国信证券股份有限公司 2026 年面向专业投资者公开发行 公司债券（第一期）信用评级报告 中诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司 | 编号:CCXI-20260210D-01 国信证券股份有限公司 2026 年面向专业投资者公开发行 公司债券（第一期）信用评级报告 声 明 跟踪评级安排 中诚信国际信用评级有限责任公司 2026 年 1 月 23 日 2 本次评级为委托评级，中诚信国际及其评估人员与评级委托方、评级对象不存在任何其他影响本次评级行为独立、 客观、公正的关联关系。 本次评级依据评级对象提供或已经正式对外公布的信息，以及其他根据监管规定收集的信息，中诚信国际按照相关 性、及时性、可靠性的原则对评级信息进行审慎分析，但中诚信国际对于相关信息的合法性、真实性、完整性、准 确性不作任何保证。 中诚信国际及项目人员履行了尽职调查和诚信义务，有充分理由保证本次评级遵循了真实、客观、公正的原则。 评级报告的评级结论是中诚信国际依据合理的内部信用评级标准和方法、评级程序做出的独立判断，未受评级委托 方、评级对象和其他第三方的干预和影响。 本评级报告对评级对象信用状况的任何表述和判断仅作为相关决策参考之用，并不意味着中诚信 ...

Market Overview - On January 28, the securities sector experienced a slight decline of 0.02%, with Shouchuang Securities leading the drop [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4151.24, up 0.27%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 14342.9, up 0.09% [1] Individual Stock Performance - Notable gainers included Huazhong Securities, which rose by 2.53% to a closing price of 7.71, and Guotou Capital, which increased by 1.71% to 7.73 [1] - Conversely, Shouchuang Securities saw a significant decline of 3.38%, closing at 18.02, while Everbright Securities fell by 1.47% to 16.76 [2] Trading Volume and Value - Huazhong Securities had a trading volume of 1.5764 million shares, with a transaction value of 1.218 billion [1] - Shouchuang Securities recorded a trading volume of 233,200 shares, with a transaction value of 424 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The securities sector saw a net outflow of 55.22 million from institutional funds and 55.36 million from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 111 million [2] - Major stocks like CITIC Securities experienced a net inflow of 580 million from institutional investors, while speculative funds saw a net outflow of 874 million [3] Summary of Key Stocks - CITIC Securities had a closing price of 24.13, with a net inflow of 580 million from institutional investors [3] - Huazhong Securities and Guoxin Securities also showed notable net inflows from retail investors, despite overall sector outflows [3]

Group 1 - The core point of the news is the significant price increases in semiconductor chips and storage components, indicating a shift in the supply-demand dynamics within the industry, with companies like Samsung Electronics and domestic firms announcing substantial price hikes [1][2] - The DeepSeek team released a new paper and open-sourced the DeepSeek-OCR 2 model, which enhances AI's ability to dynamically rearrange image components based on their meanings, aligning more closely with human visual processing [1] - The first AI-focused ETF, Yongying (159141), has seen a 1.29% increase, with key component stocks like Youke and Beijing Junzheng experiencing notable gains, reflecting investor confidence in the AI sector [1][2] Group 2 - Global AI computing power and storage are experiencing high demand, leading to widespread shortages and price increases across various electronic components, indicating a structural inflation trend in the industry [2] - AI is identified as the primary driver of growth in the cloud computing sector, with major cloud providers increasing capital expenditures to enhance high-performance infrastructure and AI development tools [2] - The Yongying AI ETF, established on December 3, 2025, focuses on core AI industry chain stocks, with over 68% of its allocation in AI chips, optical modules, and cloud computing [2]

国信证券发布研报称，维持安踏体育(02020)"优于大市"评级。该行维持盈利预测，预计公司2025-2027 年归母净利润分别为132.1/139.3/155.8亿元，可比口径的利润增长分别为+10.7%/5.5%/11.9%(2024年剔除 Amer上市和配售权益摊薄所得的可比口径利润为119.3亿元)。维持107-112港元目标价，对应2026年20- 21XPE。 国信证券主要观点如下： 此次安踏对PUMA的收购，是公司全球化战略的进一步深化，PUMA在全球运动鞋服市场份额领先，在 多个专业运动项目以及欧洲等重点市场具有领先地位和先进经验与安踏集团品牌矩阵有协同性和互补 性；PUMA虽然短期增长乏力、盈利承压，但现管理层正推动品牌复苏，致力于2027年恢复增长，安踏 加入后更有望焕发品牌新增长活力。 1月26日，公司公告与Pinault家族的投资公司Groupe Artémis达成购股协议，以每股35欧元的价格收购 PUMASE共计43,014,760股普通股(占其全部已发行股本约29.06%)，总对价15.05亿欧元(约合人民币 122.78亿元)。 风险提示 标的概况 关税政策不确定性;品牌形象受损 ...

在新能源汽车替代燃油车、运输"以铁替公"战略等影响下，我国汽柴油需求整体呈现增长放缓趋势。但 在供给端有炼油产能红线限制与炼厂"减油增化"的结构性优化，成本端原油价格处于炼油舒适区、叠加 OSP升水下调改善，国内成品油整体裂差中枢逐步上移。此外，海外成品油裂差在俄罗斯炼厂遇袭、美 国炼厂开工率下行背景下走高。我国头部炼厂炼油端利润将实现改善，炼厂可利用成品油出口配额获 利。 智通财经APP获悉，国信证券发布研报称，炼油化工板块在供给端存在政策限制及结构优化，需求端存 在SAF等新兴油品快速增长，成本端油价与OSP官价已调整至炼厂成本舒适区，成品油裂差中枢、化工 品芳烃PTA价差、硫磺价格率先启动，有望在中期维度带动炼厂盈利持续修复，重点推荐国内炼油、炼 化产能及技术领先企业。重点推荐中国石油(601857.SH)、荣盛石化(002493.SZ)、桐昆股份 (601233.SH)。 国信证券主要观点如下： 工信部印发石化化工行业稳增长方案，行业"减油增化"稳步推进 2025年9月，工业和信息化部等七部门印发《石化化工行业稳增长工作方案(2025 —2026年)》，提出了 石化化工行业稳增长的总体要求、主要目标、 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that Guosen Securities maintains an "outperform" rating for Anta Sports (02020) and keeps its profit forecast unchanged, expecting net profit attributable to shareholders to reach 13.21 billion, 13.93 billion, and 15.58 billion RMB for 2025-2027, with comparable profit growth rates of +10.7%, +5.5%, and +11.9% respectively [1] - The target price is maintained at 107-112 HKD, corresponding to a price-to-earnings ratio of 20-21X for 2026 [1] - On January 26, the company announced an agreement to acquire 43,014,760 shares of PUMA from the Pinault family's investment company Groupe Artémis at a price of 35 euros per share, totaling 1.505 billion euros (approximately 12.278 billion RMB), which represents about 29.06% of PUMA's total issued share capital [1] Group 2 - PUMA's current management is driving brand recovery, which may incur one-time costs, with a goal to restore growth by 2027; the acquisition price of 1.505 billion euros for a 29.06% stake corresponds to approximately 0.7x PUMA's projected price-to-sales ratio for 2027 [2] - Anta Group's globalization strategy is further deepening, and PUMA's future growth is promising; the acquisition is seen as a strategic move to enhance Anta's multi-brand global operations, leveraging PUMA's leading market share in the global sports footwear and apparel market [2] - Although PUMA is currently facing growth challenges and profitability pressures, the management's efforts to revitalize the brand are expected to bring new growth opportunities after Anta's involvement [2]

Core Viewpoint - The recent public fund reports for Q4 2025 reveal a shift in market consensus, highlighting the contrasting trends between active and passive funds, with active fund sizes declining while passive funds see significant growth [1] Group 1: Fund Size and Redemption Trends - Active fund size decreased by 173.9 billion to 3.97 trillion, while passive fund size increased by 142.6 billion to 5.48 trillion, indicating a continued lead of passive funds over active funds [1] - Despite the decline in active fund size, the net redemption of actively managed equity funds has narrowed, suggesting that many funds have reached a "break-even" point, leading to a historical high in net outflows since 2016 [1] - The scale of funds that have not yet "broken even" is relatively limited, making it unlikely to see a repeat of the concentrated redemption wave in the second half of 2025 [1] Group 2: Overall Positioning and Stock Allocation - The overall stock position of public active equity funds decreased to 86.47%, down 0.77 percentage points from the previous quarter, indicating a trend of active reduction by fund managers [2] - The stock position in Hong Kong stocks saw a more pronounced decline, with the total scale of active fund holdings in Hong Kong stocks dropping from 19.26% to 16.23%, a decrease of 3.03% [2] Group 3: Sector Trends and Fund Characteristics - Resource sector holdings reached a historical high, increasing by 3.34% to 13.36%, marking the most significant growth among sectors [4] - The issuance of bond funds with embedded rights surged, reaching the highest quarterly issuance since 2020, with mixed bond secondary fund scales growing by 260.3 billion, indicating a shift towards lower-risk investments [4] - A notable "high-low switch" in active fund allocations was observed, reflecting a negative correlation between valuation percentiles and overweight ratios, indicating a strategic shift in fund management [4] - The number of stocks held by fund managers increased to 2,467, up from 2,379, suggesting a rise in the diversity of holdings among fund managers [4][5]

2、债权登记日：2026 年 1 月 28 日 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 本期债券的债券简称为 24 国证 03，债券代码为 148593，本年度计息期间、 债权登记日及付息日等如下： 3、债券付息日：2026 年 1 月 29 日 2026 年 1 月 28 日（含）前买入本期债券的投资者，享有本次派发的利息； 2026 年 1 月 28 日（含）前卖出本期债券的投资者，不享有本次派发的利息。 | 证券代码：002736 | 证券简称：国信证券 | | 公告编号：2026-005 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：148593 | 债券简称：24 国证 | 03 | 编号： -【】 | 国信证券股份有限公司 2024 年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券 （第二期）（品种二）2026 年付息公告 1、本年度计息期间：2025 年 1 月 29 日至 2026 年 1 月 28 日 国信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"发行人""公司"或"本公司"）发行的 国信证券股份有限公司 2024 年面向专业投 ...

| 证券代码：002736 | 证券简称：国信证券 | | 公告编号：2026-004 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：148592 | 债券简称：24 国证 | 02 | 编号：-【】 | 国信证券股份有限公司 2026 年 1 月 28 日（含）前买入本期债券的投资者，享有本次派发的本金和 利息；2026 年 1 月 28 日（含）前卖出本期债券的投资者，不享有本次派发的本 金和利息。 国信证券股份有限公司（以下简称"发行人""公司"或"本公司"）发行的 国信证券股份有限公司 2024 年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券（第二期）（品 种一）（以下简称"本期债券"）将于 2026 年 1 月 29 日兑付本息，为保证本 次兑付兑息工作的顺利进行，方便投资者及时领取本金和利息，现将有关事宜公 告如下： 一、本期债券的基本情况 2024 年面向专业投资者公开发行公司债券 （第二期）（品种一）2026 年兑付兑息暨摘牌公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假 记载、误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 特别提示： 本期债券的债券简称为 24 国证 02，债券 ...

对于房地产企稳时间、未来走势，目前业内观点不一。 "私募魔女"李蓓再就房地产发声。 近日，被称为"私募魔女"的半夏投资创始人李蓓，在接受媒体采访时表示，基于供给侧大出清、总量周期性回升等因素，半年内地产或出现"十年一 遇的机会"。 她表示，从供给侧出清的角度看，诸多房企退出新拿地市场，全国土地市场活跃的企业只剩个位数；从规模角度看，虽然地产总量难回峰值，但会 回升至10亿平方米的长期均衡水平。 此外，从行业调整幅度看，2021年6月至今18个季度，已达到全球房地产泡沫破灭调整的中位数时长；新开工、新房销售、二手房价格等指标的调整 幅度，也略超平均水平。 "更重要的是，行业基本面已出现边际改善。"她表示，比如租金回报与边际融资成本已匹配，去年12月起25城二手房挂牌量下滑等。结合香港市场 的回升情况，她判断地产拐点可能在半年内出现，如果后续有重磅政策出台，可能进一步加速行业企稳。 基于上述判断，她认为行业在逐步见底之后，将面临十年级别的回升周期，未来地产股的机会不在房价或销量回升，而在供给出清后的企业份额扩 张与盈利能力修复。 早在2023年时，李蓓也曾公开表示地产板块面临"10年一遇的机会"，背后逻辑在于随着 ...