Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Intron Tech with a target price of HK$2.35, down from the previous target of HK$5.53, reflecting a significant potential upside from the current price of HK$1.2 [4][13]. Core Insights - Intron Tech reported revenue of RMB 2.84 billion for the first half of fiscal year 2024, representing an 8% year-on-year increase, but net profit decreased by 37% to RMB 977 million due to increased competition and pricing pressure from automotive OEMs, leading to a gross margin decline to 15.9% [1][2]. - The management expects a recovery in net profit margins in the second half of fiscal year 2024, driven by new orders in the new energy and ADAS sectors, as well as expansion into overseas markets [2][4]. - The report has adjusted earnings per share forecasts for fiscal years 2024 and 2025 down by 43%-49% due to the weak performance in the first half of 2024 and anticipated cost pressures [2][4]. Revenue Summary - Intron Tech's revenue is projected to grow by 9% year-on-year in fiscal year 2024, while net profit is expected to decline by 29% [2][12]. - The revenue breakdown shows strong growth in the new energy (16%), automation and connectivity (13%), and cloud server segments (25%), while body control, safety, and powertrain segments experienced weaker growth [1][11]. - The gross profit margin for the first half of 2024 was 15.9%, down from 20.6% in the same period last year, reflecting pressures in the automotive supply chain [1][12]. Financial Projections - For fiscal year 2024, revenue is estimated at RMB 6.32 billion, with a gross profit of RMB 1.02 billion and a net profit of RMB 225 million [9][10]. - The projected earnings per share for fiscal year 2024 is RMB 0.21, with a significant decrease from previous estimates [10][12]. - The report anticipates a gradual recovery in profit margins in fiscal year 2025, with net profit expected to rise to RMB 371 million [2][9]. Valuation Metrics - Intron Tech's current price-to-earnings ratios are 5.4x for fiscal year 2024 and 3.2x for fiscal year 2025, which are considered attractive compared to industry peers [2][13]. - The report highlights that Intron Tech is undervalued, especially given its high return on equity (ROE) levels [13].

农夫山泉(9633 HK) 1H24 错过 ， 茶叶成为最大的利润贡献者 农夫的 1H24 收入 由于包装水部门市场份额下滑，公司未能达到其指引。我 们预计该部门的收入增长率将保持在低个位数，因为市场份额的恢复需要时间 。茶饮料部门的收入同比增长59%，其收入份额接近水类的38%，营业利润率 （OPM）比水类高10个百分点。茶饮料取代了包装水成为公司的主要利润驱 动因素。鉴于下半年不利的环境和管理层态度的软化，我们认为公司在2024财 年实现两位数收入增长的目标具有挑战性。基于2024财年市盈率40倍，我们 将目标价下调13%至50.38港元，以反映较低的盈利预测。维持买入评级。 水部门受到市场份额损失的伤害 2024年上半财年（1H24）收入同比增长8.4 %，低于预期，主要是由于包装水业务收入同比下降18%，原因是在2月因网 上谣言导致品牌受损后市场占有率下降。公司观察到7月和8月市场占有率有所 恢复，但要回到2月前的水平还需要时间。我们预计全年包装水业务收入将实 现个位数低增长，这反映了中大型水业务增长对小型水业务下滑的部分抵消作 用。包装水业务的营业利润率（OPM）较上年同期下降了4.2个百分点，这是 ...

浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 消费行业 浦银国际 公司研究 安踏 （2020.HK） 安踏（2020.HK）：1H24 净利润超预期，预计 多品牌战略将持续驱动收入增速高于行业 安踏 1H24 核心净利润（不包括 Amer 上市带来的一次性收入）同比增 长 29%，高于我们预期，主要归功于毛利率显著提升且销售费用率低 于预期。尽管外部环境充满挑战，但安踏主品牌的品牌力持续提升、 Fila 品牌力依然保持稳健、其他品牌维持高速增长、公司整体基本面 持续向好。公司宣布将在未来 18 个月使用不超过 100 亿港元回购公 司股票，体现了董事会对公司长期基本面较大的信心。我们认为公司 多品牌全球化策略以及管理层强大的品牌运营能力将为公司注入持续 的增长动力，确保高于行业的收入增速。基于 16x 2025 P/E，我们得到 新的目标价 89.6 港元，维持安踏"买入"评级以及运动服饰行业首选。 管理层 2024 全年业绩展望强于同业：管理层表示安踏主品牌进入下 半年以来的流水表现符合预期，且 8 月趋势较好。因此，公司依旧维 持安踏主品牌 2024 全年流水双位数增长目标不变。Fila 整体流水面 临挑战，因此管理层将 ...

浦银国际研究 公司研究 | 消费行业 浦银国际 公司研究 25 20 15 10 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------| | | 02/2024 05/2024 | | | 、浦银国际 | | | 扫码关注浦银国际研究 | | 本研究报告由浦银国际证券有限公司分析师编制，请仔细阅读本报告最后部分的分析师披露、商业关系披露及免责声明。 | | 林闻嘉 首席消费分析师 richard_lin@spdbi.com (852) 2808 6433 桑若楠，CFA 消费分析师 serena_sang@spdbi.com (852) 2808 6439 2024 年 8 月 28 日 海底捞（6862.HK）：品牌力与翻台率保持 强劲，但五大担忧令我们维持谨慎态度 在餐饮行业面临较大挑战的情况下，海底捞 1H24 翻台率同比大幅提升 至 4.2x，毛利率同比扩张 1.7 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [3][11]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 7.957 billion RMB for the first half of 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.1%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.908 billion RMB, up 36.0% year-on-year, while core net profit rose by 24.2% to 1.766 billion RMB [2][3]. - The company achieved a higher growth rate in net profit compared to revenue, driven by efficiency improvements and cost reductions. The gross margin for the commercial segment increased by 2.4 percentage points to 60.9%, contributing to an overall gross margin increase of 0.8 percentage points to 34.0% [2][3]. - The company distributed a special dividend, raising the payout ratio to 100% for 2023, with a mid-year payout ratio of 36.0% for 2024, reflecting a 0.2 percentage point increase year-on-year [2]. Financial Performance - The company expects net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 to be 3.6 billion RMB, 4.21 billion RMB, and 4.81 billion RMB, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 22.8%, 17.1%, and 14.3% [3]. - The company’s total contracted area reached 446 million square meters, a 4.9% increase from the end of 2023, while the total managed area grew by 7.5% to 398 million square meters [2][3]. - The average occupancy rate of shopping centers was 96.7%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the end of 2023, indicating strong operational performance [2]. Valuation Metrics - The current stock price corresponds to a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 13.5x for 2024, 11.5x for 2025, and 10.1x for 2026 [3].

BYDE (285 HK) 1H24 first take: strong revenue growth dragged by GPM and selling expenses BYDE reported 1H24 revenue growth of 40% YoY, largely in-line with estimates, driven by Apple share gains, Android recovery, Jabil consolidation and strong NEV segment. Net profit growth of 0.1% YoY is below our/consensus estimate by 21%/15% YoY, mainly dragged by weaker GPM (-1ppt YoY) and higher selling expenses (+211% YoY). Mgmt. will host an analyst briefing at 9:30am HKT today (29 Aug), and we will look for details ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a strong expectation of performance exceeding the market by over 20% in the next six months [4][10]. Core Insights - The company reported a 10.5% year-on-year increase in tourism operations revenue for H1 2024, reaching 10.649 billion RMB, while total revenue grew by 5.8% to 9.415 billion RMB. However, net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 31.79% to 322 million RMB, primarily due to one-time gains from asset sales in the previous year [4]. - Club Med's global revenue reached a historical high, with sustainable growth in bookings. Revenue in mainland China increased by 20.5%, with outbound tourism and inbound reception revenue growing fivefold and sevenfold, respectively [4][5]. - The company is focusing on a light asset strategy, with the signing of the second phase of the Taicang project, marking a significant milestone in this transition [5]. Financial Data and Profit Forecast - The company forecasts revenue growth from 17.15 billion RMB in 2023 to 18.53 billion RMB in 2024, with a projected net profit of 349 million RMB in 2024, increasing to 492 million RMB by 2026 [6][8]. - The report outlines a consistent growth trajectory in revenue and net profit, with expected growth rates of 8% for 2024 and 9% for the following years [6][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Resources Power (00836) [4] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of HKD 51.12 billion for the first half of 2024, a slight decrease of 0.71% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders reached HKD 9.36 billion, marking a significant increase of 38.9% year-on-year, exceeding expectations [4] - The core profit from thermal power has rebounded, driven by cost optimization, contributing HKD 2.715 billion to core profits, which is 32.8% of the total core profit, an increase of HKD 1.989 billion year-on-year [4] - The company has made significant progress in its renewable energy capacity, with a total installed capacity of 24.125 million kW, accounting for 38.4% of total capacity, and plans to invest HKD 44.6 billion in renewable energy projects in 2024 [5] Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For the first half of 2024, the total electricity sales volume reached 98.24 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 6.2%, with thermal power sales volume at 72.147 billion kWh, up 3.4% [4] - The average coal price decreased by 10.6% year-on-year to RMB 934.6 per ton, while the unit fuel cost also fell by 10.7% to RMB 276.5 per MWh [4] - The company’s revenue projections for 2024-2026 have been revised upwards to HKD 149.18 billion, HKD 173.56 billion, and HKD 215.60 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 7.4, 6.4, and 5.1 [5][6] Renewable Energy Development - The company added 2.064 million kW of new renewable energy capacity in the first half of 2024, with wind and solar projects contributing 504,000 kW and 1.56 million kW respectively [4] - Despite weaker wind and solar conditions, the average utilization hours for wind and solar power were still above the national industry average by 89 and 79 hours respectively [4] - The company aims to achieve a renewable energy capacity of over 50% by the end of the 14th Five-Year Plan [5]

Nongfu Spring (9633 HK) 1H24 missed, tea became top profit contributor Nongfu's 1H24 revenue missed company's guidance given its market share loss in the packaged water segment. We expect low single digit revenue growth for the segment since market share recovery takes time. Tea beverage revenue grew 59% YoY and delivered revenue share close to water of 38%, with a 10ppt higher in OPM than water segment. The tea beverage replaced the packaged water and became the company's top profit driver. We think that i ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to COSCO SHIPPING International (0517.HK) with a target price of HKD 5.20, based on a 10x PE ratio for 2025 [1][3]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of HKD 1.75 billion for the first half of 2024, representing an 8% year-on-year growth, with a net profit of HKD 390 million, up 15.5% year-on-year [2][3]. - The shipping market's activity level is crucial for the development of the company's shipping services, with significant growth in ship trading agency services and insurance consulting services [2][3]. - The demand for ship coatings is supported by a robust new shipbuilding market, with the company achieving a sales volume of 78,795 tons in ship coatings for the first half of 2024 [2][3]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - COSCO SHIPPING International is a leading comprehensive shipping service company, providing a full lifecycle of services for ships and focusing on green and digital transformation [10][12]. 2. Green and Low-Carbon Shipping Transformation - The company is accelerating its green low-carbon transformation, responding to market trends and increasing demand for environmentally friendly fuels [25][27]. - A joint venture for renewable fuel investment has been established to promote the transition to green energy in the shipping industry [31][32]. 3. Revenue and Profitability - The company expects steady growth in its shipping services, with projected revenues of HKD 3.65 billion, HKD 3.66 billion, and HKD 3.73 billion for 2024-2026 [3][4]. - The main revenue sources include ship equipment supply and coatings, contributing significantly to the overall profitability [10][11]. 4. Market Dynamics - The global shipbuilding market remains active, with China maintaining its position as the world's largest shipbuilding country, capturing over 50% of the market share in various metrics [21][22]. - The demand for ship coatings is expected to rise due to the growth in both new ship deliveries and repair services [23][24].