Group 1: Cement Industry - The demand for cement is improving slightly, with companies actively pushing for price increases due to the traditional peak season [1] - National cement prices have seen a slight increase this week, driven by higher demand and proactive pricing strategies from cement companies [1] - Despite some recovery in market demand, it remains weaker compared to the same period last year, and the overall increase in demand is expected to be limited [1] Group 2: Consumer Building Materials - The home decoration market is expected to recover in September, supported by urban renewal initiatives, which will improve demand for consumer building materials [2] - Retail sales of building and decoration materials from January to August 2025 grew by 1.8% year-on-year, with a slight decline in August due to adverse weather conditions [2] - The ongoing "old-for-new" policy is anticipated to further stimulate demand in the home decoration market [2] Group 3: Glass Fiber - Prices for roving and electronic yarns remain stable, with strong demand for high-end electronic yarns [3] - The market for roving is stable, but traditional thermosetting product demand is recovering slowly, leading to sustained supply pressure [3] - High-end electronic yarns are experiencing a supply gap, while traditional electronic yarns see stable production and demand [3] Group 4: Float Glass - Float glass prices have seen a slight increase, with seasonal demand recovering slowly [4] - The market is characterized by high inventory levels at float glass manufacturers, leading to significant pressure to reduce stock [4] - Overall market demand is expected to increase gradually, but the improvement will be limited, with companies primarily purchasing based on immediate needs [4]

Group 1 - The U.S. labor market weakened in Q2, creating conditions for the Federal Reserve to initiate interest rate cuts, while the trade environment has stabilized since July, indicating marginal improvements in the economy [1] - Recommendations include focusing on upstream resource products (copper, aluminum, oil and petrochemicals) and capital goods (engineering machinery, heavy trucks, forklifts), as well as intermediate products (steel) [1] - Future equity investments are expected to outperform debt investments, with non-bank financials benefiting from a bottoming out of capital returns [1] Group 2 - The China Glass Fiber Industry Association, along with nine companies, issued a "anti-involution" competition initiative, leading to a price recovery of 5% to 10% for previously pressured yarn products [3] - The glass fiber industry has a favorable competitive landscape, with leading companies showing strong market influence and a collaborative approach to resist vicious price competition [3] - The recent price recovery is expected to improve industry profitability, particularly for leading companies with advantages in product structure, production costs, and market layout [3] Group 3 - Gold prices have been rising, with COMEX gold reaching a new historical high, and domestic gold ETF products seeing a net inflow of over 10 billion shares since September [4] - Global central banks are increasingly purchasing gold, indicating a shift in the international reserve system towards a diversified structure, with gold serving as a "safe haven" and "stabilizing anchor" during this transition [3] Group 4 - The service consumption sector is crucial for optimizing supply, accelerating industrial upgrades, and achieving new and old kinetic energy conversion, with new supportive measures expected to be announced in September [6] - The upcoming policies aim to enhance high-quality service supply and promote orderly openings in sectors like the internet and culture, while encouraging foreign investment in new consumption areas [6] - The solid-state battery sector has shown strong performance, with a 22.91% increase in the concept index, driven by favorable policies and accelerating commercialization [6] Group 5 - The Shanghai Composite Index remains in a sideways trend, with over 70% of stocks having fallen to last December's valuation levels, raising concerns about potential further declines [10] - The consumer discretionary and resource sectors are considered overvalued, while essential consumer sectors are undervalued, indicating a potential shift in investment focus [10] - The pharmaceutical and biotechnology sectors are currently leading the market, supported by recent policy implementations and technological advancements, with room for valuation improvement [10]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported significant growth in revenue and profit for the first half of 2025, driven by increased demand in key sectors such as wind energy and electronic fabrics [4][5][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved total revenue of 9.1 billion yuan, net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.69 billion yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.70 billion yuan, representing year-on-year increases of 18%, 76%, and 171% respectively [4]. - In Q2 2025, the company recorded total revenue of 4.6 billion yuan, net profit of 960 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 960 million yuan, with year-on-year increases of 6%, 57%, and 108% respectively, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 3%, 31%, and 29% respectively [4]. Group 2: Business Segments - For the fiberglass yarn business in H1 2025, revenue was approximately 7.3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17%, and sales volume reached 1.58 million tons, up 4% year-on-year. The net profit excluding non-recurring items was approximately 1.34 billion yuan, a 150% increase year-on-year [5]. - In Q2 2025, the fiberglass yarn business generated approximately 3.7 billion yuan in revenue, a 7% year-on-year increase, with net profit excluding non-recurring items around 730 million yuan, a 92% increase year-on-year [5]. - The electronic fabric business in H1 2025 saw revenue of approximately 1.56 billion yuan, an 18% year-on-year increase, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of around 300 million yuan, a 233% increase year-on-year [6]. - In Q2 2025, the electronic fabric business revenue was 820 million yuan, flat year-on-year, with net profit excluding non-recurring items of 200 million yuan, over a 100% increase year-on-year [6]. Group 3: Market Outlook - The company anticipates continued demand growth in the wind energy sector, benefiting from increased installation capacity and larger blade sizes, which is expected to enhance sales [5]. - The electronic fabric segment is expected to see price increases due to rising PCB prices, with the company’s new production line projected to enhance capacity significantly by 2026 [6]. - The company is focusing on the demand for wind energy yarn, price trends in electronic fabrics, and developments in its specialty fabric business in H2 2025 [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - In H1 2025, the company achieved total operating revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 9.1 billion, 1.69 billion, and 1.70 billion yuan respectively, representing year-on-year increases of 18%, 76%, and 171% [5] - In Q2 2025, the company recorded total operating revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 4.6 billion, 960 million, and 960 million yuan respectively, with year-on-year increases of 6%, 57%, and 108%, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 3%, 31%, and 29% [5] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - The company's revenue from the roving yarn business in H1 2025 was approximately 7.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 17%, with sales volume of 1.58 million tons, up 4% year-on-year [6] - The revenue from the electronic cloth business in H1 2025 was approximately 1.56 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18%, with net profit excluding non-recurring items of approximately 300 million yuan, up 233% year-on-year [7] Business Outlook - In H2 2025, the focus will be on the demand for wind power yarn, price trends of electronic cloth, and the company's progress in special fabric business layout [8] - The company is expected to maintain a stable cash flow from its wind power generation business, which is gradually expanding its profit scale [8] Financial Forecasts - The company forecasts net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.3 billion, 4.4 billion, and 5.2 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8] - The current price corresponds to a dynamic P/E ratio of 17x for 2025 [8] Key Financial Metrics - The company is projected to have a gross margin of 27.9% in 2025, with an expected increase to 30.9% by 2027 [12] - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to be 10.3% in 2025, increasing to 13.3% by 2027 [12]

Group 1: Cement Industry - In July, the cement industry experienced a seasonal downturn, with high temperatures and rain affecting downstream construction, leading to a decrease in national cement demand and an increase in the clinker line shutdown rate [1][2] - Clinker inventory continued to grow, indicating a significant supply-demand imbalance, resulting in a downward trend in cement prices [1][2] - It is expected that demand will gradually recover in late August, and cement prices may stabilize and begin to rise [1][2] Group 2: Building Materials Consumption - Retail sales of building and decoration materials increased by 2.6% year-on-year from January to June 2025, with June showing a 1.0% year-on-year increase and a 14.8% month-on-month increase [2] - The expectation of policy implementation is enhancing the recovery outlook for the retail market, with potential demand from renovation and upgrading of existing properties, as well as urban village and dilapidated housing renovations [2] Group 3: Fiberglass Industry - In July, the price of fiberglass roving showed slight weakening, with traditional thermosetting products experiencing weak sales, while wind power and high-end products remained the main focus [3] - The supply of fiberglass remains high, and prices are expected to trend weakly [3] - For electronic fiberglass, prices remained stable, but there is a supply shortage for high-end products, which is expected to support prices at a high level [3] Group 4: Float Glass - In July, float glass prices stopped declining and began to rise, with inventory shifting towards downstream [3] - The demand from the middle and downstream sectors increased, leading to a recovery in spot prices [3] - The market outlook for August suggests continued speculative demand and inventory buildup, with potential for slight price increases in the fourth quarter due to urgent construction needs [3] Group 5: Investment Recommendations - For building materials, companies with strong channel layouts, product quality, and brand advantages such as Beixin Building Materials, Weixing New Materials, and Dongfang Yuhong are recommended, along with attention to Sanke Tree and Rabbit Baby [4] - In the cement sector, stricter supply controls are expected to ease supply-demand imbalances, with price increases anticipated for regional leaders like Shangfeng Cement, while Huaxin Cement and Conch Cement are also worth monitoring [4] - In the fiberglass sector, companies like China Jushi are recommended due to expected demand recovery and price increases for mid-to-high-end products [4] - For the glass industry, attention is drawn to Qibin Group as the supply-demand balance is expected to improve with increased cold repair production lines [4]

Group 1 - The glass fiber market is expected to face supply-demand pressure in 2025, but price fluctuations will be limited due to enhanced consensus on price stability among companies [1] - From 2026 onwards, supply-demand relationships are expected to marginally improve as new supply is gradually digested and competition shifts towards high-value areas [1] - Investment strategies in the glass fiber industry will focus on two main lines: stable pricing for mid-to-low-end products and structural opportunities in high-end products like specialty electronic fabrics [1] Group 2 - The demand for glass fiber is projected to grow by 6.4% in 2025, driven by wind power installations and lightweight materials for new energy vehicles, despite a supply growth of 9.3% [2] - The ordinary electronic yarn market is expected to see steady growth, with demand projected at 151,000 tons in 2025 and 159,000 tons in 2026, reflecting a growth rate of 5.4% [3] - The competition in the glass fiber industry is shifting from low-end to high-end, with leading companies like China Jushi focusing on high-value segments and stabilizing cash flow through collaborative pricing strategies [4]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items reaching 4.48 billion, 730 million, and 740 million yuan respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 32.4%, 108.5%, and 342.5% [1] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue was 4.48 billion yuan, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 730 million yuan, and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 740 million yuan, all exceeding the upper limit of the preliminary report [1] - The company's gross profit margin improved to 30.5%, up 10.4 percentage points year-on-year, driven by price recovery and cost control measures [2] - The net profit margin excluding non-recurring items reached 16.6%, an increase of 11.6 percentage points year-on-year [2] Market Demand and Pricing - Strong demand in mid-to-high-end sectors such as wind power and thermoplastics contributed to significant growth in the production and sales of yarn and electronic fabrics [1] - The average price of winding direct yarn (2400tex) increased by 22.8% year-on-year and 2.0% quarter-on-quarter in Q1 2025 [1] - Price increases for long-term contract products like wind power yarn (15-20%) and thermoplastic short-cut (10-15%) were successfully implemented in Q1 2025 [1] Cost Management - The company achieved effective cost control through formula optimization, energy consumption reduction, and workforce streamlining, leading to a decrease in the expense ratio by 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [2] - Inventory turnover days improved to 118 days, a reduction of 15 days from the end of 2024, indicating accelerated inventory reduction [2] Global Strategy - The company is well-positioned to mitigate tariff risks due to its global supply chain, with limited direct exports to the U.S. and alternative production capabilities in Egypt [2] - The company benefits from being a core supplier of fiberglass in China, with a significant portion of its production exported [2] Industry Outlook - The company anticipates continued recovery in industry profitability, supported by strong demand in downstream sectors such as wind power, new energy vehicles, and home appliances [3] - The company is set to increase production capacity with the commissioning of a new 200,000-ton line in Jiujiang, with the first phase already operational in Q1 2025 [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 17.801 billion, 20.57 billion, and 22.984 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 12.27%, 15.55%, and 11.74% respectively [3] - Expected net profits for the same years are 3.129 billion, 3.867 billion, and 4.395 billion yuan, with growth rates of 27.97%, 23.59%, and 13.66% respectively [3]

粗纱业务：销量两位数增长受益于风电高景气度，单季度吨盈利环比提升 测算公司 25Q1粗纱产品收入规模约36亿元，同比+29%，其中吨收入约4500元，同比+11%， 销量 80 万 吨，同比 + 16 %，环比 +4%，判断主要受益于风电、热塑短切、合股纱等产品销量增速较快，特别是风 电纱受益于风电行业抢装带来的高景气度； 测算粗纱产品扣非净利润约 6.2亿元，同比+292%，吨扣非净 利润接近800元，同比+238%，环比+16%。 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 事件： 中国巨石发布 202 5 年 一季报 。 2 5Q1 ，公司实现营业总收入 /归母净利润/扣非归母净利润分别为 45 / 7.3 / 7.4 亿元，同比 + 32 %/ +109 %/ ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 今 日 聚 焦 【房地产】Q1重点城市土拍热度持续上升，核心30城宅地成交均价同比+24%——土地市场月度跟踪报告 （2025年3月） Q1百城宅地成交建面4,197万平，同比+0.1%，成交楼面均价7,373元/平方米，同比+15.1%；30城成交宅地总建 面2,134万平，同比+16.1%，成交楼面均价13,080元/平，同比+24.1%；Q1光大核心30城成交宅地整体溢价率 18.7%，同比+11.3pct。 （何缅南/韦勇强）2025-04-24 （赵乃迪/蔡嘉豪/王礼沫）2025-04-24 您可点击今日推送内容的第1条查看 【机械】3月出口延续1月增长态势，割草机、缝纫机数据亮眼 ——机械行业海关总署出口月报（十） 您可点击 ...

Real Estate - In Q1, the land auction heat in key cities continues to rise, with the average transaction price of residential land in the core 30 cities increasing by 24% year-on-year [3] - The total area of residential land sold in 100 cities reached 41.97 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, with a floor price of 7,373 yuan per square meter, up 15.1% year-on-year [3] - The total area of residential land sold in 30 cities was 21.34 million square meters, a year-on-year increase of 16.1%, with a floor price of 13,080 yuan per square meter, up 24.1% year-on-year [3] - The overall premium rate for residential land transactions in the core 30 cities was 18.7%, an increase of 11.3 percentage points year-on-year [3] Machinery - In March, exports continued the growth trend from January, with notable performance in lawn mowers and sewing machines [3] - The export growth rates for tractors and mining machinery in March were 21% and 24% year-on-year, respectively [3] - Cumulative exports of electric tools and lawn mowers to North America from January to March increased by 20% and 30% year-on-year, respectively [3] - The export of industrial sewing machines increased by 47% year-on-year [3] China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) - In Q1 2025, CNOOC reported a significant increase in drilling workload, with net profit attributable to shareholders rising by 39.6% year-on-year [4] - The total operating revenue for Q1 was 10.8 billion yuan, an increase of 6.4% year-on-year, but a decrease of 26.25% quarter-on-quarter [4] - The average price of Brent crude oil in Q1 was $74.98 per barrel, down 8.3% year-on-year but up 1.3% quarter-on-quarter [4] China Jushi - In Q1 2025, China Jushi's profit per ton for its roving yarn business improved sequentially, with sales maintaining rapid growth [5] - The profitability of the electronic cloth business increased significantly year-on-year, although it saw a slight decline quarter-on-quarter [5] - The core variable for the roving yarn industry in 2025 is the demand for wind power yarn, driven by rapid growth in new wind power installations [5] Aokrey - Aokrey's overseas market expansion showed significant results, with notable improvement in profitability in Q1 2025 [6] - The company reported a total operating revenue of 1.7 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 5.24% year-on-year, and a net profit of 170 million yuan, down 15.68% year-on-year [6] - In Q1 2025, the operating revenue was 243 million yuan, an increase of 0.58% year-on-year, and net profit was 52 million yuan, up 15.33% year-on-year [6] Giant Technology - In 2024, Giant Technology achieved a revenue of 14.795 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35.4%, and a net profit of 2.304 billion yuan, up 36.2% year-on-year [7] - The company's net profit excluding non-recurring gains and losses was also 2.304 billion yuan, reflecting a growth of 35.7% year-on-year [7] - The gross profit margin for 2024 was 32.0%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points year-on-year [7] Sanhuan Group - Sanhuan Group reported steady growth in performance, with operating revenue of 7.375 billion yuan in 2024, up 28.78% year-on-year [8] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 2.19 billion yuan, an increase of 38.55% year-on-year [8] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 1.994 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.03% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 2.09% [8]