| [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 5,523 | 6,372 | 7,530 | 8,988 | 10,558 | | 同比（%） | 44.09 | 15.39 | 18.16 | 19.37 | 17.47 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 502.40 | 400.18 | 514.81 | 658.55 | 851.99 | | 同比（%） | 70.47 | (20.34) | 28.64 | 27.92 | 29.37 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.19 | 0.95 | 1.22 | 1.56 | 2.02 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.31 | 25.50 | 19.82 | 15.49 | 11.98 | [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券研究报告·公司点评报告·汽车零部件 威迈斯（688612） 2024 年年报&2025 年一季 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance is under pressure, with a focus on waiting for demand recovery [1] - The company reported a total revenue of 14.34 billion yuan in Q1 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 24.6% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 6.7% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 29 million yuan, down 83.4% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The heavy-duty truck sales showed a quarter-on-quarter increase, but the estimated revenue per vehicle declined [1] - The company is expected to benefit from the policy encouraging the replacement of old trucks, with domestic sales projected to reach 700,000 units or more in 2025, a year-on-year increase of over 16% [1] - The report anticipates a recovery in the heavy truck industry, with the company positioned to leverage its scale and cost-efficiency [1] Financial Summary - The company forecasts total revenue of 67.37 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 15% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is projected to be 722 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 16% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.15 yuan, with a corresponding P/E ratio of 49.09 [1] - The company's price-to-book (P/B) ratio is currently at 1.34, indicating a historically low valuation [1] - The report has adjusted the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 720 million yuan and 1.02 billion yuan, respectively [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company is actively expanding into the new energy market and developing high value-added new products, with a significant year-on-year growth in non-recurring profit [7] - The company reported a revenue of 286 million yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 23.63%, and a net profit of 63 million yuan, up 56.86% year-on-year [7] - The company has adjusted its business classification, leading to significant growth in the automotive window system components, with a revenue increase of 60.54% year-on-year [7] - The company is deepening its partnerships with leading downstream clients, with expectations for the new energy precision component manufacturing project to generate substantial revenue once operational [7] - The company has revised its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026, with expected net profits of 81 million yuan and 103 million yuan respectively, reflecting a positive outlook for the new energy market [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 231.19 million yuan in 2023 to 606.45 million yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 23.15% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 39.85 million yuan in 2023 to 128.82 million yuan in 2027, with a CAGR of 25.25% [1][8] - The latest diluted EPS is forecasted to rise from 0.60 yuan in 2023 to 1.94 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The company’s P/E ratio is projected to decrease from 39.95 in 2023 to 12.36 in 2027, indicating an improving valuation [1][8]

2024 年年报及 2025 年一季报点评：AI 生态 布局持续落地，商业化进程加速 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,915 | 5,662 | 7,166 | 7,997 | 8,898 | | 同比（%） | 3.78 | 15.20 | 26.56 | 11.59 | 11.27 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 1,258.36 | (1,594.80) | (891.73) | (772.94) | (625.84) | | 同比（%） | 9.15 | (226.74) | - | - | - | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 1.02 | (1.30) | (0.72) | (0.63) | (0.51) | | P/S（现价&最新摊薄） | 7.99 | 6.94 | 5.48 | 4.91 | 4.41 | [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ...

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·摩托车及其他 华洋赛车（834058） 2024 年报&2025 年一季报点评：俄罗斯与欧 洲重点市场持续放量，期待双品牌策略提升 细分增量 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 478.80 | 526.99 | 672.45 | 824.30 | 989.34 | | 同比（%） | 12.95 | 10.06 | 27.60 | 22.58 | 20.02 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 51.31 | 56.14 | 69.34 | 90.63 | 113.57 | | 同比（%） | (22.41) | 9.43 | 23.51 | 30.71 | 25.31 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.91 | 1.00 | 1.24 | 1.62 | 2.02 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 36.31 | 33.19 | 26.87 | 20.56 | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for both A and H shares of China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) [1][6] Core Views - CNOOC's oil and gas production continues to grow steadily, contributing to high-quality development [1] - The company achieved a total revenue of RMB 106.9 billion in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 4% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 13% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1 2025 was RMB 36.6 billion, down 8% year-on-year but up 72% quarter-on-quarter [6] - The report highlights the successful launch of projects leading to increased oil and gas production, with a net production of 189 million barrels of oil equivalent in Q1 2025, a 5% increase year-on-year [6] - CNOOC's capital expenditure for Q1 2025 was RMB 27.71 billion, a decrease of 4.5% year-on-year, with a total budget of RMB 125-135 billion for the year [6] - The report emphasizes the company's strong cost control, with a barrel of oil cost of USD 27.03, down 2% year-on-year [6] - CNOOC is focused on shareholder returns, with an expected dividend payout of approximately RMB 62.3 billion for 2025, resulting in a dividend yield of 5.2% for A shares and 8.4% for H shares before tax [6] - The report projects net profits of RMB 138.4 billion, RMB 141.8 billion, and RMB 146.7 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios for A shares of 8.6, 8.4, and 8.1 [6] Financial Summary - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is RMB 416.609 billion, with a slight decline expected in 2025E to RMB 409.877 billion [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 138.391 billion in 2025E, showing a marginal increase from 2024A [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be RMB 2.91 in 2025E, with a steady increase projected through 2027 [1] - The report indicates a decrease in capital expenditures and a focus on maintaining profitability through effective cost management [6][7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Shandong Gold is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 showed significant growth, with total revenue reaching 25.935 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 36.81% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 67.19%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.026 billion yuan, up 46.62% year-on-year and 15.86% quarter-on-quarter [7] - The increase in gold prices has positively impacted the company's performance, with the average spot price of gold in Q1 2025 being 670 yuan per gram, a 36.72% increase year-on-year [7] - The company has successfully increased its gold resource reserves, with new gold resources amounting to 58.8 tons in 2024, and has made strategic acquisitions to strengthen its resource base [7] - The report anticipates continued strong performance for the company in the context of a bullish gold market, with revised net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 being 6.327 billion yuan, 7.190 billion yuan, and 7.848 billion yuan respectively [7] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections for Shandong Gold are as follows: 59.275 billion yuan in 2023, 82.518 billion yuan in 2024, 107.364 billion yuan in 2025, 116.452 billion yuan in 2026, and 122.052 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 17.83%, 39.21%, 30.11%, 8.46%, and 4.81% [1][8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 2.328 billion yuan in 2023, 2.952 billion yuan in 2024, 6.327 billion yuan in 2025, 7.190 billion yuan in 2026, and 7.848 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 86.57%, 26.80%, 114.38%, 13.63%, and 9.15% [1][8] - The earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.52 yuan in 2023, 0.66 yuan in 2024, 1.41 yuan in 2025, 1.61 yuan in 2026, and 1.75 yuan in 2027 [1][8] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the years 2025-2027 are projected to be 21.53, 18.95, and 17.36 respectively [1][8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [1] Core Views - The company has seen significant growth in equipment revenue, with a projected revenue increase of 40.74% year-on-year for 2024, reaching 555.17 million yuan [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 is expected to grow by 1.78% year-on-year, amounting to 115.95 million yuan [2] - The decline in catalyst revenue is attributed to delivery delays, impacting overall performance [2] Revenue and Profitability Summary - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at 555.17 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 40.74% [2] - The net profit for 2024 is estimated at 115.95 million yuan, reflecting a modest growth of 1.78% [2] - The gross profit margin is expected to decrease by 15.44 percentage points to 39.05% in 2024 [2] Revenue Breakdown - Equipment revenue has increased by 171.19% year-on-year to 414 million yuan, accounting for 74.50% of total revenue [2] - Catalyst revenue has decreased by 45.4% year-on-year to 48 million yuan, now representing 8.57% of total revenue [2] - Revenue from process packages and other technical services has dropped by 53.66% to 72 million yuan, making up 12.91% of total revenue [2] Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is recognized as a "small giant" in petrochemical process packages, with leading technology in the domestic market [3] - The establishment of a 12,000-ton catalyst production base is expected to enhance production capacity and meet significant order demand [3] - The company is expanding into biodegradable plastics, which are anticipated to grow rapidly due to regulatory changes in traditional plastics [3] Financial Forecasts - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company has been adjusted to 146 million yuan for 2025 and 185 million yuan for 2026 [3] - The projected price-to-earnings ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 17.49, 13.80, and 10.80 respectively [3]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·饮料乳品 李子园（605337） 2024 年报及 2025 年一季报业绩点评：收入 符合预期，成本红利释放 增持（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 1412 | 1415 | 1538 | 1643 | 1746 | | 同比（%） | 0.60 | 0.22 | 8.69 | 6.84 | 6.22 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 236.96 | 223.80 | 253.51 | 279.52 | 305.20 | | 同比（%） | 7.20 | (5.55) | 13.27 | 10.26 | 9.19 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 20.79 | 22.01 | 19.43 | 17.62 | 16.14 | [Table_Tag] [Table_S ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company reported a strong start to 2025, with a more than doubling of net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - The revenue for 2024 decreased by 2.1% to 9.17 billion yuan, while net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 36.9% to 810 million yuan, primarily due to significant losses from fair value changes in financial assets [8] - The first quarter of 2025 showed positive growth, with revenue increasing by 1.2% to 2.11 billion yuan and net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 110.3% to 320 million yuan [8] - The company has maintained stable growth in its textbook and auxiliary materials business, while the general book segment faced challenges [8] - The company is actively enhancing its AI and digital education business, with significant progress in digital textbook applications [8] - The dividend payout is set to increase, with a proposed cash dividend of 5.50 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 490 million yuan, which is 60.9% of the 2024 net profit [8] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2026 have been revised upwards, with net profit estimates of 1.03 billion yuan and 1.07 billion yuan respectively, reflecting improved gross margins and cost control [8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue for 2023 was 9.365 billion yuan, with a projected decrease to 9.172 billion yuan in 2024, followed by a recovery to 9.534 billion yuan in 2025 [1] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 was 1.284 billion yuan, expected to drop to 809.81 million yuan in 2024, before rebounding to 1.025 billion yuan in 2025 [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.90 yuan for 2024, increasing to 1.14 yuan in 2025 [1] Business Segments - The textbook and auxiliary materials segment saw a revenue increase of 1.9% to 8.46 billion yuan in 2024, while the general book segment experienced an 8.0% decline to 1.50 billion yuan [8] - The gross margin for the textbook segment improved to 25.8%, while the general book segment's gross margin increased to 12.3% despite revenue declines [8] Future Outlook - The company plans to enhance its digital education capabilities, with the "Yuejiao Xiangyun" digital textbook platform being a key focus for 2025 [8] - The projected net profit for 2027 is estimated at 1.11 billion yuan, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14, 14, and 13 for 2025-2027 [8]