Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The subsidiary, Songci Electromechanical, has launched CVD fluidized bed equipment to expand into the solid-state battery sector, which is crucial for the commercialization of next-generation batteries [7] - The company has formed a strategic partnership with Yili Technology for solid-state battery equipment, which is expected to benefit from Yili's planned production capacity of 26GWh over the next five years [7] - The company has secured overseas orders for its optical module AOI detection equipment, which is anticipated to significantly enhance production capacity and precision in semiconductor manufacturing [7] - The financial forecast indicates a decline in net profit for 2025, but the semiconductor and lithium battery businesses are expected to continue growing, justifying the "Buy" rating [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to reach 9,198 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 45.94%, followed by a decline to 7,092 million yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to be 1,273 million yuan in 2024, decreasing to 729 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 42.69% [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to be 4.04 yuan in 2024, dropping to 2.31 yuan in 2025 [1][8] - The current P/E ratio is approximately 12.50 for 2024 and 21.81 for 2025, indicating a valuation adjustment in line with profit expectations [1][8]

I. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. II. Core View of the Report The report provides a weekly data tracking of secondary capital bonds from September 22 to September 26, 2025, covering primary market issuance, secondary market trading, and valuation deviation of individual bonds [1][2][3]. III. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Primary Market Issuance - There were no new issuances of secondary capital bonds in the inter - bank market and the exchange market during the week from September 22 to September 26, 2025 [1]. 2. Secondary Market Trading - **Trading Volume**: The total weekly trading volume of secondary capital bonds was approximately 229.9 billion yuan, an increase of 52.1 billion yuan compared to the previous week. The top three bonds in terms of trading volume were 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03B(BC) (54.049 billion yuan), 25 Agricultural Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 03A(BC) (16.307 billion yuan), and 25 Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Secondary Capital Bond 01BC (7.88 billion yuan) [2]. - **Trading Volume by Region**: The top three regions in terms of trading volume were Beijing, Shanghai, and Fujian, with trading volumes of approximately 189 billion yuan, 12.7 billion yuan, and 7.9 billion yuan respectively [2]. - **Yield to Maturity**: As of September 26, the yield to maturity of 5Y secondary capital bonds with ratings of AAA -, AA +, and AA increased by 17.93BP, 17.31BP, and 16.31BP respectively compared to the previous week; for 7Y secondary capital bonds, the increases were 18.31BP, 18.26BP, and 18.26BP respectively; for 10Y secondary capital bonds, the increases were 16.19BP, 16.82BP, and 16.82BP respectively [2][10]. 3. Valuation Deviation of Top 30 Individual Bonds - **Overall Situation**: The overall valuation deviation of the weekly average trading price of secondary capital bonds was not significant during the week from September 22 to September 26, 2025. The proportion of discount transactions was less than that of premium transactions, and the discount range was smaller than the premium range [3]. - **Discount Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest discount rates were 17 Fushun Bank Secondary (- 0.3988%), 21 Deqing Rural Commercial Bank Secondary (- 0.3851%), and 22 Yongcheng Rural Commercial Bank Secondary (- 0.3606%). The Zhongzheng implicit ratings were mainly AAA -, AA +, and AA, and the bonds were mostly distributed in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong [3][12]. - **Premium Bonds**: The top three bonds with the highest premium rates were 24 China Construction Bank Secondary Capital Bond 02B (1.2298%), 24 Guangfa Bank Secondary Capital Bond 01 (0.8398%), and 23 China Construction Bank Secondary Capital Bond 02B (0.8050%). The Zhongzheng implicit ratings were mainly AAA -, AA +, and AA -, and the bonds were mostly distributed in Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangdong [3][13].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the mechanical equipment industry, with a focus on AI equipment and oil service equipment [1]. Core Insights - The rapid development of AI chips is expected to drive demand for advanced testing and packaging equipment, particularly in the semiconductor sector [2][20]. - The PCB equipment market is set to benefit from significant investments in AI infrastructure, with major players expanding their production capacities [3][44]. - The oil service equipment sector is poised for growth due to Saudi Aramco's plans to initiate 85 major projects over the next three years, which will create substantial demand for related products and services [9]. Summary by Sections Semiconductor Equipment - The demand for high-performance testing machines is increasing due to the complexity of AI chips and advanced storage chips, which require enhanced testing capabilities [2][21]. - The advanced packaging technology CoWoS is crucial for GPU and HBM interconnects, leading to a surge in demand for advanced packaging equipment [2][22]. - The semiconductor testing equipment market is projected to exceed $13.8 billion by 2025, with significant contributions from SoC and storage testing machines [21]. PCB Equipment - The AI infrastructure investment by Alibaba is expected to significantly boost the PCB market, with leading companies expanding their high-end HDI production capacities [3][4]. - The report highlights the increasing complexity and investment inflation in PCB production processes, particularly in drilling and exposure stages [4][44]. - Major PCB manufacturers are actively expanding their capacities to meet the rising demand for high-performance PCBs driven by AI servers [44][46]. Oil Service Equipment - Saudi Aramco's upcoming projects will require extensive procurement of materials and equipment, benefiting companies with technological advantages in the oil service sector [9]. - Companies like Neway and Jereh are well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for oil service equipment due to their established relationships and capabilities [9]. Carbon Silicon - The report emphasizes the potential of single crystal silicon carbide (SiC) in enhancing the performance of CoWoS structures, which is critical for high-power GPU applications [5]. - The successful launch of a 12-inch SiC substrate processing line by Jing Sheng marks a significant advancement in domestic SiC technology [5]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies such as Huafeng Measurement and Changchuan Technology for testing equipment, and Jing Sheng for packaging equipment, as they are expected to benefit from the growth in AI chip production [2][22]. - In the PCB sector, companies like Dazhu CNC and East China Electric are recommended for their strong market positions and growth potential [43][46].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the non-ferrous metals sector [1]. Core Views - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a weekly increase of 3.52%, ranking it lower among all primary industries. Precious metals outperformed with a 5.55% increase, while industrial metals rose by 5.15% [1][15]. - Economic data from the U.S. exceeded expectations, leading to a decline in interest rate cut expectations. Precious metals are expected to benefit from the rapid decline in real interest rates since August [1][4]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.21%, with the non-ferrous metals sector increasing by 3.52%, outperforming the index by 3.31 percentage points [15]. - Among the sub-sectors, precious metals increased by 5.55%, industrial metals by 5.15%, while small metals and new materials declined [15]. Industrial Metals - **Copper**: The price of copper rose due to supply concerns from the Grasberg mine incident in Indonesia. As of September 26, LME copper was priced at $10,205 per ton, up 2.09% week-on-week, while SHFE copper was at ¥82,470 per ton, up 3.20% [2][34]. Supply is tightening due to significant maintenance in domestic smelting plants and the mine incident affecting production [2]. - **Aluminum**: Aluminum prices recorded a slight decline, with LME aluminum at $2,649 per ton, down 1.01%, and SHFE aluminum at ¥20,745 per ton, down 0.24% [3][39]. Demand remains weak despite pre-holiday stocking, and overall theoretical demand has decreased [3]. - **Zinc**: Zinc prices fell, with LME zinc at $2,887 per ton, down 0.41%, and SHFE zinc at ¥21,980 per ton, down 0.29% [42]. Inventory levels showed mixed trends, with LME inventory decreasing while SHFE inventory increased [42]. - **Tin**: Tin prices increased slightly, with LME tin at $34,415 per ton, up 0.57%, and SHFE tin at ¥274,070 per ton, up 1.97% [47]. Supply issues persist due to slow recovery in Myanmar and ongoing maintenance in domestic production [47]. Precious Metals - **Gold**: Gold prices reached new highs, with COMEX gold at $3,789.80 per ounce, up 1.89%, and SHFE gold at ¥856.06 per gram, up 3.07% [4][51]. Positive U.S. economic data has led to a slight reduction in interest rate cut expectations, supporting gold prices [4][52]. The report emphasizes that the current macro narrative favors precious metals due to the expected continuation of declining real interest rates [4][52].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the given content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - External environment factors such as interest rate fluctuations, bond supply - demand, and policy orientation jointly impact bond investment returns. In H1 2025, the bond investment of 42 listed banks showed certain characteristics in scale, structure, and profit and loss, but there are still challenges in maintaining stable returns in the future [1]. - The overall bond investment scale of 42 listed banks expanded steadily in H1 2025. There were differences in the investment structure among different types of banks, with state - owned banks and city commercial banks having stable growth in the bond allocation portfolio, while joint - stock banks and rural commercial banks increased their efforts in the bond trading portfolio. The bond investment portfolio generally presented a pattern of "stable foundation and flexible gain" [1]. - The coupon income of 42 listed banks was generally stable in H1 2025 but showed a slight year - on - year decline. The fair value change loss was significant, and the investment income increased. However, the bond investment of the banking industry still faces pressure to maintain stable returns [1]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 42 Listed Banks' Bond Investment Volume - **Overall Bond Investment Scale: Steady Expansion**: In H1 2025, the total scale of the three types of bond - type financial assets of 42 listed banks showed a steady expansion trend. The growth of debt investment - type financial assets measured at amortized cost was relatively slow, while the growth of trading financial assets measured at fair value and included in current profits and losses was relatively large, indicating that banks increased the proportion of trading positions [9]. - **Differentiated Bond Investment Distribution Structures among Different Bank Types**: In H1 2025, state - owned banks and city commercial banks showed stable growth in the bond allocation portfolio, which may be related to their participation in the primary - market issuance of important national and regional bond varieties. Joint - stock banks and rural commercial banks slightly weakened their bond allocation power but significantly increased their efforts in the bond trading portfolio, showing a differentiated feature of "stable allocation by large banks and prominent trading flexibility by small and medium - sized banks" [13]. - **Bond Investment Allocation Tilted towards Government - Related Bonds**: In H1 2025, commercial banks increased their allocation of government - related bonds, with an average month - on - month increase of about 10% for state - owned banks, joint - stock banks, and city commercial banks, and a slightly smaller increase for rural commercial banks. The allocation of financial bonds and other bonds was differentiated. All banks held a relatively large scale of government - related bonds, followed by financial bonds and credit - related bonds [18]. - **Correlation between Financial Asset Types and Bond Variety Structures**: The banking industry maintained a stable growth of interest - rate bonds in the bond allocation portfolio and increased the allocation of credit bonds, while the allocation of financial bonds was relatively weak. In the bond trading portfolio, interest - rate bonds and financial bonds were the core varieties, with a more significant increase than credit bonds, showing a "stable foundation and flexible gain" pattern [22]. 3.2 42 Listed Banks' Bond Investment Profit and Loss - **Coupon Income: Generally Stable and Still the Main Source of Income**: In H1 2025, the total coupon income of 42 listed banks decreased slightly year - on - year. Although the scale of held - to - maturity bonds increased, the decline in the coupon rate of newly issued bonds led to a decrease in coupon income. In the future, coupon income is still expected to be the main source of bond investment income for commercial banks [26]. - **Fair Value Change Loss: Losses in the Trading Level**: In H1 2025, the total fair value change loss of 42 listed banks decreased significantly year - on - year, indicating that it was difficult to obtain capital gains through short - term trading in the volatile bond market, and there were floating losses in bond trading [28]. - **Investment Income: Growth in All Bank Types**: In H1 2025, the actual investment income of 42 listed banks in the bond field increased significantly year - on - year. Although the book value appreciation of bond - type trading financial assets and other debt investment - type financial assets was not as good as that of the previous year, banks could still increase their investment income by selling floating - profit old bonds and waiting for the maturity of high - coupon bonds [31]. 3.3 Attribution and Summary - **External Environment Driving Factors: Interest Rate Fluctuations, Bond Supply - Demand, and Policy Orientation Jointly Impact Bond Investment Returns**: In H1 2025, the "more adjustments and fewer opportunities" bond market environment led to a general decline in the prices of existing bonds, resulting in a significant year - on - year decline in the fair value change loss of listed banks' bond investment. The supply of national bonds, local government bonds, and policy - based financial bonds increased, but the coupon rate of newly issued bonds decreased, leading to a decline in coupon income. Regulatory policies indirectly affected bond investment performance [35]. - **Banking Industry's Bond Investment Pressure and Future Outlook** - Overall Income Shows a Positive Trend but There Are Still Hidden Concerns: In H1 2025, the actual bond investment income of 42 listed banks increased slightly year - on - year, but the coupon income faced downward pressure in the interest - rate downward cycle, and it was more difficult to obtain spread income through band trading. Since H2 2025, the "stock - strong and bond - weak" pattern has emerged, and the loss caused by fair value change will be more obvious [3]. - Different Bank Types Show Differentiated Performance, and State - owned Banks' Pressure Is Relatively Controllable: State - owned banks can maintain a certain profit - making ability in the low - interest - rate volatile bond market due to their advantages in bond allocation and trading portfolios. Joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks are more vulnerable, and they may increase their capital allocation in the equity market, commodity market, and related structured fixed - income products in the future [3].

Group 1 - The report highlights that the National Day holiday has a significant calendar effect, with a tendency for the market to decline before the holiday and rise afterward, indicating a pattern in trading behavior and economic cycles [1][9][8] - Statistical analysis shows that the win rates and median returns for the Shanghai Composite Index are generally negative in the days leading up to the holiday, while they turn positive in the days following it, particularly with a win rate exceeding 80% in the first five days after the holiday [1][9][10] - The report suggests that the best buying opportunity occurs in the two days before the National Day holiday, followed by a rapid market rebound post-holiday, supported by increased trading volume [2][3][4] Group 2 - The report identifies that sectors such as food and beverage, and pharmaceuticals show strong performance before the holiday, while post-holiday, there is an increased focus on large financial sectors [4][12][13] - It notes that the market dynamics shift from large-cap stocks outperforming small-cap stocks before the holiday to small-cap stocks showing greater elasticity and performance after the holiday [3][4][25] - The underlying factors influencing these trends include risk expectations related to the holiday, quarterly settlement demands, and changes in investor behavior due to holiday breaks [2][3][4]

Market Performance - On September 26, 2025, the North Exchange 50 index fell by 1.81%, while the Sci-Tech 50 index decreased by 1.61%[18] - The A-share index declined by 0.65%, and the ChiNext index dropped by 2.60%[18] - The average market capitalization of the 277 constituent stocks in the North Exchange is 3.136 billion, with a trading volume of 19.456 billion, down by 1.464 billion from the previous trading day[18] Company Announcements - YinTu Network announced a pre-disclosure of share reduction by its shareholders, with the controlling shareholder planning to reduce holdings by up to 350,000 shares, representing 0.58% of total shares[29] Industry News - The Trump administration is considering a new policy requiring semiconductor imports to match domestic production, with companies failing to comply facing substantial tariffs[16] - Meituan's autonomous delivery vehicle has received the first city-level trial for cross-regional delivery in Shenzhen, covering key districts[17] Risk Warnings - Risks include individual stock earnings falling short of expectations, intensified industry competition, increased trade frictions, and policies not meeting expectations[30]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the insurance industry [1] Core Insights - In August, the life insurance sector experienced a strong premium growth of 49.7% year-on-year, significantly up from July's growth rate [4] - The report anticipates a gradual decline in premium growth rates post-September, as the surge in August is attributed to the "stop炒" effect of old products amid a backdrop of lowered preset interest rates [4] - The health insurance sector's premium growth remained stable at 2.6% year-on-year in August, with a long-term growth potential identified through the integration of health management and insurance services [4] - The property insurance sector saw a modest premium growth of 0.9% in August, primarily impacted by a decline in non-auto insurance premiums [4] - The report highlights that leading insurance companies maintain robust growth and quality in their business, particularly in auto insurance, where lower loss ratios enhance profitability [4] - The valuation of the insurance sector remains at historical lows, with expected PEV ratios between 0.57-0.85 and PB ratios between 1.02-2.16 for 2025, indicating significant upside potential [4] Summary by Sections Life Insurance - August's life insurance premiums reached CNY 4,645 billion, marking a 49.7% year-on-year increase, with a cumulative premium of CNY 37,999 billion for the first eight months of 2025, up 11.3% year-on-year [4] - The report notes a shift towards dividend insurance products as a response to the changing interest rate environment [4] Health Insurance - Health insurance premiums in August grew by 2.6%, with a cumulative growth of 2.4% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report emphasizes the potential for health insurance to expand through a comprehensive health ecosystem [4] Property Insurance - Property insurance premiums in August increased by 0.9%, with a cumulative growth of 4.7% for the first eight months of 2025 [4] - The report indicates that the growth in auto insurance premiums is supported by the rising penetration of new energy vehicles [4] Market Outlook - The report suggests that both liability and asset sides of the insurance companies are improving, with a favorable outlook for the industry as a whole [4] - The anticipated recovery in long-term interest rates could alleviate pressure on investment yields for insurance companies [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company has demonstrated confidence through multiple share buybacks, with a total of up to HKD 100 million planned for repurchase, reflecting management's commitment to shareholder returns [7] - The company is expected to open 1,000 new stores this year, capitalizing on the growing demand in lower-tier markets, with a strong performance in the first half of 2025 [7] - The company's operating capabilities have been validated, with a significant increase in profitability and a low valuation, making it a recommended investment [7] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at RMB 72.9 billion, RMB 83.9 billion, and RMB 95.5 billion, representing year-on-year growth of 13%, 15%, and 14% respectively [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be RMB 4.2 billion, RMB 5.0 billion, and RMB 5.8 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 81%, 19%, and 17% respectively [1] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to increase from RMB 0.15 in 2025 to RMB 0.21 in 2027 [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the independent energy storage sector, highlighting the economic viability and significant demand growth in the market [2][3]. Core Insights - The transition from mandatory energy storage to independent energy storage is underway, with local governments implementing capacity price compensation policies to establish a market-oriented revenue mechanism [2][3]. - The domestic energy storage demand forecast has been revised upward, with expectations of continued strong growth, particularly in regions like Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia [2][3]. - The supply of energy storage cells is expected to remain tight until the second half of 2026, benefiting leading companies in the industry [2][3]. - The report emphasizes the importance of innovative business models and integrated system solutions, which are expected to enhance profitability for companies with technological and resource advantages [2][3]. Summary by Sections PART 1: Capacity Price Policies and Independent Storage Models - The shift from mandatory energy storage to independent storage is supported by new policies that provide stable cash flow through capacity price compensation [2][3]. - The report outlines the differences in revenue structures and economic viability between mandatory and independent storage models, with independent storage showing superior profitability potential [11][36]. PART 2: Revised Domestic Energy Storage Demand Forecast - The report projects that domestic energy storage installations will reach 149 GWh in 2025 and 194 GWh in 2026, with a long-term forecast of 340 GWh by 2030 [2][3]. - The demand for energy storage is significantly driven by the development of data centers, which are expected to account for one-third of total energy storage demand by 2030 [2][3]. PART 3: Supply Constraints and High-Quality Development - The report anticipates a continued shortage of energy storage cells until the second half of 2026, with global demand expected to reach 521 GWh in 2025 and 710 GWh in 2026 [2][3]. - The focus on high-quality development in the energy storage industry is expected to benefit leading companies, as well as improve the performance of second-tier players [2][3]. PART 4: Valuation Comparison and Investment Recommendations - The report recommends investing in leading companies such as CATL, Sungrow, and others, while also highlighting the potential of emerging players in the market [2][3]. - The overall sentiment is bullish on the large-scale energy storage sector, driven by strong demand in Europe and emerging markets, as well as favorable policies in the U.S. [2][3].