上海是中英交流的前沿 北京西路上的麦金侬酒店，9年来几乎每晚都上演一场无固定剧本、无固定座位的戏剧。观众穿行 于迷宫般的走廊、房间与楼梯之间，在角色的命运迷局中自由探索。 不久前，《不眠之夜》上海版迎来第2500场演出。自2016年首演以来，累计吸引观众70万人次，总 收入突破6亿元。这部由上海与英国演出机构联合制作的浸入式戏剧，已成为现象级合作产品。 上海一直是中英交流的前沿，有着许多城市印记。沿着黄浦江自北向南，外滩海关大钟，百年前自 英国运来，如今每天依然能响起报时声；对岸的浦东美术馆与英国泰特美术馆合作多年，让上海观众在 家门口看到欧美艺术精品；徐汇滨江的西岸美术馆，由英国奇普菲尔德团队设计，已是市民与游客的热 门打卡地…… 记者 洪俊杰 南昌路上海科学会堂大草坪，有株来自英国的"牛顿苹果树"。它是自11年前漂洋过海的5根"牛顿苹 果树"枝条培育而成，通过在沪嫁接、适种与移栽，如今已是枝繁叶茂。也是在2015年，20位上海科技 工作者成为"牛顿基金"获得者，如今，他们多已成长为科研中坚力量。 这段"人与树"的故事成为上海与英国合作交流的佳话，也见证着昔日中英关系"黄金时代"。今天， 英国首相基尔·斯塔 ...

Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview: Real Estate Key Points on New and Second-hand Housing Market - New housing transaction area decreased by 9.7% month-on-month and 39.6% year-on-year across 40 cities [1] - Second-hand housing transaction area increased by 4.4% month-on-month and 18.1% year-on-year in 18 cities [1] - New housing inventory area decreased by 0.2% month-on-month and 6.6% year-on-year across 12 cities, with a de-stocking cycle of 17.7 months, which is an increase of 0.8 months month-on-month and 5.5 months year-on-year [1] Land Transaction Insights - Land transaction area across 100 cities decreased by 3.1% month-on-month but increased by 0.4% year-on-year [1] - Average land price increased by 1.7% month-on-month but decreased by 15.8% year-on-year [1] - Premium rate for land transactions was 0.7%, down by 1.0 percentage points month-on-month and 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [1] Market Stability and Price Control - The core to stabilizing the real estate market lies in maintaining prices, with expectations for second-hand housing transaction volume to average between 500-600 million square meters in 2024 [2] - First-tier cities, particularly Shanghai, are experiencing unique price increases, indicating a divergence in market trends [2] - Supply-side measures are necessary to de-stock, with new project launch de-stocking rates significantly higher post-policy adjustments [2] - Demand-side policies such as effective use of housing provident funds, tax reductions, and mortgage interest deductions are suggested to boost housing consumption [2] Developer Financing and Investment Stability - Key to stabilizing real estate investment is addressing developers' financing needs [3] - Recommendations include supporting reasonable financing demands of non-state-owned enterprises and establishing a unified management system for developers' financing [3] - Emphasis on accelerating the implementation of special bond storage for affordable housing and urban renewal as a means to stabilize the market [3] - Investment suggestions highlight the importance of liquidity safety and focusing on high-capacity cities and strong product offerings among real estate companies [3] Investment Recommendations - Suggested companies to watch include China Resources, Binjiang, and Poly Real Estate, among others [4] - Emphasis on commercial real estate companies that are adapting to new consumption trends and innovative business models [3]

[Table_Title] 研究报告 Research Report 25 Jan 2026 中国策略 China Strategy 春节红包行情蓄力稳行，科技与价值各有亮点 Spring Festival "Red Packet" Rally Builds Momentum Steadily, with Highlights in Both Tech and Value 周林泓 Amber Zhou 黄雨昕 Yuxin Huang 从本周表现看，大盘如期震荡休整，市场整体情绪有所降温之后更健康，半导体走势偏强，航天军工等方向短期 震荡调整之后再次回暖。 我们判断，春节红包行情仍将蓄力稳行。从结构来看依然聚焦"高科技+强周期"，具体而言： ——高科技方向的机会：一方面，可继续延着当前年报预告业绩超预期的方向，深挖半导体特别是存储、储能、 电网设备、化工、创新药等方向。另一方面根据十五五规划相关的产业引领，进一步聚焦掘金国防军工、国产算 力/芯片、太空算力、可控核聚变等领域龙头。 ——价值方向的机会：首先，继续持有黄金及相关权益资产。其次，在震荡中择机布局性价比高、基本面改善的 低位价值股机会，关注港股具有业绩 ...

Group 1: Regulatory Updates - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released new guidelines for public offering securities investment fund performance benchmarks, emphasizing the need for clearer benchmarks, enhanced regulatory oversight, and linking performance to compensation [1][1][1] - The CSRC has also announced the addition of 14 specific futures and options products for domestic trading, including nickel futures and options, and lithium carbonate futures and options [1][1][1] Group 2: Market Performance - The banking wealth management market is projected to reach a scale of 33.29 trillion yuan by the end of 2025, reflecting an 11.15% growth from the beginning of the year [1] - The Shanghai Stock Exchange reported a significant number of abnormal trading behaviors, with 152 cases of market manipulation and false reporting under investigation [2][2] Group 3: Company Earnings Forecasts - Shannon Chip Innovation expects a net profit increase of 81.77% to 134.78% year-on-year for 2025 [5] - Anshuo Information anticipates a net profit growth of 52.44% to 98.83% year-on-year for 2025 [5] - Changrongda forecasts a net profit increase of 57.23% to 83.43% year-on-year for 2025 [5] - Jingfang Technology expects a net profit growth of 44.41% to 52.32% year-on-year for 2025 [5] - Zhongwei Company projects a net profit increase of 28.74% to 34.93% year-on-year for 2025 [5] - However, several companies, including Baiyin Nonferrous and Chip Origin, are expected to report losses in 2025, with Baiyin Nonferrous projecting a loss of 450 million to 675 million yuan [5][5]

【重点关注】 ·我国银行理财市场规模突破33万亿元 ·"北京火箭大街"六大平台启动加速形成全链条"千星产发"能力 ·中国证监会发布行政处罚决定书，认定余韩操纵证券市场行为成立。2019年6月3日至2024年8月15日期 间，余韩控制使用67个证券账户，利用资金优势、持股优势，通过连续买卖、对倒交易等方式，操 纵"博士眼镜"股票价格和交易量，扰乱证券市场秩序。经查，余韩违法所得为5.11亿元。依据《中华人 民共和国证券法》相关规定，证监会决定：没收余韩违法所得5.11亿元，并处以5.11亿元罚款，合计罚 没金额10.23亿元。同时，对余韩采取3年证券市场禁入措施。 【国际要闻】 ·余韩操纵证券市场证监会对其合计罚没10.23亿元 ·TikTok官宣美国方案：双方共同运营，字节保留算法知识产权 【国内要闻】 ·1月22日，商务部副部长兼国际贸易谈判副代表凌激主持召开英资企业圆桌会。英国驻华贸易使节倪乐 思以及英中贸协、太古集团、汇丰银行、洲际酒店等30家英资企业和协会代表参会。商务部、海关总 署、金融监管总局有关司局参会并现场回应企业提出的问题诉求。凌激表示，近年来中英经贸合作稳步 增长，兼具韧性与活力。双方产业 ...

Group 1 - The meeting hosted by the Vice Minister of Commerce, Ling Ji, emphasized the steady progress of the Chinese economy, which provides a broad development platform for foreign enterprises [3] - During the 14th Five-Year Plan period, China will focus on expanding the service sector, welcoming British enterprises to seize opportunities in areas such as consumption, green transformation, and technological innovation [3] - The meeting highlighted the importance of deepening trade and investment cooperation between China and the UK, leveraging economic and trade relations as a stabilizing force and a driving engine for bilateral ties [3] Group 2 - The UK Trade Envoy, Nigel Adams, noted that the economic and trade relationship is crucial for UK-China relations, aligning the UK's modern industrial strategy with China's 14th Five-Year Plan [3] - Attendees from British enterprises expressed confidence in the Chinese market's potential and the improving business environment, indicating that the 14th Five-Year Plan enhances long-term investment confidence in China [3]

Group 1 - Hong Kong local real estate stocks experienced a broad increase, with Hysan Development rising over 5% [1] - Other notable gainers include Kowloon Development and Kerry Properties, both up over 4%, while Kowloon Group and Sun Hung Kai Properties increased by over 3% [1] - Swire Properties B shares rose nearly 3%, and Longfor Group, Sino Land, Swire Properties A, and Swire Group all saw increases of over 1% [1] Group 2 - Hysan Development's latest price is 21.600 with a market capitalization of 221.83 billion [2] - Kowloon Development's latest price is 26.600 with a market capitalization of 807.64 billion [2] - Kerry Properties' latest price is 22.840 with a market capitalization of 331.48 billion [2] - Kowloon Group's latest price is 24.940 with a market capitalization of 762.17 billion [2] - Sun Hung Kai Properties' latest price is 113.900 with a market capitalization of 3300.57 billion [2] - Swire Properties B's latest price is 12.460 with a market capitalization of 354.98 billion [2] - Longfor Group's latest price is 43.960 with a market capitalization of 1538.5 billion [2] - Sino Land's latest price is 11.500 with a market capitalization of 1090.72 billion [2] - Swire Properties' latest price is 23.380 with a market capitalization of 1346.1 billion [2] - Swire Group's latest price is 74.400 with a market capitalization of 579.57 billion [2]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of Hong Kong composite enterprises will be differentiated in 2025, driven mainly by asset sales and capital recovery activities, with investors shifting to valuing companies based on price-to-book ratios rather than dividend yields [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Price Targets - UBS prefers Cheung Kong (00001) and Swire A (00019) among the covered stocks, giving Cheung Kong a "Buy" rating with a target price of HKD 58.8, raised from USD 83.4 and HKD 67 [1] - Swire is given a "Neutral" rating, with its target price reduced from HKD 74 to HKD 72.7 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - UBS forecasts that Cheung Kong's basic net profit will grow by 3% year-on-year in 2025, a slowdown from the 11% growth seen in the first half of last year, with expected EBITDA growth in the port and retail businesses to decelerate in the second half [1] - For Swire, UBS estimates a 9.1% year-on-year increase in recurring basic earnings to HKD 10.1 billion, with a projected 5% rise in the final dividend [1] Group 3: Asset Management and Valuation - UBS believes that potential asset sales and possible spin-off plans could help Cheung Kong narrow its current 47% discount to net asset value, indicating that the current valuation is attractive [1] - Unlike Cheung Kong and Jardine Matheson, UBS sees limited room for corporate actions for Swire but expects continued improvement in its balance sheet this year, benefiting from growth in its real estate business [1]

Core Viewpoint - UBS reports that the performance of Hong Kong composite enterprises' stock prices will diverge in 2025, driven mainly by asset sales and capital recovery activities, with investors shifting to valuing companies based on price-to-book ratios rather than dividend yields [1] Group 1: Company Ratings and Price Targets - UBS prefers Cheung Kong (00001) and Swire Properties A (00019) among the covered stocks, with a "Buy" rating for Cheung Kong and a target price of HKD 58.8, raised from USD 83.4 and HKD 67 [1] - For Swire, UBS assigns a "Neutral" rating, lowering the target price from HKD 74 to HKD 72.7 [1] Group 2: Financial Projections - UBS anticipates Cheung Kong's basic net profit will grow by 3% year-on-year in 2025, a slowdown from the 11% growth seen in the first half of last year, with expected EBITDA growth in the port and retail sectors to decelerate in the second half [1] - UBS estimates Swire's recurring basic earnings will increase by 9.1% year-on-year to HKD 10.1 billion, with a projected 5% rise in the final dividend [1] Group 3: Asset Management and Valuation - UBS believes potential asset sales and possible spin-off plans could help Cheung Kong narrow its current 47% discount to net asset value, indicating that the current valuation is attractive [1] - Unlike Cheung Kong and Jardine Matheson, UBS sees limited room for corporate actions for Swire but expects continued improvement in its balance sheet this year, benefiting from growth in its real estate business [1]

Group 1 - Hitachi Ltd. is part of the Conglomerates group, which ranks 2 within the Zacks Sector Rank, indicating strong performance relative to other sectors [2] - Hitachi Ltd. has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), with a 1.2% increase in the consensus estimate for its full-year earnings over the past quarter, reflecting improved analyst sentiment [3] - Year-to-date, Hitachi Ltd. has gained approximately 8.2%, outperforming the average gain of 5.9% for the Conglomerates group [4] Group 2 - The Diversified Operations industry, which includes Hitachi Ltd., currently ranks 81 in the Zacks Industry Rank, with an average gain of 5.9% this year [5] - Another stock in the Conglomerates sector, Swire Pacific, has a year-to-date return of 9.7% and a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), indicating strong performance [4][5] - Both Hitachi Ltd. and Swire Pacific are expected to continue their solid performance, making them attractive options for investors interested in Conglomerates stocks [6]