东吴证券
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东吴证券:全国性储能容量电价出台 独立储能盈利模式重构
智通财经网· 2026-02-03 01:24
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,国家层面首次明确电网独立新型储能容量电价机制,实行清 单制管理、加速储能项目建设进度。该行预计后续多省将出台相关补贴,25年新型储能并网183GWh, 该行预计26年仍可实现50%增长至275GWh。全国性储能容量电价出台+碳酸锂价格回调,储能需求恢 复,并看好中游材料,推荐隔膜、电解液、负极、正极、铝箔、铜箔等相关产业标的。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 国家层面首次明确电网独立新型储能容量电价机制、战略意义大 1)容量电价计算规则:以当地煤电容量电价标准为基础(165-330元/kw*年),根据顶峰能力按一定比例折 算(折算比例为满功率连续放电时长除以全年最长净负荷高峰持续时长,最高不超过1),并考虑电力市 场建设进展、电力系统需求等因素确定。 实行清单制管理、加速储能项目建设进度 项目具体清单由省级能源主管部门会同价格主管部门制定,管理要求由国家能源局另行明确。该行预计 对储能电站的申报、考核、建设周期等明显要求,一定程度上推动一部分暂停项目的建设进度。 明确容量电价承担方、电费结算与市场参与 1)明确新型储能容量补偿费用,纳入当地系统运行费用,成为电价构成部分,由终端 ...
东吴证券:新美联储主席沃什真的鹰派吗?
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2026-02-03 00:26
Core Viewpoint - The market's hawkish interpretation of Warsh's nomination is seen as a misconception, as he has shifted to a dovish stance on monetary policy. It is expected that he will implement more rate cuts than the market anticipates, with a forecast of 75-100 basis points of cuts throughout the year, starting in June [1][10]. Latest Perspective - Warsh's monetary policy stance has transitioned to dovish since 2025, believing that AI-driven productivity gains will not lead to inflation. He argues that the current large balance sheet of the Fed is outdated and can be significantly reduced, allowing for further rate cuts to support households and small businesses [3][12]. Nomination Reason - Trump's primary consideration in selecting a Fed chair is the ability to quickly lower interest rates. Warsh's close personal ties with Trump, including connections through significant financial support, suggest he will align closely with Trump's monetary policy goals [4][13]. Hawkish Feasibility - The current liquidity environment does not support the Fed's balance sheet reduction. Warsh's previous calls for balance sheet reduction are seen as opposition to past Fed policies. The recent implementation of a light balance sheet expansion indicates a need to avoid liquidity crises, making immediate balance sheet reduction risky [5][14]. Future Outlook - Warsh's nomination requires Senate approval, and there are concerns about Powell's potential influence post-tenure. Maintaining an image of independence will be crucial for Warsh to secure his position and ensure effective policy implementation. The market is expected to reassess Warsh's stance after his official appointment [6][15][16].
1月9家券商分4.6亿承销保荐费 中金夺冠中信证券第二
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-02 23:24
Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - In January 2026, a total of 9 companies were listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, Shenzhen Stock Exchange, and Beijing Stock Exchange, raising a total of 9.053 billion yuan in funds [1]. Group 1: Listing and Fundraising - The 9 listed companies included 3 from the main boards of Shanghai and Shenzhen, 1 from the Sci-Tech Innovation Board, and 5 from the Beijing Stock Exchange [1]. - The top fundraising company was Zhenstone Co., Ltd., which raised 2.919 billion yuan, followed by Hengyun Chang and Shaanxi Tourism, which raised 1.561 billion yuan and 1.555 billion yuan respectively [1]. Group 2: Underwriting and Sponsorship Fees - A total of 9 securities firms participated in the underwriting and sponsorship of the newly listed companies, earning a combined fee of 457 million yuan [1]. - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) ranked first in underwriting fees, earning 122.0648 million yuan by sponsoring Zhenstone Co., Ltd. and Shaanxi Tourism [1]. - CITIC Securities and Guotai Junan Securities ranked second and third, earning 117.1101 million yuan and 45.4905 million yuan respectively [1][2]. Group 3: Top Securities Firms - The top five securities firms collectively earned 345 million yuan, accounting for 75% of the total underwriting fees for January [1]. - Other notable firms included Shenwan Hongyuan and Southwest Securities, each earning 42.1555 million yuan through joint sponsorship of Zhixin Co., Ltd. [1][2].
周末重点速递 | SpaceX申请部署百万颗卫星 欲建轨道AI数据中心网络;券商:商业航天将成为2026年主线
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-02 12:09
(一)重磅消息 1月31日,SpaceX已向美国联邦通信委员会(FCC)提交申请,计划发射高达100万颗卫星,以构建一个环 绕地球的轨道数据中心网络。该公司在周五晚提交的文件中,将该项目描述为一个具有空前计算能力的 卫星星座,旨在为先进AI模型及其应用提供算力支持。SpaceX在一份8页文件中阐述了其"轨道数据中 心系统"的构想,称为了向全球数十亿用户提供大规模AI推理和数据处理所需的能力,公司目标部署多 达100万颗卫星,这些卫星将在厚度不超过50公里的多个狭窄轨道层中运行。 (二)券商最新研判 (三)券商行业掘金 东吴证券:商业航天为何会成为2026年的主线? 1、产业质变的逻辑:运力瓶颈实现从0到1的飞跃。长期以来,我国商业航天的核心痛点在于"星多箭 少",即海量卫星组网需求受制于极度稀缺的投送能力。2025年12月3日,朱雀三号遥一成功入轨,标志 着国产商业火箭具备了成熟的大规模入轨实力,正式拆除了制约行业发展的物理围墙。 2、步入2026年,行业将迎来技术闭环、订单释放与资本溢价的多重共振。随着长征十号甲、朱雀三号 遥二等可回收火箭进入密集首飞期,叠加SpaceX星舰V3于2026Q1的试飞压力,中 ...
东吴证券:云涨价已现 关注AI Agent需求带动下的云投资机会
智通财经网· 2026-02-02 08:47
智通财经APP获悉,东吴证券发布研报称,Counterpoint Research预计,2026年Q1存储价格还将上涨 40%至50%,Q2继续上涨约20%。供需端视角上,供给侧硬件成本提升,需求侧AI Agent爆款不断推陈 出新,全球大厂纷纷下场,云作为AI的基础设施,海外大厂谷歌(GOOGL.US)和亚马逊(AMZN.US)已经 开始涨价,为多年来首次。随着春节临近,国内AI应用需求逐步提升,国内云厂也会提价,AI云产业 链有望引来投资机会。 东吴证券主要观点如下: 海外大厂云已经开始涨价 光纤涨价不断。在中国市场,G.652.D光纤价格相较于2025年11月大幅上涨约80%。2026年1月,该类型 单模光纤价格更是创下近七年新高,平均价格突破40元/芯公里,部分厂商报价甚至高达50元/芯公里, 仅一个月内涨幅就超过75%。 相关标的 算力租赁厂商:宏景科技(301396.SZ)、协创数据(300857.SZ)等。云厂商:网宿科技(300017.SZ)、优刻 得-W(688158.SH)、青云科技(688316.SH)、阿里巴巴-W(09988)等。CPU:澜起科技(688008.SH)、海光 信息(6 ...
马斯克官宣:干电极工艺量产
财联社· 2026-02-02 08:36
以下文章来源于科创日报 ,作者张真 科创日报 . 科创圈都在关注的主流媒体,上海报业集团主管主办,《科创板日报》出品。 当地时间2月1日,马斯克在社交平台表示:"实现干电极工艺的规模化生产,这在锂电池生产技术上是一项重大突破,难度极高。祝贺特斯 拉工程、生产和供应链团队以及我们的战略合作伙伴供应商取得的卓越成就。" 随后,特斯拉官方团队转发了这则消息,并回复称:"干电极制造工艺可降低成本、能源消耗和工厂复杂性,同时显著提高可扩展性。" 就在日前,特斯拉公布了一项名为"低粘结剂含量干电极膜的组合物和制备方法"的专利。其通过先混合活性材料和导电碳,再添加干粘结剂 的特定顺序,避免了高剪切力对颗粒的损伤。专利规定,导电碳含量不超过8%重量比,粘结剂用量需低于2%。 纳科诺尔投资者关系活动记录表显示,公司将积极配合下游客户对干法电极生产设备进行调整和优化,以加快推进干法电极工艺的 产业化应用速度。 投资方面,广发证券表示,预估2030年全球全固态电池的出货量将达到181GWh。新产业初期,设备厂商将率先受益,尽管目前固态电池 路线尚未完全确认,但相较液态电池, 固态电池设备在前中后道均有变化,工艺的变化势必带来设备的 ...
“问题保代”名单更新!剔除4人新增3人,涉违规项目、长期炒股等
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-02 08:07
江苏证监局2025年12月29日披露的行政处罚决定显示,第一创业证券在该可转债项目的后续督导期间, 未履行勤勉尽责义务,未能发现发行人擅自变更近17亿元募集资金用途、虚假归还募集资金等违规情 形,导致其出具的持续督导意见存在虚假记载,违反了相关监管规定。 基于上述违规事实,江苏证监局对第一创业证券作出重罚:没收该项目业务收入约424.5万元,并处以 约1273.6万元罚款,合计罚没金额高达1698万元;包括范本源在内的两名相关保荐代表人,分别被处以 150万元的个人罚款,相关处分仍在执行期内,因此范本源被纳入本次D类保代名单。 每经记者|王砚丹 每经编辑|赵云 近日,中国证券业协会(简称"中证协")官网更新了保荐代表人(以下简称保代)分类名单,其中备受 关注的D类保代,合计有来自11家机构的16人上榜。 根据中证协规定,D类保代名单为暂停业务类,即最近三年内受过证监会行政处罚的,以及被证监会采 取认定为不适当人选、被行业自律组织采取认定不适合从事相关业务、或暂不接受签字的文件、或暂不 受理出具的相关业务文件等纪律处分,且在执行期的时任保荐代表人名单。 与2025年6月相比,本次新增D类名单共有3名保代,分别来 ...
研报掘金丨东吴证券:维持指南针“买入”评级,看好公司长期成长性
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2026-02-02 07:54
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the steady growth of the company's performance due to market activity and the release of business synergy effects [1] - The company is projected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 228 million yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 119% [1] - The company's net assets attributable to shareholders are expected to reach 2.8 billion yuan by the end of 2025, an increase of 24% compared to the end of 2024 [1] Group 2 - In Q4 2025, the company is expected to report a net profit attributable to shareholders of 112 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 48% [1] - Due to the early stage of business development for the Vanguard Fund, the company is anticipated to incur management expenses, impacting the profit forecast [1] - The revised net profit forecasts for 2026, 2027, and 2028 are 264 million yuan, 347 million yuan, and 452 million yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 285, 217, and 167 times [1] Group 3 - The company maintains a "buy" rating, with expectations for the development of Maigao Securities and confidence in the company's long-term growth potential [1]
圣晖集成拟发不超5.5亿可转债 2022年上市募资5.45亿
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2026-02-02 07:32
Core Viewpoint - Shenghui Integration (603163.SH) has announced a plan to issue convertible bonds to raise up to RMB 55 million, which will be used for high-tech industry projects [1][2]. Fundraising Details - The total amount to be raised from the issuance of convertible bonds is capped at RMB 55 million, including this amount [2]. - The net proceeds after deducting issuance costs will be allocated to several specific projects, including cleanroom engineering and electromechanical projects, with a total investment of RMB 113.43 million [1]. Project Allocation - The funds will be distributed among various projects as follows: - Clean Electromechanical Engineering: Total investment of RMB 384.45 million, using RMB 11 million from the raised funds - Dust-Free Room Engineering: Total investment of RMB 220.48 million, using RMB 6 million from the raised funds - Electromechanical Package: Total investment of RMB 126.01 million, using RMB 9.5 million from the raised funds - Electromechanical Engineering: Total investment of RMB 403.39 million, using RMB 28.5 million from the raised funds [1]. Bond Issuance Details - The bonds will have a face value of RMB 100 each and will be issued at par value, with a maturity of six years from the issuance date [3]. - The interest rate will be determined based on national policies, market conditions, and company specifics, with interest paid annually [3]. - The conversion period for the bonds will start six months after issuance and last until maturity, allowing bondholders to choose whether to convert their bonds into shares [3]. Previous Fundraising - Shenghui Integration previously raised RMB 54.5 million by issuing 20 million shares at RMB 27.25 per share on October 13, 2022, with a net amount of RMB 48.53 million after costs [4].
央企共赢ETF国泰(517090)回调超3%,市场关注国企改革主线叙事
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2026-02-02 07:02
央企共赢ETF国泰(517090)跟踪的是富时中国国企开放共赢指数,该指数涵盖100只成分股,包括80 只A股及20只港股,聚焦于国务院国资委旗下的国有企业,旨在反映具有全球化与可持续发展潜力的中 国国企整体表现。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 东吴证券指出,2026年,自上而下的促进消费、扩大服务消费预计会成为核心主线,而在地方实际的促 进落地抓手,预计会落在国企改革上。2026年消费尤其是场景化消费(如旅游景区,商超百货)会出现 较多国企改革的动作,包括且不限于股权变化,管理层变化,新牌照的变化,新商业模式变化等。 ...