北京市房地产中介行业协会9月30日发布倡议书，对各会员、房地产经纪机构及其从业人员、网络自媒体，提出4大类、共10项倡议。其中包括不唱 衰做空市场、规范信息发布、禁止虚假带看及引诱业主低价挂牌、禁止恶意压价、规范房源报价议价等。在规范业务操作方面，倡议书提出，禁止 虚假带看及引诱业主低价挂牌。不得为满足公司KPI考核雇佣人员制造虚假带看量，更不得为取得"热销房源"等标签引诱房主低价挂牌。禁止恶意压 价。应科学评估房屋价值，不得采用PUA手段损害房主合法权益；不得通过虚报低价、做局砸盘等方式对房主施加降价压力。 关于规范房地产经纪行为、助力市场健康发展的倡议 各会员、房地产经纪机构及其从业人员、网络自媒体： 当前，房地产市场正处于止跌回稳的关键阶段，房地产经纪服务、市场信息服务与房地产市场的稳定息息相关。为规范房地产经纪行为、维 护房地产市场秩序、夯实止跌回稳基础，北京房地产中介行业协会特向全市房地产经纪机构、房地产经纪从业人员及网络自媒体发出如下倡 议： 一、秉持正确舆论导向，客观全面披露市场信息 1. 不唱衰做空市场：不得发布、传播夸大房地产市场风险、制造市场恐慌的言论，应客观理性地解读市场数据。 2. 真 ...

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - The report does not provide an investment rating for the industry. 2. Core View - The report suggests that the stock index futures may stabilize [3]. 3. Key Points by Category 3.1 Index Futures Data - On September 28, all four current - month index futures contracts declined. IF fell 1.16%, IH fell 0.43%, IC fell 1.48%, and IM fell 1.33% [1]. - In terms of trading volume, the total trading volume of index futures rebounded, with IF decreasing by 12,397 lots, IH decreasing by 3,587 lots, IC increasing by 6,370 lots, and IM increasing by 30,154 lots [2]. - Regarding positions, IF's total positions decreased by 6,449 lots, IH's increased by 1,041 lots, IC's increased by 3,365 lots, and IM's increased by 11,537 lots [2]. 3.2 Index Futures Basis - The report presents the basis data of IF, IH, IC, and IM from September 2 to September 26 [4]. 3.3 Top 20 Member Positions - The report shows the changes in long and short positions of the top 20 members of each index futures contract, with some data not disclosed [5]. 3.4 Trend Intensity - The trend intensity of IF and IH is 1, and that of IC and IM is also 1. The trend intensity ranges from - 2 to 2, with - 2 being the most bearish and 2 being the most bullish [6]. 3.5 Important Drivers - From January to August, the total profit of industrial enterprises above designated size in China was 4,692.97 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 0.9%. In August, the profit increased by 20.4% year - on - year, turning from a 1.5% decline in the previous month [6]. - The central bank's monetary policy committee proposed to strengthen monetary policy regulation, guide financial institutions to increase credit supply, and maintain the stability of the capital market [6]. 3.6 Stock Market Performance - A - share indexes fluctuated downward. The ChiNext Index fell more than 2% below 3,200 points. The Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.65% to 3,828.11 points, the Shenzhen Component Index fell 1.76%, the ChiNext Index fell 2.6%, the North Star 50 fell 1.81%, the Science and Technology Innovation 50 fell 1.6%, and the Wind All - A Index fell 1.2%. The trading volume of A - shares was 2.17 trillion yuan, down from 2.39 trillion yuan the previous day [7].

证券研究报告 2025 年 09 月 27 日 湘财证券研究所 行业研究 房地产行业周报 货币政策将继续支持巩固房地产市场稳定态势 相关研究： 核心要点： ❑ 央行强调要巩固房地产市场稳定态势，完善房地产金融基础性制度 1.《周度观点：北上深新房、二手 房成交继续回暖》 2025.9.21 行业评级：买入（维持） 近十二个月行业表现 % 1 个月 3 个月 12 个月 相对收益 0 1 -7 绝对收益 2 17 26 -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 2024/9/26 2024/11/25 2025/1/24 2025/3/25 2025/5/24 2025/7/23 2025/9/21 沪深300 房地产(申万) 注：相对收益与沪深 300 相比 分析师：张智珑 证书编号：S0500521120002 Tel：(8621) 50295363 Email：zzl6599@xcsc.com 地址：上海市浦东新区银城路88号 中国人寿金融中心10楼 根据央行官网 9 月 26 日披露，央行货币政策委员会召开第三季度例会。房 地产方面，央行提出要着力推动已出台金融政策措施落地见效，加大存量 商品房和 ...

会议继续要求，用好证券、基金、保险公司互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款，探索常态化的制度安排， 维护资本市场稳定。 近日，中国人民银行货币政策委员会召开2025年第三季度（总第110次）例会。本次例会要求促进经济 稳定增长和物价处于合理水平。保持政策连续性稳定性，增强灵活性预见性。在研究下阶段货币政策主 要思路时，会议建议加强货币政策调控，提高前瞻性、针对性、有效性。 对比二季度例会，本次例会在分析外部形势时，继续强调当前世界经济增长动能减弱，通胀走势和货币 政策调整存在不确定性。我国经济运行稳中有进，但仍面临国内需求不足、物价低位运行等困难和挑 战。 会议要求实施好适度宽松的货币政策，加强逆周期调节。会议建议下阶段加强货币政策调控，提高前瞻 性、针对性、有效性，根据国内外经济金融形势和金融市场运行情况，把握好政策实施的力度和节奏， 抓好各项货币政策措施执行，充分释放政策效应。 在利率方面，会议建议强化央行政策利率引导，完善市场化利率形成传导机制，发挥市场利率定价自律 机制作用，加强利率政策执行和监督。 对于外汇市场，会议强调增强外汇市场韧性，稳定市场预期，防范汇率超调风险，保持人民币汇率在合 理均衡水平上的基本 ...

中经记者 郝亚娟 夏欣 上海、北京报道 其中，会议指出，要引导大型银行发挥金融服务实体经济主力军作用，推动中小银行聚焦主责主业，增 强银行资本实力，共同维护金融市场的稳定发展。有效落实好各类结构性货币政策工具，扎实做好金 融"五篇大文章"，加力支持科技创新、提振消费、小微企业、稳定外贸等，做好"两重""两新"等重点领 域的融资支持。用好证券、基金、保险公司互换便利和股票回购增持再贷款，探索常态化的制度安排， 维护资本市场稳定。持续做好支持民营经济发展壮大的金融服务，充分发挥支持小微企业融资协调工作 机制作用，进一步打通中小微企业融资的堵点和卡点。着力推动已出台金融政策措施落地见效，加大存 量商品房和存量土地盘活力度，巩固房地产市场稳定态势，完善房地产金融基础性制度，助力构建房地 产发展新模式。切实推进金融高水平双向开放，提高开放条件下经济金融管理能力和风险防控能力。 （编辑：朱紫云 审核：何莎莎 校对：颜京宁） 中国人民银行货币政策委员会2025年第三季度（总第110次）例会于9月23日召开。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) emphasizes the need for proactive monetary policy adjustments to support economic stability and growth, focusing on targeted measures for various sectors [2][4][6]. Economic Analysis - The PBOC acknowledges a complex external environment with weakening global economic growth and increasing trade barriers, while noting a positive trend in domestic economic performance [4][5]. - The assessment of the domestic economy has shifted from "showing a good trend" to "steady progress," with challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and low price levels remaining [5][6]. Monetary Policy Recommendations - The PBOC suggests enhancing monetary policy regulation, improving its foresight, targeting, and effectiveness, and ensuring the execution of various monetary policy measures [6][7]. - Recommendations include maintaining ample liquidity, guiding financial institutions to increase credit supply, and aligning social financing scale and money supply growth with economic growth and price expectations [6][7]. Structural Policy Support - The PBOC plans to strengthen support for technology innovation, consumption, small and micro enterprises, and stabilizing foreign trade, expanding the focus beyond just technology and consumption [6][8]. - The meeting also emphasizes the importance of maintaining stability in the capital market through various financial instruments and supporting the development of the private economy [7][8]. Real Estate Market - The PBOC aims to consolidate the stability of the real estate market, with a focus on revitalizing existing properties and land, while improving the foundational financial systems related to real estate [7][8].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the impact of mid-term population changes on housing prices in developed countries/regions is limited, as there is no significant positive correlation between housing price indices and population growth rates or numbers [1] - From 2022, housing prices in 70 cities have entered a downward trend, with a widening decline expected in Q3 2024, although the year-on-year decline has narrowed since Q4 due to supportive policies [1] - The current adjustment cycle in the housing market has seen both new and second-hand housing price indices decline for over 40 months [1] Group 2 - Historical data shows that housing prices in developed countries/regions have experienced fluctuations since the 1980s, with price corrections often exceeding those in China, but eventually stabilizing [2] - Key factors for stabilizing and recovering housing prices include coordinated fiscal and monetary policies, such as large-scale quantitative easing, interest rate cuts, and fiscal subsidies [2] - A stable policy outlook, low interest rate environment, and improved supply-demand structure are crucial for halting the decline and stabilizing the real estate market [2] Group 3 - The stabilization of housing prices is influenced by multiple factors, including monetary policy, supply-demand relationships, and economic expectations, rather than solely by population dynamics [3] - Recommended investment targets include strong credit property companies with good urban fundamentals and leading product capabilities, as well as firms that can drive both residential and commercial real estate [3] - The increasing penetration rate of second-hand housing indicates a promising outlook for the real estate after-service sector [3]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2025 年 9 月 23 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 节前资金离场，钢矿震荡回落 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价震荡回落，录得 1.00%日跌幅，量缩仓增。现阶段， 供弱需增局面下螺纹钢基本面虽有所改善，但下游未见好转，需求担忧 未退，改善力度不强，相对利好的是成本抬升与政策预期，多空因素博 弈下预计钢价维持震荡运行态势，关注需求表现情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价弱势下行，录得 1.33%日跌幅，量增仓缩。目前来 看，热卷需求韧性趋弱，而供应维持高位，供需格局有所走弱，库存再 度增加，卷价继续承压，相对利好则是成本抬升，预计后续走势震荡偏 弱运行，关注需求表现情况。 铁矿石：主力期价高位回落，录得 1.23%日跌幅，量仓收缩。现阶 段，矿石需求表现尚可，支撑矿价高位运行，但需求利好趋弱，供应压 力增加，基本面预期走弱，叠加估值相对偏高，节前走势谨慎乐观，谨 防产业矛盾激化。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-870 ...

人民财讯9月23日电，【摘要】证监会：深化科创板、创业板、北交所改革，完善发行上市等制度机 制，培育壮大耐心资本。央行：为推动经济持续回升向好营造良好的货币金融环境。国家外汇管理局： 保持人民币汇率在合理均衡水平上的基本稳定和国际收支基本平衡。审计署：加大地方政府债务、金 融、能源等领域重大风险隐患揭示力度。住建部：持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势，着力构建房地产发展 新模式。国家体育总局印发《关于推动运动促进健康事业高质量发展的指导意见》。国家能源局：到 2030年，我国能源关键装备产业链供应链实现自主可控。 ...

Core Insights - The real estate sector has shown a significant increase in performance, with a weekly gain of 5.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices by 4.4% and 3.7% respectively [3][45][49] - New housing sales in 36 cities decreased by 11.0% week-on-week but increased by 2.3% year-on-year, with total sales for the year up to September 12 at 69.36 million square meters, down 7.4% year-on-year [3][9][21] - The second-hand housing market saw a week-on-week increase of 16.1% and a year-on-year increase of 16.3%, with total sales for the year reaching 56.004 million square meters, up 12.2% year-on-year [3][15][21] Real Estate Market Situation - New housing sales in major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen showed varied performance, with Beijing and Shanghai experiencing declines of 8.4% and 10.0% respectively [9][32] - The inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 77.989 million square meters, with a year-on-year decrease of 9.2% and an average de-stocking period of 20.8 months [3][21][33] Land Market Situation - The land transaction volume from September 8 to September 14 was 9.663 million square meters, a decrease of 51.7% week-on-week and 69.0% year-on-year, with an average land price of 1,074 yuan per square meter [3][35][36] - Cumulative land transactions for the year reached 75.8187 million square meters, down 7.0% year-on-year [3][35] Investment Recommendations - For real estate development, companies such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and Greentown China are recommended for investment [3][7] - In property management, firms like China Resources Vientiane Life and Greentown Services are highlighted as having long-term investment value [3][8] - In real estate brokerage, leading platforms like Beike and I Love My Home are suggested for consideration [3][8]