港航板块全面发力，交运基础设施估值修复 20260303 摘要 霍尔木兹海峡实质性关闭已成事实，3 月 2 日通行量由百余航次骤降至 5 航次，预计未来 2-4 周冲突烈度持续高位，航道阻断短期难以缓解。 油气运输受海峡依赖度最高，原油/LPG/成品油贸易占比分别约 38%/ 29%/19%；管道替代缺口有限，全球约 20%原油贸易面临中断风险。 油运运价飙升，中东线报价超 42 万美元/天但有价无市，巴西/美湾线分 别升至 26 万/22 万美元/天；若绕行好望角，航程将增加约 10 天。 港口板块具备"战略资产重估+提价逻辑+外资流入"支撑，估值处于 10 倍低位，推荐集装箱及海外资产占比高的招商港口、中远海运港口。 集运远期受红海恢复推迟支撑，估值有上修空间；干散货与特种船受直 接影响较小；红利资产（高速/铁路）当前以防御属性的相对收益为主。 航空板块春运收益企稳回升，客流同比增约 7%，票价涨约 5%；但中东 局势推升油价成核心压制变量，油价每升 1%影响大航盈利约 4 亿。 Q&A 截至 2026 年 3 月 3 日 20:00，中东局势升级的阶段性进展如何，未来 2~4 周的演化情形与航道风险如何 ...

法定/註冊股份數目 面值 法定/註冊股本 上月底結存 1,165,600,000 RMB 1 RMB 1,165,600,000 增加 / 減少 (-) RMB 本月底結存 1,165,600,000 RMB 1 RMB 1,165,600,000 截至月份: 2026年2月28日 狀態: 新提交 致：香港交易及結算所有限公司 公司名稱: 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司（於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） 呈交日期: 2026年3月2日 I. 法定/註冊股本變動 FF301 | 1. 股份分類 | 普通股 | 股份類別 | H | | 於香港聯交所上市 (註1) | | 是 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 證券代號 (如上市) | 00995 | 說明 | | | | | | | | | | 法定/註冊股份數目 | | | 面值 | | 法定/註冊股本 | | | 上月底結存 | | | 542,991,889 | RMB | | 1 RMB | | 542,991,889 | | 增加 / 減少 (-) | | ...

交通运输 2026 年投资策略：高速公路：高股息再入配置 区间，静待政策催化 20260226 摘要 高速公路行业呈现国资主导和区域垄断特征，95%的上市公司为央国企， 多数省份仅有一家上市平台。路网稀缺性和替代性弱，以及政府对公路 规划、收费的审批，体现了其公共事业属性。 行业进入存量运营成熟期，投资和增长放缓。2024 年全国高速公路里 程同比增长仅 4%，固定资产投资连续两年下降。2025 年上半年板块收 入同比略微下滑 3%，归母净利润小幅增长 3%，整体运行平稳。 高速公路板块具备重资产、高折旧、强现金流、弱周期性等"类债券" 属性，为高分红奠定基础。近五年板块经营性现金流占营业收入比重维 持在 35%—45%之间，2025 年上半年接近 43%。 通行费收入是研究核心，收费能力可用"单公里收入"衡量，主要由车 流量驱动。区位选择关键在于是否靠近核心城市与核心通道。 聚焦收费公路主业的公司经营更稳定，辅业盈利波动较大，对 ROE 未必 有明显提升。成本端应关注建造成本，过高造价可能拖累项目长期回报 率。财务费用率下降为经营带来利润弹性。 Q&A 如何概括高速公路板块 2026 年投资策略的核心判断、 ...

申万宏源研究指出，安徽皖通高速公路核心路产立足长三角，外延内伸推动业绩高增。从行业角度，选 取深高速H、广深铁路H、港铁公司作为可比公司，2026年可比公司平均PE估值倍数为11x，前文提到 皖通高速资产优质，区位优势明显，主要经营区域位于中国最具经济活力的长三角地区，结合公司盈利 能力位居行业前列，具备较强的稳定性，该行认为皖通高速H 2026年合理估值应为11x，较H股2026年2 月24日204亿元人民币市值相比仍有5.13%的上涨空间，因此给予"增持"评级。 ...

上 市 公 司 交通运输 2026 年 02 月 25 日 安徽皖通高速公路 (00995) ——长三角一体化赋能流量增长，外延并购持续扩张 投资要点： | 单位：百万元，人民币 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 6,631 | 7,092 | 7,147 | 7,228 | 7,267 | | 收入增长率（%） | 27.4 | 6.9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | | 归属普通股东净利润 | 1,658 | 1,671 | 1,955 | 2,002 | 2,119 | | 归属普通股东净利润增 | 14.7 | 0.8 | 17.0 | 2.4 | 5.8 | | 长率（%） | | | | | | | 每股收益（元/股） | 1.00 | 1.01 | 1.14 | 1.17 | 1.24 | | 毛利率（%） | 39.1 | 34.1 | 37.9 | 38.1 | 39.4 | | ROE（%） | 13.1 | 12.5 | 14.6 | 1 ...

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告之內容概不負責，對其準確性或 完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示，概不對因本公告全部或任何部份內容而產生或因倚賴該 等內容而引致之任何損失承擔任何責任。 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司 ANHUI EXPRESSWAY COMPANY LIMITED （於中華人民共和國註冊成立的股份有限公司） （股份編號： 995） 海外監管公告 本公告乃根據香港聯合交易所有限公司證券上市規則第13.10(B)條而作出。 茲載列安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司（「本公司」）在上海證券交易所網站發佈的 公告如下，僅供參閱。 （1）公司債券「25皖通V1」2026年付息公告 （2）公司債券「25皖通V2」2026年付息公告 承董事會命 安徽皖通高速公路股份有限公司 公司秘書 簡雪艮 2026年2月12日 中國安徽省合肥市 截止本公告日，本公司董事會成員包括執行董事汪小文（主席）、余泳及陳季平；非 執行董事楊旭東及楊建國；獨立非執行董事章劍平、盧太平及趙建莉；以及職工董 事吳長明。 债券代码:242467.SH 本期债券付息情况如下: 1、债券代码:242467.SH 2、债券简称 ...

Core Insights - Tencent Holdings (00700), Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033), and Xiaomi Group-W (01810) ranked as the top three in net inflow of southbound funds, with net inflows of 1.792 billion, 0.571 billion, and 0.412 billion respectively [1] - The top three in net outflow of southbound funds were Yingfu Fund (02800), Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828), and Kuaishou-W (01024), with net outflows of -4.553 billion, -1.380 billion, and -0.576 billion respectively [1] - In terms of net inflow ratio, Huaxia Hang Seng Technology (03088), Southern East Selection (03441), and Anhui Wantuo Expressway (00995) led the market with ratios of 90.53%, 74.02%, and 68.27% respectively [1] - The top three in net outflow ratio were Southern Hong Kong Stock Connect (03432), Fuyao Glass (06865), and Baize Medical (02609) with ratios of -100.00%, -59.27%, and -53.09% respectively [1] Net Inflow Rankings - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 1.792 billion, representing a 12.21% increase, closing at 560.000 (+2.28%) [2] - Southern Hang Seng Technology (03033) saw a net inflow of 0.571 billion, with a 6.77% increase, closing at 5.300 (+1.34%) [2] - Xiaomi Group-W (01810) recorded a net inflow of 0.412 billion, with a 9.45% increase, closing at 35.200 (+0.06%) [2] Net Outflow Rankings - Yingfu Fund (02800) experienced the highest net outflow of -4.553 billion, with a -22.13% decrease, closing at 27.220 (+1.72%) [2] - Hang Seng China Enterprises (02828) had a net outflow of -1.380 billion, representing an -11.37% decrease, closing at 93.940 (+1.56%) [2] - Kuaishou-W (01024) faced a net outflow of -0.576 billion, with a -10.25% decrease, closing at 69.300 (-2.74%) [2] Net Inflow Ratio Rankings - Huaxia Hang Seng Technology (03088) led with a net inflow ratio of 90.53%, with a net inflow of 47.6883 million, closing at 6.875 (+1.33%) [3] - Southern East Selection (03441) followed with a net inflow ratio of 74.02%, with a net inflow of 18.0421 million, closing at 11.600 (+1.13%) [3] - Anhui Wantuo Expressway (00995) had a net inflow ratio of 68.27%, with a net inflow of 5.6553 million, closing at 13.340 (-0.07%) [3]

Group 1 - Tencent Holdings (00700) had a net inflow of 4.316 billion, representing a 22.17% increase in net inflow ratio [2][3] - Alibaba-W (09988) experienced a net inflow of 1.658 billion, with a net inflow ratio of 13.70% [2][3] - Pop Mart (09992) saw a net inflow of 588 million, with a net inflow ratio of 17.52% [2][3] Group 2 - Kangfang Biotech (09926) faced a net outflow of -285 million, with a net outflow ratio of -33.89% [2][3] - Yingfu Fund (02800) had a net outflow of -248 million, with a net outflow ratio of -1.88% [2][3] - Yum China (09987) recorded a net outflow of -213 million, with a net outflow ratio of -30.90% [2][3] Group 3 - Huaxia Hang Seng Technology (03088) led in net inflow ratio at 89.30% with a net inflow of 54.532 million [2][3] - Southern East Selection (03441) followed with a net inflow ratio of 68.86% and a net inflow of 14.5209 million [2][3] - China Foods (00506) had a net inflow ratio of 59.26% with a net inflow of 4.9995 million [2][3] Group 4 - Jinyuan International (02232) had the highest net outflow ratio at -50.27% with a net outflow of -40.079 million [3] - iFlytek Medical Technology (02506) recorded a net outflow ratio of -49.63% with a net outflow of -15.2262 million [3] - Sinopec Crown (00934) had a net outflow ratio of -45.08% with a net outflow of -5.1472 million [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the transportation industry [2] Core Insights - The shipping sector remains at a high level of prosperity, with oil tanker market conditions particularly strong due to geopolitical tensions and sanctions impacting oil supply [6][17] - The infrastructure sector is advised to focus on individual stocks that provide stable dividend assets, with a recommendation for Wanhua Express [18] - The aviation industry shows an upward trend in fundamentals for 2026, with significant increases in passenger volume and ticket prices during the Spring Festival [21][34] - The express delivery sector is expected to see a return to mid-to-high single-digit growth rates in 2026, with a focus on valuation and competitive positioning [20][21] Shipping Sector Summary - Oil tanker market conditions are buoyed by geopolitical risks, with VLCC rates at $124,000/day, a year-on-year increase of 1.6% [13][55] - The dry bulk market has seen fluctuations, with the BDI index at 1923 points, down 10.5% week-on-week [53] - Recommendations include focusing on oil tanker and dry bulk stocks such as COSCO Shipping Energy and China Merchants Energy [6][17] Infrastructure Sector Summary - Weekly data shows significant growth in freight traffic, with road truck traffic at 56.83 million vehicles, a 506.1% year-on-year increase [18][59] - Port throughput reached 281.597 million tons, with a year-on-year increase of 53.3% [18][59] - The report suggests focusing on stable cash flow assets in the port sector, highlighting their current undervaluation [18] Aviation Sector Summary - During the Spring Festival, passenger traffic increased by 8.3% year-on-year, with domestic ticket prices rising by 6.1% [21][34] - The report anticipates that 2026 will be a year of profit elasticity for the aviation industry due to improved supply-demand dynamics and lower fuel prices [34] - The report emphasizes monitoring Spring Festival data and its impact on market sentiment [34] Express Delivery Sector Summary - The express delivery industry saw a 13.6% year-on-year growth in business volume for 2025, with a slowdown expected in 2026 [20][21] - The report highlights the competitive landscape and the potential for valuation recovery in the sector [20] - Recommended stocks include SF Express, ZTO Express, and YTO Express [21]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommend" rating for the aviation sector, highlighting opportunities in the industry [2][3]. Core Insights - The Spring Festival travel rush has begun, with air passenger volume averaging 2.313 million per day, up 5.5% year-on-year, while railway passenger volume averaged 11.792 million, down 0.7% [1][10]. - The report emphasizes the competitive landscape in instant retail, particularly with the launch of the "30 Billion Free Order" campaign by Qianwen, which saw over 10 million orders in just 9 hours [2][35]. - The report identifies key players in the aviation sector, including China National Airlines, Southern Airlines, and Eastern Airlines, as well as low-cost carriers like Spring Airlines, which are expected to benefit from high price elasticity and operational efficiency [2][34]. Industry Data Tracking - Air cargo: The outbound air cargo price index at Pudong Airport increased by 5.3% week-on-week and 8.9% year-on-year as of February 2 [7][44]. - Shipping: VLCC freight rates increased by 2%, while the BDI decreased by 10% and SCFI decreased by 4% [7][48]. - The report highlights the expected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 3% for aircraft imports over the next three years, indicating a supply constraint in the aviation sector [31][32]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on "performance elasticity" and "dividend value" as key investment themes for the transportation sector in 2026 [7][31]. - It recommends leading companies in express logistics, such as Zhongtong and Yuantong, as well as the instant retail leader Shunfeng Tongcheng, which is expected to benefit from rapid growth and low valuation [7][31]. - The report also highlights the importance of dividend-paying assets, recommending Sichuan Chengyu and China Merchants Port for their stable performance and potential for dividend increases [7][31].