[Table_Page] 金融工程|专题报告 2026 年 3 月 2 日 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 金融工程 高波动环境下如何捕捉热点板块的投资机会？ [Table_Summary] 报告摘要： 图：合成因子在万得光通信指数成分 股中多头组合净值走势 [分析师： Table_Author]安宁宁 SAC 执证号：S0260512020003 SFC CE No. BNW179 0755-23948352 anningning@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈原文 SAC 执证号：S0260517080003 0755-82797057 chenyuanwen@gf.com.cn 分析师： 王小康 SAC 执证号：S0260525020002 无 wangxiaokang@gf.com.cn 请注意，陈原文,王小康并非香港证券及期货事务监察委员 会的注册持牌人，不可在香港从事受监管活动。 972918116公共联系人2026-03-02 22:00:33 1 / 22 识别风险，发现价值 请务必阅读末页的免责声明 [Table_Contacts] 0.9 1.4 1.9 0.9 1.9 2.9 ...

流动性方面，半导体设备ETF华夏盘中换手5.6%，成交1.51亿元。拉长时间看，截至2月26日，半导体 设备ETF华夏近1周日均成交2.32亿元。 MACD金叉信号形成，这些股涨势不错！ 规模方面，半导体设备ETF华夏最新规模达27.25亿元。 消息面上，AI基础设施供应商CoreWeave电话会上，CEO直言AI算力需求"无情且永无止境"，且推理需 求爆发使得A100芯片不跌反涨，2026年公司资本开支将翻倍至超300亿美元。 相关ETF：科创半导体ETF（588170）及其联接基金（A类：024417；C类：024418）：跟踪指数是科创 板唯一的半导体设备主题指数，其中先进封装含量在全市场中最高（约50%），聚焦于科技创新前沿的 硬核设备公司。 截至2026年2月27日 14:56，中证半导体材料设备主题指数(931743)下跌2.26%。成分股方面涨跌互现， 有研新材领涨2.57%，联动科技上涨0.97%，中晶科技上涨0.34%；盛美上海领跌8.78%，京仪装备下跌 4.49%，安集科技下跌4.48%。半导体设备ETF华夏(562590)下跌2.15%。 半导体设备ETF华夏（562590）及其联接基 ...

截至2026年2月27日 13:58，中证半导体材料设备主题指数(931743)下跌2.40%。成分股方面涨跌互现，有研新材领涨 1.98%，联动科技上涨0.93%，珂玛科技上涨0.43%；盛美上海领跌8.59%，安集科技下跌4.40%，北方华创下跌 3.97%。半导体设备ETF华夏(562590)下跌2.39%，最新报价2元。拉长时间看，截至2026年2月26日，半导体设备ETF 华夏近2周累计上涨7.39%。 流动性方面，半导体设备ETF华夏盘中换手4.92%，成交1.31亿元。拉长时间看，截至2月26日，半导体设备ETF华夏 近1周日均成交2.32亿元。 相关ETF： 科创半导体ETF（588170）及其联接基金（A类：024417；C类：024418）：跟踪指数是科创板唯一的半导体设备主 题指数，其中先进封装含量在全市场中最高（约50%），聚焦于科技创新前沿的硬核设备公司。 半导体设备ETF华夏（562590）及其联接基金（A类：020356；C类：020357），跟踪中证半导体材料设备主题指 数，其中半导体设备的含量在全市场指数中最高（约63%），直接受益于全球芯片涨价潮对"卖铲人"（设备商）的 确 ...

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - **Lithium Mining in Zimbabwe**: Zimbabwe has announced an immediate suspension of all raw mineral and lithium concentrate exports. Only companies with valid mining rights and approved processing plants will be eligible for export, prohibiting agents and third-party traders from exporting. There is no clear timeline for resumption. Zimbabwe is the largest lithium producer in Africa, accounting for 65%-70% of Africa's lithium production capacity by 2025 and approximately 10% of global lithium supply [1][2]. Core Insights and Arguments - **Lithium Imports**: By 2025, Zimbabwe is projected to be the second-largest lithium ore supplier to China, with imports expected to reach 1.204 million tons, representing about 15.5% of China's lithium imports, equivalent to an estimated 134,000 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent [2]. - **Price Increases in Target Materials**: In Q1 2026, domestic target materials have seen an average price increase of 20%, with special minor metals experiencing price hikes of 60-70%. This price trend is expected to continue throughout 2026 due to supply-demand mismatches [2]. - **Rare Earth Prices**: The price of praseodymium and neodymium oxide has surged by 45.92% within the year [2]. - **Gold and Copper Price Predictions**: Morgan Stanley predicts that gold prices will reach $6,300 per ounce by the end of 2026, while Citigroup is bullish on copper prices, forecasting they will hit $14,000 per ton in the next three months [2]. - **AI and Critical Minerals**: The Trump administration is reportedly planning to use AI models to establish reference prices for critical mineral trades, including germanium, gallium, antimony, and tungsten [3]. Additional Important Information - **Price Increases in Tungsten**: In late February, prices for tungsten concentrate increased, with 55% black tungsten priced at 730,000 RMB per ton, reflecting an increase of 8.96% [3]. - **Phosphorus and Glyphosate as Strategic Materials**: The U.S. has classified phosphorus and glyphosate as critical strategic materials [3]. - **Market Tightness in Niacinamide**: The niacinamide market is experiencing tight supply, with some trade channels halting sales. Current prices have risen to 43-45 RMB per kilogram, with some traders quoting as high as 48-50 RMB per kilogram [3][4]. - **Fertilizer Demand**: With the spring farming peak approaching, there is an increase in demand for phosphorus fertilizers [4]. - **Price Increases in Dyes and Chemicals**: Companies like Zhejiang Longsheng and Baichuan High-Tech have announced significant price hikes for dyes and chemicals, with increases ranging from 2,000 to 4,000 RMB per ton [4]. This summary encapsulates the critical developments and insights from the conference call records, focusing on the lithium mining industry in Zimbabwe, price trends in various materials, and broader market dynamics.

证券日报网讯 2月26日，有研新材在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，截至2026年2月13日，公司股东 户数为115676户。 （文章来源：证券日报） ...

Core Viewpoint - The rare metal stocks in the A-share market have collectively strengthened, with significant price increases observed in several companies, driven by rising raw material costs and strategic pricing adjustments [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry and Yunnan Zinc Industry both reached the daily limit increase of 10.01% [1][2]. - Zhongtung High-tech saw an increase of over 8.11%, while Dongfang Tantalum Industry rose by over 6.70% [1][2]. - Other notable performers include Xianglu Tungsten Industry, Rongjie Co., Tianqi Lithium, and Yongxing Materials, all increasing by over 4% [1][2]. - Xiamen Tungsten Industry, Ganfeng Lithium, and Tibet Mining also experienced gains of over 3% [1][2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - Zhangyuan Tungsten Industry announced a price adjustment for its welding machine clamp blades due to the continuous rise in tungsten raw material prices, effective from February 26, 2026 [1]. - The U.S. White House plans to utilize an AI model developed by the Department of Defense to establish reference prices for critical global mineral trades, starting with germanium, gallium, antimony, and tungsten [1].

格隆汇2月26日丨有研新材(600206.SH)涨2.56%，报25.600元，股价创历史新高，总市值216.72亿元。 ...

Market Overview - On February 25, the A-share market saw all major indices close in the green, with the ChiNext Index rising over 1.4% in a single day [1] - More than 1,000 out of over 1,400 ETFs in the market recorded gains, with rare earth and rare metal-themed ETFs performing particularly well [1] ETF Performance - On February 25, all eight industry-themed ETFs focused on rare earth and rare metals closed higher, with four products linked to the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index rising over 6% and reaching historical highs during trading [1][2] - The CSI Rare Earth Industry Index includes 43 constituent stocks, with only one stock declining by the close, while several stocks like Baotou Steel and Northern Rare Earth hit the daily limit [1][2] Fund Flows - On February 24, the ETF market experienced a net inflow of over 11 billion yuan, marking the highest single-day net inflow in six trading days [1] - ETFs focused on the Hong Kong market attracted significant capital, with seven of the top ten products by net inflow, totaling over 7 billion yuan [2] Investment Directions - The seven Hong Kong ETFs primarily target the Hang Seng Technology and Hong Kong Internet sectors, with four linked to the Hang Seng Technology Index [3] - Despite a strong performance in the Hong Kong market post-Chinese New Year, the Hang Seng Technology Index is still down over 4% year-to-date as of February 25 [3] Sector Insights - Analysts suggest that the strong performance of the rare earth sector is due to improved supply-demand dynamics, with demand driven by rapid developments in industries like robotics and low-altitude economy [2] - In contrast, energy-related ETFs have seen some pullback, with two S&P Oil & Gas ETFs experiencing the largest declines in the market [2] Future Investment Focus - Investment institutions are focusing on three main directions: technology, consumption, and resources, with emerging technology expected to be a key theme [3][4] - There is an emphasis on sectors with high growth potential, such as AI hardware, commercial aerospace, and smart driving, as well as undervalued sectors like food and beverage, construction materials, and renewable energy [4][5]

Market Overview - On February 25, major A-share indices collectively rose, with the ChiNext Index increasing by over 1.4%. More than 1,000 out of over 1,400 ETFs in the market saw gains [1] ETF Performance - The rare earth and rare metal sector ETFs performed notably well, with 8 related ETFs ranking among the top ten for daily gains, all exceeding 5%. Year-to-date, these 8 ETFs have accumulated gains of over 20% [2] - On February 24, the ETF market experienced a net inflow of over 11 billion yuan, marking the highest single-day net inflow in the past six trading days. ETFs focused on the Hong Kong stock market showed strong capital attraction, with over half of the top ten ETFs by net inflow being Hong Kong ETFs [3][8] Rare Earth and Rare Metal ETFs - On February 25, all 8 ETFs focused on rare earth and rare metals closed higher, with gains leading the ETF market. Four products linked to the CSI Rare Earth Industry Index rose over 6%, while four linked to the CSI Rare Metal Theme Index rose over 5%. The CSI Rare Earth Industry Index includes 43 constituent stocks related to rare earth mining, processing, trading, and applications, with only one stock declining by the close [4] - During the trading session, four rare earth ETFs reached new highs since their inception, with some funds doubling in value since launch. The CSI Rare Metal Theme Index includes up to 50 constituent stocks involved in rare metal mining, smelting, and processing, with all 50 stocks rising by the close [5] Specific ETF Gains - The following ETFs showed significant daily and year-to-date gains: - Brazil ETF E Fund: 7.26% daily gain, 36.55% YTD - Rare Earth ETF E Fund: 6.25% daily gain, 22.66% YTD - Rare Earth ETF: 6.12% daily gain, 22.68% YTD - Rare Earth ETF: 6.08% daily gain, 22.63% YTD - Rare Earth ETF Jiashi: 6.07% daily gain, 22.47% YTD - Rare Metal ETF: 5.74% daily gain, 24.27% YTD - Rare Metal ETF: 5.68% daily gain, 24.09% YTD - Rare Metal ETF ICBC: 5.68% daily gain, 24.42% YTD - Rare Metal ETF Fund: 5.49% daily gain, 24.27% YTD - Sci-Tech Semiconductor ETF: 5.04% daily gain, 24.72% YTD [6] Declining ETFs - Energy sector ETFs experienced some pullback, with two S&P Oil & Gas ETFs showing the largest declines in the market, both of which had risen over 9% the previous day. Additionally, some media sector ETFs also saw significant declines [6] Hong Kong ETFs - On February 24, Hong Kong market-focused ETFs attracted significant capital, with the top ten ETFs by net inflow including seven Hong Kong ETFs that collectively saw over 7 billion yuan in net inflows. Since the beginning of February, these seven ETFs have accumulated over 28 billion yuan in net inflows [8][9] New ETF Issuances - On February 25, several ETFs began issuance, including the Huatai-PB Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Huaxia CSI Battery Theme ETF, with the issuance period for the Huatai-PB CSI Animal Husbandry Industry ETF ending on March 6 [11] Investment Outlook - Looking ahead, the technology and resource sectors are expected to remain key investment themes. Emerging technologies, including internet, media, computing, robotics, electronics, and military sectors, are highlighted as potential areas of focus. Value stocks in consumer services, food and beverage, and building materials are also anticipated to present investment opportunities [12]

Market Performance - The A-share market opened high and continued to rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.72% and the ChiNext Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and Sci-Tech Innovation Index all rising over 1% [1] - More than 3,700 stocks in the market rose, with 101 stocks hitting the daily limit, marking over two consecutive days of more than 100 stocks reaching the limit [1] Rare Earth Sector - The rare earth permanent magnet concept saw a significant surge, with stocks like Northern Rare Earth (600111), China Rare Earth (600259), and others hitting the daily limit [1] - Prices of rare earth products increased significantly, with praseodymium-neodymium oxide averaging 882,000 CNY/ton, up 41,600 CNY/ton; neodymium metal at 1,036,700 CNY/ton, up 31,700 CNY/ton; dysprosium oxide at 1,622,900 CNY/ton, up 170,000 CNY/ton; and terbium oxide at 6,438,000 CNY/ton, up 118,000 CNY/ton [1] Basic Metals Sector - The basic metals sector experienced a surge, with stocks like Feilihua (300395) rising over 18%, and several others hitting the daily limit [1] Semiconductor Industry - The semiconductor industry saw an expanded upward trend, with stocks like Youyan Silicon (20cm) hitting the daily limit and others like Fuchuang Precision and Jiangfeng Electronics rising over 10% [2] Commercial Aerospace Sector - The commercial aerospace sector showed a strong performance, with stocks like Aerospace Development (000547) hitting the daily limit and others like Keshun Co. rising over 14% [2] - Blue Arrow Aerospace announced plans for a recovery test of its reusable rocket in the second quarter of this year [2] Real Estate Sector - The real estate sector performed strongly, with stocks like I Love My Home (000560) and City Investment Holdings (600649) hitting the daily limit [2] - New policies were announced in Shanghai to relax housing purchase restrictions and optimize housing fund loan policies, effective from February 26 [2] Phosphate Chemical Sector - The phosphate chemical sector saw explosive growth, with stocks like Chengxing Co. (600078) and others achieving consecutive limit-ups [2] Declining Sectors - The storage chip sector faced declines, with stocks like Purun Co. dropping over 7% and others like Lanjie Technology and Jiangbolong falling over 3% [3] - The film and television cinema sector also saw a downturn, with Hengdian Film (603103) experiencing consecutive limit-downs [4] Hong Kong and International Markets - The Hong Kong stock index showed a slight increase, with the Hang Seng Technology Index fluctuating but ultimately rising by 0.13% [4] - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 2.20%, while the KOSPI index in South Korea increased by 1.91%, marking a historic close above 6,000 points [4]