Market Overview - The average daily trading volume for the entire A-share market was 1.87 trillion CNY, a decrease of over 178.8 billion CNY compared to the previous week[8] - The Shanghai Composite Index experienced a weekly decline of 3.0%[12] Market Style Performance - Large-cap value stocks showed relative resilience, with a weekly decline of only 1.73%[12] - Small-cap growth stocks faced a more significant decline of 5.54%[12] Participant Performance - The active capital holding index led the decline with a drop of 7.0%[21] - The national team index decreased by 2.81%, while the social security heavy index fell by 4.0%[21] Market Sentiment - The margin trading balance increased to 2.5 trillion CNY before retracting[25] - The number of stocks hitting the daily limit up was 100, while 13 stocks hit the limit down during the week[25] Sector Performance - The report highlights strong sectors such as AI and energy security, while sectors like chemicals and steel are expected to see improved fundamentals[44] - The focus for 2026 will be on technology and security, as well as reform and growth strategies[44]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future performance [2][10]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of HKD 1.215 billion in Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 30%. The gross profit reached HKD 551 million, up 28% year-on-year, driven by efficient operations of new projects like the Xi'an Xianyang International Airport T5 terminal parking lot and improved performance of existing projects [2]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1-Q3 2025 was HKD 488 million, reflecting a 22% increase year-on-year, showcasing a significant improvement in overall profitability and a solid foundation for long-term performance [2]. - The company is accelerating its investment in the humanoid robotics sector, having established multiple industry funds that have invested in key enterprises across the robotics value chain. This includes the establishment of the "Shou Cheng Robot Advanced Materials Industry Co., Ltd." to invest in critical materials for robotics [3][4]. - The company has launched the first nationwide operational robotics technology experience store, enhancing its market presence and consumer engagement in the robotics sector [3]. Financial Summary - The company's revenue projections for 2025-2027 are HKD 1.559 billion, HKD 1.959 billion, and HKD 2.319 billion, respectively, with corresponding net profits of HKD 586 million, HKD 775 million, and HKD 934 million [10]. - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 45.35%, with a slight year-on-year decrease of 0.57 percentage points, indicating stable profitability [3]. - The debt-to-capital ratio decreased to 10.9% in Q1-Q3 2025, down 5 percentage points from the end of 2024, reflecting improved financial stability [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the coal mining industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The current port coal prices are stable, with the spot price for thermal coal at 834 RMB/ton as of November 21, 2025, showing no change from the previous week [1] - Supply side: The average daily inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim region is 2.0463 million tons, an increase of 69,300 tons or 3.50% from the previous week [1] - Demand side: The average daily outflow from the same ports is 1.78 million tons, a decrease of 94,400 tons or 5.04% from the previous week, indicating limited demand release [1] - The total inventory at the Bohai Rim ports has increased to 25.933 million tons, up by 1.64 million tons or 6.74% from the previous week [1] - The report suggests that coal prices are expected to maintain a volatile trend due to the heating season in northern regions and increasing electricity consumption in southern regions [1] Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3,834.89 points, down 3.45% from the previous week, while the coal sector index fell by 7.12% [10] - The total transaction amount for the coal sector was 82.296 billion RMB, an increase of 2.08% from the previous week [10] 2. Domestic Coal Prices - Domestic thermal coal prices have shown slight increases, with specific prices reported as follows: - Datong South Suburb 5500 kcal thermal coal at 700 RMB/ton, up 15 RMB/ton [16] - Inner Mongolia Chifeng 4000 kcal thermal coal at 430 RMB/ton, unchanged [16] - Yanzhou 6000 kcal thermal coal at 1,130 RMB/ton, up 10 RMB/ton [16] - The Bohai Rim thermal coal price index remains stable at 698 RMB/ton [18] 3. Inventory and Shipping - The average daily inflow of coal to the Bohai Rim ports increased, while the outflow decreased, indicating a buildup in inventory [26][30] - The average daily number of anchored vessels in the Bohai Rim ports decreased to 123, down 10% from the previous week [30] - The average shipping cost on domestic routes fell to 47.27 RMB/ton, a decrease of 8.25% [33] 4. Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring insurance capital inflows and suggests focusing on resource stocks, particularly recommending companies like Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy as elastic targets [35]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the retail industry [1]. Core Insights - The Hainan Free Trade Port has entered the final 30-day sprint phase for its full closure operation, which began on November 18. The port optimization and "second-line" regulatory facility construction are nearing completion, with the expectation of achieving a regulatory framework of "first-line opening, second-line management, and island-wide freedom" [4][9]. - The policy framework post-closure focuses on "zero tariffs, low tax rates, and simplified tax systems." Approximately 6,600 products will benefit from zero tariffs, covering most production equipment and raw materials, allowing companies to save about 20% on import tax costs. Additionally, encouraged industries will enjoy a 15% corporate income tax rate, significantly reducing operational costs [10]. - The adjustment of the duty-free shopping policy for departing island travelers was implemented on November 11, which has led to a 28.52% year-on-year increase in duty-free sales amounting to 1.325 billion yuan as of November 17 [10]. Summary by Sections Industry Viewpoint - The report highlights the operational upgrade of port management as a critical step towards establishing a high-level free trade port system, facilitating the free flow of various elements within Hainan [9]. Market Review - For the week of November 17 to November 21, the retail index decreased by 7.24%, while the overall market indices also experienced declines, with the Shanghai Composite Index down by 3.90% [12]. Company Valuation Table - The report includes a valuation table for various companies, indicating that companies like China Duty Free Group, Wangfujing, and Hainan Airport are expected to benefit from the duty-free shopping policy adjustments [11][19].

Group 1 - The medium to long-term allocation value of the North Exchange is clear, with increasing institutional participation and market expansion [2][9][30] - As of November 14, 2025, the North Exchange has 282 listed companies with an average market capitalization of 3.194 billion yuan, showing continuous high-quality development [9][30] - The average daily trading volume of North Exchange A-shares reached 1.08 billion yuan in 2025, doubling from 0.5 billion yuan in 2024, indicating significant liquidity improvement [2][17] Group 2 - The issuance of new stocks is steadily increasing, with a sufficient reserve of companies waiting to be listed and improving profitability [2][30] - As of November 16, 2025, there are 95 companies in the IPO process, indicating a promising future for new stock issuance on the North Exchange [30] - The average net profit of new three-board listed companies increased from 44.61 million yuan in January 2024 to 93.12 million yuan in November 2025, supporting high-quality expansion of the North Exchange [30] Group 3 - The North Exchange has seen a significant increase in institutional participation, with the market value held by funds rising from 3.030 billion yuan in Q1 2024 to 10.307 billion yuan in Q3 2025 [3][37] - The number of funds holding North Exchange stocks increased from 49 at the end of 2024 to 71 by November 2025, reflecting growing interest from institutional investors [37][41] - The North Exchange's stock performance has outpaced other markets, with many funds achieving high returns, particularly in technology-focused investments [41][46] Group 4 - The North Exchange's new stock issuance has shown significant profitability, with the average first-day increase of new listings reaching 325% from early 2025 to November 14, 2025 [46] - The strategic investment standards for new stock issuance have been adjusted to include institutions with strategic cooperation and long-term investment intentions, enhancing market stability [46] - The potential introduction of a market capitalization-based subscription model for new stocks could further strengthen investment participation in the North Exchange [46] Group 5 - High-dividend stocks on the North Exchange are gaining attention, with 32 stocks having more than two dividends in 2024 and seven stocks yielding over 3% [48][49] - Companies such as Taihu Yuanda and Qingju Technology are highlighted for their strong dividend performance and stable earnings [51][48] - The focus on high-dividend stocks aligns with a strategy for stable investment returns in the current market environment [48] Group 6 - The North Exchange 50 index has a significant representation in industries such as industrial (36%), information technology (24%), and materials (19%) [52] - Companies within the North Exchange 50 that are also recognized as specialized and innovative enterprises are being closely monitored for investment opportunities [55] - The ongoing adjustments in the North Exchange 50 index reflect a focus on maintaining high-quality and high-growth potential companies [55]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies in the engineering machinery and forklift sectors, emphasizing undervalued growth potential [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the strong performance of NVIDIA in FY26Q3, with revenue reaching $57.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 62.5%, and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 22.0%, indicating robust demand in the AI equipment sector [2][3]. - The engineering machinery sector is expected to see a recovery in demand, with domestic excavator sales projected to grow at an annual rate of over 30% from 2025 to 2028, despite current funding challenges affecting sales conversion [4]. - The forklift industry shows a positive trend with October sales reaching 114,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 16%, driven by low domestic demand baselines and recovering overseas demand [4]. Summary by Sections Recommended Companies - The report recommends a focus on companies such as Northern Huachuang, Sany Heavy Industry, and others in the engineering machinery and AI equipment sectors [1][14]. AI Equipment - NVIDIA's strategic partnerships with OpenAI and other tech giants are expected to enhance AI infrastructure, with significant revenue growth anticipated in the upcoming quarters [3]. - Recommendations for AI equipment include Dazhu CNC for PCB drilling equipment and Hongsheng for liquid cooling solutions [4]. Engineering Machinery - October data shows a significant improvement in domestic sales of various machinery types, with excavator sales expected to peak at 250,000 units by 2028 [4]. - Key companies recommended in this sector include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and others [4]. Forklift Industry - The forklift sector is experiencing steady growth, with a notable increase in both domestic and export sales, indicating a recovery in demand [4]. - Recommended companies include Hangcha Group and Anhui Heli [4]. Lithium Battery Equipment - The report anticipates a 40% growth in energy storage demand from 2025 to 2026, driven by the increasing penetration of new energy vehicles and AI data centers [4]. - Key recommendations include suppliers like Xian Dao Intelligent and Hangke Technology [4]. General Market Trends - The overall machinery industry is expected to benefit from a recovery in fixed asset investment and a rebound in demand across various sectors, including construction and logistics [4].

随着北美大厂 AI 资本开支的步伐变的更为激进、而 AI 对经济及企业盈 利的拉动效应尚未充分展现，市场对于资本开支向 EPS 传导的评估更为 审慎、开始关注"AI 泡沫"风险。在此基础上，过去两年"科技大厂算力 军备竞赛、资本开支集中上修"即可顺利带动算力行情的模式将有所变化， 未来 AI 叙事的持续演绎，除了算力本身的旺盛需求外，可能还需要看到 AI 价值创造更为明确的信号。 ◼ 一是，全球流动性紧缩之下，A 股难以"独善其身" 近期多重因素轮番作用，全球流动性呈现紧缩态势。此前阶段，紧缩格局 主要受美国联邦政府停摆影响，TGA 账户"只进不出"大量吸收市场流动 性，对美国本土冲击更为直接，亦推动美股率先见顶回落。随着美政府重 新开门，这一流动性压力已明显缓和，当前流动性趋紧的核心驱动在于 12 月美联储大概率不降息： 基于多重原因，流动性收紧压力带动近期全球资产普遍回调，A 股市场难 以"独善其身"。 ◼ 二是，海外"AI 泡沫"焦虑、科技板块下跌，波及 A 股 证券研究报告·策略报告·策略周评 策略周评 20251123 如何看待近期市场的调整 2025 年 11 月 23 日 [Table_Summ ...

固收点评 20251122 绿色债券周度数据跟踪 （20251117-20251121） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况： 本周（20251117-20251121）银行间市场及交易所市场共新发行绿色债券 26 只，合计发行规模约 246.19 亿元，较上周减少 444.89 亿元。发行年 限多为 3 年；发行人性质为央企子公司、地方国有企业、中外合资企业、 中小微企业、大型民企；主体评级多为 AAA、AA+级；发行人地域为云 南省、广东省、陕西省、北京市、广西壮族自治区、山东省、浙江省、 天津市、江苏省、上海市；发行债券种类为一般公司债、中期票据、私 募公司债、商业银行普通债、超短期融资券、短期融资券、交易商协会 ABN、企业 ABS、一般公司债、信贷 ABS。 证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 ◼ 二级市场成交情况： 本周（20251117-20251121）绿色债券周成交额合计 859 亿元，较上周增 加 243 亿元。分债券种类来看，成交量前三为金融机构债、非金公司信 用债和利率债，分别为 384 亿元、340 亿元和 102 亿元；分发行期限来 看 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is strategically advancing into the mining sector, which is expected to open a second growth curve through resource recycling [7] - The company plans to issue H shares to deepen its international strategy and is expected to benefit from rising metal prices in its resource projects [7] - The financial forecasts indicate a steady improvement in operational performance, with projected net profits of 8.0 billion, 9.1 billion, and 10.5 billion for 2025 to 2027 [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 10,580 million in 2023 to 17,552 million by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 8.05% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 504.64 million in 2023 to 1,051.34 million by 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.33 in 2023 to 0.69 by 2027, indicating improved profitability [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 20.53 in 2023 to 9.85 by 2027, suggesting an attractive valuation over time [1][8]

Investment Rating - The report recommends focusing on solid-state battery equipment suppliers such as **XianDao Intelligent**, **LianYing Laser**, and **HangKe Technology**. It also suggests paying attention to companies involved in dry/wet electrode equipment and dry electrode & module PACK [2][8]. Core Insights - The front-end manufacturing process is crucial in lithium battery production, directly impacting battery performance and production line stability. The process includes the formation of positive and negative electrode sheets and solid electrolyte membranes, which are essential for energy density, rate performance, and cycle life [2][5][7]. - Solid-state batteries require the preparation of solid electrolyte membranes in addition to traditional electrode sheets, increasing the complexity and criticality of the manufacturing process [7][15]. - The solid-state battery front-end manufacturing process can be divided into dry and wet methods, with dry methods gradually becoming the mainstream due to their cost, process, and material compatibility advantages [2][12][15]. - Various dry film formation technologies exist, including fiberization, dry spray deposition, gas phase deposition, thermal extrusion, direct pressing, and 3D printing, each suitable for different applications [2][40]. Summary by Sections 1. Key Manufacturing Processes - The preparation of electrode sheets and electrolyte membranes is critical, directly influencing battery performance and mass production outcomes [5][11]. - The film formation process can be categorized into dry and wet methods, with dry methods being the future of high-performance solid-state batteries [11][12]. - Dry film formation paths are diverse, with fiberization seen as a promising route for future mass production [11][18]. 2. Market Potential - The market for front-end solid-state battery equipment is expected to reach **8 billion yuan** by 2029, driven by the anticipated increase in global solid-state battery capacity from **17 GWh** in 2024 to **200 GWh** in 2029 [8][9]. 3. Dry vs. Wet Process Advantages - Dry processes eliminate solvent use and drying steps, leading to lower energy consumption and manufacturing costs, while enhancing material utilization and environmental friendliness [15][18]. - Dry processes exhibit superior structural stability, allowing for higher packing densities and energy densities compared to wet processes [18][34]. 4. Solid Electrolyte Materials - Solid electrolyte materials are categorized into oxides, sulfides, polymers, and halides, with sulfides currently being the mainstream technology due to their high conductivity and processing performance [21][22]. 5. Future Developments - The evolution of solid-state batteries will involve the introduction of high-performance anodes and cathodes, with dry processes increasingly demonstrating compatibility advantages [26][30].