Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the transportation industry [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that U.S. sanctions against Iran are intensifying, and OPEC has reached a consensus to increase production, indicating upward potential for the oil tanker sector [2][7] - The express delivery business volume has shown significant year-on-year growth, with a reported increase of 21.5% in 2024 [3] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The U.S. government has announced additional sanctions against Iran, targeting several individuals, entities, and vessels involved in Iranian oil exports, including 10 VLCC supertankers, which constitutes about 20% of the global tanker fleet [7] - OPEC has agreed to gradually increase production starting April, aiming to release 2.2 million barrels per day [7] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.09 – 03.15) Aviation Data - Domestic flight volume for the week was 84,029 flights, averaging 12,004 flights per day, a slight decrease of 0.10% week-on-week and 0.50% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.43 million, a 0.05% increase week-on-week and a 2.12% increase year-on-year [11] - The average domestic ticket price decreased by 3.49% week-on-week and 6.31% year-on-year [11] Express Delivery Data - For the week of March 3-9, the average daily collection volume was approximately 555 million pieces, a 3.99% increase from the previous week [17] - Year-to-date, the average daily collection volume is about 495 million pieces, reflecting a 36.00% increase year-on-year [17] - In 2024, the express delivery business volume increased by 21.5% year-on-year, with revenue up by 13.8% [3] Shipping Data - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping was reported at 1,517 points, a 20% increase week-on-week [48] - The VLCC-TCE rate was $38,329 per day, a 3% decrease week-on-week [49] Recent Key Reports - The report recommends focusing on companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Highway, and China Eastern Airlines, among others, as part of the investment strategy [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express logistics sector shows strong demand with a year-on-year growth of 22.4% in the volume of express deliveries for January and February, totaling 28.48 billion pieces and generating revenue of 221.04 billion yuan, which is an 11.2% increase [4] - The airline industry is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with long-term supply-demand trends indicating potential for upward movement in stock prices. Current booking data suggests a short-term rebound, presenting a value opportunity for investors [10][12] - The shipping sector is experiencing a tightening supply due to limited new orders for oil tankers and an aging fleet, while demand is expected to rise due to increased non-OPEC production and sanctions on oil trade with Iran and Russia [12] Summary by Sections Express Logistics - The express delivery industry reported a total of 135.9 billion pieces in February, with a year-on-year growth of 58.8% and revenue of 99.09 billion yuan, up 30.4% [21][24] - Major companies to watch include Zhongtong Express, YTO Express, and Shentong Express, which are positioned for long-term growth and recovery [12] Airline Industry - The airline sector is characterized by low long-term supply growth, with demand expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery. The current booking data indicates a potential rebound, making it a good time for investment [10] - Key companies to focus on include China National Aviation Holding, Southern Airlines, and Hainan Airlines [10][12] Shipping and Vessels - The oil tanker market is expected to see sustained demand growth due to limited new orders and increased sanctions on oil trade, while the dry bulk shipping market is anticipated to recover as environmental regulations push out older vessels [12] - Companies to consider include China Shipping Development and COSCO Shipping Energy Transportation [12]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the transportation industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the market index by 5% over the next six months [6]. Core Insights - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 1.19% last week, while the Shenwan Transportation Industry Index rose by 0.24%, underperforming the market by 0.95 percentage points, ranking 22nd among 31 Shenwan primary industries [2]. - The railway and highway sectors saw an increase of 0.90%, and the airport sector increased by 0.17%. Conversely, the shipping and port sector declined by 1.30% [2]. - Among the three major sectors, the largest gains were in public transport (+4.37%), road freight (+4.24%), and raw material supply chain services (+2.71%). The largest declines were in warehousing logistics (-1.79%), shipping (-1.56%), and ports (-0.83%) [2]. - As of February 16, 2025, the Shenwan Transportation sector's PE (TTM) was 16.47 times, positioned at the 66.76 percentile over the past five years [3]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The report provides a comprehensive overview of the market performance, highlighting the fluctuations in the transportation sector and individual stock performances [2]. Industry Key News - The National Development and Reform Commission is initiating a pilot project for logistics data openness to eliminate "information islands" [8]. - The postal and express delivery sector reported a month-on-month increase of approximately 45.05% in cumulative delivery volume [8]. - Hainan Province plans to introduce 18 measures to invigorate the general aviation and low-altitude economy [8]. - ASEAN countries' tourist groups can enter Yunnan's Xishuangbanna without a visa starting February 10 [8]. - The recovery trajectories of Chinese airports vary under complex circumstances [8]. Industry Data - The report includes detailed data on various segments such as aviation airports, shipping ports, logistics, and railways and highways, providing insights into their performance metrics [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommended (Maintain)" [1] Core Insights - The report highlights that the recent decline in oil prices is expected to elevate the profit margins for the aviation sector, with Brent oil prices dropping below $70 per barrel and WTI prices below $67 per barrel [8] - The report suggests that if oil prices remain low, it could lead to cost savings of approximately 4-5 billion yuan for major airlines, equivalent to a ticket price reduction of about 3%-4% [8] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring supply-demand dynamics and macroeconomic conditions to ensure that the benefits of lower oil prices translate into profits for the airlines [13] Summary by Sections Weekly Focus - The focus of the week is on the accelerated decline in oil prices, which is expected to enhance the profit margins for the aviation industry [6] Industry Data Tracking (2025.03.02 - 03.08) Aviation High-Frequency Data Tracking - Domestic flight volume for the period was 81,367 flights, with a daily average of 11,624 flights, down 10.07% week-on-week and 7.47% year-on-year [10] - Domestic passenger volume reached 11.0615 million, down 12.05% week-on-week and 4.17% year-on-year [11] - The average full ticket price decreased by 4.76% week-on-week and 3.39% year-on-year [11] - The domestic passenger load factor was 83.18%, an increase of 3.73 percentage points year-on-year [12] - International passenger volume reached 1.315 million, down 5.27% week-on-week but up 26.01% year-on-year [14] Express Delivery High-Frequency Data Tracking - For the week of February 24 to March 2, the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 534 million pieces, with a delivery volume of about 541 million pieces, showing a slight decrease of 0.56% and an increase of 0.05% respectively compared to the previous week [19] - Year-to-date (January 1 to March 2), the average daily express delivery volume was approximately 488 million pieces, up 37.41% year-on-year [20] Shipping High-Frequency Data Tracking - The BDI index for the international dry bulk market was 1,263 points, up 17% week-on-week [51] - The CCFI index for the international container shipping market decreased by 3% week-on-week, while the SCFI index fell by 5% [51] - The VLCC-TCE rate for oil shipping was $39,359 per day, down 1% week-on-week [52] Recent Key Reports - The report includes a recommended investment portfolio consisting of companies such as COSCO Shipping Energy, Shandong Hi-Speed, and China Eastern Airlines, among others [5]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for Jiangsu Guotai with a target price of 10.21 CNY over the next six months, compared to the current price of 7.76 CNY [1]. Core Insights - Jiangsu Guotai is a leading foreign trade supply chain service company, with a significant portion of its revenue derived from overseas sales, which accounted for 79% in the first half of 2024. The company has established production bases in countries like Myanmar, Vietnam, Cambodia, and Bangladesh, allowing for flexibility in trade and effective avoidance of trade barriers [5][11]. - The company plans to continue expanding its production entities and overseas institutions to enhance its supply chain integration and adapt to global market changes [5][11]. - The financial health of Jiangsu Guotai is strong, with cash and cash equivalents totaling approximately 226.6 billion CNY, which is 1.8 times its current market capitalization. The company has a debt-to-asset ratio of 50.15% [5][11]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - Jiangsu Guotai, established in May 1998, is headquartered in Zhangjiagang, Jiangsu Province. It focuses on supply chain services and chemical new energy, integrating R&D, production, and financial investment [9]. Industry Analysis - The report highlights a rising demand for textile and apparel products in overseas markets, driven by inventory replenishment after previous stock reductions. China's textile and apparel exports are expected to grow, particularly in emerging markets [21][23]. Business Model - Jiangsu Guotai is transitioning from "China supply chain integration" to "global supply chain integration," with a focus on expanding its market presence in the U.S., EU, and Southeast Asia. The company reported a 9% increase in total import and export volume in the first half of 2024 [36]. Financial Highlights - In 2023, the company's total revenue was 371.9 billion CNY, a decrease of 13.2% year-on-year. However, the gross profit margin slightly increased due to favorable currency exchange rates. The company plans to implement a mid-term dividend in 2024, reflecting its strong cash position [48][53]. Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The report forecasts Jiangsu Guotai's net profit for 2024-2026 to be 11.1 billion CNY, 12.4 billion CNY, and 13.5 billion CNY, respectively. The estimated book value per share (BPS) for 2025 is projected to be 10.21 CNY, corresponding to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.8 [5][64].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The dry bulk market is showing signs of recovery, with freight rates and FFA prices both increasing. Cape-sized vessel spot rates have doubled compared to the low point on February 12, reaching $11,584 per day, although still down 56% year-on-year. The market sentiment has improved due to better weather in Australia and a shift in coal shipping to Cape-sized vessels, leading to tight capacity in the Pacific market [5] - The Shanghai Containerized Freight Index (SCFI) reported a decrease of 5.0% to 1515 points as of February 28, with varying changes in rates for different routes [6] - The oil tanker freight rates have decreased, with the BDTI index down 3.2% to 888 points, and the TCE for VLCC down 8.8% [6] - The BDI index for dry bulk shipping increased by 20.5% to 1078 points, indicating a positive trend in the dry bulk shipping market [7] Summary by Sections Shipping Vessels - The dry bulk market is recovering with freight rates increasing significantly. Cape-sized vessel rates have reached $11,584 per day, while Panamax and Supramax rates have increased by 51% and 69% respectively. The FFA market is also showing a positive trend with March contract prices nearing $18,000 per day [5] - The oil tanker market is facing downward pressure with a decrease in freight rates across various vessel types [6] - The BDI index has shown a significant increase, indicating a recovery in the dry bulk shipping market [7] Aviation - The aviation sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic recovery, with a long-term supply-demand gap driving growth. The spring travel season is showing positive booking data, indicating a potential rebound in demand [14] - Global air passenger demand increased by 10% in January, with the Asia-Pacific region performing particularly well [9] - The CAPSE report indicates a positive trend in travel willingness for March, suggesting a recovery in air travel demand [10] Express Logistics - The express delivery sector is showing resilience, with overall demand remaining strong. The leading companies in the sector are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost reduction efforts [14] - The logistics sector has maintained smooth operations, with significant increases in freight volumes across various transport modes [11] Supply Chain Logistics - The logistics landscape is evolving with the introduction of new low-altitude logistics routes, enhancing delivery efficiency in urban areas [12] - Companies like Shenzhen International are expected to see performance improvements due to the transformation of logistics parks [16] Shipping and Shipbuilding - The oil tanker market is expected to see sustained demand due to limited new orders and an aging fleet, while the dry bulk market is anticipated to recover due to regulatory pressures on older vessels and new mining projects [14] - The shipbuilding sector is experiencing tight capacity, with new orders extending delivery times to 2027/28, driving up ship prices [14]

本报告依据《公司债券发行与交易管理办法》（2023 年修订）、《密尔克卫 化工供应链服务股份有限公司公开发行可转换公司债券之债券受托管理协议》 （以下简称"《受托管理协议》"）、《密尔克卫化工供应链服务股份有限公司 公开发行可转换公司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"）等相关 公开信息披露文件、第三方中介机构出具的专业意见等，由本期债券受托管理人 中国国际金融股份有限公司（以下简称"中金公司"）编制。中金公司对本报告 中所包含的从上述文件中引述内容和信息未进行独立验证，也不就该等引述内容 和信息的真实性、准确性和完整性做出任何保证或承担任何责任。 股票代码：603713 股票简称：密尔克卫 债券代码：113658 债券简称：密卫转债 密尔克卫智能供应链服务集团股份有限公司 公开发行可转换公司债券 第九次临时受托管理事务报告 （2024 年度） 债券受托管理人 二〇二四年十二月 重要声明 本报告不构成对投资者进行或不进行某项行为的推荐意见，投资者应对相关 事宜做出独立判断，而不应将本报告中的任何内容据以作为中金公司所作的承诺 或声明。在任何情况下，投资者依据本报告所进行的任何作为或不作为，中金公 司不 ...

| 证券代码：603713 | 证券简称：密尔克卫 公告编号：2024-154 | | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113658 | 转债简称：密卫转债 | 密尔克卫智能供应链服务集团股份有限公司 关于"密卫转债"转股价格调整暨转股停复牌的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 根据有关规定和《密尔克卫化工供应链服务股份有限公司公开发行可转换公 司债券募集说明书》（以下简称"《募集说明书》"）的约定，公司本次发行的"密卫 转债"自 2023 年 3 月 22 日起可转换为公司股份,初始转股价格为 134.55 元/股， 最新转股价格为 56.31 元/股。 证券停复牌情况：适用 因密尔克卫智能供应链服务集团股份有限公司（更名前为"密尔克卫化工供应 链服务股份有限公司"，以下简称"公司"）限制性股票回购注销引起的"密卫转债" 转股价格调整,本公司的相关证券停复牌情况如下： | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 停复牌类型 | 停牌起始日 | 停牌 期间 | 停牌终止日 | 复牌日 | | --- ...

| 证券代码：603713 | 证券简称：密尔克卫 | 公告编号：2024-148 | | --- | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113658 | 转债简称：密卫转债 | | 2024 年 11 月 22 日，公司通过集中竞价交易方式首次回购股份数量为 89,100 股，已回购股份约占公司当前总股本的比例为 0.06%，购买的最高价为 57.73 元/ 股、最低价为 54.57 元/股，已支付的总金额为 4,995,299.00 元人民币（不含交易费 用）。本次回购符合相关法律法规、规章制度及既定的回购股份方案。 重要内容提示： | 回购方案首次披露日 | 2024/10/23 | | --- | --- | | 回购方案实施期限 | 待股东大会审议通过后 3 个月 | | 预计回购金额 | 7,500 万元~15,000 万元 | | 回购用途 | √减少注册资本 □用于员工持股计划或股权激励 □用于转换公司可转债 | | | □为维护公司价值及股东权益 | | 累计已回购股数 | 89,100 股 | | 累计已回购股数占总股本比例 | 0.06% | | 累计已回购金额 | 4,995,29 ...

近日，公司与招商银行股份有限公司上海分行签订合同，为上海慎则提供额 度为人民币 10,000.00 万元的担保，并为其承担连带保证责任；与中国银行股份 有限公司上海自贸试验区分行签订合同，为上海慎则提供额度为人民币 5,000.00 万元的担保，并为其承担连带保证责任。 本次担保事项后，扣除已履行到期的担保，公司及其子公司对外担保余额为 人民币 439,582.77 万元，在公司股东大会批准的担保额度范围内。 （二）本次担保事项履行的内部决策程序 | 证券代码：603713 | 证券简称：密尔克卫 公告编号：2024-147 | | --- | --- | | 转债代码：113658 | 转债简称：密卫转债 | 密尔克卫智能供应链服务集团股份有限公司 对外担保进展公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 一、 担保情况概述 （一）担保基本情况 公司分别于 2024 年 4 月 11 日、2024 年 5 月 6 日召开了第三届董事会第三 十五次会议、2023 年年度股东大会审议通过了《关于公司 20 ...