战略布局特种电子布，产业化进程稳步推进。终端算力需求提升推动PCB-CCL 材料整体升级，特种电 子布在价值量和需求量上大幅增长。性能方面，Low Dk 一代、二代及石英Q 布在Dk 和Df 指标上持续 优化，附加值提升；同时，下游M7、M8、M9覆铜板的放量加速了对特种电子布的需求。估算2026 年 特种电子布市场空间约178亿，YOY+205%。公司加大高端电子级玻纤的研发与产线投入，已具备薄布 与超薄布的研发及量产能力；同时，低介电、低膨胀产品的开发、验证与导入进程正稳步推进，技术壁 垒持续强化。公司作为全球玻纤行业龙头，研发体系及成本管控优势显著，为后续产业化放量提供有力 支撑。 粗纱景气向上，波折前行。供给端，预计26 年供给增速为5.8%，较25 年增速进一步减缓；同时考虑到 各家厂商或通过对新线延迟点火、老线提前冷修控制产能合理增加，因此不排除实际供给增速低于测算 值。需求端，考虑到2025 年风电招标规模仍维持在高位，预计风电纱需求仍保持较强韧性，预计26 年 粗纱需求增速4.1%。价格端，25 年9 月玻纤工业协会联合中国巨石等骨干企业共同发布《关于玻纤及 制品行业反对"内卷式"竞争、共同建 ...

行 业 报 告 行业点评 巨石与中材发布激励计划，重视传统电子布盈利弹性 强于大市( 维持) 相关研究报告 【平安证券】行业年度策略报告*建材*AI材料高景 气，出海与反内卷同行*强于大市20251208 【平安证券】行业深度报告*建材*传统玻纤盈利改 善，特种布受益AI高景气*强于大市20251117 事项： 1）近日中国巨石与中材科技发布股权激励草案公告。 2）据卓创资讯1月6日消息，林州光远、重庆国际的电子纱价格均有上涨。 平安观点： 建材 证券分析师 郑南宏 投资咨询资格编号 S1060521120001 ZHENGNANHONG873@pingan.com.cn 杨侃 投资咨询资格编号 S1060514080002 BQV514 YANGKAN034@pingan.com.cn 2026年01月07日 行 业 点 评 7628电子布的均价为9400元/吨与4.65元/米。电子纱与电子布价格持续 上涨，或源于下游AI高景气，促使玻纤厂家转产低介电等高端产品，导 致传统的薄布、厚布产能存在缺口，后续不排除价格继续上涨的可能。 此外，近期铜价亦持续上涨，下游CCL与PCB企业存在涨价动力，有望 向下游传导 ...

买入（维持） | 市场数据： | 2026 年 01 月 05 日 | | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | 17.50 | | 一年内最高/最低（元） | 17.85/10.70 | | 市净率 | 2.2 | | 股息率%（分红/股价） | 2.34 | | 流通 A 股市值（百万元） | 70,055 | | 上证指数/深证成指 | 4,023.42/13,828.63 | | 注："股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产（元） | 7.90 | | 资产负债率% | 39.40 | | 总股本/流通 A 股（百万） | 4,003/4,003 | | 流通 B 股/H 股（百万） | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势： 上 市 公 司 建筑材料 郝子禹 A0230524060003 haozy2@swsresearch.com 联系人 郝子禹 A0230524060003 haozy2@swsresearch.com -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 01-06 02-06 0 ...

Group 1: Nanshan Aluminum (南山铝业) - Nanshan Aluminum is positioned as a rare growth target in the electrolytic aluminum sector, with a focus on dividends and share buybacks, reflecting confidence in its growth potential [4][12] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of CNY 5.0 billion, CNY 5.46 billion, and CNY 5.84 billion for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 12x, 11x, and 10x [4][12] - The report anticipates a 15% upside potential based on a target P/E of 13x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peer companies [4][12] - Key assumptions include increased alumina production from Indonesia, with projected sales volumes of 2.76 million tons in 2025, 4.36 million tons in 2026, and 4.56 million tons in 2027 [12] - The report highlights that domestic electrolytic aluminum capacity is nearing its peak, while global supply growth is slowing, suggesting a favorable supply-demand balance for the industry [12] Group 2: Hanhigh Group (悍高集团) - Hanhigh Group is expected to achieve revenues of CNY 3.595 billion, CNY 4.525 billion, and CNY 5.653 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with net profits of CNY 706 million, CNY 942 million, and CNY 1.237 billion [4][15] - The company is rated as "Buy" based on its current valuation being below the average of comparable companies for 2026 [4][15] - Hanhigh Group's growth is driven by cost reduction and brand strength, with a CAGR of 29% in revenue and 59% in net profit from 2019 to 2024 [12][13] - The company focuses on product innovation and cost efficiency, leveraging its own production capacity to enhance profitability [12][13] Group 3: Market Overview and Investment Strategy - The report identifies a favorable market environment for the spring season, with expectations of continued upward momentum in the stock market due to improved economic indicators and liquidity [22] - The "Top Ten Gold Stocks" for January 2026 include companies like Hualu Hengsheng, Lingyi Zhi Zao, and Alibaba, indicating a diversified investment strategy across sectors [14][22] - The automotive industry is highlighted for its recovery potential, particularly with the introduction of new subsidies and the expected improvement in demand for mid-range vehicles [24]

国际复材 20251230 摘要 AI 电子布需求激增，谷歌等公司大量应用二代布，预计 2026 年需求不 低于 5,000 万米，2027 年可能达到 1.几亿米，国际复材积极扩产应对 市场需求。 国际复材作为玻纤龙头，新增年化产能 6,000 万米生产线，处于全球领 先地位，逐步进入一代布和二代布的批量供给阶段，并计划新增约 50 个干锅，使二代布产能翻倍。 公司已为规划项目筹划资源匹配，包括新增订购资金及贵金属采购，目 前贵金属储备充足，并已订购 500 多台织布机，将于 2026 年下半年逐 步交货。 干锅全部转向生产二代布后，每月供给量可达数十万米，客户结构从以 生益科技为主扩展到红河、台光等企业，生益科技仍是当前最紧迫需求 方之一。 二代布干锅法良率约为拉丝环节 70%-80%，整体拉通计算 50%- 60%。公司交付能力尚未完全满足客户需求，如生益科技预计 2026 年 月需求量将达 60-100 吨。 Q&A 近期玻纤行业的变化和趋势如何？ 近期玻纤行业呈现出积极变化，特别是在 AI 电子部件的升级趋势方面。二代布 被认为是 2026 年缺口最大的品种，主要用于 NV 的 GB300 Swit ...

当下周期板块的亮点和预期有哪些？20251221 摘要 上。若考虑到明年的销量增长、价格提升及单吨净利增加，假设 2026 年销量 增至 330~340 万吨（增速 4%~5%），单吨净利 900~1,000 元，则仅粗纱 部分贡献的业绩为 30~34 亿元。 在电子布方面，今年普通电子布呈现高景气 度，PCB 产品涨价带动电子布涨价。三季度公司普通电子布吨净利约 0.6 元/米， 目前报价接近 4 元/米，全行业单吨盈利可达 0.9 元/米。今年公司后部销量接 近 10 亿米，明年预计增长 4%~5%。假设明年销售 10.5 亿米，每单位盈利 1 元或 1.1 元，则电子部贡献业绩接近 11 亿元。因此，总体来看，中国巨石在 2026 年的业绩合计下限 40 亿，上限 45 亿，可稳住目前 600 亿左右的市值， 并预期达到 800 亿市值。 此外，高端特种电子布研发稳步推进，一代已进入验 证期，其它类型也在推进中。预计 26 年第 1 季度验证期初步结果将出，高端 特种电子布推出后对估值有进一步提振作用。因此，从基本面和估值角度，中 国巨石具备较强逻辑，是我们年度策略中的重点推荐标的。 玻纤粗纱方面，中高 ...

Summary of Glass Fiber Industry Conference Call Industry Overview - The glass fiber industry is expected to see a recovery in 2025, driven by significant demand from wind power installations, which are projected to increase by 138 GW globally, alongside strong performance in the electric vehicle and home appliance markets. However, demand from the construction sector has decreased to around 20% of total demand [1][5] - Exports saw a slight decline in the first three quarters of the year, but there was improvement in September. The demand for roving is expected to remain resilient in 2026, with stable growth in automotive demand and sustained high demand in wind power [1][5] Key Insights and Arguments - The net production capacity of domestic roving has increased by approximately 300,000 tons, with leading companies expected to maintain good profitability levels for high-end products. Overall, roving prices are anticipated to remain stable [1][2] - New production capacity for ordinary electronic yarn is expected to come primarily from Jushi Huai'an and International Composites, totaling around 100,000 tons, but the net increase will be limited. The supply-demand balance for ordinary electronic yarn is expected to remain favorable, with prices potentially stabilizing or even increasing [1][2] - Specialty electronic fabrics are benefiting from advancements in AI and high-speed communication technologies, with low dielectric and low thermal expansion coefficient materials seeing significant demand. These materials are widely used in AI servers, high-end switches, and Apple devices [1][7] Market Dynamics - The demand for low thermal expansion electronic fabrics is projected to increase significantly, with Nitto Denko planning to triple its production capacity by the end of next year, indicating a substantial market opportunity [3][9] - Domestic companies such as China National Materials, Honglu Technology, and Jushi have a leading advantage in the specialty electronic fabric sector and are actively expanding production and achieving technological breakthroughs [3][4][14] Price and Profitability Outlook - Prices for specialty electronic fabrics are expected to remain high or even increase, driven by strong demand for second-generation and low thermal expansion products. The market has high expectations for the price and volume of specialty electronic fabrics [11][12] - The overall profitability of the industry is expected to remain good, with limited new production capacity and stable prices anticipated for traditional glass fiber products in 2026 [15] Competitive Landscape - The industry has a few key players capable of mass-producing specialty electronic fabrics, primarily from Japan and Taiwan, but domestic companies are rapidly catching up. For instance, China National Materials plans to significantly increase its production capacity, while Honglu Technology and others are also expanding [14] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with domestic firms expected to gradually increase their global market share [14] Future Outlook - The overall industry outlook for 2026 is positive, with traditional glass fiber demand showing growth potential and limited new capacity. The increase in GB300 shipments is expected to drive significant demand for second-generation and low thermal expansion products, contributing to a favorable industry environment [15]

Core Viewpoint - The construction materials industry is experiencing weak demand in Q3 2025, leading to a slight revenue decline, but profitability has significantly improved due to cost reduction and price increases for certain products [1] Group 1: Industry Overview - In the first three quarters of 2025, 77 listed companies in the construction materials sector achieved a total revenue of 489.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 5.74%, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 19.25 billion yuan, an increase of 21.46% [1] - The overall gross profit margin for the industry was 19.38%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.22 percentage points [1] - Operating cash flow for these companies improved significantly, with a year-on-year growth of 52.91%, attributed to better receivables management and retail channel transformations [1] Group 2: Cement Sector - In October, there was a slight improvement in cement demand, but overall national demand is showing signs of peaking [2] - The industry is facing increased clinker inventory pressure despite efforts to control supply through staggered kiln shutdowns [2] - Cement prices saw a month-on-month increase of 2.22%, with expectations of further price hikes in November, although the increase may be limited [2] Group 3: Consumer Building Materials - From January to September 2025, retail sales of building and decoration materials grew by 1.6% year-on-year, with a 10.49% month-on-month increase in September [3] - The demand for consumer building materials is gradually improving as the seasonal downturn in the home decoration market ends, although it remains below last year's levels [3] - The ongoing urban renewal strategy is expected to stimulate demand for renovation and high-quality green building materials [3] Group 4: Glass Fiber Sector - In October, there was a slight recovery in demand for glass fiber, with some construction projects requiring expedited delivery [4] - Major glass fiber manufacturers have issued price increase notices for roving, indicating strong pricing power and expectations for stable to rising prices in the future [4] - Demand for electronic yarn is also increasing, with prices expected to remain stable after an initial rise [4] Group 5: Float Glass Sector - The average price of float glass increased in October, although there was a downward trend within the month [5] - The market is characterized by cautious purchasing behavior and high inventory levels, which are expected to limit price increases in the short term [5] - Overall, prices are anticipated to remain stable due to high inventory and limited improvement in demand [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that leading fiberglass companies in China, such as China Jushi, Taishan Fiberglass, International Composites, and Changhai Co., are implementing price adjustments for their main products, with higher adjustments expected for high-end products [1] - Since the peak season in September, the industry has shown signs of improved supply and demand, with sustained high demand for high-end product structures [1] - The increase in production costs and operational pressures from overseas tariffs have led fiberglass companies to enhance collaborative efforts to improve pricing, resulting in a consistent demand for improved profitability [1] Group 2 - The current price adjustments for roving and electronic yarns are progressing in an orderly manner, with expectations for effective downward transmission and sustainability [1] - Leading companies with advantages in high-end product structures, production costs, and market positioning are expected to see both volume and profit increase, making annual performance improvements more promising [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 13.904 billion yuan in the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year increase of 19.5%. The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 2.568 billion yuan, up 67.5% year-on-year [7] - In Q3, the company's revenue grew by 23.2% year-on-year and 3.6% quarter-on-quarter, driven by increased sales of yarn and electronic fabric products [7] - The gross margin for Q3 was 32.8%, with a year-on-year increase of 4.6 percentage points [7] - The company is expected to benefit from improved industry conditions, with supply shocks subsiding and downstream demand remaining resilient, leading to a gradual recovery in profitability [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - Total revenue forecast for 2023A is 14.876 billion yuan, with a projected increase to 18.432 billion yuan in 2025E, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.25% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to rise from 2.445 billion yuan in 2024A to 3.509 billion yuan in 2025E, indicating a growth rate of 43.53% [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.88 yuan in 2025E, with a P/E ratio of 18.08 [1] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on optimizing its product structure, increasing the proportion of mid-to-high-end products, and developing new products to enhance profitability [7] - The industry is expected to see a gradual recovery in pricing and profitability due to reduced new capacity and improved supply-demand balance [7] Future Outlook - The company forecasts net profits of 3.509 billion yuan in 2025E, 4.301 billion yuan in 2026E, and 4.975 billion yuan in 2027E, with corresponding P/E ratios of 18, 15, and 13 [7] - The overall industry outlook is positive, with expectations of price increases in electronic fabrics supported by improved downstream demand [7]