Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1] Core Insights - The implementation plan for Document No. 136 of the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid has been officially released, promoting the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The National Development and Reform Commission and the National Energy Administration are orderly advancing the development of green electricity direct connection [5] - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 decreased by 3% year-on-year, while it increased by 0.4% month-on-month [42] - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, showing a year-on-year decrease of 28.6% [47] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report highlights the official release of the implementation plan for the Inner Mongolia Electric Power Grid, which includes market-oriented reforms for renewable energy pricing [5] - The report notes that the proportion of renewable energy in the Inner Mongolia market reached 91% in 2024 [5] 2. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption from January to April 2025 was 3.16 trillion kWh, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 3.1% [14] - The growth rate of electricity consumption in the primary, secondary, and tertiary industries was 10.0%, 2.3%, and 6.0% respectively [14] 3. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation from January to April 2025 was 2.98 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1% [25] - The growth rates for different power sources were as follows: thermal power -4.1%, hydropower +2.2%, nuclear power +12.7%, wind power +10.9%, and solar power +19.5% [25] 4. Electricity Prices - The average purchasing price of electricity from the grid in May 2025 was 394 RMB/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [42] 5. Coal Prices - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 611 RMB/ton as of May 30, 2025, with no change week-on-week [47] 6. Hydropower - As of May 31, 2025, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 154.81 meters, which is normal compared to previous years [55] - The inflow and outflow rates at the Three Gorges Reservoir decreased by 14.1% and 33.1% year-on-year respectively [55] 7. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during the peak summer season [5] - Key recommendations include companies such as China Nuclear Power and Longjiang Power for nuclear and hydropower investments respectively [5]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台，国家 有序推进绿电直连发展 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ] ◼ 风险提示：需求不及预期、电价煤价波动风险、流域来水不及预期等 2025 年 06 月 03 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 任逸轩 执业证书：S0600522030002 renyx@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -12% -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 2024/6/3 2024/10/1 2025/1/29 2025/5/29 公用事业 沪深300 相关研究 《需求偏弱国内气价回落，储库推进 欧洲气价回落》 2025-06-03 《库存大幅增长美国气价回落，需求 偏弱国内气价回落，库存偏低欧洲气 价微增》 2025-05-26 东吴证券研究所 1 / 19 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：1）蒙东电网 136 号文实施方案正式出台 ...

Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "Overweight" [1][4] Core Insights - Northern thermal power shows resilience with significant profit growth, while hydropower maintains stable performance. Green energy faces pressure on earnings due to dual impacts of wind conditions and electricity prices, while nuclear power's profitability is affected by electricity pricing [1][2][4] Summary by Sections Northern Thermal Power - The report highlights that the profitability of northern thermal power plants is growing faster than that of southern plants, with a median net profit growth rate of 8% for national thermal power companies in Q1 2025. The median PE ratios for thermal power companies have decreased from 15.7 in Q1 2023 to 10.4 in Q1 2025, indicating a declining market focus on this sector [8][10][9] - The report anticipates a recovery in thermal power performance in Q2 2025 following a significant drop in electricity generation in Q1 2025 due to a warm winter [10][14] Hydropower - Hydropower companies have shown strong earnings growth, with a median net profit growth rate of 26% in Q1 2025, driven by optimized water storage and scheduling. The median PE ratios for hydropower companies have fluctuated, reaching 18.8 in Q1 2024 before slightly declining to 18.1 in Q1 2025 [19][20][22] - The report notes that the El Niño phenomenon is expected to positively influence water inflow during the main flood season in 2024, while the situation for 2025 remains uncertain as the climate shifts to a La Niña phase [19][20] Green Energy - Green energy companies are experiencing a decline in net profit growth, with median growth rates of -12% in 2024 and -4% in Q1 2025. The sector is facing challenges from falling electricity prices and poor wind conditions, leading to a situation where revenue is increasing but profits are not [2][4] - The report predicts a recovery in green energy performance in 2025, with an expected median net profit growth rate of around 12% as wind utilization hours improve [2][4] Nuclear Power - The nuclear power sector is experiencing mixed performance, with major companies like China Nuclear Power and China General Nuclear Power facing different challenges. The report indicates that profitability for China Nuclear Power is expected to decline significantly in 2024 due to accounting policy changes and tax implications, while China General Nuclear Power's profits are only slightly increasing despite new capacity coming online [2][4][5]

Group 1 - The 330 kV Zhongbao Substation for the Xi-Yan High-Speed Railway Yan'an section has been officially energized, playing a crucial role in distributing power from the 750 kV Luochuan Substation [1] - The construction progress of the 330 kV power supply project for the Xi-Yan High-Speed Railway is at 90% for the line and 96% for the substation, with a detailed schedule in place to ensure timely completion [1] - The project manager emphasized the importance of increasing inspection frequency and coordinating resources to ensure sufficient supply of construction materials and equipment for the railway's operation [1] Group 2 - The construction of the Chinese herbal medicine processing base in Huangling County is underway, utilizing a complete digital management model to enhance efficiency [1] - The project, covering approximately 52.6 acres with a building area of 24,000 square meters, is expected to produce 11,200 tons of Chinese herbal medicine slices annually, generating an output value of 920 million yuan [1] - The local government is focused on ensuring economic and social benefits through continuous efforts in experimental base construction, large-scale planting, and industry chain extension [2] Group 3 - The 200,000 kW wind power project in Yan'an is progressing steadily, with the construction of the booster station completed and 14 wind turbines installed, 7 of which are already in operation [2] - The wind power project is projected to generate an annual output value of approximately 100 million yuan, contributing to the green development of Yan'an [2] - Yan'an's economy has shown stability in the first four months of the year, with industrial output value reaching 84.671 billion yuan and a high resumption rate of key projects [2]

Group 1 - The Southern five provinces (Guangdong, Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou, Hainan) are accelerating power reform, with a pilot program for spot trading set to begin in June 2025 [1][2] - The reform aims to establish a unified national electricity market, promote renewable energy consumption, and reduce electricity costs through market mechanisms [2][4] - The pilot phase will allow full market entry for renewable energy, with a focus on accurate wind power forecasting and real-time system coordination [4][6] Group 2 - Previous reforms in Sichuan and Chongqing led to significant stock price increases, with Leshan Electric rising over 150% and Chongqing Three Gorges A soaring more than 150% [6] - The market anticipates that the Southern five provinces' joint reform could create new investment opportunities and challenges in the capital market [6] - Key related stocks include China Nuclear Power, Huaneng International, Longyuan Power, and Three Gorges Energy, with respective market capitalizations of 189.84 billion, 108.32 billion, 139.94 billion, and 123.06 billion [7][8][9][10]

Group 1 - The core index, the China Securities National New Central Enterprises Modern Industry Leading Index, rose by 1.33% to 1166.46 points with a trading volume of 20.746 billion yuan [1] - Over the past month, the index has increased by 0.43%, but it has decreased by 4.56% over the past three months and by 5.29% year-to-date [1] - The index is customized by Guoxin Investment Co., Ltd., selecting 50 representative listed companies in fields such as new mobile technology, new energy, new materials, and high-end equipment from state-owned enterprises [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the index include China Telecom (9.94%), Hikvision (9.38%), China Mobile (9.3%), CRRC (7.34%), China Unicom (6.6%), China Shipbuilding (5.97%), Three Gorges Energy (5.35%), China Heavy Industry (3.59%), Baosteel (3.43%), and SMIC (2.99%) [1] - The index's holdings are primarily listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange (68.55%) and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange (31.45%) [1] Group 3 - The industry composition of the index shows that information technology accounts for 30.35%, communication services for 29.67%, industrials for 24.19%, materials for 7.73%, utilities for 5.54%, healthcare for 2.03%, and consumer staples for 0.49% [2] - The index samples are adjusted semi-annually, with adjustments occurring on the next trading day after the second Friday of June and December each year [2] - Weight factors are adjusted in line with sample changes, and temporary adjustments may occur under special circumstances [2]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company is planning to spin off its renewable energy segment for a listing on the A-share market, which is expected to enhance its valuation significantly [5][10] - The company has demonstrated strong operational capabilities and management mechanisms, which are crucial for navigating through market cycles [10][27] - The company has a solid track record, having never reported a loss since its listing, and has maintained a stable return on equity (ROE) [7][16] Financial Performance and Valuation - The projected revenue for the company is expected to grow from 103,334 million HKD in 2023 to 131,238 million HKD by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 6.48% [6] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to increase from 11,003 million HKD in 2023 to 16,635 million HKD in 2027, reflecting a significant growth trajectory [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to be 6.8, 6.6, and 6.3 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [8] Renewable Energy Segment - By the end of 2024, the company's renewable energy capacity is expected to account for nearly 50% of its total installed capacity, with significant investments planned for further expansion [7][27] - The company has a competitive edge in unit profitability for its renewable energy segment, outperforming major competitors in terms of net profit [35] - The planned IPO of the renewable energy segment is anticipated to raise 24.5 billion RMB for new projects, which could lead to a valuation exceeding 150 billion HKD post-listing [38][43] Market Position and Strategy - The company has a unique market position due to its historical roots and strategic focus on both traditional and renewable energy sectors [14][19] - The operational strategy emphasizes a balanced approach to energy generation, with a significant focus on renewable energy development in regions with higher electricity prices [27][32] - The company’s management has effectively navigated market challenges, maintaining a strong performance even during periods of industry downturns [20][24]

Group 1 - The Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and fluctuated, with the Shanghai Utilities Index rising by 0.06% to 4647.84 points and a trading volume of 22.849 billion yuan [1] - The Shanghai Utilities Index has increased by 1.94% over the past month, 1.41% over the past three months, and has decreased by 2.47% year-to-date [1] - The index is categorized into five major sectors: industrial, commercial, real estate, utilities, and comprehensive, reflecting the economic conditions and overall performance of listed companies in these sectors [1] Group 2 - The top ten weighted stocks in the Shanghai Utilities Index include: Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway (8.12%), China Nuclear Power (5.64%), Huaneng Hydropower (5.07%), China Unicom (4.82%), Shanghai Port Group (3.75%), Daqin Railway (3.74%), Three Gorges Energy (3.46%), China Communications Construction (2.91%), Air China (2.85%), and China Railway Construction (2.53%) [1] - The sample of the Shanghai Utilities Index is composed entirely of stocks listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, with a total market share of 100% [1] Group 3 - In terms of industry composition within the Shanghai Utilities Index, industrial sector accounts for 51.73%, utilities for 33.68%, communication services for 8.87%, consumer discretionary for 1.72%, energy for 1.67%, financials for 1.10%, materials for 0.86%, and real estate for 0.37% [2] - The criteria for inclusion in the index require securities to have a daily average market capitalization ranking in the top 10 of the Shanghai market after three months of listing, while other securities are included after one year [2] - Securities under risk warning measures are removed from the index starting from the second Friday of the month following the implementation, while those that have their risk warning lifted are included from the next trading day after the second Friday of the following month [2]

Group 1 - The National Green Power Index decreased by 0.32% as of May 27, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Jiangsu New Energy hit the daily limit up, while Leshan Power and Zhejiang New Energy rose by 6.03% and 4.42% respectively [1] - The Green Power ETF (159625) underwent a downward adjustment [1] Group 2 - The Green Power ETF had a turnover rate of 3.19% during the trading session, with a transaction volume of 10.9867 million yuan [3] - Over the past week, the average daily transaction volume of the Green Power ETF was 21.4205 million yuan [3] - The Green Power ETF's scale increased by 80.0735 million yuan over the past three months, ranking first among comparable funds [3] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index accounted for 58.04% of the index, including major companies like China Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power [3] - The State Council approved the "Manufacturing Industry Green Low-Carbon Development Action Plan (2025-2027)" on May 23, emphasizing the need for green technology innovation and application [3] Group 4 - According to Guojin Securities, the investment value of the power industry is highlighted by market reforms, defensive value, and a tight supply-demand balance [4] - The clean energy generation market has significant growth potential in the context of carbon neutrality, with increasing electricity consumption and a rising share of wind and solar power [4] - The transition to renewable energy generation and deepening market reforms are transforming cost and revenue structures for power plants, enhancing the long-term investment and allocation value of the green power sector [4] Group 5 - Investors can seize opportunities through the corresponding Green Power ETF linked fund (017057) [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint highlights the significant growth and investment potential in the green power sector, particularly through the green power ETF, which has seen substantial increases in both trading volume and scale [2][3] - The green power ETF has recorded a trading turnover of 2.21% and a transaction volume of 7.5783 million yuan, with an average daily transaction volume of 21.192 million yuan over the past month [2] - The ETF's scale has increased by 76.5056 million yuan over the past three months, ranking first among comparable funds, with a share increase of 58 million units during the same period [2] Group 2 - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the index tracked by the green power ETF is 18.88, which is below the historical average, indicating a low valuation compared to the past three years [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Green Power Index account for 58.04% of the index, including major companies like China Yangtze Power and China Nuclear Power [2] - The recent approval of five nuclear power projects by the State Council, featuring ten new units, is expected to boost the nuclear power sector, which is anticipated to benefit from the demand for AI and self-controlled technology [2]