Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is under pressure, particularly in the consumer sector, with the China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index down by 1.3% as of 14:20 on February 12, 2023, indicating a mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The China Securities Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer Theme Index has seen a decline of 1.3%, with leading stocks like 康耐特光学 (Kangnait Optical) performing well while 百威亚太 (Budweiser APAC) faced significant losses [1] - As of February 11, the index's rolling price-to-earnings ratio stands at 18.6 times, which is in the 3.9% percentile since its inception in 2020, suggesting relatively low valuation levels for the consumer sector [1] Group 2: Policy and Consumer Behavior - The Ministry of Commerce has issued a notice to enhance the subsidy funding for the replacement of consumer goods during the 2026 Spring Festival, aiming to stimulate consumer demand and encourage shopping during the holiday season [1] - The notice emphasizes leveraging various channels to implement policies effectively, aligning with traditional customs to enhance the festive atmosphere and drive consumer spending [1] Group 3: Investment Opportunities - China Galaxy Securities notes that the current valuation of the consumer sector is relatively low, and with the approach of the Spring Festival and increasing consumer promotion policies, there is potential for an upward trend in the consumer sector [1] - The E Fund Hong Kong Stock Connect Consumer ETF (513070) has a management fee rate of only 0.15% per year, making it the only low-fee product in the market for Hong Kong consumer ETFs, and it has seen a net inflow of over 1 billion yuan in the last six trading days, indicating strong investor interest [1]

Core Viewpoint - Budweiser APAC reported a significant decline in performance for 2025, with total sales down 6.0% to 79.658 million hectoliters, revenue falling 6.1% to $5.764 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders plummeting 32.6% to $489 million, indicating unprecedented growth pressures on the company [2][17]. Financial Performance - The company has experienced a continuous decline in net profit for four consecutive years, with revenue decreasing for two years despite growth potential in the Asia-Pacific beer market [2][17]. - Normalized EBITDA for 2025 was $1.588 billion, a decrease of 9.8%, with the corresponding profit margin dropping 113 basis points to 27.6% [2][17]. - Basic earnings per share fell from 5.51 cents to 3.70 cents, reflecting a weakening profitability that has eroded investor confidence [2][17]. Market Dynamics - The Chinese market, once a core growth engine, saw sales drop 8.6% and revenue decline 11.3% in 2025, significantly underperforming compared to overall company metrics [4][19]. - The company’s reliance on immediate consumption channels has been detrimental, as foot traffic in these areas has decreased, directly impacting sales [21]. - Despite efforts to expand non-immediate consumption channels and O2O strategies, these investments have temporarily reduced profitability [22][23]. Regional Performance - The western Asia-Pacific region, including China and India, reported a 6.7% decline in sales and an 8.2% drop in revenue, while the eastern markets achieved a slight revenue increase of 1.3% but experienced a minor sales decline [10][25]. - The strong performance in the Indian market, which contributed over 20% revenue growth, was insufficient to offset declines in the Chinese and Korean markets, highlighting a lack of regional synergy [10][25]. Internal and External Challenges - Internal issues include mismatches in channels, products, and organizational structure, with a high dependency on immediate consumption channels and slow responses to changing consumer trends [26]. - Externally, increasing competition from local brands and macroeconomic fluctuations have further pressured the company’s market position [26][27]. Strategic Adjustments - Budweiser APAC aims to regain growth momentum by focusing on market share recovery in China, enhancing product innovation in core and premium segments, and accelerating digital transformation through the BEES platform [28]. - The company plans to invest in the Korean market for profit margin expansion and target India as a key growth driver, while also exploring acquisition opportunities in Southeast Asia [28][29]. - The board has proposed maintaining a stable dividend of 5.66 cents per share, reflecting confidence in long-term growth despite current performance challenges [29].

读创财经记者梳理财报发现，2024年，百威亚太啤酒销量为84.8亿公升，同比减少8.8%；实现收入 62.46亿美元，同比减少8.9%；净利润7.5亿美元，同比下滑14.77%。这意味着，公司业绩已连续两年下 滑。 值得注意的是，2025财政年度，百威亚太在中国市场的啤酒销量及收入分别减少8.6%及11.3%，每百升 收入减少3.0%。 2月12日，总销量减少6.0%；收入为57.64亿美元，同比减少6.1% ，每百升收入则减少0.2%。公司股权 持有人应占溢利由2024财政年度的7.26亿美元下降至2025财政年度的4.89亿美元，同比减少32.6%。 | 表1.綜合樂績(百萬美元) | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 2025 | 2024 | | | | 財政年度 | 財政年度 | 内生增長1 | | 總銷量(十萬公升) | 79,658 | 84.811 | -6.0% | | 收入 | 5.764 | 6.246 | -6.1% | | 毛利 | 2.887 | 3.147 | -5.9% | | 毛利率 | 50.1% | 50.4% | 13個基點 | | ...

大行评级丨里昂：百威亚太去年第四季度业绩大致符预期，评级"跑赢大市" 百威亚太(01876.HK)：2025 财政年度收入57.64亿美元，建议派付股息每股5.66美分 相关事件 里昂发表研报指，百威亚太去年第四季度业绩大致符预期，期内有机收入按年减4%，有机常规化 EBITDA按年跌25%，大致符合该行预期与市场共识。净亏损高于预期，因税务支出高于预期。中国市 场仍拖累业绩，营收下降11%，销量跌幅已连续收窄，但因投资支持居家渠道及产品组合变化未能利 好，平均售价面临压力。另一方面，韩国与印度市场表现稳健。股息符合预期。里昂予百威亚太目标价 9港元，评级"跑赢大市"，需关注的重点为宏观政策、居家渠道发展及营销预算。 ...

21世纪经济报道记者肖夏 国际啤酒巨头正在陆续交底。 北京时间2月11日下午、2月12日早间，喜力集团、百威亚太先后披露了2025年的全年业绩，整体都呈现增速放缓、销量下行的趋势。 按照国际财务报告准则，喜力集团2025年实现净收入287.53亿欧元，净利润18.85亿欧元，连续两年同比下跌，销量也再次转为下滑。为此，喜力集团已经调 低2026年的增长预期，并提出要节省4至5亿欧元的成本，具体举措包括裁员5000至6000人。 而百威亚太2025年实现收入57.64亿美元，同比内生下滑6.1%，正常化除息税折旧摊销前盈利（Normalised EBITDA）15.88亿美元，同比内生下滑9.8%，其 中股权持有人应占溢利4.89亿美元，同比大幅下滑32%以上——这一净利润表现，是百威亚太上市以来的新低。 百威英博尚未披露全球业绩，但从其去年三季报和百威亚太的全年业绩来看，百威去年整体的业绩大概率仍处于下行区间。 酒卖不动，如今已不是单独一家企业的问题。面对这一局面持续，龙头正在纷纷采取换帅、裁员、降本、控预期等一系列举措。 喜力降本连环招：降速、裁员、关停 尽管在中国市场高歌猛进，喜力在全球整体依然面临着降速 ...

记者丨肖夏 百威英博尚未披露全球业绩，但从其去年三季报和百威亚太的全年业绩来看，百威去年整体的业绩大概率仍处于下行区间。 酒卖不动，如今已不是单独一家企业的问题。面对这一局面持续，龙头正在纷纷采取换帅、裁员、降本、控预期等一系列举措。 喜力降本连环招：降速、裁员、关停 尽管在中国市场高歌猛进，喜力在全球整体依然面临着降速现实。 2月11日，喜力集团（Heineken）发布2025年全年业绩报告，按照IFRS口径全年业绩呈现"销售收入、运营利润、销量齐降"的局面——去年收 入同比下滑4.7%、其中净收入同比下滑3.6%，运营利润同比下滑3.2%，销量同比下滑1.2%。 编辑丨高梦阳 国际啤酒巨头正在陆续交底。 北京时间2月11日下午、2月12日早间，喜力集团、百威亚太先后披露了2025年的全年业绩，整体都呈现增速放缓、销量下行的趋势。 按照国际财务报告准则，喜力集团2025年实现净收入287.53亿欧元，净利润18.85亿欧元，连续两年同比下跌，销量也再次转为下滑。 为此， 喜力集团已经调低2026年的增长预期，并提出要节省4至5亿欧元的成本，具体举措包括裁员5000至6000人。 而百威亚太2025年实现收入 ...

A股市场今天（2月12日）整体小幅上涨，电力设备板块掀起涨停潮，成为上午A股市场板块主要亮点之一。 港股市场今天上午整体出现调整，恒生指数盘中一度跌破27000点。 股价大幅波动的港股方面，智谱大涨，盘中涨幅超过30%。消息面上，今天智谱上线并开源GLM-5。 A股电力设备板块掀起涨停潮 A股市场今天（2月12日）整体小幅上涨，创业板指涨幅超过1%。 主要行业板块和赛道方面，若按照申万一级行业划分，电力设备板块大涨，板块内个股掀起涨停潮，其中汉缆股份、中恒电气、望变电气、四方股份等多 股盘中涨停。消息面上，西门子能源股价持续走高，推高市场对该类赛道股票预期。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅▼ | 成交额 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 301217 | 铜量铜箔 | 36.53 | 4.50 | 14.05% | 25.78亿 | | 301120 | 新待电气 | 22.79 | 2.59 | 12.82% | 9.611Z | | 002498 | 汉绩股份 | 6.15 | 0.56 | 10.02% | 12.94亿 | | 00 ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the full year 2025, total volumes decreased by 6% and net revenue declined by 6.1% [6][12] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 9.8%, with a normalized EBITDA margin contraction of 113 basis points [6] - In Q4 2025, total volumes decreased by 0.7%, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 4.2% and 3.5%, respectively [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC West, volumes decreased by 6.7%, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 8.2% and 1.5%, respectively [7] - In China, volumes decreased by 3.9% in Q4, with revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 7.7%, resulting in an 11.4% revenue decline [7] - In India, strong double-digit revenue growth was delivered, with the Premium and Super Premium portfolio representing over two-thirds of total revenue [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC East, volumes decreased by 1.3%, while revenue and revenue per hectoliter increased by 1.3% and 2.5%, respectively [10] - In South Korea, volumes decreased by low single digits, but revenue remained flat due to ongoing revenue management initiatives [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focusing on enhancing in-home go-to-market strategies, enriching its portfolio, and innovating behind mega brands to rebuild momentum and reignite growth [4] - Strategic priorities for 2026 include increasing commercial investments in China to prioritize top-line growth over profitability [31] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the performance in China was below potential, but there are signs of stabilization in the industry [4][15] - The company is optimistic about the upcoming World Cup as a potential boost for industry demand [28] Other Important Information - The company maintained a strong balance sheet with a net cash position above $2.8 billion and recommended a dividend of $750 million for 2025 [12] - The company is actively managing inventory levels, which are lower than the previous year, to ensure a healthy route to market [65] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: What are the latest demand trends in China? - Management indicated that the industry shows signs of stabilization, but on-trade recovery has not yet been significant [15] Question: Will the shareholder reward policy be reviewed with a new CEO? - Management confirmed that the rigorous review process for dividends will remain intact, and it is too early to discuss changes to the policy [20] Question: What will be done differently in 2026 to turn around the business in China? - The focus will be on reigniting growth and rebuilding volume momentum, with significant emphasis on commercial investments [25][31] Question: How is the company managing inventory levels in China? - The company has proactively adjusted inventory levels, which are now lower than the previous year, ensuring a better position going into the Chinese New Year [65] Question: What is the pricing trend in China for 2026? - The company aims to maintain pricing discipline while investing to lead and grow the category, with a favorable brand mix contributing to revenue [72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In the full year 2025, total volumes decreased by 6% and net revenue declined by 6.1% [6][12] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 9.8% with a margin contraction of 113 basis points [6] - In Q4 2025, total volumes decreased by 0.7%, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 4.2% and 3.5% respectively [6] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC West, volumes decreased by 6.7%, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter decreasing by 8.2% and 1.5% respectively [7] - In China, volumes decreased by 3.9% in Q4, with revenue per hectoliter down by 7.7%, leading to an 11.4% revenue decline [7] - In India, strong double-digit revenue growth was achieved, with the Premium and Super Premium portfolio representing over two-thirds of total revenue [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC East, volumes decreased by 1.3%, while revenue and revenue per hectoliter increased by 1.3% and 2.5% respectively [10] - In South Korea, volumes decreased by low single digits, but revenue remained flat due to ongoing revenue management initiatives [11] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its in-home go-to-market strategy, enrich its portfolio, and innovate behind its mega brands to reignite growth [4] - Focus on expanding market share in India and South Korea while addressing challenges in China [4] - The company plans to increase commercial investments in China to prioritize top-line growth over profitability in 2026 [32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management noted that the performance in China was below potential, but there are signs of stabilization and initial improvement in Q4 2025 [15][17] - The company is optimistic about leveraging the World Cup as a platform for growth in 2026 [29] - Management emphasized the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and disciplined financial practices [12] Other Important Information - The company maintained a net cash position above $2.8 billion and recommended a dividend of $750 million for 2025, consistent with the previous year [12] - The company is focusing on premiumization and expanding its presence in the instant retail channel [39][40] Q&A Session Questions and Answers Question: What is the latest demand trend in China and any updates on Chinese New Year preparation? - Management indicated that the industry shows signs of stabilization, but on-trade demand recovery has not been significant yet [15][17] Question: Will the shareholder reward policy be reviewed with a new CEO? - Management confirmed that the rigorous review process for dividends will remain intact, and it is too early to discuss changes to the dividend policy [20] Question: What will be done differently in 2026 to turn around the business in China? - The priority remains to reignite growth and rebuild volume momentum, with a focus on enhancing execution in key channels [25][26] Question: How is the current level of channel inventory in China? - Management stated that inventory levels are lower than the previous year, and they expect to enter the Chinese New Year in a better position [66] Question: How will pricing trends look in China for 2026? - Management emphasized maintaining pricing discipline while continuing to invest in leading and growing the category [72]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - In full year 2025, total volumes decreased by 6% and net revenue declined by 6.1% [5][6] - Normalized EBITDA decreased by 9.8% with a margin contraction of 113 basis points [5] - In Q4 2025, total volumes decreased by 0.7%, with revenue declining by 4.2% and revenue per hectoliter down by 3.5% [5][6] - Normalized EBITDA for Q4 decreased by 24.7%, with a margin contraction of 425 basis points [5] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - In APAC West, volumes decreased by 6.7%, with revenue and revenue per hectoliter down by 8.2% and 1.5% respectively [6] - In China, Q4 volumes decreased by 3.9% and revenue per hectoliter decreased by 7.7%, leading to an 11.4% revenue decline [7] - In India, strong double-digit revenue growth was achieved, with the Premium and Super Premium portfolio representing over two-thirds of total revenue [10] - In APAC East, volumes decreased by 1.3%, while revenue and revenue per hectoliter increased by 1.3% and 2.5% respectively [10] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - In South Korea, volumes decreased by low single digits, but revenue remained flat due to ongoing revenue management initiatives [11] - The non-alcoholic beer and flavored beer segments are performing well in South Korea, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [58] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to enhance its in-home go-to-market strategy, enrich its portfolio, and innovate behind its mega brands to reignite growth [4] - Focus on expanding the in-home and O2O channels, with significant investments in marketing campaigns and innovations [8][9] - The company plans to prioritize top-line growth in China, potentially increasing commercial investments at the expense of short-term profitability [31][32] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management acknowledges that performance in China was below potential, but sees signs of stabilization and initial improvement in Q4 2025 [16][18] - The company is optimistic about the impact of the World Cup on industry demand and plans to leverage this event for brand activation [28] - Management emphasizes the importance of maintaining a strong balance sheet and disciplined financial practices, with a dividend recommendation of $750 million for 2025 [12] Other Important Information - The company continues to invest in its mega brands and has launched several innovative marketing initiatives, including collaborations with popular cultural events [11][12] - The net cash position at the end of 2025 was above $2.8 billion, reflecting a decrease of $39 million from the previous year [12] Q&A Session Summary Question: What is the latest demand trend in China and any updates on Chinese New Year preparations? - Management noted that the industry shows signs of stabilization, but on-trade demand recovery has not been significant yet [16][18] Question: Will the shareholder reward policy be reviewed with the new CEO? - Management confirmed that the rigorous review process for dividends will remain intact, and it is too early to discuss changes to the policy [20] Question: What will be done differently in 2026 to turn around the business in China? - The focus will be on reigniting growth and enhancing execution in key channels, with a strong emphasis on innovations and marketing campaigns [25][26] Question: How will the company manage inventory levels in China? - Management stated that inventory levels are lower than the previous year, and they will continue to manage inventories attentively [65] Question: What is the pricing trend expected in China for 2026? - The company aims to maintain pricing discipline while investing in brand growth, with a favorable brand mix contributing positively to revenue [70][71]