Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Eoptolink, with a revised 12-month target price of Rmb123, indicating a potential upside of 51.5% from the current price of Rmb81.2 [9][17]. Core Insights - Eoptolink's revenue for 1Q25 reached Rmb4.05 billion, representing a 264% year-over-year increase and a 15% quarter-over-quarter increase, which aligns closely with Goldman Sachs' estimate of Rmb3.99 billion. The net profit of Rmb1.57 billion exceeded estimates by 11%, driven by strong margin expansion with a gross margin of 48.7% [1][2]. - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the ramp-up of 400G and 800G optical transceivers, particularly in AI infrastructure, which is expected to be a primary earnings driver in 2025 [15]. - Eoptolink's net profit has converged with that of its larger peer, Innolight, despite having a market capitalization that is only 65% of Innolight's, suggesting a potential narrowing of the valuation gap due to Eoptolink's strong profitability and growth momentum [1][12]. Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - Eoptolink's revenue growth has been robust, with sequential increases of 49%, 46%, and 15% quarter-over-quarter in 3Q24, 4Q24, and 1Q25, respectively. The company is expected to achieve a net profit of Rmb6.4 billion in 2025, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 126% [2][9]. - The gross margin has shown significant improvement, reaching 48.7% in 1Q25, which is well above peer levels, attributed to better cost efficiency and the ramp of 800G products [2][6]. Estimate Revisions - Revenue estimates for 2025-2027 have been revised upward by up to 10%, and net profit estimates have been increased by up to 40% due to the reversal of negative pricing impacts from tariffs and stronger-than-expected margin performance [8][9]. - The new revenue estimates for 2025E are Rmb17.12 billion, with a gross margin projected at 48.8% [10][17]. Market Position and Valuation - Eoptolink is trading near its historical trough level P/E, which is considered attractive given the expected growth and profitability [15]. - The report highlights that the stock's valuation is set in line with the company's trough level P/E during 2021-2025, reflecting uncertainties in the tariff and demand outlook [9][15].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating for Anji Microelectronics Technology and raises the target price to CNY175 from CNY157 [3][5]. Core Insights - Anji Microelectronics reported a revenue of CNY1,835 million for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 48%, driven by strong performance in photoresist solvent, which grew by 79% year-on-year [1][4]. - The company's gross margin improved to 58.5%, up 2.6 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to scale advantages and product mix improvements [1]. - Earnings for 2024 were reported at CNY534 million, a 33% increase year-on-year, but fell short of consensus estimates due to higher asset impairment losses and a reduction in government subsidies [1]. Summary by Sections 2024 Performance - Revenue reached CNY1,835 million, exceeding Bloomberg consensus by 1% [1]. - Photoresist solvent sales increased by 79% year-on-year, while CMP slurry sales grew by 44% [1]. - Gross margin was 58.5%, 0.4 percentage points above consensus [1]. 2025 Forecast - Expected sales and earnings growth of 24% and 28% year-on-year, respectively, driven by continued localization trends [2]. - Potential for increased CMP slurry penetration in key clients, with current penetration below 50% for the second and third largest clients [2]. - Anticipated better revenue growth in photoresist solvent due to low current penetration of around 20-25% [2]. Valuation and Target Price - The new target price of CNY175 is based on a 33x multiple of the 2025F EPS of CNY5.3, slightly above the historical average P/E of 32x [3][26]. - The stock currently trades at 33x 2025F P/E, indicating a modest upside of 1.2% from the closing price of CNY172.91 [5][26]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for FY25 are set at CNY2,275 million, with net profit expected to reach CNY682 million [4][10]. - Normalized EPS is forecasted to grow by 27.7% in FY25, reaching CNY5.29 [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a Neutral rating on Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical (JSG) and lowers the target price to CNY27 from CNY30, reflecting weaker-than-expected results and a likely continued decline in solar equipment order backlog [4][6]. Core Insights - The company's 2024 revenue declined by 2% year-on-year to CNY17,577 million, which is 9% lower than the Bloomberg consensus estimate, primarily due to a 20% decline in the materials business [1][2]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2024 fell by 45% year-on-year to CNY1.92, which is 36% lower than the consensus estimate, attributed to gross margin contraction, increased operating expenses, and a significant rise in asset impairment losses [1][4]. - The solar sector outlook remains negative, with solar demand softening, which is expected to continue impacting JSG's earnings in 2025 [2][3]. Financial Summary - For FY24, JSG reported revenue of CNY17,577 million, with a projected decline to CNY16,051 million in FY25F and a slight recovery to CNY16,119 million in FY26F [5]. - The reported net profit for FY24 was CNY2,510 million, with forecasts of CNY2,212 million for FY25F and CNY2,181 million for FY26F [5]. - The normalized EPS is expected to decrease to CNY1.69 for FY25F and CNY1.67 for FY26F, down from CNY2.29 and CNY2.39 respectively [4][5]. Market Position and Risks - JSG's inventory and contract liabilities have decreased by 30% and 48% year-on-year as of December 2024, indicating a softening order backlog from solar clients [2]. - The potential downside in sales and earnings could be partially mitigated by a stable semi-equipment order backlog and delayed revenue recognition from ongoing projects [3][4]. - The stock currently trades at a P/E of 17x for FY25F, while the revised target price reflects a P/E of 16x [4][6].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. is Overweight, indicating that the stock's total return is expected to exceed the average total return of the industry coverage universe over the next 12-18 months [2]. Core Insights - The report highlights a modest revenue miss in 4Q24, with a year-over-year revenue increase of 8%, primarily due to lower-than-expected sales in concrete machinery and excavators. However, net profit increased by 131% year-over-year, driven by a decline in selling expenses and non-operating income [5][6]. - The company is viewed as a key beneficiary of China's economic recovery and global expansion in 2025, despite facing some challenges from tariffs affecting approximately 5% of its revenue exposure to the U.S. [5]. Financial Summary - For FY24, revenue is projected to increase by 6% to Rmb78 billion, with net profit expected to reach Rmb5.84 billion, reflecting a 30% increase year-over-year [5]. - The report provides detailed financial metrics, including an EPS forecast of Rmb0.69 for FY24, with a projected increase to Rmb1.28 by FY26 [2]. - The gross profit margin for 4Q24 was reported at 22%, a decrease of 7 percentage points year-over-year, but the core business gross profit margin is expected to improve to 28% in 2024 when excluding GAAP effects [5][6]. Price Target and Market Metrics - The price target for Sany Heavy Industry Co., Ltd. is set at Rmb24.00, representing a 25% upside from the closing price of Rmb19.19 on April 18, 2025 [2]. - The company has a market capitalization of Rmb162.84 billion and an average daily trading value of Rmb1.088 billion [2].

Investment Rating - Stock Rating: Overweight [6] - Industry View: Attractive [6] - Price Target: Rmb122.00 [6] Core Insights - Shenzhen Kedali Industry Co Ltd reported robust results for 4Q24, with a net profit of Rmb455 million, reflecting a 23.6% quarter-on-quarter and 12.2% year-on-year increase [9] - The company aims for 20-30% year-on-year revenue and shipment growth in FY25, with overseas sales projected to exceed Rmb1 billion [9][3] - The company is expanding its production capabilities, including plans for a factory in the US to meet localized procurement demands [2][3] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - FY24 net profit was Rmb1.47 billion, up 22.6% year-on-year, with a gross profit margin of 27.3% in 4Q24, an increase of 3.9 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [9] - The FY24 dividend was Rmb2 per share, yielding 1.8% with a payout ratio of 36.9% [9] Market Expansion - Overseas sales are targeted to grow significantly, from Rmb574 million in 2024 to over Rmb1 billion in 2025 [3] - The Germany factory is expected to become profitable in 2Q25, while the US and Malaysia factories are anticipated to start generating sales in 2026 [3] Product Development - Kedali is focusing on humanoid robots as a significant industrial opportunity and is expanding its reducer capacity based on customer demand [4] - The company has initiated R&D on products beyond reducers, indicating a diversification strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Sieyuan Electric with a price target of Rmb 85.00 by December 2025 [19][27]. Core Insights - Sieyuan Electric's FY24 results were in line with expectations, with new orders guidance for FY25 projected to grow by 25%, which is above consensus estimates of approximately 20% [2][3]. - The company experienced a significant increase in overseas revenue, which grew by approximately 45% year-on-year, contributing positively to overall growth [2][4]. - Despite strong financial performance, there are concerns regarding the management's decision to limit disclosures about its by-product segments for FY24, which raises questions about transparency [2][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - New orders for FY24 grew by approximately 30% year-on-year to around Rmb 21.5 billion, surpassing the target of 25% growth [3]. - Overall revenue growth reached 30% year-on-year in Q4 2024, with overseas revenue increasing by about 50% year-on-year in the second half of 2024 [4]. - The gross profit margin (GPM) improved by 2 percentage points to 31% in 2024, driven by better domestic margins and higher contributions from overseas sales [5]. Expenses and Provisions - Selling expenses rose by 32% year-on-year in 2024, attributed to increased marketing efforts and share options impact [6]. - The company made Rmb 107 million in goodwill provisions in 2024, primarily related to its supercapacitor business [6][10]. Future Guidance - Sieyuan Electric is guiding for a revenue of Rmb 18.5 billion in FY25, reflecting a 20% year-on-year growth expectation [17]. - The company anticipates new orders to reach Rmb 26.8 billion in FY25, maintaining a growth rate of 25% [17]. Market Position and Outlook - Sieyuan Electric is positioned to benefit from China's elevated transmission and distribution capital expenditure, as well as from global trends in transmission capex and transformer shortages [19]. - The report suggests that the market reaction to the company's guidance will likely be positive, given the strong outlook for new orders [13].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical Co. is Neutral, with a 12-month price target of Rmb28, indicating an upside potential of 25.2% from the current price of Rmb22.37 [6][2]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical Co. is a leading manufacturer of psychiatric drugs and anesthetics in China, with growth drivers including the ramp-up of its licensed-in asset TRV-130 and newly approved generic drugs [2]. - The company's 1Q25 results showed revenue of Rmb1,511 million, representing an 11% year-over-year increase, and a net profit of Rmb301 million, up 13% year-over-year, which were in line with expectations [1]. - The report indicates that only 0.4% of the company's total revenue in 2024 was from overseas markets, with minimal exposure to the US market, suggesting limited tariff impact [1]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for Jiangsu Nhwa Pharmaceutical Co. are as follows: Rmb5,697.6 million for 2024, Rmb6,531.9 million for 2025, Rmb7,513.2 million for 2026, and Rmb8,698.0 million for 2027 [6]. - EBITDA estimates are projected to be Rmb1,376.4 million for 2024, Rmb1,583.4 million for 2025, Rmb1,862.9 million for 2026, and Rmb2,206.4 million for 2027 [6]. - Earnings per share (EPS) estimates are Rmb1.13 for 2024, Rmb1.29 for 2025, Rmb1.50 for 2026, and Rmb1.77 for 2027 [6]. Key Catalysts - Important events to monitor include the ramp-up pace of TRV-130 and the potential for volume-based procurement (VBP) in anesthetics, which could impact the company's growth trajectory [2].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Innolight is "Buy" with a 12-month price target revised to Rmb105 from Rmb115, indicating an upside potential of 32.7% from the current price of Rmb79.14 [13][20]. Core Insights - Innolight's 1Q25 net profit was Rmb1.58 billion, aligning with pre-announced expectations, while revenue was Rmb6.67 billion, which was 5% below expectations due to supply chain constraints [1]. - The gross margin (GM) improved to 36.7% in 1Q25, reflecting a 3.9 percentage points year-over-year increase and a 1.6 percentage points quarter-over-quarter increase, driven by better yield and product mix [1][2]. - The company anticipates a robust near-term outlook into 2Q25, supported by the commencement of 1.6T batch shipments and the ramp-up of 800G volume [1]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - 1Q25 revenue was Rmb6.67 billion, indicating a 2% quarter-over-quarter growth, but the growth has slowed for three consecutive quarters [9]. - The company expects gradual improvement in supply constraints into 2Q/3Q25 as new supplier capacity comes online [9]. Margin Outlook - The gross margin has shown a consistent improvement over the past five quarters, with expectations for further upside in 2Q25 and 2H25 due to a favorable product mix and efficiency improvements [2]. - The ongoing increase in silicon photonics transceivers and the ramp-up of 1.6T transceivers, which have higher gross margins compared to the company average, are expected to contribute positively to margins [2]. Tariff Impact - Innolight's production base in Thailand allows it to mitigate tariff impacts, as transceiver shipments from Thailand to the US are exempt from tariffs, contrasting with shipments from China that face a 27.5% tariff [8]. - The company has established sufficient capacity in Thailand to meet US demand, which has significantly contributed to its revenue growth [8]. Future Projections - Revenue estimates for 2024, 2025E, and 2026E have been adjusted to Rmb23.86 billion, Rmb27.98 billion, and Rmb31.22 billion respectively, reflecting a downward revision due to slower shipment growth expectations [15]. - Net profit estimates have been revised upwards by 12% and 4% for 2025 and 2026E respectively, indicating a positive outlook despite revenue adjustments [12][15].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Zhejiang Dingli Machinery Co Ltd. is Overweight [6]. Core Insights - The report indicates that China's Aerial Working Platform (AWP) sales have shown a narrowing decline, with a 10% year-over-year decrease in March, totaling 18.2k units, compared to a 20% decline in the first three months of 2025. Domestic sales fell by 22% year-over-year to 8.8k units, while exports increased by 6% year-over-year to 9.4k units [1]. - Dingli has suspended shipments to the US due to tariffs but anticipates growth in non-US markets [1]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In March, AWP sales in China decreased by 10% year-over-year to 18.2k units, with domestic sales down 22% to 8.8k units and exports up 6% to 9.4k units [1]. Company Overview - Zhejiang Dingli Machinery Co Ltd. is a leading supplier of aerial working platforms in China, making the AWP sales volume a significant indicator for its share price [4]. Financial Metrics - The price target for Dingli is set at Rmb70.00, indicating a potential upside of 77% from the closing price of Rmb39.48 on April 18, 2025 [6]. - The company has a market capitalization of Rmb19,991 million and an enterprise value of Rmb15,647 million [6]. - Projected revenues for the fiscal years ending in December are Rmb6,312 million for 2023, Rmb8,450 million for 2024, Rmb10,020 million for 2025, and Rmb11,487 million for 2026 [6]. Valuation - The report applies a P/B multiple of 2.8x to the 2025 estimated book value per share, which aligns with its average P/B over the past three years, reflecting similar ROE levels and earnings growth [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" (OW) rating for SANY Heavy Industry, indicating a positive outlook for the company's stock performance [3][5][13]. Core Insights - SANY Heavy Industry reported a strong fiscal year 2024, with a 32% year-over-year increase in net profit, reaching Rmb6 billion, and a significant surge in free cash flow (FCF) [2][5]. - The company's overseas revenue constituted 64% of total sales, reflecting a 12% year-over-year growth, with a gross profit margin (GPM) of 30%, significantly higher than the domestic GPM [3][6][12]. - SANY's strategic focus includes overseas expansion, electrification, and enhancing product intelligence, while addressing challenges such as tariff disruptions and domestic market changes [3][7][13]. Financial Performance Summary - In FY24, SANY's total revenue reached Rmb78.383 billion, a 5.9% increase from FY23, with a gross profit margin improvement to 26.7% [9][12]. - Operating cash flow hit an all-time high of Rmb15 billion, attributed to high-quality sales and favorable payment conditions, while capital expenditures were reduced by 36% year-over-year to Rmb3 billion [5][9]. - The net margin improved to 7.6%, up from 6.1% in FY23, driven by effective cost management and a positive product mix [2][5][9]. Strategic Initiatives - SANY is actively pursuing growth opportunities in emerging markets, particularly in Latin America, Asia Pacific, Africa, and the Middle East, with expectations for revenue growth exceeding 20% year-over-year in 2025 [6][7]. - The company launched over 40 electric products in 2024, generating Rmb4 billion in revenue from new energy products, which accounted for 5% of total revenue [7][12]. - SANY plans to enhance its product intelligence through increased R&D investment, focusing on integrating advanced technologies and leveraging AI for improved service offerings [7][12].