Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for JCET Group with a target price of Rmb42, indicating an expected share price return of 9.8% and a total expected return of 10.1% [6][8]. Core Insights - JCET management is optimistic about growth in computing and automotive sectors, despite facing near-term volatility due to resource adjustments [1]. - The company is strategically reallocating resources from legacy RF SiP orders to focus on new opportunities, including edge AI and power modules [4]. - The outlook for 2026 is strong, driven by increasing memory demand and high-performance computing (HPC) capacity, particularly in the automotive sector, which saw over 130% year-on-year revenue growth in the first nine months of 2025 [5]. Revenue Mix - The revenue mix for 3Q25 is as follows: Communication (35%), Consumer (27%), Computing (20%), Industrial/Medical (9%), and Automotive (10%) [2]. Capacity Utilization - Overall capacity utilization rate (UTR) reached 80% in 3Q25 and is expected to improve to 80%-85% in 4Q25, with domestic capacities nearly fully utilized [3]. Strategic Focus - JCET is reducing some legacy orders to focus on developing future opportunities, which management believes will lead to higher revenue and profitability in the long term [4]. Growth Expectations - The demand for computing is robust, driven by domestic HPC needs, and automotive revenue is expected to continue growing with new capacity coming online [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Yunnan Energy New Material is "Sell" with a target price of Rmb20.4, implying a significant downside potential of -66.9% from the current price of Rmb61.72 [6][9]. Core Insights - Yunnan Energy has successfully implemented price hikes in Q4 2025, which is expected to improve unit profit slightly to around Rmb0.04-0.05 [2][3]. - The company anticipates further profit growth and steady capacity expansion in the upcoming year, with a total capacity increase of approximately 2 billion square meters expected by 2026 [3][4]. - The current monthly production capacity stands at approximately 1.1 billion square meters, with a projected total capacity of 15 billion square meters by 2026 [3][4]. - Yunnan Energy maintains a strong partnership with LG, supplying around 60% of its needs, and is expanding its overseas operations with bases in Hungary and the US [4]. Summary by Sections Price Hikes - Discussions regarding price increases began in September, with adjustments on loss-making products implemented in October and ongoing negotiations in November [2]. Profitability - Management expects a slight improvement in profitability, projecting unit profit to be around Rmb0.04-0.05 in Q4 2025 [2]. Capacity Expansion - Current capacity can be increased by approximately 1 billion square meters through optimization, with five new production lines expected to be operational in 2026 [3]. Production - The current monthly capacity is about 1.1 billion square meters, with a year-end total capacity of 13 billion square meters and a target of 14 billion square meters for production [3]. Customer Relationships - Yunnan Energy has a strong partnership with LG, being its primary supplier with a market share of approximately 60% [4]. Overseas Business - The company has established a base in Hungary with a capacity of 400 million square meters and plans to commence operations in the US in the second half of 2026, focusing on coating [4].

Flash | 13 Nov 2025 16:28:56 ET │ 11 pages Century Huatong (002602.SZ) What's New from Citi 2025 China Conference: A Rising China Online Gaming Giant CITI'S TAKE Century Huatong attended Day 3 of Citi's 2025 China Conference (Nov 13), right after recent ST restriction lift on Nov 12. Key takeaways: 1) resilient performance on expanding Century Games portfolio; 2) key success factors of Century Games; 3) incremental profit from Chuanqi IP licensing; 4) +ve flow after restriction lift; 5) possibility on cloud ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Buy rating on Shuanghuan Drive with an unchanged target price of Rmb50.0, indicating an expected share price return of 26.7% and a total expected return of 27.4% [7]. Core Insights - Shuanghuan Drive plans to outgrow the market despite concerns over a potential slowdown in China’s NEV demand in 2026. The company aims to increase dollar content per NEV, focus on overseas projects, and strengthen its cost structure [1][2]. - The company expects to achieve double-digit year-on-year growth in NEV gear revenue in 2026, driven by increased shipments of coaxial gears and differentials [1][2]. - Strong growth is anticipated in the intelligent gear and industrial robot businesses, while revenue from ICE, CV, and CM gear is expected to stabilize [1]. Summary by Sections NEV Gear Strategy - Shuanghuan plans to increase dollar content per NEV by selling more coaxial gears (ASP Rmb1,000-1,200/set) and differentials (ASP Rmb100-200/set), with shipments projected at 6.8 million sets of NEV gears and 1 million sets of differentials in 2025 [2]. - The shipment of differentials is expected to double in 2026 [2]. Overseas Projects - NEV gear exports are projected to rise from 400k-500k sets in 2024 to 700k-800k sets in 2025, and further to over 1 million sets in 2026, primarily driven by demand from Stellantis, Hyundai, Volvo, and Renault [3]. - The ASP and gross profit margin of overseas projects are higher than domestic projects due to a greater percentage of PHEV [3]. Intelligent Gear and Other Segments - Revenue from intelligent gear is expected to grow from Rmb860 million-880 million in 2025 to Rmb1.2 billion in 2026, fueled by demand from robot vacuum cleaners and e-bikes [4]. - Revenue from commercial vehicle gear is anticipated to remain stable in 2026, supported by demand from European tier-1 clients and US electric truck manufacturers [5]. - Construction machinery gear revenue is also expected to stabilize in 2026, despite supplying gears to Caterpillar's large engines [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zijin Mining is "Buy" with a target price of HK$39.00, representing an expected total return of 16.7% [6][8]. Core Insights - The report presents a bullish outlook on gold and copper prices, driven by geopolitical tensions, potential FED rate cuts, and increased gold reserves in emerging countries [2][4]. - Zijin Gold aims for an output target of 100 tons per annum (tpa) by 2030, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% through 2030, primarily through internal production improvements and acquisitions [3]. - The copper supply-demand dynamic indicates a robust demand forecast, with expectations of reaching 40 million tons per annum (mntpa) by 2035, despite current output challenges faced by Zijin [4]. Summary by Sections Gold Price Outlook - Mr. Lin holds a positive view on gold prices, citing historical increases during previous economic cycles and suggesting further upside potential in the current cycle [2]. Copper Supply-Demand Dynamics - Global top-10 copper miners produced approximately 8 million tons of copper in the first nine months of 2025, with Zijin experiencing a 2% year-over-year decrease in output due to mine disruptions and logistical issues [4]. Acquisition Plans - Zijin Mining is actively seeking acquisition opportunities in copper, gold, and lithium, with specific targets in South America and Africa, aiming for a lithium capacity of 200-250 kilotons per annum by 2028 [5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Hundsun Technologies is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb40.7, implying an expected share price return of 37.7% and a total expected return of 38.5% [6]. Core Insights - Future growth for Hundsun Technologies is anticipated to be driven by strong demand for software localization due to US-China geopolitical tensions and the deadline for state-owned enterprises to localize software [2][4]. - The management noted that while brokers experienced improved earnings in the first half of 2025 and third quarter of 2025, asset managers are under pressure due to fully implemented fee cuts and declining assets under management [2]. - An employee share compensation scheme was launched in August 2025, embedding a target of 10% growth in recurring net profit, although management did not provide guidance for 2026 revenue and net profit growth due to uncertainties in project rollout [3]. - The competitive landscape is expected to become more benign, as many listed peers reported net losses in 2024, and smaller unlisted peers may shift strategies away from rapid expansion [4]. Summary by Sections Market Outlook - The demand for software localization is robust, driven by geopolitical factors and regulatory deadlines for state-owned enterprises [2]. - Management expressed confidence in the long-term outlook, focusing on product development and innovation to navigate market downturns [4]. Financial Performance - Brokers have seen improved earnings in 1H25 and 3Q25, while asset managers face challenges due to fee cuts and declining AUM [2]. - The newly launched employee share compensation scheme targets a 10% growth in recurring net profit [3]. Competitive Landscape - The market competition is likely to become more benign, with many listed peers suffering losses and smaller players potentially changing their growth strategies [4]. Valuation - The target price of Rmb40.7 is based on a discounted cash flow (DCF) valuation, projecting free cash flows up to 2034E with a terminal growth rate of 5.5% [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Giant Network with a target price of Rmb42, indicating an expected share price return of 15.7% and a total return of 16.8% [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights a stronger tone on the monetization of Supernatural Action, with monthly grossing reaching Rmb600 million in August and a record DAU of nearly 7 million in October, suggesting significant growth potential [2][3]. - Upcoming promotions, particularly around Chinese New Year, are expected to further enhance user engagement and monetization, with management anticipating DAU could exceed 10 million [3]. - The unique positioning of Supernatural Action is noted for attracting young female gamers, which is expected to drive sustained demand and profitability [7]. - Management plans to expand Supernatural Action into overseas markets, targeting regions like Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and Korea for effective localization [8]. - The game pipeline includes a new card game, Ming Jiang Sha, which is set for a soft launch in December, alongside two new MMORPGs [9]. Summary by Sections Monetization and Performance - Supernatural Action's grossing has shown a significant increase, with management noting a full-year run-rate expectation of approximately Rmb6 billion based on September's performance [2]. - The game has successfully optimized content and graphics, contributing to its record performance during peak seasons [2]. Promotions and User Engagement - The next major promotional push is planned for the Chinese New Year, with expectations of increased DAU and improved retention rates [3]. - Management's strategy includes maintaining a weekly content update to keep user engagement high [3]. Unique Positioning and Market Strategy - Supernatural Action's design de-emphasizes combat elements, focusing instead on social gameplay, which appeals to its target demographic [7]. - The selective distribution strategy on iOS and a controlled marketing spend are designed to maximize profitability while minimizing competition risks [7]. Overseas Expansion - Plans for an overseas version of Supernatural Action are in place, with a focus on cultural fit and localization for initial markets [8]. Game Pipeline and Shareholder Returns - The company is preparing for the launch of new titles, including a card game and MMORPGs, which are expected to follow a similar operational strategy as Supernatural Action [9]. - Giant Network aims to maintain a steady cash dividend payout of 35-37% through bi-annual distributions [10].

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Investment Rating - The report maintains a non-pessimistic outlook on the US stock market, with an adjusted target for the S&P 500 index set at 6,700 points, despite high valuations and strong earnings growth [1][9]. Core Insights - The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut is primarily a response to unexpectedly low non-farm employment data, with a cautious approach reflecting a balance between short-term stimulus and long-term stability [3][4]. - The cessation of balance sheet reduction by the Federal Reserve is aimed at alleviating liquidity tensions in the financial system, which is beneficial for overall market liquidity [6]. - The anticipated interest rate cuts are expected to positively impact the real estate and manufacturing sectors, with new home sales reaching a three-year high and manufacturing PMI showing signs of recovery [1][7][8]. - The new Federal Reserve chairperson's policies will significantly influence future monetary policy directions, with potential for slight increases in easing measures without losing independence [5]. Summary by Sections Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve's decision to stop balance sheet reduction is intended to prevent liquidity shortages and maintain financial stability [4][6]. - The cautious stance of the Federal Reserve reflects a need to balance economic stimulus with financial stability, especially in light of recent employment data [3]. Market Reactions - The market's recent pullback following the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut and US-China tariff negotiations is attributed to profit-taking and a strong dollar, which has increased liquidity tensions [2][11]. - The anticipated increase in liquidity from the cessation of balance sheet reduction and government funding releases is expected to support market stability [6]. Sector-Specific Insights - The real estate sector is benefiting from lower interest rates, with significant increases in new home sales and a recovering manufacturing PMI, indicating positive trends in related sectors [1][7][8]. - The semiconductor industry is poised for growth due to China's focus on technological self-reliance, despite existing gaps in advanced manufacturing capabilities [19][22]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the US stock market remains a viable investment opportunity, with strong earnings growth mitigating risks associated with high valuations [9]. - The anticipated growth in the semiconductor and AI sectors is expected to create substantial investment opportunities, particularly as domestic capabilities improve [20][22].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "BUY" rating for Pharmaron (3759.HK) since January 1, 2020, with a 12-month price target of HK$30.00, indicating an upside potential of 20.2% from the current price of HK$24.96 [1][12]. Core Insights - Pharmaron reported a 3Q25 revenue of Rmb3.65 billion, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 13.4% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 9.1%, slightly exceeding Goldman Sachs estimates of Rmb3.48 billion. This growth was driven by strong performance in the CMC and bioscience segments, particularly from the top 20 large pharmaceutical clients [1][2]. - The management has raised the full-year revenue growth guidance to 12-16% year-over-year, up from the previous guidance of 10-15%, suggesting a potential growth of 6-20% year-over-year in 4Q25. The management is optimistic about further margin improvements in 4Q25 compared to the first nine months of 2025 [1][2]. - The report highlights robust new project order momentum, particularly in the CMC segment, where new project orders increased by 13% year-over-year for the first three quarters, with a notable 20% year-over-year rise in CMC new orders driven by large pharmaceutical demand [2][20]. Summary by Sections Earnings Review - 3Q25 revenue: Rmb3.65 billion, up 13.4% y/y and 9.1% q/q, slightly above GSe of Rmb3.48 billion [1]. - Non-IFRS adjusted net profit margin improved to 12.9%, up from 11.3% in 1Q25 and 12.2% in 2Q25, supported by higher utilization rates [1]. Revenue Growth and Guidance - Full-year revenue growth guidance raised to 12-16% y/y from 10-15% y/y, implying 4Q25 growth of 6-20% y/y [1]. - Continued investment in biologics and strategic acquisitions positions Pharmaron for sustained growth in the CDMO space [1][20]. Segment Performance - CMC revenue reached Rmb903 million, up 12.7% y/y and 29.6% q/q, with a gross margin of 34.6% [2]. - Clinical development revenue was Rmb501 million, up 8.2% y/y, but gross margin declined to 10.8% due to project mix and competitive pressures [3][19]. Strategic Acquisitions - The acquisition of Biortus is expected to enhance Pharmaron's biologics service offerings, particularly in structural biology data supporting drug discovery [20]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025E are Rmb14,066.7 million, with EBITDA of Rmb3,532.9 million and EPS of Rmb0.91 [6][17]. - The report anticipates a 3-year earnings CAGR of 15% [21].