Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with expected net profits for 2025, 2026, and 2027 being 50.85 billion, 56.38 billion, and 60.58 billion respectively, indicating significant growth potential [6][8]. Core Insights - The company reported total revenue of 886.75 billion in 2024, a decrease of 10.09% year-on-year, with a net profit of 1.05 billion, down 97.83% [2]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.509 per share, totaling 19.94 billion, with a payout ratio of 45% [2]. - The decline in revenue was primarily due to impairment losses related to Bellamy and the joint venture Modern Dairy, which impacted profits significantly [4]. Revenue Breakdown - In 2024, revenue from liquid milk, ice cream, milk powder, cheese, and other businesses was 730.66 billion, 51.75 billion, 33.20 billion, 43.20 billion, and 27.94 billion respectively, with year-on-year changes of -10.97%, -14.12%, -12.66%, -0.86%, and +17.99% [3]. - The second half of 2024 showed improvements with liquid milk and milk powder revenue declines narrowing, while ice cream and cheese businesses experienced growth [3]. Profitability Analysis - The company's gross margin for 2024 was 39.57%, an increase of 2.42 percentage points year-on-year, mainly due to lower raw milk prices [4]. - The net profit margin was 0.12%, a decrease of 4.76 percentage points, primarily due to significant impairment losses [4]. Strategic Positioning - The company is leveraging its channel advantages and rapidly iterating new products to meet diverse consumer needs, positioning itself for recovery in the liquid milk segment [5]. - The company is expected to further increase its market share in the medium to long term due to its leading channel advantages and swift product innovation [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Views - The company's revenue for 2024 decreased by 7.66% to 2.79 billion, while adjusted net profit fell by 18.56% to 363 million, impacted by the postponement of civil service exams and intensified industry competition [1] - Despite short-term challenges, the long-term outlook remains positive due to strong industry demand and the company's focus on AI-driven efficiency improvements [5] Revenue and Profitability - The training business generated revenue of 2.34 billion in 2024, down 6.9% year-on-year, with online learning products and large classes facing revenue declines due to competition from low-cost courses [2] - The overall gross margin improved by 0.5 percentage points to 52.5%, with training services gross margin rising by 0.6 percentage points to 56.0% [4] - The adjusted net profit for 2025-2027 is projected to be 370 million, 410 million, and 460 million respectively, reflecting growth rates of 3%, 10%, and 11% [5][6] AI Development and Product Offering - The company has expanded its AI product matrix, launching several AI-driven educational tools, including "Chalk AI Teacher" and "AI Teacher Interview Feedback," enhancing user experience and operational efficiency [3] - The company plans to increase AI R&D investment by 30% annually and collaborate with top institutions to develop educational AI models [3] Market Position and Growth Potential - The company benefits from a robust online and offline product offering, with a registered user base of 72.74 million and an average monthly active user count of 9.1 million [2] - The company is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for civil service and skills examination training, maintaining a high level of contract liabilities at approximately 140 million [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][4]. Core Insights - The company achieved a significant revenue growth of 51.8% in 2024, with product revenue increasing by 43.6%, primarily driven by strong sales of its core product, Sintilimab, and the commercialization of new products [3][4]. - The company reported a narrowed net loss of 0.95 billion yuan, a 90.79% improvement year-on-year, and achieved Non-IFRS net profit of 0.33 billion yuan, marking a milestone in profitability [3][4]. - The product portfolio expanded to 15 commercialized products, including three new lung cancer targeted therapies and the world's first non-covalent BTK inhibitor [3][4]. - The company is accelerating its global expansion in the oncology field, with several clinical trials underway for innovative therapies [3][4]. - The report forecasts revenue growth for the company to reach 108.18 billion yuan in 2025, 143.06 billion yuan in 2026, and 200.22 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding net profits of 1.87 billion yuan, 15.17 billion yuan, and 41.06 billion yuan respectively [4][6]. Financial Summary - In 2024, the company reported total revenue of 94.22 billion yuan, with a gross margin of 84.0% and a sales expense ratio of 46.1% [3][4]. - Research and development expenses amounted to 26.81 billion yuan, with cash reserves of 102.21 billion yuan [3][4]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) are expected to improve from -0.06 yuan in 2024 to 2.51 yuan in 2027 [4][6]. - The company's estimated market value range is between 929.56 billion yuan and 1,232.13 billion yuan, translating to approximately 1,007.41 billion to 1,335.31 billion Hong Kong dollars [3][4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting the stock price to outperform the industry index by more than 15% over the next six months [4][17]. Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 5.09 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 53.9%. The adjusted EBITDA reached 960 million yuan, up 42.8% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 480 million yuan, a decrease of 6.3% due to a one-time investment gain in 2023 [1][2]. - The social business segment saw a revenue of 4.63 billion yuan in 2024, growing 58.1% year-on-year, driven by strong performance from late-stage products, with SUGO revenue increasing over 200% and TopTop revenue over 100% [2]. - The company is expected to maintain double-digit growth in revenue from late-stage products and continue investing in these areas, although the sales expense ratio may decrease in 2025, leading to improved product margins [2][3]. Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.51 billion yuan, 7.90 billion yuan, and 9.18 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits of 926 million yuan, 1.17 billion yuan, and 1.40 billion yuan [3]. - The company's P/E ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 8.8, 7.0, and 5.8, respectively, indicating a favorable valuation trend [3][4]. - The company reported a return on equity (ROE) of 31.2% in 2024, with expectations of 37.9% in 2025, reflecting strong profitability [1][3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for TCL Electronics is "Buy" and is maintained [7] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of HKD 99.322 billion in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.7%, and an adjusted net profit of HKD 1.606 billion, reflecting a growth of 100.1% [2][4] - The board has proposed a final cash dividend of HKD 0.318 per share, with a payout ratio of approximately 50.0% of the adjusted net profit [2][4] Revenue and Profitability - In the second half of 2024, the company is projected to generate revenue of HKD 53.828 billion, a year-on-year increase of 22.1%, and an adjusted net profit of HKD 9.52 billion, up 77.0% [2][4] - The gross profit for 2024 is expected to reach HKD 15.554 billion, a 13.8% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 15.7%, down 1.6 percentage points from the previous year [8][11] Business Segments Performance - The display business is anticipated to grow by 23.1% in 2024, while the innovative business is expected to see a significant increase of 37.0% [8][11] - The Mini LED TV segment is projected to have a global shipment of over 1.7 million units in 2024, marking a 194.5% increase year-on-year [8][11] Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a "mid-to-high-end and large-screen" strategy, which has led to a significant improvement in product structure [8][11] - TCL's global brand index for TVs has increased by 5.0% to 89, with leading market shares in regions such as Australia, the Philippines, Myanmar, and Pakistan [8][11] Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its growth trajectory, with projected adjusted net profits of HKD 2.116 billion, HKD 2.489 billion, and HKD 2.881 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][11] - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are forecasted to be 11.16, 9.49, and 8.20 times for the same years [8][11]

| 研究所： | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 证券分析师： | | 刘洁铭 S0350521110006 | | | | liujm@ghzq.com.cn | | 证券分析师： | | 秦一方 S0350523120001 | | | | qinyf@ghzq.com.cn | | 联系人 | ： | 黄诗汶 S0350124040004 | | | | huangsw01@ghzq.com.cn | [Table_Title] 魔芋品类势能向上，全年收入提速 ——卫龙美味（09985）2024 年报点评报告 最近一年走势 2025 年 04 月 01 日 公司研究 评级：增持(首次覆盖) | 相对恒生指数表现 | | | 2025/03/31 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | 卫龙美味 | 57.2% | 111.4% | 190.6% | | 恒生指数 | 0.8% | 15.3% | 39.8% | | 市场数据 | | | 2025/03/31 | | 当前价格（港元） | | | 15.22 | | 周 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for NetEase-S (09999.HK) [1] Core Views - The strong recovery in PC gaming has led to a positive turnaround in gaming revenue, with the game "Marvel Duel" exceeding expectations [2][22] - The company is expected to continue its growth in gaming revenue in Q1, driven by new product launches [3][23] - The valuation model suggests a target price range of HKD 175-207 for 2025, based on a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) valuation approach [4] Financial Performance Summary - For the full year, gaming and related services generated revenue of CNY 836 billion, a year-over-year increase of 2.5%, with PC game revenue at CNY 219.46 billion (up 16.56%) and mobile game revenue at CNY 584.96 billion (up 2.7%) [2][22] - In Q4, gaming and related services revenue reached CNY 212 billion (up 1.54% year-over-year), with online gaming revenue at CNY 205.41 billion (up 5.12%) [2][22] - The gross margin for the gaming business in Q4 was 66.70%, reflecting a slight decrease [2][22] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is CNY 311.99 billion, CNY 339.94 billion, and CNY 361.22 billion, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE ratio of 15.0 for 2025, 13.8 for 2026, and 13.0 for 2027 [4] - The report highlights the importance of new product launches for future revenue growth, with several titles in the pipeline [3][23] Key Financial Metrics - Main revenue for 2024 is projected at CNY 105,295 million, with a year-over-year growth rate of 1.8% [5] - Net profit for 2024 is estimated at CNY 29,698 million, with a growth rate of 1.0% [5] - The report indicates a stable financial position with a debt-to-asset ratio of 27.30% [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Insights - The company achieved a revenue of 50.12 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 47.89%, and a net profit of 8.12 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from a loss in 2023 [8] - The company announced its first annual dividend of 0.4 HKD per share, indicating a positive outlook on profitability [8] - The self-developed games have significantly improved gross margins, with a gross margin of 62.56% in 2024, up 15.89 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The TapTap platform showed a notable increase in monthly active users (MAU), reaching 44.05 million in China, a year-on-year growth of 23.03% [8] - The company has effectively controlled costs, leading to a significant increase in net profit margin to 16.19%, up 18.64 percentage points year-on-year [8] Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 50.12 billion yuan in 2024 to 55.28 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3.17% [1] - Net profit is expected to increase from 8.12 billion yuan in 2024 to 11.61 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting a CAGR of about 8.54% [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 1.65 yuan in 2024 to 2.36 yuan in 2027 [1] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 18.26 in 2024 to 12.76 in 2027, indicating improving valuation metrics [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - The company continues to solidify its wealth management business while maintaining its leading position in investment banking despite facing pressure across various business lines. The long-term outlook remains positive due to its strong fee-based services and balance sheet management capabilities, which are expected to enhance ROE steadily through client-driven and wealth management businesses [2][10]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 21.33 billion and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 5.69 billion, reflecting year-on-year declines of 7.2% and 7.5% respectively. The weighted average return on equity (ROE) decreased by 0.91 percentage points to 5.52% [6][10]. - Revenue breakdown by business lines includes brokerage at 4.26 billion, investment banking at 3.09 billion, asset management at 1.21 billion, and proprietary trading at 10.11 billion, with year-on-year changes of -5.9%, -16.4%, -0.3%, and -4.5% respectively [10]. Wealth Management and Client Base - The company has nearly 8.5 million wealth management clients, with client account assets reaching 3.18 trillion, a year-on-year increase of 10.4%. The product scale of wealth management has seen continuous growth over five years, now nearing 370 billion [10]. - The company’s financial product distribution scale and revenue were 274.755 billion and 8.90 billion respectively, showing declines of 19.2% and 29.1% year-on-year [10]. Cross-Border Business and Market Position - The influence of cross-border business continues to grow, with the company maintaining the top market share for QFII clients for 21 consecutive years. It also leads in the Hong Kong stock trading market among Chinese brokers [10]. - The company was recognized as one of the first market makers in the "HKD-CNY dual counter model" and received the "Most Active RMB Counter Market Maker" award from the Hong Kong Stock Exchange, contributing to RMB internationalization [10]. Underwriting and Asset Management - The company remains a leader in equity and bond underwriting, with A-share equity financing of 15.939 billion, down 83% year-on-year, while Hong Kong equity financing reached 5.08 billion USD, up 197% year-on-year [10]. - The domestic bond underwriting scale was 711.224 billion, a slight increase of 0.4% year-on-year, while the overseas bond underwriting scale was 5.266 billion USD, up 61.5% year-on-year [10]. Asset Expansion and Investment Returns - The company’s financial asset scale increased by 3.9% year-on-year to 363.877 billion, with an estimated investment return rate of 2.78%, down 0.25 percentage points [10]. - Long-term prospects remain optimistic, with expected net profits for 2025 and 2026 at 6.547 billion and 7.303 billion respectively, corresponding to H-share P/E ratios of 10.32 and 9.25, and P/B ratios of 0.55 and 0.52 [10].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a previous rating of "Buy" as well [1] Core Insights - The company reported a main business revenue of 86.4 billion RMB in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 7.7%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 67.3% to 1.04 billion RMB, primarily due to a decline in settlement profit margins and increased impairment losses [4][7] - The company aims for a sales target of 120.5 billion RMB in 2025, reflecting a 5.2% increase from the actual sales in 2024 [7] Financial Performance - The company's main business revenue is projected to grow from 86.4 billion RMB in 2024 to 91.7 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 6.14% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to decline to 956 million RMB in 2025, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.08% [6] - The company’s diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.24 RMB, with a corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 20.94 times [6] Sales and Market Position - In 2024, the company achieved a sales volume of 114.5 billion RMB, marking a 19.4% decrease year-on-year, but it ranked 8th among real estate companies, entering the top 10 for the first time [7][28] - The average selling price in 2024 was 29,206 RMB per square meter, down 8.5% from the previous year [33] Land Acquisition and Development - The company focused on acquiring land in core first and second-tier cities, with over 70% of new land reserves located in first-tier cities [7] - In 2024, the company acquired 24 plots of land across 8 cities, with a total land reserve of 271 million square meters, a decrease of 44.8% year-on-year [7] Financial Health - As of the end of 2024, the company had cash and cash equivalents of 29.7 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [25] - The company’s total interest-bearing debt was 103.89 billion RMB, a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year, with a net debt ratio of 71.3% [19][23]