顺丰同城（9699.HK）事件点评 最后一公里配送需求超预期，上修年度关联交易额上限 2025 年 06 月 16 日 ➢ 事件概述：2025 年 6 月 13 日，为满足最后一公里配送服务增加的需求， 公司拟修订截至 2025 年及 2026 年 12 月 31 日止年度提供最后一公里配送服务 的原年度上限。修订后 2025 和 2026 年的关连交易年度上限分别为 128.45 和 205.51 亿元，同比分别为+101.7%和+60.0%，较原关联金额上限分别增长 33.90 和 82.81 亿元，较原关联交易金额上限分别+35.9%和+67.5%。 ➢ 修订原因：1）最后一公里配送服务的需求增速超预期，2024 年历史交易金 额达 63.69 亿元，较 2023 年历史交易金额 47.77 亿元，同比+33.3%，关联交 易金额实现快速增长； 2）公司的弹性运力网络及强劲的交付能力能更好满足客户的最后一公里配送需 求，继而实现最后一公里配送服务收入的快速提升。业务收入快速提升主要得益 于：a）公司通过发展电商退货上门揽收的能力，积极把握电商平台退货率提升； b）持续扩张服务网络、骑手团队并渗透至下沉市 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨香港交易所（0388.HK） [Table_Title] 港交所 5 月跟踪：市场热度仍处高位，IPO 大幅 回暖贡献业绩增量 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 截止 5 月底，公司 PE 为 35.45x，处于 2016 年以来历史 44%的分位，具备一定的配置性价 比，预计伴随互联互通政策持续加码香港资本市场，港股市场流动性将持续抬升，市场整体活 跃度及估值有望随之提升。预计公司 2025-2027 年实现收入及其他收益 298/310/325 亿港元， 归母净利润为 179/186/196 亿港元，对应 PE 估值分别为 29.2/28.0/26.6 倍，给予买入评级。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 程泽宇 SAC：S0490519080007 SAC：S0490524090001 SFC：BUV596 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 香港交易所（0388.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 港交所 5 月跟踪：市场热度仍处高位， 2] IPO 大 ...

12 June 2025 | 11:01PM HKT Sunny Optical (2382.HK): May shipment: Handset lens -5% MoM, Vehicle lens -7% MoM; Camera modules -4% MoM; Neutral Verena Jeng +852-2978-1681 | verena.jeng@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Ting Song +852-2978-6466 | ting.song@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Exhibit 1: Sunny Optical monthly shipment YoY by product -100% -50% 0% 50% 100% 150% 200% Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18 Feb-19 Aug-19 Feb-20 Aug-20 Feb-21 Aug-21 Feb-22 Aug-22 Feb-23 Aug-23 Feb-24 Aug-24 Feb-25 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of HKD 2.67 per share, based on the company's strong growth potential in gold mining and favorable market conditions [3][6]. Core Insights - The company has shown significant growth in gold production and profitability, with a projected increase in gold output to 2.5 tons in 2024, marking a historic high for the company [1][3]. - The company benefits from high-grade gold mines, with a total gold resource of 55 tons and an average grade of 8.26 g/t, indicating strong potential for both organic and external growth [2][28]. - The company's revenue is expected to grow significantly, with forecasts of net profit reaching HKD 681 million in 2025, driven by increased gold production and favorable gold prices [3][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has been in operation for nearly ten years, officially entering the gold mining business in 2017 through acquisitions of several mining companies [1][9]. - The company completed a significant acquisition in July 2023, which is expected to lead to a leap in gold production [1][9]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of HKD 1.513 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.19%, primarily due to a reduction in gold recycling business [3][17]. - The gold mining segment saw revenue growth from HKD 582 million to HKD 1.229 billion, contributing significantly to overall profits [3][17]. - The net profit for 2024 is projected to increase by 250% to HKD 198 million, driven by higher gold prices and production [3][17]. Resource and Growth Potential - As of the end of 2024, the company holds a total gold resource of 55 tons, with the highest grade found in the Subei County mine at 10.21 g/t [2][28]. - The company has significant exploration potential in both the Tongguan and Subei mining areas, with ongoing efforts to convert exploration licenses into production [2][28]. - The company is positioned to benefit from local government initiatives aimed at consolidating mining resources and promoting efficient mining practices [51][52]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with forecasts indicating net profits of HKD 681 million, HKD 843 million, and HKD 1.085 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [3][5]. - The anticipated increase in gold production and favorable market conditions are expected to drive revenue growth, with a projected increase in earnings per share (EPS) from HKD 0.15 in 2025 to HKD 0.25 in 2027 [3][5].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform the Market" [5][3]. Core Views - The company's revenue for the fiscal year 2025 was HKD 89.556 billion, a decrease of 17.75% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was HKD 5.916 billion, down 8.98% year-on-year. The decline in revenue was primarily due to high gold prices suppressing end demand and losses from gold lending contracts. However, after excluding the impact of fair value changes in gold lending, the operating profit was HKD 14.746 billion, reflecting a strong operational resilience with a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [1][9]. - The retail value decline narrowed to 1.7% year-on-year in April-May, compared to a 11.6% decline in January-March. Notably, same-store sales of gold jewelry and products in mainland China (excluding Hong Kong, Macau, and Taiwan) achieved a positive growth of 0.9% [1][9]. - The company has seen a significant increase in high-margin priced products, with revenue from priced gold jewelry products growing by 105.5% year-on-year to HKD 12.782 billion, accounting for 14.6% of total retail sales, an increase of 8.8 percentage points [2][11]. - The average monthly sales per store exceeded HKD 10 million, up from HKD 9 million the previous year, despite a net closure of 905 stores, bringing the total to 6,644 stores [2][11]. Financial Summary - The company's gross margin for fiscal year 2025 was 29.5%, an increase of 5.5 percentage points year-on-year, benefiting from a higher proportion of high-margin priced products and rising gold prices. The sales expense ratio was 9.7%, up 0.95 percentage points, influenced by declining revenue and increased marketing expenses [2][15]. - The company forecasts net profits for fiscal years 2026 and 2027 to be HKD 7.062 billion and HKD 8.104 billion, respectively, with a new forecast for fiscal year 2028 at HKD 9.049 billion, corresponding to P/E ratios of 18.3, 16, and 14.3 times [3][19].

证券研究报告 | 2025年06月15日 华虹半导体（01347.HK） 优于大市 国内外客户持续扩展，12 英寸放量规模稳步提升 1Q25 毛利率与收入符合指引，2Q25 预期保持平稳。公司发布未经审核业绩： 1Q25实现销售收入5.41 亿美元(YoY+17.6%，QoQ +0.33%)，符合指引（5.3-5.5 亿美元），毛利率为 9.2%(YoY +2.8pct，QoQ -2.2pct)，符合指引(9%-11%)， 由于第二条 12 英寸产线扩建所带来折旧增加等因素影响，1Q25 毛利率环比 回落。公司预计 2Q25 收入约 5.5-5.7 亿美元，毛利率 7%-9%，整体保持平稳。 产能利用率保持高位，有望迎来价格端稳步修复。截至 1Q25 末，公司月产 能折合 8 英寸为 413 千片，1Q25 付运晶圆折合 8 英寸为 1231 千片(YoY +20.0%，QoQ+1.5%)，产能利用率 102.7%(YoY+11.0pct，QoQ-0.5pct)保持稳 定。目前公司平均晶圆价格仍处历史地位，稼动率多季度保持满载，根据公 司投资者交流公告，随着下游需求稳步修复，公司预计价格有望逐步回升。 下游应 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is not explicitly stated in the provided documents, but the report indicates a positive outlook on the company's performance in the context of its market position and growth potential [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that Sensible Holdings, as a leading functional sofa manufacturer, is progressing steadily with stable domestic sales and continued growth in international sales [1]. - For FY2025, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 16.903 billion, a decrease of 8.2% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of HKD 2.063 billion, down 10.4% year-on-year [1]. - The report emphasizes the company's focus on enhancing its marketing strategies and product channels to improve domestic sales performance [2]. - The international market, particularly non-US regions, showed promising growth, with FY2025 international sales revenue reaching HKD 6.666 billion, an increase of 8.3% year-on-year [3]. Summary by Sections Domestic Sales - In FY2025, domestic market revenue was HKD 9.927 billion, down 17.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 40.4% [2]. - Offline store revenue was HKD 6.799 billion (down 16.6%), while e-commerce revenue was HKD 2.193 billion (down 16.3%) [2]. - Sofa and related products generated HKD 6.584 billion (down 15.4%), and mattress and related products generated HKD 2.408 billion (down 19.4%) [2]. - The company sold 1.001 million sofas (down 10.6%) at an average price of HKD 6,574.4 (down 5.4%) [2]. - The company plans to enhance store management systems to improve key performance indicators for dealers [2]. International Sales - FY2025 international sales revenue was HKD 6.666 billion, with North America contributing HKD 4.420 billion (up 3.2%) and Europe and other regions contributing HKD 1.469 billion (up 22.9%) [3]. - The gross margin for international sales was 41.5%, an increase of 4.4 percentage points year-on-year [3]. - Sofa sales in North America reached 702,500 units (up 10.6%), while European sales reached 181,000 units (up 23.3%) [3]. - The report indicates that the company's production capacity in Mexico and Vietnam is sufficient to cover the US market, with minimal tariff impact [3]. Profitability and Shareholder Returns - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for FY2025 were 40.5% and 13.9%, respectively, both showing year-on-year improvements [3]. - The dividend payout ratio for FY2025 was 50.8%, reflecting a commitment to high shareholder returns [3]. - The report notes that selling and administrative expense ratios were 22.6%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year, indicating stable expense management [3].

IPO 申购指南 药捷安康-B(02617.HK) 建议谨慎申购 2025-6-13 星期五 | 【招股详情】 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 保荐人 | | | 中信证券、华泰国际 | | | | | 上市日期 | 年 2025 | 6 | 月 23 | | 日(周一) | | | 招股价格 | 13.15 | 港元 | | | | | | 集资额 | 2.0 | | | 亿港元（扣除包销费用和全球发售有关的估计费用） | | | | 每手股数 | 500 股 | | | | | | | 入场费 | 6641 | 港元 | | | | | | 招股日期 | 2025 年 | 6 | 月 13 | 6 月 18 日 | 日-2025 年 | | | 国元证券认购截止日期 | 2025 年 | 6 | 月 17 日 | | | | | 招股总数 | 1528 | | | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权的行使情况而定) | | | | 国际配售 | 1375.25 | | | 万股(可予调整及视乎超额配售权的行使情况而定)，约 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an investment rating of "Outperform" for Chow Tai Fook, expecting a relative return exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% over the next 12-18 months [20]. Core Insights - Chow Tai Fook's revenue for FY2025 was HKD 89.66 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 17.5%, primarily due to weak macroeconomic conditions and gold price fluctuations affecting consumer spending [2][8]. - Despite the revenue decline, the company achieved a gross profit margin increase of 5.5 percentage points to 29.5%, and operating profit rose by 9.8% to HKD 14.75 billion, benefiting from high gold prices and optimized product mix [2][8]. - The management anticipates revenue recovery in FY2026, projecting single to mid-single-digit growth, with same-store sales also expected to improve [2][8]. Revenue and Profitability - The net profit attributable to the parent company decreased by 9.0% to HKD 5.92 billion, mainly due to revaluation losses on gold lending contracts [2][8]. - Chow Tai Fook plans to distribute a final dividend of HKD 0.32 per share, with an annual payout ratio of 87.8%, reflecting strong capital return capabilities [2][8]. Same-Store Sales Performance - Same-store sales faced pressure, with a decline of 19.4% in the mainland market and 26.1% in Hong Kong and Macau for FY2025 [3][9]. - However, there was a notable improvement in the second half of FY2025, with Hong Kong and Macau markets showing a retail sales growth of 6.3% year-on-year in early FY2026 [3][9]. Product Mix and Pricing Strategy - The contribution of priced gold products significantly increased, with a year-on-year revenue growth of 105.5%, while revenue from priced gold products dropped by 29.4% due to gold price fluctuations [4][10]. - The share of retail sales from priced gold products reached 18.6%, up 8.9 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a successful shift in product strategy [4][10]. Store Network Optimization - As of FY2025, Chow Tai Fook operated 6,274 stores in Mainland China, with plans to add 20 new image stores and expand into markets like Singapore and Canada in FY2026 [5][12]. - The company closed 896 stores in Mainland China during FY2025 but opened new image stores in key cities, enhancing its retail presence [5][12].

理想汽车-W(02015) 报告日期：2025 年 06 月 13 日 全新产品周期扬帆，AI 征程启航 ——理想汽车深度报告 投资要点 ❑ 盈利预测与估值： 我们预测 2025 年/2026 年 L 系列销量分别为 51.3 万/50.8 万辆；纯电系列销量为 8.5 万辆/22.9 万辆；预计 2025-2027 年公司总营收分别为 1700.09/2255.53/2907.42 亿元人民币，归母净利润为 89.89/149.26/195.33 亿元，同比增速为 11.9%、 66.1%、30.9%。我们参考可比公司 2026 年平均 PE 为 37 倍，给予理想汽车 2026 年 30 倍估值，并按照 8%折至 2025 年，对应公司目标价为 209.37 港币/股。给予 "买入"评级。 ❑ 风险提示 竞争加剧引发价格战的风险、纯电系列销量不及预期风险、严重的车祸事故引发 的舆论风险。 证券研究报告 | 公司深度 | 乘用车 目前真正跟理想一起在同一价格带拿份额的仅问界，以及潜在的竞争对手小米。 而问界、小米和理想目前均锚定不同的客户群，问界产品定义更偏商务，小米产 品定义更偏个人，而理想产品定义更偏家 ...