Group 1 - The recent adjustment in non-ferrous metals is primarily driven by the strengthening of the US dollar, influenced by market expectations regarding the new Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Walsh, who advocates for a "strong dollar, loose regulation, and favorable credit" [1] - Concerns surrounding the US-Iran crisis have eased, but the future trajectory remains uncertain and requires time and policy validation [1] - There has been a phase of inventory accumulation and changes in funding behavior, with some metals experiencing a noticeable rebound in inventory after price increases, while previously accumulated long positions were liquidated amid changing macroeconomic conditions [1] Group 2 - As of January 30, 2026, the China Securities Industrial Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) saw significant declines in major stocks, with Nanshan Aluminum down 10.05% and Tongling Nonferrous Metals down 10.01% [2] - The Industrial Non-Ferrous ETF Penghua (159162) reported an active trading session with a turnover of 16.29% and a transaction volume of 1.03 billion yuan, indicating a vibrant market [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Industrial Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index, which includes companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Rare Earth, account for 56.18% of the index [2]

有色金属震荡调整，消息面上，前美联储理事凯文·沃什于周四在白宫会见了美国总统特朗普。市场预 测平台Polymarket最新显示，鹰派沃什被特朗普提名为美联储新主席的概率飙升至87%。 数据显示，截至2025年12月31日，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿业、洛阳 钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋锂业、云铝股份、山东黄金、中金黄金、天齐锂业，前十 大权重股合计占比51.65%。 有色ETF鹏华(159880)，场外联接(A：021296；C：021297；I：022886)。 截至2026年1月30日 14:02，国证有色金属行业指数(399395)成分股方面涨跌互现，湖南黄金领涨 9.99%，中钨高新上涨0.47%，铂科新材上涨0.18%；南山铝业领跌。有色ETF鹏华(159880)最新报价2.41 元，盘中净申购1750万份，冲刺连续7天净流入。 有色ETF鹏华紧密跟踪国证有色金属行业指数，国证有色金属行业指数参照国证行业分类标准，选取归 属于有色金属行业的规模和流动性突出的50只证券作为样本，反映了沪深北交易所有色金属行业上市公 司的整体收益表现，向市场提供细分行业的指 ...

有色金属ETF基金紧密跟踪中证细分有色金属产业主题指数，截至2025年12月31日，中证细分有色金属产业主题指数(000811)前十大权重股分别为紫金矿 业、洛阳钼业、北方稀土、华友钴业、中国铝业、赣锋锂业、山东黄金、云铝股份、中金黄金、天齐锂业，前十大权重股合计占比52.98%。（以上所列股 票仅为指数成份股，无特定推荐之意） 1月30日，金银铜价齐跌，黄金有色等资源股走低，截至 14:05，有色金属ETF基金(516650)下跌8.11%，其持仓股南山铝业、铜陵有色、云南铜业、白银有 色、兴业银锡等股批量跌停，盘中换手6.97%，成交16.05亿元，今日成交量明显放大，或为资金逢低抢筹。 统计显示，有色金属ETF基金近26天获得连续资金净流入，合计"吸金"176.68亿规模方面，截至1月29日，有色金属ETF基金最新规模达244.95亿元，创成立 以来新高。 数据显示，杠杆资金持续布局中。有色金属ETF基金本月以来融资净买额达374.61万元，最新融资余额达8917.45万元。（数据来源：Wind） 截至1月29日，有色金属ETF基金近2年净值上涨200.09%，指数股票型基金排名15/2531，居于前0 ...

Group 1 - Microsoft reported FY2026 Q2 earnings, exceeding market expectations for revenue and net profit, but faced significant capital expenditure increase of 66% to $37.5 billion, slowing growth in Azure business, and high dependency on OpenAI [1] - Following the earnings report, Microsoft's stock price dropped 10%, marking the largest single-day decline since March 2020, contributing to increased market volatility and tightening short-term liquidity [1] - Precious metals like gold and silver reached historical highs before experiencing significant declines due to profit-taking and market liquidity issues, with gold dropping 8.8% and silver falling 13.75% [1] Group 2 - The industrial and non-ferrous metals sector maintains a long-term upward trend, with short-term emotional disturbances presenting potential investment opportunities [2] - Copper faces a clear long-term supply gap due to insufficient capital expenditure, increased demand from the AI revolution, and macroeconomic recovery expectations [2] - The aluminum sector benefits from ongoing supply-side constraints and expanding applications, while rare earth metals are expected to see valuation increases due to stricter export controls [2] Group 3 - The CSI Industrial Non-Ferrous Metals Theme Index (H11059) includes 30 major companies in copper, aluminum, lead, zinc, and rare earth industries, reflecting the overall performance of the sector [3] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 56.18% of the total, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Northern Rare Earth [3] - The MACD golden cross signal indicates positive momentum for these stocks [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the recent decline in the rare earth permanent magnet sector, with the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index dropping by 6.48% as of January 30, 2026, driven by a correction in the market [1] - Despite the recent downturn, the demand for rare earths is expected to remain strong due to policy support and pre-holiday inventory needs, with firms like Guotai Junan Securities maintaining a positive outlook on the investment value of rare earths [1] - The supply-demand balance for rare earths is projected to remain tight, with stricter export quota management and increasing penetration of downstream permanent magnet materials in high-growth sectors such as new energy vehicles and wind power [1] Group 2 - According to CITIC Securities, the strategic importance of global rare earth resources is on the rise, marking the entry of the rare earth industry into a new era of high-quality development [1] - The report anticipates that from 2026 onwards, the global supply-demand gap for rare earths may continue to widen, leading to stable or increasing prices and improved profitability across the industry chain [1] - As of December 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index accounted for 60.4% of the index, with companies like Northern Rare Earth and Goldwind Technology among the leaders [1] Group 3 - The rare earth ETF by Harvest (516150) closely tracks the China Securities Rare Earth Industry Index, providing a convenient tool for investors to access the domestic rare earth industry chain [2] - Investors can also leverage the Harvest Rare Earth ETF linked fund (011036) to capitalize on investment opportunities in the rare earth sector [2]

Market Overview - A-shares experienced significant volatility on January 30, with major indices showing mixed performance. The market initially opened lower, with the ChiNext index dropping over 2.5% and the Shanghai and Shenzhen indices falling more than 2% at one point. However, the ChiNext index later turned positive [1][2]. Sector Performance - Resource stocks faced heavy selling pressure, with the industrial metals index dropping 9% and the precious metals index falling 8.7%. The A-share resource index and rare earth industry index both saw declines of 6%, while the bulk commodity index fell over 4% [2][6]. - The CPO (光模块) concept sector led the market gains, with significant increases in agriculture, animal husbandry, fishery, tourism, and hotel sectors [3][12]. Individual Stock Movements - A total of 3,872 stocks declined, while only 1,494 stocks rose, with 27 stocks hitting the daily limit up. The total trading volume for the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 1.93 trillion yuan, a decrease of 836 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [5]. - Notable declines included companies in the precious metals sector, with stocks like Xiaocheng Technology (300139) and Chifeng Gold (600988) hitting the daily limit down of 20% and 10% respectively. Other companies such as Zhongjin Gold (600489) and Shandong Gold (600547) also saw significant declines [6][7]. Precious Metals and Industrial Metals - The precious metals sector was particularly weak, with multiple stocks hitting the daily limit down. For instance, Xiaocheng Technology recorded a 20% drop, while several others, including Shandong Gold and Zhongjin Gold, saw declines of 10% [6][8]. - In the industrial metals sector, companies like Nanshan Aluminum (600219) and Tongling Nonferrous Metals (000630) also faced significant losses, with many stocks recording a 10% drop [9][10]. CPO Sector Insights - The CPO sector showed resilience, with stocks like Tianfu Communication (300394) rising by 11.92%. Other companies in the sector, including Lian Technology (301205) and Zhongji Xuchuang (300308), also experienced gains [12][13]. - A recent report from CignalAI indicated that the optical module market is expected to exceed $18 billion in revenue by 2025, driven by AI-driven data center and transmission network construction [12].

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of main funds from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, particularly in the rare metals and non-ferrous metals industries [1][2][3] Group 1: Stock Performance and Fund Outflows - BlueFocus Media experienced a fund outflow of 1.638 billion yuan, with a share price decline of 3.59% [2] - Northern Rare Earth saw a fund outflow of 1.321 billion yuan, with a share price drop of 8.72% [2] - Zijin Mining reported a fund outflow of 1.256 billion yuan, with a decrease in share price of 8.33% [2] - Tongling Nonferrous Metals had a fund outflow of 1.232 billion yuan, with a share price decline of 10.01% [2] - Luoyang Molybdenum experienced a fund outflow of 1.128 billion yuan, with a share price drop of 9.21% [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The rare metals sector, represented by Northern Rare Earth and Luoyang Molybdenum, is facing significant fund outflows and price declines [2][3] - The non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining and Tongling Nonferrous Metals, is also experiencing substantial outflows, indicating potential challenges in this industry [2][3] - The energy metals sector, represented by Tianqi Lithium and Ganfeng Lithium, shows notable fund outflows, with share price declines of 8% and 7.46% respectively [2][3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the anticipation of Kevin Warsh being nominated as the new Federal Reserve Chairman, which has led to a significant drop in the prices of non-ferrous stocks [1] - The market prediction for Warsh's nomination has surged to 87% according to Polymarket, indicating strong market sentiment towards a hawkish candidate [1] - The report from Guojin Securities outlines the main logic for the non-ferrous sector this year, highlighting low supply due to low capital expenditure, domestic anti-competition measures, and overseas resource nationalism [1] Group 2 - The demand for non-ferrous metals is driven by AI, new energy, and the reconstruction of manufacturing in Europe and the US [1] - The report emphasizes strong inventory replenishment due to low existing inventories across supply chains and the initiation of a national reserve cycle in the US [1] - Despite recent price volatility due to regional issues, the fundamental outlook for commodity prices remains strong, with macroeconomic fluctuations being the only potential disruptor [1] Group 3 - As of January 30, 2026, the non-ferrous metal industry index (399395) saw significant declines in major stocks, with Nanshan Aluminum leading at a drop of 10.05% [2] - The non-ferrous ETF Penghua (159880) decreased by 8.66%, with a latest price of 2.39 yuan and a net inflow of 11 million units over the past seven days [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the non-ferrous metal industry index account for 51.65% of the index, including companies like Zijin Mining and Ganfeng Lithium [2]

Core Viewpoint - The rare metals sector is experiencing a correction, with the China Rare Metals Theme Index dropping by 8.85% as of January 30, 2026, driven by global inflation expectations and geopolitical tensions that enhance the monetary and security attributes of rare metals [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The three major A-share indices opened lower, with significant declines in rare metals, particularly led by Zhongke Magnetic and other companies like Zhuhai Group and Xiyang Co. [1]. - The top ten weighted stocks in the China Rare Metals Theme Index account for 59.54%, including companies like Luoyang Molybdenum, Northern Rare Earth, and Ganfeng Lithium [1]. Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is constrained by resource limitations and tightening policy regulations, while the demand side benefits from the synergy of new energy, high-end manufacturing, and strategic security needs [1]. - Structural demand driven by AI computing infrastructure, grid upgrades, and solid-state battery industrialization is expected to elevate the price center of various rare metals, transitioning them from cyclical commodities to strategic assets [1]. Group 3: Investment Tools - The rare metals ETF (562800) tracks the China Rare Metals Theme Index, providing a convenient tool for investors looking to gain exposure to the rare metals sector [1]. - Investors can also consider the rare metals ETF linked fund (014111) to explore investment opportunities in the rare metals sector [2].

Ac t i o n | 29 Jan 2026 12:25:37 ET │ 18 pages JL MAG (300748.SZ/6680.HK) Rerating on Rare Earth Upcycle and Improving Long-term Demand Visibility; Upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy CITI'S TAKE We upgrade JL Mag-A to Buy (from Neutral) and raise our target price to Rmb48/Hkd35 for A/H shares, applying 38.2x P/E for A-sh and 25.9x for H- sh, historical averages since listed. We believe the company is entering a more favorable earnings phase driven by the upcycle in rare-earth prices, stable export operations, and imp ...