Investment Rating - The investment rating for Jiangxi Copper is "Buy" with a target price of HK$27.90, indicating an expected share price decline of 12.2% from the current price of HK$31.76 [6]. Core Insights - The long-term treatment charge and refining charge (LT TC/RC) for copper concentrate is expected to be lower year-on-year in 2026, reflecting a tight supply situation as the LT TC/RC covers approximately 80% of total purchased overseas copper concentrate in 2025, down from 90% in previous years [1][2]. - The company plans to avoid large-scale maintenance work for copper smelting capacity until the LT TC/RC price for the next year is determined, with an anticipated increase in the percentage of spot TC/RC in the fourth quarter of 2025 if the LT TC/RC price remains low [3]. - Management believes that the impact of anti-involution on the copper smelting industry will primarily affect new capacity rather than existing capacity, as copper demand is expected to continue increasing, thus limiting the impact on copper prices [4]. - The copper foil business is projected to incur a net loss in 2025, but strong orders for lithium battery copper foil since September 2025 are expected to improve profitability in 2026, despite processing fees not significantly increasing [5]. Summary by Sections Valuation - Jiangxi Copper's H-shares are valued at HK$27.90 based on a combination of discounted cash flow (DCF) and price-to-book (P/B) fair values, with a DCF valuation yielding an NPV-per-share of HK$32.90 and a P/B valuation yielding HK$22.90 [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Kingnet is "Buy" with a target price of Rmb31, indicating an expected share price return of 47.1% and a total expected return of 48.5% [3][8]. Core Insights - Kingnet's monetization potential through the 996 Game Center is significant, with a current daily active user (DAU) count of 450K and a target of 500K DAU by year-end. The company plans to diversify revenue streams through partnerships with larger publishers and new monetization methods such as live-streaming and cloud gaming services [2][3]. - The company is actively pursuing AI initiatives, with the EVE tool set to launch its second testing phase soon, and the AI game development tool Soon showing early customer adoption. Kingnet aims to position itself as a comprehensive game publisher and service platform [5][6]. - Kingnet's game pipeline includes innovative genres and partnerships with well-known IPs, focusing on both domestic and international markets. The company is selective in licensing new IPs to enhance market share [6][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Monetization Potential - Kingnet's 996 Game Center is expected to expand its market share and revenue through various monetization strategies, including ads, live-streaming, and secondary item trading. The management anticipates improved margins due to user base expansion and diversified revenue streams [2][3]. 2. AI Initiatives - The EVE AI tool is on track for a launch by year-end, with ongoing testing focused on technical optimizations. Kingnet's AI game development tool, Soon, is gaining traction among long-tail developers, indicating a positive outlook for future AI products [5][6]. 3. Game Pipeline - Kingnet is set to beta test new games based on popular IPs and is focusing on developing Wuxia RPGs from renowned authors. The company is strategically licensing innovative IPs to strengthen its market position [6][7].

Flash | 16 Nov 2025 18:22:27 ET │ 11 pages Zijin Mining (2899.HK) What's New from Citi 2025 China Conference: Mine Gold and Copper Output Maintain Decent Growth CITI'S TAKE We hosted meetings for Zijin Mining on Nov 13th at our China Conference in Shanghai. Ms. Krystal Chen, IR Manager, attended the meeting. Below are our key takeaways. Mine gold output – Mine gold output is 65t in 9M25, +20% YoY, mainly driven by newly acquired Akyem mine and increasing output from Sawaya'erdun gold mine. Mgmt. expects the ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to Huaming Equipment with a price target of Rmb33.00 for December 2026 [3][7]. Core Insights - Huaming Equipment is the largest manufacturer of tap changers for transformers in China, holding a market share of over 60% and gradually gaining market share globally. The company is expected to benefit from the increasing global demand for transformers due to its cost advantages and strong brand recognition [7]. - The company has seen a pick-up in sales in the US market, particularly from transformer manufacturers in Korea and Brazil, as well as data centers. However, management anticipates limited near-term earnings contributions from this market [4][5]. - Huaming's shorter lead times for product delivery (less than 3 months) compared to competitors (3-6 months) are a key factor driving its overseas growth [4][5]. Summary by Sections Overseas Market Opportunities - Huaming Equipment is exploring a potential major contract for transformer supply in Saudi Arabia, which could exceed Rmb10 billion. This contract may require over 50% of components to be locally manufactured, prompting Huaming to consider establishing an assembly plant in Saudi Arabia [4][5]. - The company has increased its sales in the US market, with a focus on data centers and power plants, although management notes that immediate earnings contributions will be limited [4][5]. Domestic Market Performance - Domestic growth remains modest, with management expressing caution due to weak demand from non-grid customers. Huaming's market share in domestic sales volume is already over 80% (excluding UHV) [5][7]. - The company is optimistic about growth opportunities in high-voltage products (>500kV) and has supplied tap changers for a UHV line that became operational earlier this year [5]. Valuation - The price target of Rmb33.00 per share is based on a target P/E ratio of approximately 28x, reflecting a 7.8x 2026E P/B and a yield of 1.8%. This valuation is consistent with the average of regional transformer companies, indicating a stronger outlook for Huaming's overseas growth [8].

Flash | 19 Nov 2025 12:36:46 ET │ 12 pages Han's Laser Technology (002008.SZ) What's New from Citi 2025 Industrial Tour | IT Upcycle May Start from 2026 CITI'S TAKE We met with Han's Laser (HL) Board Secretary, Mr. Du Yonggang, on 19 November. In addition to the PCB business upturn driven by stronger demand from AI PCB makers, Mr. Du believes that the next upcycle of the IT business – mainly for Apple (AAPL.O) – could start from 2026 onwards driven by not only iPhone 18 in 2026 but also iPhone's 20th annive ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive sector view on humanoid robots, with a top pick being UBTECH and recommendations to accumulate stocks of Hengli Hydraulic, Leader Drive, and Shuanghuan Drive due to recent stock weakness [1]. Core Insights - Humanoid robot revenues are expected to grow exponentially in 2026, with all five companies visited during the Citi Industrial Tour anticipating at least a doubling of revenues compared to 2025 [1]. - The production ramp-up by Chinese and leading US humanoid robot makers is driving this growth, supported by accelerated supply chain build-up and increased capacity [1]. - Orbbec's humanoid robot revenue is projected to increase from Rmb10 million in 2025 to Rmb100-200 million in 2026, with key customers including UBTECH and AgiBot [2]. - UBTECH is enhancing its data collection capabilities through partnerships with training centers, which is expected to boost future shipments [3]. - Lingyi iTech anticipates humanoid robot orders to reach Rmb1 billion in 2025, with a target to grow revenue to Rmb10 billion by 2030 [4]. - Leader Drive expects its humanoid robot product shipments to at least double in 2026, driven by aggressive production guidance from key customers [5]. - Rongtai is expanding its micro ball screw capacity to support a leading US humanoid robot maker's production ramp-up to 3,000 units per week by Q1 2026 [5]. Summary by Company Orbbec - Revenue growth from Rmb1 million in 2024 to Rmb10 million in 2025, with a potential increase to Rmb100-200 million in 2026 [2]. UBTECH - Main products include Walker S1/S2 for industrial applications, with a forecast of humanoid robot shipments reaching at least 500 in 2025 and 2,000 in 2026 [9]. Lingyi iTech - Aims for humanoid robot revenue of Rmb10 billion by 2030, with significant orders expected in 2025 [4]. Leader Drive - Approximately 20% of revenue in 9M25 came from humanoid robot products, with expectations for significant growth in 2026 [5]. Rongtai - Preparing to support a production increase to 3,000 humanoid robots per week by Q1 2026, with plans to expand capacity to 5,000 per week by the end of 2026 [5].

November 19, 2025 04:12 PM GMT China International Capital Corp. Ltd. | Asia Pacific Proposed Merger Could Strengthen Wealth Management Franchise and Capital Base Key Takeaways Cinda and Dongxing's smaller size and complementary business mix are opportunities to extract synergy. Combined, the two brokers's total assets were ~Rmb244bn as of September 2025 vs. CICC at Rmb765bn. The two brokers are focused primarily on retail brokerage, with ~35% of revenue from brokerage fees and margin interests and ~50% rev ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for China Pacific Insurance is "Buy" with a target price of HK$40.50, implying an expected share price return of 17.7% and an expected total return of 21.3% [5][8]. Core Insights - The growth for 2026 is anticipated to be driven by both agency and banca channels, with the banca channel expected to achieve 20-30% year-on-year growth due to increased collaboration with state-owned banks [2]. - The company plans to shift its product strategy towards protection products in 2026, anticipating a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8-15% in the health insurance space over the next 3-5 years [4]. - The dividend per share (DPS) growth is linked to operating profit after tax (OPAT) growth, with management expecting single-digit OPAT growth in the coming three years [5][7]. Summary by Sections Growth Channels - Management expects single-digit growth in regular first-year premiums (FYP) from the agency channel, while the banca channel is projected to grow by 20-30% year-on-year [2]. - The agency channel's productivity has seen a double-digit uplift, contributing over 90% to the agency channel's new business value (NBV) [2]. Investment Portfolio - The sector allocation among high dividend stocks is well diversified, with 7-9% in banks, transportation, urban public utilities, telecom, metals, and oil and gas sectors, and 5-6% in food and beverage and utilities sectors [3]. - H shares account for approximately 20-30% of total equity investments, representing a low single-digit percentage of the total investment portfolio [3]. Product Strategy - The shift towards protection products is driven by the lack of anticipated pricing rate cuts and regulatory guidance on health insurance development [4]. - There is potential for growth in critical illness (CI) product sales by increasing the sum insured, as these products are long-term plans [4]. Valuation - The target price of HK$40.50 is derived using a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) approach, projecting a first-stage growth of 13% over three years, followed by 5% and a terminal growth of 2% [8].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for China Tourism Group Duty Free Corp (CTGDF) [4] Core Insights - Encouraging sales trends have emerged since the new duty-free policy took effect on November 1, with Hainan offshore duty-free sales increasing by 34.86% year-on-year during the first week of November [1][2] - The online platform in Hainan saw a significant growth in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) of 40.4% during the Double 11 shopping festival, indicating a positive shift in consumer behavior [1][2] - The number of buyers has shown positive growth, particularly in categories such as mobile phones and gold accessories, suggesting a recovery in consumer spending [2] - Management expresses confidence in peak season performance, supported by new policies, marketing campaigns, and concert events in Hainan [2] Sales Performance - Hainan offshore duty-free sales reached Rmb506 million during the first week of November, with a notable increase in per capita spending by 30.5% year-on-year [2] - Daily sales exceeded Rmb100 million on November 11, indicating strong consumer engagement during the shopping festival [2] - The growth in sales is attributed to a combination of new policies, a wealth effect, and a low base from the previous year [1] Pricing Strategy - The company has adopted a less aggressive pricing discount strategy this year, focusing on balancing gross profit margin (GPM) and sales [2] - Over 200 popular cosmetics SKUs are offered weekly, with 80% having a price advantage compared to competitors [2] Category Performance - The cosmetics category has shown recovery, with positive growth since Q3 2025, while luxury goods performance remains mixed [3] - The watch category has lagged, whereas gold & jewelry and boutique categories have experienced growth [3] Valuation - The DCF-based target price for CTGDF is set at Rmb78, reflecting the long-term structural growth potential of its duty-free business [6]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for JCET Group with a target price of Rmb42, indicating an expected share price return of 9.8% and a total expected return of 10.1% [6][8]. Core Insights - JCET management is optimistic about growth in computing and automotive sectors, despite facing near-term volatility due to resource adjustments [1]. - The company is strategically reallocating resources from legacy RF SiP orders to focus on new opportunities, including edge AI and power modules [4]. - The outlook for 2026 is strong, driven by increasing memory demand and high-performance computing (HPC) capacity, particularly in the automotive sector, which saw over 130% year-on-year revenue growth in the first nine months of 2025 [5]. Revenue Mix - The revenue mix for 3Q25 is as follows: Communication (35%), Consumer (27%), Computing (20%), Industrial/Medical (9%), and Automotive (10%) [2]. Capacity Utilization - Overall capacity utilization rate (UTR) reached 80% in 3Q25 and is expected to improve to 80%-85% in 4Q25, with domestic capacities nearly fully utilized [3]. Strategic Focus - JCET is reducing some legacy orders to focus on developing future opportunities, which management believes will lead to higher revenue and profitability in the long term [4]. Growth Expectations - The demand for computing is robust, driven by domestic HPC needs, and automotive revenue is expected to continue growing with new capacity coming online [5].