previous disclosures. The company is expected to see a peak in order fulfillment in the coming six months [2][5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported a comprehensive gross profit margin of 21.74%, remaining stable compared to previous periods. The operating performance, excluding credit impairment losses, was over 300 million yuan [2] - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 8.81 billion yuan, 10.21 billion yuan, and 12.01 billion yuan for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 1.354 billion yuan, 1.814 billion yuan, and 2.249 billion yuan [5][6] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company has successfully opened overseas markets, securing orders from Inch Cape Offshore and SSE, which provide long-term growth potential. The upcoming tendering for significant projects in Guangdong and Zhejiang is expected to further boost order intake [5][6] - The company’s stock has outperformed the CSI 300 index over various time frames, indicating strong market performance [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The report highlights that the company's gross profit margin continues to improve, reaching 38.83% in Q3 2024, an increase of 0.77 percentage points year-on-year, driven by lower raw material costs, product structure upgrades, and strong growth in high-margin products [2][3][4] - The company achieved a revenue of 2.364 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.84%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 432 million yuan, up 34.96% year-on-year [3][4] - The report anticipates strong performance in Q4 2024 and the full year, supported by product upgrades and channel optimization [4][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q3 2024, the company reported revenue of 897 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.93%, and a net profit of 186 million yuan, up 64.79% year-on-year [3][4] - The company expects revenues of 3.464 billion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 10%, and net profits of 573 million yuan, reflecting a 25% increase [7][9] Product and Market Analysis - The company’s performance in Chinese condiments and winter seasonings was strong, with online sales growing by 55% year-on-year in Q3 2024 [4][6] - The report notes that the company has successfully launched new products and upgraded existing ones to align with current consumer trends, contributing to high-quality growth [4][6] Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 3.881 billion yuan in 2025 and 4.301 billion yuan in 2026, with corresponding net profits of 663 million yuan and 750 million yuan, respectively [7][9] - The report maintains a positive outlook for the company, expecting continued growth driven by product innovation and channel efficiency improvements [6][9]

| --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------|-----------------------|------------------------| | 2024 | 年 10 月 25 日 | 晨会纪要 | | 研究所： 证券分析师： | 余春生 S0350513090001 | 晨会纪要 [Table_Title] | | | yucs@ghzq.com.cn | —— 2024 年第 182 期 | 观点精粹: 最新报告摘要 利润端同比稳健增长，海外布局进一步扩张--杭叉集团/工程机械(603298/216406) 公司点评 并购重庆新里程，控股股东优质医院资产注入拉开序幕--新里程/医疗服务(002219/213706) 公司点评 利润持续释放，关注协同力及新供给的长期驱动--美团-W/本地生活服务Ⅱ(03690/214607) 点评报告（港股 美股） 短期盈利存扰动，看好公司长期稳健增长--海兴电力/电网设备(603556/216308) 公司点评 Q3 业绩超市场预期，海外&线上高增--泡泡玛特/文娱用品(09992/213605) 点评报告（港股美股） Q ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [2][7][21] Core Views - The company has shown significant growth in Q3 profits, with the α-olefin project opening up new growth opportunities [3][6][21] - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth from 445 billion to 669 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026, with net profits increasing from 54 billion to 95 billion yuan during the same period [7][21] Summary by Sections Market Data - The 52-week price range for the company's stock is between 12.74 and 20.54 yuan [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2024, the company reported revenue of 32.275 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.71%, and a net profit of 3.693 billion yuan, up 7.64% year-on-year [3] - In Q3 2024, the company achieved revenue of 12.875 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.89% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.51% [3] - The gross profit margin for Q3 2024 was 23.62%, up 2.61 percentage points year-on-year [3] Price Trends and Material Costs - The average price of ethane in Q3 2024 was 115 USD/ton, down 45.62% year-on-year and 18.93% quarter-on-quarter [3] - The price spread for polyethylene was 7216 yuan/ton, an increase of 24.20% year-on-year [3] Project Developments - The company successfully launched the first phase of its 800,000-ton multi-carbon alcohol project in July 2024, which enhances its C3 integrated industrial chain [6] - The α-olefin comprehensive utilization project is under construction with a total planned investment of approximately 266 billion yuan [6] Earnings Forecast - The company is projected to have a PE ratio of 12, 9, and 7 for the years 2024, 2025, and 2026 respectively, indicating strong future earnings potential [7][21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's Q3 2024 performance exceeded market expectations, with significant growth in both overseas and online channels [1] - Revenue in Q3 2024 increased by 120%-125% YoY, with mainland China revenue growing by 55%-60% and overseas revenue (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) surging by 440%-445% [2] - The company's overseas expansion and online sales growth are key drivers of its performance [3][4] Mainland China Performance - Retail stores and robot stores in mainland China showed steady growth, with Q3 revenue increasing by 55%-60% YoY [3] - As of October 21, 2024, the company operated 423 stores (including Nanjing Golden Eagle) and 2,224 robot stores in mainland China [3] - Wholesale channels in mainland China grew by 45%-50% YoY in Q3 2024 [3] Online Performance - Online revenue growth accelerated significantly in Q3 2024, with WeChat抽盒机 revenue increasing by 55%-60% YoY and e-commerce platforms growing by 135%-140% YoY [3] - Tmall flagship store revenue surged by 155%-160% YoY, while Douyin flagship store revenue grew by 115%-120% YoY [3] - Douyin's core accounts generated a total GMV of RMB 215 million in Q3 2024, with a 56% MoM increase in September due to a promotional event [3] Overseas Expansion - Overseas revenue (including Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) grew by 440%-445% YoY in Q3 2024, with full-year growth expected to exceed 300% [4] - The company expanded its overseas presence, opening 112 stores by October 21, 2024, including new theme stores in South Korea, Thailand, and Taiwan [4] - TikTok live streaming performed well, with cumulative GMV reaching approximately RMB 220 million, including RMB 90 million from the US and RMB 130 million from Thailand [5] New IP and Product Expansion - The company continued to expand its IP portfolio, launching 6 new IPs in 2024 and introducing 79 new blind box products in Q1-Q3 2024 [6] - New product lines, including labubu forest secret base building blocks and SP plush toys, were launched, with strong market performance [6] - The company diversified into new categories such as desserts, apparel, and accessories, with plans to open independent accessory stores in 2024 [6] Financial Forecasts - Revenue for 2024-2026 is projected to be RMB 12.07 billion, RMB 15.61 billion, and RMB 18.34 billion, respectively [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be RMB 2.55 billion, RMB 3.34 billion, and RMB 4.01 billion for 2024-2026 [6] - Adjusted PE ratios for 2024-2026 are forecasted at 33X, 25X, and 21X, respectively [6] Valuation Metrics - The company's current price is HKD 75.20, with a 52-week range of HKD 16.90-76.70 [3] - Total market capitalization is HKD 100.99 billion, with a fully diluted market cap of HKD 100.99 billion [3] - Key valuation metrics include a P/E of 36.3X for 2024E, P/B of 9.3X, and P/S of 7.6X [7][9]