证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2026-02-10 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 海外周报 20260208：1 月美国非农和 CPI 前瞻：关注上行风险——海外 宏观与交易复盘 核心观点：本周（2 月 2-8 日）在美股 AI 软件泡沫担忧引发的科技股大 跌、及随后的动量抛售等交易因素造成的流动性冲击下，海外权益、大宗 商品和比特币等资产经历剧烈波动。我们认为，近期资本市场的流动性冲 击更多来自交易层面，而海外宏观基本面和广义流动性环境并未有显著 变化，这意味着部分资产存在被流动性冲击"错杀"的可能。关注下周公 布的 1 月美国非农就业和 CPI 数据，我们预期二者均存在上行风险，令 本周略有升温的美联储降息预期再度面临回调。 宏观量化经济指数周报 20260208：预计 2026 年 1 月贷款温和增长、社 融小幅同比多增 晨会编辑 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 东吴证券研究所 1 / 37 [Table_Tag] 节前经济供需两端基本符合季节性特征 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several companies in the power and gas sectors, indicating a positive outlook for their performance in the upcoming periods [40][41]. Core Insights - The carbon market in China is expanding, with a cumulative trading volume of 865 million tons and a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 24% [4][5]. - The report highlights the shift in national policy towards carbon emission control, emphasizing the importance of carbon reduction initiatives, which are expected to create investment opportunities in the environmental sector [7]. - Natural gas prices have seen a significant decline due to seasonal factors and increased supply, with the Henry Hub spot price dropping by 39.20% week-on-week to $4.37/mmBtu as of February 6 [12][29]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The carbon market's trading volume reached 865 million tons in 2025, with a transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan, despite a decrease in average transaction price to 62.36 yuan/ton, down 19.23% year-on-year [4][5]. - Key emission units in the carbon market include 3,378 entities, with the power sector comprising 2,087 units, indicating a strong awareness of carbon reduction among major emitters [4][5]. - Recommendations for investment include companies with diversified revenue sources such as Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and Huaneng International Power, which are expected to benefit from stable capacity income [7][8]. 2. Gas Sector - Natural gas prices have decreased significantly, with the U.S. Henry Hub spot price at $4.37/mmBtu, reflecting a 39.20% drop week-on-week, while European prices also fell due to improved supply conditions [12][29]. - The report suggests that the recovery in macroeconomic conditions may lead to a rebound in gas companies' performance, recommending firms like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy [31][32]. - LNG prices in Northeast Asia have also declined, with spot prices at $10.70/mmBtu, down 7.76% week-on-week, influenced by seasonal demand and inventory levels [24][29]. 3. Company and Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant developments in the energy sector, including the implementation of a capacity price mechanism for coal and gas power generation, which aims to enhance revenue stability for power plants [36][37]. - Key announcements from companies include performance forecasts indicating substantial profit growth, such as Datang Power's expected net profit increase of 51% to 73% year-on-year [38]. - The report emphasizes the importance of ongoing infrastructure improvements and energy transition initiatives as part of the national economic development plan [37].

Group 1 - The core point of the news is that Jiufeng Energy executed a block trade of 50,000 shares on February 9, with a transaction amount of 2.085 million yuan, accounting for 0.29% of the total trading volume for that day [1] - The transaction price was 41.7 yuan, which represents a discount of 7.25% compared to the market closing price of 44.96 yuan [1] Group 2 - The trading date for the transaction was February 9, and the stock code for Jiufeng Energy is 605090 [2] - The buying brokerage for the transaction was Fei Research and Control Limited [2]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the carbon trading market and related sectors, indicating a favorable investment environment for companies involved in power generation and environmental protection [2][9]. Core Insights - The carbon market in China is expanding, with a cumulative trading volume of 865 million tons and a total transaction value of 57.663 billion yuan as of December 31, 2025. The trading volume for the year increased by approximately 24% year-on-year, although the average transaction price fell by 19.23% to 62.36 yuan per ton [2][6]. - The report highlights the government's commitment to carbon reduction, transitioning from energy control to carbon control, which is expected to create investment opportunities in the environmental sector [9]. - Natural gas prices have decreased due to a combination of supply-demand dynamics and seasonal factors, with significant price drops observed in various markets, including a 39.20% decrease in the Henry Hub spot price [2][12]. Summary by Sections 1. Power Sector - The carbon trading market is projected to continue expanding, with key emission units increasing awareness of carbon reduction. The number of units under management reached 3,378, with significant representation from the power, steel, cement, and aluminum industries [2][6]. - Recommendations for investment include companies with stable revenue sources such as Guodian Power, Inner Mongolia Huadian, and China Huaneng, which benefit from diversified income streams [9][11]. 2. Natural Gas Sector - Natural gas prices have seen a significant decline, with the Henry Hub spot price at $4.37/mmBtu, reflecting a 39.20% week-on-week drop. The report notes that the supply-demand balance is improving, contributing to this price decrease [2][12]. - Investment recommendations include companies like Kunlun Energy and New Hope Energy, which are expected to benefit from lower upstream resource costs and improved sales volumes [34][35]. 3. Market Performance Review - The report indicates that the power equipment and gas sectors outperformed the broader market during the review period from February 2 to February 6, 2026 [37]. 4. Company and Industry Dynamics - Recent regulatory updates include the National Development and Reform Commission's notification on improving the capacity pricing mechanism for coal and gas power generation, which aims to enhance revenue recovery for power plants [39][40]. - Key company announcements include performance forecasts from major players like Datang Power and Shanghai Electric, indicating significant year-on-year profit growth [41]. 5. Valuation Tables - The report provides valuation metrics for key companies in the utility sector, with several companies rated as "Buy," indicating strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [43][44].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the gas industry [1] Core Views - The report highlights a warming trend in temperatures leading to a decline in gas prices in Europe and the US, while domestic gas prices remain stable [1][9] - It emphasizes the overall supply being relaxed, with domestic gas prices decreasing by 2.0% week-on-week [26] - The report suggests that the pricing mechanism is being rationalized, and demand is expected to increase [1] Price Tracking - As of February 6, 2026, the week-on-week changes in gas prices are as follows: US HH down 31.5%, European TTF down 11%, East Asia JKM down 3.6%, China LNG ex-factory down 2%, and China LNG CIF down 11.6% [9][10] - The report notes that the average gas consumption in Europe for the first ten months of 2025 was 349.5 billion cubic meters, a year-on-year increase of 4.6% [15] Supply and Demand Analysis - The report indicates that the US natural gas market price decreased by 31.5% week-on-week due to a high base, with storage levels at 28,230 billion cubic feet, a year-on-year increase of 9.8% [14] - In Europe, gas supply decreased by 5.2% week-on-week, with a notable drop in gas-fired power generation output by 10.9% week-on-week [15] - Domestic gas consumption for 2025 is projected to increase by 2.3% year-on-year to 433.2 billion cubic meters, attributed to warmer winter conditions affecting heating gas demand [26] Pricing Progress - The report states that 68% of cities have implemented residential pricing adjustments, with an average increase of 0.22 yuan per cubic meter [40] - The report anticipates continued pricing adjustments and improvements in profitability for city gas companies [40] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies that can optimize costs and benefit from the ongoing pricing adjustments, such as Xin'ao Energy, China Resources Gas, and Kunlun Energy [1] - It also suggests monitoring companies with quality long-term contracts and flexible scheduling capabilities, such as Jiufeng Energy and Xin'ao Co. [1] - The report highlights the importance of energy independence and recommends companies with gas production capabilities, such as Shouhua Gas [1]

Group 1 - On February 7, China successfully launched a reusable experimental spacecraft using the Long March 2F rocket at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center, aimed at validating reusable spacecraft technology for peaceful space utilization [1] - The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) of the United States completed its investigation into the SpaceX Falcon 9 rocket anomaly and approved the rocket to resume flights [1] - Shanxi Securities noted that China's rockets still lag behind SpaceX in terms of single-launch capacity and launch frequency, but domestic efforts are accelerating to develop medium and large reusable liquid rockets for commercial launch services [1] - By 2026, multiple reusable rockets in China are expected to attempt their first orbital launches, with a significant increase in launch frequency anticipated starting in the second half of 2025, reaching 56 launches compared to 38 in the second half of 2024 [1] - Guotai Junan Securities highlighted that high-capacity rockets can effectively increase the number of satellites launched per mission, and the reusable model can further reduce the time and cost associated with constellation deployment, making them essential for the scaling of commercial space [1] Group 2 - Aerospace Power, a listed company, indicated that its parent company, the Sixth Academy of Aerospace, provided key components for the Long March 2F rocket, including main thrust and attitude control engines, thermal control systems, and life support system valves [2] - Jiufeng Energy reported that it exclusively supplied the necessary liquid oxygen, liquid nitrogen, and helium products for the static ignition test of the Long March 12B rocket, a four-meter class reusable rocket, on January 16, 2026 [2]

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" with an expected increase of over 15% in the next 3-6 months [6] Core Insights - Focus on the elasticity of electricity coal demand, particularly the low base effect in the first half of the year. The electricity consumption in the first half of 2025 is expected to grow significantly due to a low base, with industrial electricity consumption contributing only 40% to the total increase, which is much lower than its usual share [2] - The coal-fired power generation is also anticipated to see high growth in the first half of the year due to a low base, with a year-on-year decline of 2.15% in coal power generation volume [2] - The demand for electricity coal may be driven by overseas data centers and industrialization, which could lead to a tighter supply of imported coal [2] - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the marginal demand for coal, which could become a driving force for coal price changes [2] Summary by Sections Section 1: Electricity Demand - The first half of 2025 is expected to see high growth in electricity consumption due to a low base effect, particularly in high-energy-consuming industries [2] - Emerging manufacturing sectors are showing strong demand, contributing to a positive outlook for electricity consumption growth in the first half of 2026 [2] Section 2: Coal Power Generation - Coal power generation is projected to experience high growth in the first half of 2025, with a significant decline in the previous year providing a low base for comparison [2] - The report anticipates that the installed capacity of coal power may not see significant growth, which could lead to better-than-expected coal power generation [2] Section 3: Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on large and medium-sized state-owned enterprises, particularly those enhancing market value management and capital operations [3] - Specific companies highlighted include Guiguan Electric Power, Huadian International, and others that are expected to benefit from improved hydrological data and market conditions [4]

登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：605090 证券简称：九丰能源 公告编号：2026-007 江西九丰能源股份有限公司 关于副总经理、董事会秘书离任的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 江西九丰能源股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）董事会于近日收到董事、副总经理、董事会秘书黄博先 生的书面离任报告。黄博先生因个人职业发展规划，申请辞去公司副总经理、董事会秘书职务，离任后 继续在公司担任董事职务并开展相关工作。 一、离任的基本情况 ■ 二、离任对公司的影响 根据相关法律法规和《公司章程》等规定，黄博先生的离任报告自送达董事会之日起生效。截至本公告 披露日，黄博先生未持有公司股份，不存在应当履行而未履行的公开承诺事项。 为保障董事会工作的正常开展，在公司正式聘任董事会秘书之前，由公司董事、总经理吉艳女士代为履 行董事会秘书职责，公司将按照相关规定尽快聘任新的董事会秘书。 黄博先生在任职期间，始终恪尽职守、勤勉尽责，在公司战略规划、新业务拓展、投资管理、资本运 作、信息披露、投资者关系等方 ...

证券日报网讯2月6日，九丰能源（605090）在互动平台回答投资者提问时表示，目前，公司经营情况正 常，不存在应披露而未披露的情形。公司严格遵守《证券法》《上市公司信息披露管理办法》等相关法 律、行政法规、部门规章、规范性文件的要求，依法合规履行信息披露义务。 ...

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the performance of the CSI 1000 Value ETF (562530), which rose by 0.64% to 1.410 yuan with a trading volume of 808,100 yuan as of the midday close [1] - The top-performing stocks within the CSI 1000 Value ETF include Jiahu Energy, which increased by 3.45%, and Zhejiang Medicine, which rose by 3.87% [1] - The fund's performance benchmark is the CSI Smart Select 1000 Value Steady Strategy Index, managed by Huaxia Fund Management Co., Ltd., with a return of 40.54% since its inception on July 28, 2022, and a return of 5.51% over the past month [1] Group 2 - Notable stock movements include Shengfeng Cement increasing by 2.28%, while Jiufeng Energy decreased by 0.80%, and Changjiang Media fell by 0.65% [1] - The fund manager is Zhang Jinzhi, indicating a specific leadership in the management of the ETF [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of cautious investment due to market risks, although it does not provide specific risk details [1]