Market Overview - The U.S. stock market showed a significant upward trend, with major indices rising for the fourth consecutive trading day, indicating a recovery in market sentiment[9] - The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped approximately 35% over four days, marking its largest decline since mid-April[9] - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,928, up 0.13% for the day and 29.25% year-to-date[3] Sector Performance - Large tech stocks exhibited mixed results, with Meituan surging 5.65% while Kuaishou fell nearly 3%[9] - Paper stocks led gains, with Nine Dragons Paper up 5% and Lee & Man Paper up 4.88%, driven by price hikes in packaging and cultural paper products[9] - Airline stocks performed strongly, with China Eastern Airlines rising nearly 7%[9] Economic Indicators - The Federal Reserve's Beige Book indicated a further decline in U.S. consumer spending, reflecting a stagnant economic activity[13] - Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell to 216,000, the lowest level since mid-April, suggesting a tightening labor market[13] - Morgan Stanley economists adjusted their rate predictions, now expecting a rate cut from the Fed in December rather than January[13] International Markets - The Nikkei 225 index in Japan rose by 1.9%, driven by strong tech sector performance and expectations of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan[13] - The Singapore Straits Times Index showed a year-to-date performance of 0.00%, indicating a stagnant market[3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH premium rates for various stocks as of November 27, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading with a premium rate of 864.29% [1] - The article also lists the stocks with the highest and lowest deviation values, indicating significant discrepancies between A-shares and H-shares [1] AH Premium Rate Rankings - The top three stocks with the highest AH premium rates are: - Northeast Electric (00042): 864.29% - Hongye Futures (03678): 269.82% - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033): 264.86% [1] - The bottom three stocks with the lowest AH premium rates are: - Ningde Times (03750): -5.40% - China Merchants Bank (03968): -1.65% - Heng Rui Medicine (01276): -0.38% [1] Deviation Value Rankings - The stocks with the highest deviation values are: - Vanke Enterprises (02202): 30.48% - Dazhong Public Utilities (01635): 24.57% - Shandong Xinhua Pharmaceutical (00719): 22.88% [1] - The stocks with the lowest deviation values are: - Sairis (09927): -17.06% - China National Airlines (00753): -13.21% - China Life (02628): -13.18% [1] Additional Insights - The article provides detailed tables showing the premium rates and deviation values for the top and bottom AH stocks, indicating market trends and potential investment opportunities [2]

Core Insights - The appreciation of the Renminbi has positively impacted certain sectors, with the Renminbi appreciation benefiting stocks rising by 0.54% compared to the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3864.18, down 0.15%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12907.83, up 1.02% [1] Summary of Benefiting Stocks - China Eastern Airlines (600115) led the gainers with a closing price of 5.06, up 2.43%, with a trading volume of 1.2588 million shares and a turnover of 634 million yuan [1] - Other notable gainers include: - Pinwo Food (300892) at 34.70, up 2.18%, with a turnover of 172 million yuan [1] - Liangxing Paper (002067) at 5.51, up 1.85%, with a turnover of 4.98 million yuan [1] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) at 5.04, up 1.00%, with a turnover of 1.074 billion yuan [1] - China National Aviation (601111) at 8.08, up 0.25%, with a turnover of 716 million yuan [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The Renminbi appreciation benefiting sector saw a net inflow of 94.82 million yuan from main funds, while speculative funds had a net inflow of 248 million yuan, and retail investors experienced a net outflow of 342 million yuan [2] - Key stocks in terms of capital flow include: - China National Duty-Free (601888) with a main fund net inflow of 2.30 billion yuan and a retail net outflow of 3.19 billion yuan [3] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) with a main fund net inflow of 94.99 million yuan and a retail net outflow of 60.20 million yuan [3] - Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493) with a main fund net inflow of 13.96 million yuan and a retail net outflow of 14.28 million yuan [3]

Core Viewpoint - The paper industry stocks in Hong Kong and A-shares have experienced significant price increases, driven by major companies announcing price hikes for their products in late November to early December [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - Hong Kong paper stocks saw notable gains, with Lee & Man Paper rising nearly 4%, Nine Dragons Paper increasing over 2%, and Chenming Paper up over 1% [1] - In the A-share market, Qingshan Paper reached its daily limit, while Jingxing Paper rose over 3% and Shanying International increased over 1% [1] Group 2: Price Increase Announcements - Major companies such as Shanying, Nine Dragons, APP, and Asia Pulp & Paper have issued price adjustment notices, planning to raise prices for their products [1] - The price hikes will affect both packaging paper and corrugated paper, with packaging paper experiencing a moderate increase of around 50 yuan per ton [1] - Cultural paper, including copy paper and double offset paper, will see a more substantial price increase of up to 200 yuan per ton [1]

021-60635740 pengjinglin@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3075681 行业 纸浆日报 日期 2025 年 11 月 25 日 021-60635570 liuyouran@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F03094925 021-60635738 lijie@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3031215 021-60635737 renjunchi@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3037892 021-60635727 penghaozhou@ccb.ccbfutures.com 期货从业资格号：F3065843 021-60635727 fengzeren@ccb.ccbfutures.com 能源化工研究团队 研究员：刘悠然（纸浆） 研究员:李捷,CFA（原油沥青） 研究员：任俊弛（PTA、MEG） 研究员：彭浩洲（工业硅多晶硅） 研究员：彭婧霖（聚烯烃） 研究员：冯泽仁（玻璃纯碱） 期货从业资格号：F03134307 请阅读正文后的声明 ＃summary＃ 每日报告 一、行情回 ...

Market Overview - The paper sector increased by 1.03% on November 25, with Kane Co. leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3870.02, up 0.87%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12777.31, up 1.53% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Kane Co. (002012) closed at 6.25, up 6.84% with a trading volume of 259,500 shares and a turnover of 158 million yuan [1] - Qingshan Paper (600103) closed at 3.53, up 4.13% with a trading volume of 1,452,200 shares and a turnover of 508 million yuan [1] - Songyang Resources (603863) closed at 18.83, up 2.62% with a trading volume of 48,600 shares and a turnover of 91.68 million yuan [1] - Other notable performers include BoHui Paper (600966) and Anni Co. (002235), with increases of 2.55% and 1.77% respectively [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The paper sector saw a net inflow of 64.07 million yuan from institutional investors, while retail investors experienced a net outflow of 98.59 million yuan [2][3] - Speculative funds contributed a net inflow of 34.51 million yuan [2] Detailed Capital Flow for Selected Stocks - Qingshan Paper (600103) had a net outflow of 54.08 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - Sun Paper (002078) saw a net inflow of 16.68 million yuan from institutional investors [3] - BoHui Paper (600966) experienced a net inflow of 11.26 million yuan from institutional investors [3]

Core Insights - The article highlights the top and bottom AH share premium rates, with Northeast Electric (00042) leading at 831.03% and Ningde Times (03750) at -4.55% [1][2][3] Premium Rate Rankings - The top three AH share premium rates are: - Northeast Electric (00042): 831.03% - Hongye Futures (03678): 270.00% - Sinopec Oilfield Service (01033): 268.92% [1][2] - The bottom three AH share premium rates are: - Ningde Times (03750): -4.55% - China Merchants Bank (03968): -1.71% - Heng Rui Medicine (01276): 3.65% [1][3] Deviation Value Rankings - The top three stocks with the highest deviation values are: - China Shipbuilding Defense (00317): 53.01% - Guanghetong (00638): 25.36% - GAC Group (02238): 22.12% [1][4] - The bottom three stocks with the lowest deviation values are: - Longpan Technology (02465): -31.76% - Northeast Electric (00042): -23.74% - Ganfeng Lithium (01772): -14.15% [1][5]

国泰君安期货·能源化工 胶版印刷纸周度报告 国泰君安期货研究所·石忆宁 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0022533 日期：2025年11月23日 Guotai Junan Futures all rights reserved, please do not reprint CONTENTS 行业资讯 01 行情走势 02 供需数据 03 行情研判 04 行业资讯 现货价格 成本利润 季节性特征 供给 需求 库存 进出口 行情研判 Special report on Guotai Junan Futures 2 行业资讯 1 行业资讯 1、据卓创资讯数据监测统计，本周四双胶纸库存天数较上周四上升0.78%，本周增幅环比扩大0.24个百分点。出版订单尚未大规模提货，纸 厂库存消耗进度不快，且部分纸企为供应出版订单提前备库，导致行业处于累库状态。 2、据卓创资讯数据统计，本周双胶纸开工负荷率在51.90%，环比下降0.30个百分点，本周降幅环比收窄0.03个百分点。规模产线基本正常 排产，江苏地区仍存检修情况，市场开工水平整体调整不大。 资料来源：国泰君安期货研究 Special report on Guotai Jun ...

Market Overview - The paper sector experienced a slight decline of 0.08% on November 20, with Jingxing Paper leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3931.05, down 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12980.82, down 0.76% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Annie Co. (002235) saw a significant increase of 9.95%, closing at 8.51, with a trading volume of 808,200 shares and a turnover of 680 million [1] - Yibin Paper (600793) rose by 3.31% to 22.78, with a trading volume of 63,900 shares and a turnover of 14.5 million [1] - Other notable performers included Bohui Paper (600966) up 2.25% and Minshida (920394) up 1.16% [1] Capital Flow Analysis - The paper sector had a net inflow of 191 million from institutional investors, while retail investors saw a net outflow of approximately 59.4 million [2] - The main capital inflow was concentrated in Annie Co. with a net inflow of 3.44 billion, representing 50.64% of its trading volume [3] - Other stocks like Yibin Paper and Bohui Paper also experienced positive net inflows from institutional investors [3]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Name: Pulp Daily Report [1] - Date: November 19, 2025 [2] Group 2: Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Pulp Futures: The previous settlement price of the 01 contract was 5,472 yuan/ton, and the closing price was 5,408 yuan/ton, a decline of 1.17%. The intended transaction price range of softwood pulp in the Shandong market was 4,900 - 6,500 yuan/ton, with the price remaining stable compared to the previous trading day. The Shandong Yinxing quotation was 5,550 yuan/ton [7]. - Production and Inventory: In September, the chemical pulp shipments of the world's top 20 pulp - producing countries increased by 8.3% year - on - year, with softwood pulp up 3.8% and hardwood pulp up 11.8%. Shipments to the Chinese market continued to grow. In October, the European wood pulp inventory was 703,900 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.8% and a year - on - year increase of 3.4%. The European wood pulp consumption was 844,100 tons, a month - on - month increase of 4.8% and a year - on - year increase of 1.2%. As of November 14, 2025, the weekly pulp inventory in major regions and ports was 1.9766 million tons, a 4.22% increase from the previous week [7]. - Downstream Paper: The performance of downstream base paper remained differentiated. The packaging paper market continued to be favorable, while the prices of other base papers were stable. The improvement of social orders for offset paper was limited, and the publishing tenders continued. Pay attention to the cost digestion performance of downstream paper mills, and pulp is under pressure at the previous high [7]. Group 3: Industry News - On November 17, Hong Kong - listed paper stocks rose. Chenming Paper led with a gain of over 6%, Nine Dragons Paper rose over 5%, and Lee & Man Paper rose nearly 3%. Since November, the price increase wave in the domestic paper industry has continued to heat up. Shanying Paper and Nine Dragons Paper have raised prices, and downstream cardboard factories in Zhejiang and Hunan have responded with price increases. However, industry insiders pointed out that the price increase of packaging paper may not be sustainable due to the falling prices of bulk paper materials and the oversupply situation [8].