长江证券承销保荐有限公司 关于湖北菲利华石英玻璃股份有限公司 2025 年半年度持续督导跟踪报告 | 保荐机构名称：长江证券承销保荐有限公司 | 被保荐公司简称：菲利华 | | --- | --- | | 保荐代表人姓名：殷博成 | 联系电话：010-57065268 | | 保荐代表人姓名：张硕 | 联系电话：010-57065268 | 一、保荐工作概述 | 项目 | 工作内容 | | --- | --- | | 1、公司信息披露审阅情况 | | | （1）是否及时审阅公司信息披露文件 | 是 | | （2）未及时审阅公司信息披露文件的次数 | 次 0 | | 2、督导公司建立健全并有效执行规章制度的情况 | | | （1）是否督导公司建立健全规章制度（包括但不 | | | 限于防止关联方占用公司资源的制度、募集资金管 | 是 | | 理制度、内控制度、内部审计制度、关联交易制度） | | | （2）公司是否有效执行相关规章制度 | 是 | | 3、募集资金监督情况 | | | | 0 次、公司 2024 年度已经将募集资金 | | （1）查询公司募集资金专户次数 | 使用完毕并销户 | | （2）公司募 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [8]. Core Views - The aerospace sector's demand recovery has driven the company's H1 performance growth, with net profit increasing by 28.72% year-on-year despite a 0.77% decline in revenue [2][12]. - The semiconductor industry recovery has led to steady growth in related revenues, while the photovoltaic sector has seen a significant decline due to supply-demand mismatches [2][12]. - The company has achieved sales revenue of 13.12 million yuan from quartz electronic cloth in H1, indicating substantial future growth potential [2][12]. - The company is expanding its production capacity to prepare for future economic upturns, with inventory reaching a historical high, ensuring resilience for future growth [2][12]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 908 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.77%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 222 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 28.72% [6][12]. - For Q2 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 502 million yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.61%, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 23.46% [6][12]. Business Segments - Revenue from quartz glass materials increased by 21.35% year-on-year to 643 million yuan, with a gross margin improvement of 6.02 percentage points to 58.74% [12]. - Revenue from quartz glass products decreased by 30.93% year-on-year to 262 million yuan, with a gross margin decline of 3.17 percentage points to 25.98% [12]. Capacity and Inventory - The company's fixed asset balance grew by 10% to 2.051 billion yuan, marking a historical high and more than double the balance at the end of 2021 [12]. - Inventory reached a historical high of 763 million yuan, with a significant portion being raw materials, as the company actively reserves imported quartz sand to ensure normal production supply in the semiconductor sector [12]. Profit Forecast - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders of 460 million yuan, 1.39 billion yuan, and 2.29 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 45%, 205%, and 64% [12].

Group 1: Power Equipment Industry Growth Plan - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, State Administration for Market Regulation, and National Energy Administration issued the "Power Equipment Industry Steady Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" [1] - The main goals for 2025-2026 include maintaining an average annual revenue growth rate of around 6% for traditional power equipment and steady growth for renewable energy equipment [1] - The production of power generation equipment is expected to remain within a reasonable range, ensuring effective supply, while the export volume of renewable energy equipment is projected to increase [1] - Key regions and enterprises are expected to enhance their driving role, with an average annual revenue growth rate of around 7% for national advanced manufacturing clusters in the power equipment sector and about 10% for leading enterprises [1] - The plan aims to promote breakthroughs and applications of a number of landmark equipment [1] Group 2: ChiNext ETF Performance - As of September 11, 2025, the ChiNext ETF Ping An has seen a net value increase of 24.63% over the past three years, ranking among the top two compared to similar funds [4] - The highest monthly return since inception was 37.37%, with the longest consecutive months of increase being five, and the longest increase percentage being 12.63% [4] - The average return rate for the rising months is 7.06%, with an annual profit percentage of 60.00% [4] - The ChiNext ETF Ping An has outperformed the benchmark with an annualized return of 4.43% over the past six months, ranking in the top three out of 15 comparable funds [4] - The fund's management fee is 0.15% and the custody fee is 0.05%, which are the lowest among comparable funds [4] Group 3: ChiNext Index Composition - As of August 29, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the ChiNext Index (399006) account for 55.15% of the index, including Ningde Times (300750), Dongfang Wealth (300059), and Xinyi Sheng (300502) [5] - The top weighted stock, Ningde Times, has a weight of 18.77% and a price increase of 0.82% [7] - The second top weighted stock, Dongfang Wealth, has a weight of 8.38% and remained unchanged [7] - The overall performance of the ChiNext Index shows mixed results among its constituent stocks, with some stocks experiencing significant declines [3][7]

Key Insights - The report highlights a selection of stocks for September, including 京沪高铁 (601816.SH), 桐昆股份 (601233.SH), 雅克科技 (002409.SZ), 宁德时代 (300750.SZ), 恒瑞医药 (600276.SH), 三友医疗 (688085.SH), 北京人力 (600861.SH), 菲利华 (300395.SZ), 兆易创新 (603986.SH), and 鹏鼎控股 (002938.SZ) [1] Fixed Income - The report maintains a view on gradual improvement in PPI and a slow recovery in long-term bond yields, indicating signs of stabilization in upstream prices and a potential seasonal improvement in food prices due to upcoming holidays [2][5] Electronics - The report discusses Apple's 2025 Fall Product Launch, noting the introduction of eight new products, including the iPhone 17 series, which features significant design innovations and improved cost-performance ratios, likely to drive sales growth [2][7][8] Oil and Petrochemicals - 中国海油 reported a revenue of 207.61 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 8.45% year-on-year, with a net profit of 69.53 billion yuan, down 12.79%. The company continues to show resilience and improved risk management capabilities despite the revenue decline [3][12] - 中国石油's revenue for the first half of 2025 was 1,450.10 billion yuan, down 6.74% year-on-year, with a net profit of 83.99 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.42%. The company is focusing on increasing natural gas production and enhancing its refining and chemical transformation [3][17] Market Performance - The report provides an overview of market indices, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3875.31, up 1.65%, and the Shenzhen Component Index at 12979.89, up 3.36%. The electronics and communication sectors showed strong performance, with increases of 5.96% and 7.39% respectively [4] Company Financials - 万润股份 reported a total revenue of 1.87 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.42% year-on-year, but with a net profit increase of 1.35%. The company is seeing improvements in its pharmaceutical business, with significant growth in its medical subsidiary [23][24]

Summary of Key Points from Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The current economic environment is showing signs of gradual improvement, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) growth rate narrowing year-on-year in August, indicating a potential recovery phase in the economy [1][3] - Market liquidity remains loose, with overall interest rates low and short-term rates declining, which is conducive to increased trading volume [1][6] Core Insights and Arguments - The technology and growth sectors are currently favored as the main investment themes, particularly in the context of a market rally during an economic bottoming phase [1][6] - The AI hardware sector is primarily driven by computing power, with key components including optical modules, PCBs, and server manufacturing [1][8] - Companies such as Shenghong Technology, Dongshan Precision, and Huidian Co. are recommended within the computing hardware sector due to their strong performance and core competitiveness [2][10] Market Dynamics - Historical patterns indicate that market corrections are normal in bull markets, with recent A-share index corrections being minor and short-lived [4][7] - The transition from financial sectors to technology growth sectors has been observed since July, driven by macroeconomic changes and earnings expectations [7] Investment Opportunities - Shenghong Technology is highlighted as a key player in the PCB sector, benefiting from high order volumes and strong technological capabilities, particularly in collaboration with NVIDIA [8][9] - The AI hardware terminal market is expected to grow, with significant opportunities in traditional consumer electronics chains (e.g., Apple supply chain) and new AI terminal products like AI glasses [11][12] - Specific companies within the Apple supply chain, such as Zhongshi Technology, Zhuhai Guanyu, Lens Technology, and Luxshare Precision, are recommended for investment [12][13] Emerging Technologies - The orthogonal backplane technology in the PCB sector is gaining attention, with successful collaborations with major North American clients [9] - The semiconductor sector is focusing on self-sufficiency and edge AI, with companies like SMIC, Cambrian, and Haiguang being key players [15][16] Future Trends - The demand for computing power is high, driven by advancements in large models and their applications, with companies like Cambrian and Haiguang showing significant market share growth [19] - The special electronic fabric sector is expected to benefit from AI-driven demand, with companies like Feilihua and Zhongcai Technology positioned well for future growth [24][25] Conclusion - The overall sentiment in the technology and growth sectors remains positive, with numerous investment opportunities identified across various sub-sectors, particularly in AI hardware and semiconductor industries. The market is expected to continue its upward trajectory as economic conditions improve and technological advancements drive demand.

Investment Rating - The report suggests increasing attention to the military industry, focusing on elastic and thematic varieties [4][5]. Core Viewpoints - The military industry is experiencing a positive trend in overall performance, with revenue and net profit showing year-on-year increases of 11.39% and 5.03% respectively in the first half of 2025 [3][21]. - The profitability of various equipment sectors has slightly declined, with the military electronics sector maintaining a high profitability level [4][22]. - Operational indicators are showing stable growth, indicating a sustained industry outlook [4][26]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - The military industry has seen a recovery in its overall prosperity, with revenue and performance increasing year-on-year [12][17]. - The gross profit margin and net profit margin have decreased, indicating pressure on industry profitability [22]. - Long-term positive trends in the industry fundamentals remain unchanged, with operational indicators achieving stable growth [26]. 2. Revenue and Profit - Performance across different sectors shows divergence, with the naval equipment sector maintaining rapid growth in revenue and profit [38][44]. - The aviation sector contributes the most to industry revenue and net profit, accounting for 45% and 54% respectively in the first half of 2025 [38][44]. - The downstream assembly segment holds the largest share of industry revenue and net profit, at 46% and 36% respectively in the first half of 2025 [57][62]. 3. Profitability Indicators - The overall profitability of the military industry is under short-term pressure, with a slight decline in profitability across various sectors [4][22]. - The military electronics sector leads in profitability, while other sectors show minor fluctuations [4][22]. 4. Operational Indicators - The military industry has achieved stable growth in operational indicators, with significant increases in inventory, accounts payable, and contract liabilities [26][30]. - The growth in pre-receivable accounts and contract liabilities indicates strong downstream demand, ensuring future performance [26][30]. 5. Key Companies to Watch - High-end combat capabilities: Companies such as AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Corporation, and others are highlighted as key players [4][5]. - New quality combat capabilities: Companies like Unisoc, Raycus Laser, and others are also noted for their potential [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook on the defense and military industry for the first half of 2025 [3]. Core Viewpoints - The defense industry is experiencing a recovery in overall performance, with revenue and profit showing positive year-on-year growth [2][5]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on the next-generation equipment and the rapid development of unmanned and counter-unmanned weaponry starting in 2025 [4][5]. - The industry is expected to benefit from increased global military trade and a favorable domestic demand environment, leading to a sustained growth trajectory [6]. Summary by Sections 1. Overall Industry Conditions - The military industry shows a recovery in its economic climate, with revenue and profit increasing year-on-year [18]. - In the first half of 2025, the military industry achieved revenue of 304.9 billion yuan, reflecting an 11.39% increase year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders rose by 5.03% to 20.9 billion yuan [23][27]. 2. Revenue and Profit - Revenue performance varies across different segments, with the aviation sector contributing the most to both revenue and net profit in the first half of 2025, accounting for 45% and 54% respectively [44][49]. - The maritime equipment sector showed significant growth, with a revenue increase of 132.0% year-on-year [50]. 3. Profitability Indicators - The overall profitability of the military industry has faced short-term pressure, with gross margin decreasing from 21.60% to 19.27% and net margin from 8.78% to 6.85% from the first half of 2021 to the first half of 2025 [28][31]. - The report indicates that profitability is expected to improve as product prices stabilize and economies of scale are realized [28]. 4. Operational Indicators - Operational indicators have shown stable growth, with inventory increasing by 13.43% year-on-year to 349.3 billion yuan, and contract liabilities rising by 21.48% to 224 billion yuan [32][36]. - The report highlights that the growth in operational metrics reflects a robust demand from downstream sectors, ensuring a positive outlook for future performance [32]. 5. Key Companies to Watch - The report identifies several key companies to focus on, including AVIC Shenyang Aircraft Corporation, AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Industry Group, and others in both high-end and new-type combat capabilities [4][5].

Core Insights - The aviation equipment sector experienced a significant increase of 2.26% on September 11, with Mai Xinlin leading the gains [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3875.31, up 1.65%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12979.89, up 3.36% [1] Sector Performance - Mai Xinlin (688685) saw a closing price of 58.45, with a remarkable increase of 12.40% and a trading volume of 79,800 shares, amounting to a transaction value of 454 million [1] - Other notable performers included: - Feili Hua (300395) with a closing price of 90.59, up 8.86%, trading 415,000 shares for a total of 3.79 billion [1] - Chaozhuo Hangke (688237) at 51.00, up 3.91%, with a transaction value of 110 million [1] - Guangqi Technology (002625) at 47.24, up 3.21%, with a transaction value of 1.82 billion [1] Fund Flow Analysis - The aviation equipment sector experienced a net outflow of 354 million from institutional investors and 244 million from speculative funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 597 million [1] - Specific stock fund flows included: - Guangqi Technology (002625) with a net inflow of 91.29 million from institutional investors, but a net outflow of 33.93 million from speculative funds [2] - Li Jun Shares (002651) had a net inflow of 55.45 million from institutional investors, with a net outflow of 20.93 million from speculative funds [2] - Hai Te Gao Xin (002023) saw a net inflow of 28.31 million from institutional investors, while speculative funds had a net outflow of 18.02 million [2]

Group 1 - The ChiNext Index showed strong performance with an intraday increase of 4.6% on September 11, indicating a bullish market trend [1] - The Tianhong ChiNext ETF (159977) rose by 4.18% with a trading volume exceeding 200 million, highlighting significant investor interest in high-growth stocks [1] - Key stocks within the ChiNext ETF, such as Shenghong Technology and Zhongji Xuchuang, experienced gains exceeding 10%, reflecting strong market sentiment [1] Group 2 - The Tianhong CSI A500 ETF (159360) increased by 1.77% with a trading volume over 88 million, indicating active trading and investor engagement [1] - The CSI A500 Index, which the Tianhong ETF tracks, consists of 500 large-cap, liquid stocks across various industries, providing a broad representation of the market [1] - Recent low funding rates and a generally loose monetary environment have contributed to increased trading volumes in the A-share market, surpassing 2 trillion for several consecutive days [1] Group 3 - Dongguan Securities noted that the A-share market has experienced high-level fluctuations due to profit-taking after five months of gains, but the core logic for continued market growth remains intact [2] - Tianfeng Securities highlighted the gradual commercialization of AI in China, with internet companies reporting substantial returns on AI investments, suggesting a rapid iteration cycle for AI applications [2]

Market Performance - The A-share market showed strong performance with the ChiNext Index rising over 4%, surpassing the 3000-point mark [2] - The Securities ETF (159841) increased by 3.19% with a turnover of 340 million yuan, indicating robust trading activity [2] Fund Flows - The Securities ETF (159841) experienced continuous net inflows over the past 13 days, accumulating a total of 2.096 billion yuan [5] - The ETF's latest scale reached 7.936 billion yuan, with a record high of 703.7 million shares [4] Sector Highlights - Key stocks in the Securities ETF saw significant gains, with Guohai Securities up 10.09% and Pacific Securities up 7.08% [2] - The ETF is heavily weighted towards top-tier brokerages, with nearly 60% of its holdings in the top ten firms, while also including mid-sized brokerages for high growth potential [5] Investment Trends - There is a notable increase in overseas "long money" investing in Chinese assets, with domestic stock funds attracting a net inflow of 6.55 billion USD in the past month [7] - The market is witnessing a trend of brokerages increasing their margin financing limits, reflecting a growing confidence in the market [7] Regulatory Environment - Regulatory encouragement for industry consolidation is evident, with mergers and acquisitions seen as effective strategies for enhancing competitiveness and resource optimization in the brokerage sector [8] - Policies aimed at stabilizing growth and boosting the capital market are expected to continue influencing the sector's trajectory positively [8]