Core Viewpoint - Livestock stocks have collectively risen, with significant gains observed in companies such as YouRan Agriculture, Modern Farming, and China Shengmu, indicating a positive market sentiment despite recent price adjustments in the sector [1][1][1] Group 1: Stock Performance - YouRan Agriculture (09858) increased by 6.71%, trading at HKD 3.34 [1] - Modern Farming (01117) rose by 4.2%, trading at HKD 1.24 [1] - China Shengmu (01432) and Original Ecological Agriculture (01431) also saw gains of 1.45% and 1.82%, respectively [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - CITIC Securities reported that the recent slowdown in the reduction of dairy cow inventory has led to a temporary price correction in livestock stocks, but this will not disrupt the underlying cyclical logic of the industry [1][1] - The dairy cow inventory is expected to continue its downward trend, with the turning point for raw milk prices approaching as seasonal demand weakens and operational pressures on farms increase [1][1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicated that the current phase of dairy cow capacity reduction may be nearing its end, with Q3 silage procurement potentially accelerating the clearing of marginal stocks [1] - Raw milk prices are anticipated to bottom out and rebound, while beef prices may also see a turning point, although various factors such as funding, confidence, and environmental regulations could impact the pace of restocking [1][1] - Companies with cow resources or those employing a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to demonstrate stronger profitability [1]

Core Viewpoint - Livestock stocks have collectively risen, with specific companies showing significant gains, indicating a positive market sentiment despite recent price adjustments due to temporary factors [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Yuran Livestock (09858) increased by 6.71%, reaching HKD 3.34 [1] - Modern Farming (01117) rose by 4.2%, priced at HKD 1.24 [1] - Ecological Farming (01431) saw a 1.82% increase, now at HKD 0.28 [1] - China Shengmu (01432) gained 1.45%, trading at HKD 0.35 [1] Group 2: Market Analysis - CITIC Securities reported that the recent slowdown in dairy cow inventory reduction has led to a temporary price adjustment in livestock stocks, but this will not disrupt the underlying cyclical logic [1] - The dairy cow inventory is expected to continue its reduction trend, with the turning point for raw milk prices approaching as seasonal demand weakens and operational pressures on farms increase [1] Group 3: Future Outlook - Tianfeng Securities indicated that the current dairy cow capacity reduction may be nearing its end, with Q3 silage purchases potentially accelerating inventory clearance, leading to a rebound in raw milk prices [1] - Beef prices may also see a turning point, although various factors such as funding, confidence, and environmental regulations may affect the pace of restocking [1] - Companies with cow resources or those employing a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to demonstrate stronger profitability, with recommendations to focus on Yuran Livestock, China Shengmu, Guangming Meat, Modern Farming, and Australia Asia Group [1]

FF301 股份發行人及根據《上市規則》第十九B章上市的香港預託證券發行人的證券變動月報表 截至月份: 2025年9月30日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 中國現代牧業控股有限公司(於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司) 呈交日期: 2025年10月1日 第 2 頁 共 10 頁 v 1.1.1 FF301 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | 不適用 | | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 01117 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 10,000,000,000 | HKD | | 0.1 | HKD | | 1,000,000,000 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | | | | | | HKD | | | | 本月底結存 | | | 10,000, ...

Core Insights - The Chinese dairy industry has significant growth potential due to low per capita consumption compared to global averages and developed countries [3][4] - The government is increasing support for the dairy sector, with substantial financial allocations aimed at expanding production and improving quality [1][2] Industry Development - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs reported a 5.2% year-on-year increase in fresh milk production and an 8.8% increase in dairy product output for the first three quarters of the year [1] - The average milk yield per cow increased by 400 kg to 7.8 tons, with large-scale farms achieving quality levels comparable to developed countries [1] - The revenue from large-scale dairy farming has rebounded to approximately 3,000 yuan per cow annually [1] Consumption Trends - Liquid milk sales grew by 7.1% year-on-year last year, while domestic infant formula sales surged from 14.5% to 21% [1] - The current consumption structure shows a predominance of liquid milk over dry dairy products, contrasting with developed countries where the ratio is approximately 7:3 [2][4] - Per capita dairy consumption in China is only one-third of the world average, half of that of developing countries, and one-seventh of developed dairy nations, indicating substantial room for growth [2][3] Challenges in Production - The competitiveness of domestic dairy farming is hindered by higher production costs, with feed prices approximately 60% above international averages [2][5] - The average scale of dairy farms is small, with many farms operating below optimal efficiency, leading to higher costs and reduced pricing power [5][6] Future Industry Direction - The focus on "scale" and "cost reduction" in dairy farming is expected to enhance industry concentration and profitability for leading companies [6] - The government aims to address production and consumption issues through a collaborative approach involving government guidance and enterprise participation [2] Investment Opportunities - Modern Dairy (01117.HK) is identified as a leading raw milk producer, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from milk sales [7] - China Shengmu (01432.HK) is noted for its organic milk production and has expanded into raw milk processing [8] - Major players like Mengniu (02319.HK) and Yili (600887.SH) are diversifying into new product categories beyond liquid milk, positioning themselves for future growth [9][10]

智通财经APP获悉，9月26日，标普全球CSA发布了现代牧业(01117)2025年度全球企业可持续发展评估 结果，现代牧业ESG得分为71分，较上年得分（57分）显著提升25%。在环境（E）、社会（S）及治理 （G）三大维度上，现代牧业均展现出全面进步，各板块得分持续增长。这一成果充分印证了公司在 ESG领域的卓越实力，夯实了其作为中国奶牛养殖行业可持续发展领军者的地位。优异成绩的取得得益 于现代牧业在以下三大领域的长期优化与持续创新。 | Explore S&P Global | | | | | Q Seeith | 13 Batipbir | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Who We Are V | Who We Serve V | Solutions V | | | | | | China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. ESG Score | | | | | | | | The SAP-Global ESO Score cannot be compand across industries. It measures ...

Investment Rating - The report provides various investment ratings for companies in the consumer staples sector, with "Outperform" ratings for several companies including China Feihe, Haidilao, and China Resources Beer, while Budweiser APAC is rated "Neutral" [1]. Core Insights - The overall cost indices for six categories of consumer goods showed mixed trends, indicating stability in the market. Spot cost indices for soft drinks, beer, instant noodles, dairy products, frozen foods, and seasonings changed by +0.97%, +0.51%, +0.26%, -0.13%, -0.44%, and -0.57% respectively, while futures cost indices changed by -1.08%, +1.06%, -1.06%, -1.67%, -0.78%, and -0.06% respectively [31][32][33][34][35][36][37]. Summary by Category Beer - The spot cost index for beer increased by 0.51% month-on-month, while the futures index rose by 1.06%. Year-to-date, the spot and futures indices have decreased by 3.71% and 4.95% respectively [12][32]. Seasonings - The spot cost index for seasonings decreased by 0.57% month-on-month, while the futures index fell by 0.06%. Year-to-date, the indices have changed by -2.41% and -6.71% respectively [15][33]. Dairy Products - The spot cost index for dairy products decreased by 0.13% month-on-month, while the futures index fell by 1.67%. Year-to-date, the indices have changed by -3.36% and -3.93% respectively [18][34]. Instant Noodles - The spot cost index for instant noodles increased by 0.26% month-on-month, while the futures index decreased by 1.06%. Year-to-date, the indices have changed by -3.23% and -6.06% respectively [22][35]. Frozen Foods - The spot cost index for frozen foods decreased by 0.44% month-on-month, while the futures index fell by 0.78%. Year-to-date, the indices have changed by -2.3% and -3.37% respectively [25][36]. Soft Drinks - The spot cost index for soft drinks rose by 0.97% month-on-month, while the futures index fell by 1.08%. Year-to-date, the indices have changed by -4.19% and -10.86% respectively [28][37].

China Modern Dairy Holdings Ltd. 中國現代牧業控股有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1117） 董事名單及其角色與職能 中 國 現 代 牧 業 控 股 有 限 公 司 董 事（「董 事」）會（「董事會」）於 二 零 二 五 年 十 月 一 日 生 效的成員名單載列如下。 附註： 孫玉剛先生 （總裁） 朱曉輝先生 （首席財務官） C： 相關董事委員會主席 M： 相關董事委員會成員 獨立非執行董事 李勝利先生 （首席獨立非執行董事） 李港衛先生 周明笙先生 香港，二零二五年九月三十日 非執行董事 陳易一先生 （董事會主席） 張平先生 溫永平先生 甘璐女士 董事會下設五個委員會。每個委員會組成載列如下： | 董事委員會 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | 戰略及發展 | 可持續發展 | | 董 事 | 審核委員會 | 提名委員會 | 薪酬委員會 | 委員會 | 委員會 | | 陳易一先生 | | C | | C | | | 張平先生 | M | | M | | | | 溫永平先生 ...

Core Viewpoint - The livestock sector in Hong Kong has experienced significant gains, with multiple companies showing substantial stock price increases on September 30. Group 1: Company Performance - YouRan Agriculture (09858.HK) saw a stock price increase of 10.26%, reaching HKD 3.33 [1] - China Shengmu (01432.HK) rose by 9.23%, with a stock price of HKD 0.355 [1] - Original Ecology Agriculture (01431.HK) increased by 3.39%, trading at HKD 0.305 [1] - Modern Agriculture (01117.HK) experienced a rise of 2.36%, with a stock price of HKD 1.3 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The livestock stocks are experiencing significant gains, with companies like Yuran Dairy, China Shengmu, and others seeing substantial increases in their share prices due to favorable market conditions and strategic agreements [1] Company Summaries - Yuran Dairy (09858) shares rose by 10.26%, reaching HKD 3.33 [1] - China Shengmu (01432) shares increased by 9.23%, reaching HKD 0.355 [1] - Original Ecology Dairy (01431) shares went up by 3.39%, reaching HKD 0.305 [1] - Modern Dairy (01117) shares rose by 2.36%, reaching HKD 1.3 [1] Industry Insights - Original Ecology Dairy announced an agreement with its controlling shareholder, China Feihe, to supply raw milk from 2026 to 2028, with proposed annual sales caps of RMB 3.1 billion, RMB 3.4 billion, and RMB 3.7 billion, which would account for 96% of total revenue [1] - The price of raw milk is expected to be no less than that offered to independent third-party customers [1] - Tianfeng Securities indicated that the current dairy cow capacity reduction may be nearing its end, with Q3 silage purchases potentially accelerating the clearing process, leading to a rebound in raw milk prices [1] - Beef prices may be at a turning point, but various factors such as funding, confidence, and environmental concerns could affect the willingness to restock, impacting future price increases [1] - Companies with cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability [1] - Suggested companies to watch include Yuran Dairy, China Shengmu, Guangming Meat Industry, Modern Dairy, and Aoyuan Group [1]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the rising stock prices of dairy companies, with significant increases observed in shares of YouRan Dairy, China Shengmu, and others [1] - YouRan Dairy's stock rose by 10.26% to HKD 3.33, while China Shengmu increased by 9.23% to HKD 0.355, indicating strong market interest in the sector [1] - Original Ecology Dairy announced a supply agreement with its controlling shareholder, China Feihe, for raw milk from 2026 to 2028, with proposed annual sales caps of RMB 3.1 billion, RMB 3.4 billion, and RMB 3.7 billion, representing 96% of total revenue [1] Group 2 - Tianfeng Securities noted that the current dairy cow capacity reduction may be nearing its end, with Q3 silage purchases potentially accelerating the clearing of marginal costs, leading to a rebound in raw milk prices [1] - Beef prices may be at an inflection point, but various factors such as funding, confidence, and environmental concerns could affect the willingness to restock, impacting future price increases [1] - Companies with cow resources or those adopting a "milk-meat linkage" model are expected to have stronger profitability, with recommendations to focus on YouRan Dairy, China Shengmu, Guangming Meat, Modern Dairy, and Aoyuan Group [1]