Summary of Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The records focus on the tourism and travel industry, particularly in relation to the upcoming Chinese New Year holiday and associated consumer trends [1][2]. Key Points and Arguments - **Longest Spring Festival Holiday**: The 2026 Spring Festival will be from February 15 to February 23, lasting 9 days, marking the longest Spring Festival holiday in history. This extended holiday is expected to boost the tourism market's activity [1][1]. - **Consumer Subsidies**: The Ministry of Culture and Tourism announced the launch of a Spring Festival Consumption Month starting January 29, with activities continuing until early March. Over 360 million yuan in consumer vouchers and various discounts are expected to stimulate travel [1][1]. - **Travel Trends**: Domestic travel trends include southern trips to escape the cold and northern trips for ice viewing. Popular destinations for domestic flights during the Spring Festival include Sanya, Haikou, and Harbin [2][1]. - **Long-term Outbound Travel**: The "5 days off, 15 days off" policy combined with visa-free travel is expected to increase interest in long-term outbound travel [2][1]. Company-Specific Insights - **Three Gorges Tourism**: The company is expected to benefit from the growing demand from the silver economy, with plans to add two luxury inter-provincial cruise ships this year and another two in 2028, enhancing its product offerings [2][1]. - **Huangshan Tourism**: The completion of the East Huangshan Cableway is anticipated to increase the scenic area’s capacity by 50% by July 2026, driving secondary consumption growth. The company’s high-end hotel in Beihai is set to reopen in September 2025 [2][1]. - **Tianfu Culture and Tourism**: Positioned in the southwest ice and snow tourism sector, the company owns the Xiling Snow Mountain scenic area and has a 34.3% stake in Bipenggou, aiming to capitalize on the upcoming Winter Olympics to boost interest in ice tourism [3][1]. - **Jiuhua Tourism**: The company is expected to benefit significantly from the temple economy during the peak season of the Spring Festival [3][1]. - **Lion Peak Cableway**: Set to be completed by the end of 2026 and operational in 2027, this project is expected to contribute to secondary consumption growth [4][1]. - **Hotel Sector Outlook**: The demand for travel is anticipated to lead to an increase in both volume and pricing for hotels during the Spring Festival, with companies like ShouLai Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel, and Huazhu Group being highlighted [4][1]. Additional Recommendations - **Investment Opportunities**: Attention is drawn to Changbai Mountain (a leader in ice and snow tourism) and Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism (which has quality assets being continuously injected) as potential investment opportunities [5][1].

Core Insights - The A-share market experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.96% to 4117.95 points, while the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.66%. The ChiNext Index, however, rose by 1.27% [1][7] - The total trading volume in the A-share market was 2.86 trillion RMB, with nearly 2900 stocks declining. The communication sector led the gains, while the non-ferrous metals sector saw the largest losses [1][7] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index dropped by 2.08%, and the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 2.1%. In the overseas markets, all three major U.S. stock indices declined, with the Dow Jones down by 0.36%, the S&P 500 down by 0.43%, and the Nasdaq down by 0.94% [1][7] Important News - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the acceleration of the new round of technological revolution and industrial transformation, highlighting the importance of leveraging comparative advantages to promote breakthroughs in future industries [2][8] - The National Bureau of Statistics reported that the manufacturing PMI for January was 49.3%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points month-on-month. The non-manufacturing PMI also fell to 49.4%, indicating a decline in business activity due to seasonal factors and insufficient market demand [2][8] Sector Analysis - In the social services sector, the proportion of heavy positions in funds increased, with 286 funds holding shares, up by 109 from the previous quarter. The total market value of holdings reached 5.57 billion RMB, an increase of 0.975 billion RMB [9][10] - The heavy position ratio for the social services sector was 0.06%, up by 0.01 percentage points, ranking 27th among 31 sectors, indicating potential for rebound as it remains below the 5-year average of 0.34% [9][10] - The hospitality and restaurant sectors showed slight recovery, while the education sector saw a significant decline in heavy position ratios [9][10] Individual Stocks - Leading stocks in the social services sector saw increased holdings, with the top ten stocks' combined heavy position ratio rising to 0.058%, an increase of 0.013 percentage points from the previous quarter. Notable stocks include Huace Testing, Shoulv Hotel, and JiuHua Tourism [10][11] - The report suggests focusing on companies benefiting from the upcoming long holiday and those positioned to take advantage of the Hainan Free Trade Port's opportunities [11] Beauty and Personal Care Sector - The beauty and personal care sector saw a decrease in fund allocation, with the total market value of A-shares at 255.096 billion RMB, down by 10.43% from the previous quarter. The fund allocation ratio was 0.14%, a decrease of 0.06 percentage points [12][13] - The personal care and cosmetics segments remain in a low allocation zone, while the medical beauty segment is in an over-allocated position [12][13] - Key stocks in the beauty and personal care sector include Jinbo Biological, Aimeike, and Baiya Shares, with their heavy position ratios declining compared to the previous quarter [14]

证券研究报告 | 朝闻国盛 gszqdatemark 2026 02 02 年 月 日 朝闻国盛 美联储迎来沃什，4 大关键点 今日概览 ◼ 重磅研报 【宏观】美联储迎来沃什，4 大关键点——20260201 【宏观】物价回升如何影响税收收入？—2025 年财政回顾与 2026 年展 望——20260131 【宏观】1 月 PMI 超季节性回落的背后——20260131 【策略】月度高胜率窗口的经验与应对——20260201 【海外】优选地产、大宗和科技——2026 年 2 月海外金股推荐—— 20260131 【金融工程】短期调整不足为惧——20260201 【金融工程】择时雷达六面图：本周拥挤度指标明显弱化——20260131 【固定收益】联储换帅、市场波动与债市逻辑——20260201 【固定收益】赎纯债、降久期、增信用——债基 2025Q4 季报分析—— 20260201 【固定收益】资金平稳跨月，存单偿还地方债放量——流动性和机构行 为跟踪——20260131 【固定收益】固收+继续扩张，增配科技化工——25Q4 基金转债持仓分 析——20260131 【电新】低轨星座竞赛与太空算力革命，引爆太空光 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Insights - The retail sector is expected to show varied performance in Q4 2025, with significant growth in certain segments like gold and jewelry, while others like supermarkets and department stores are projected to decline [1][2][4] - The report highlights the importance of the upcoming Spring Festival season, suggesting that sectors with performance elasticity, such as duty-free shops and certain tourist attractions, should be closely monitored [9] - The report emphasizes the potential of AI applications in enhancing e-commerce marketing, indicating a shift towards new retail strategies [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook - Gold and Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% in Q4 2025 - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% in Q4 2025 - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 1.2 to 2.2 billion, with a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit growth of 150% to 254% in Q4 2025 - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion in Q4 2025, compared to a loss of 1.03 billion in the same period last year [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30% in Q4 2025, with adjusted net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarkets and Department Stores - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a decline of 22.4% year-on-year, with a projected drop of 92.5% in Q4 2025 - Wangfujing: Expected net profit loss of 0.45 to 0.23 billion, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% in Q4 2025 - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a net profit growth rate of -3.1% in Q4 2025 - Home Home Joy: Expected net profit of 198 to 228 million, with a growth rate of 50.1% to 72.8% in Q4 2025 [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% in Q4 2025 - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% in Q4 2025 - Su Mei Da: Expected net profit of 1.355 billion, with a growth rate of 70.8% in Q4 2025 [3] Social Services Sector Outlook - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% in Q4 2025 - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% in Q4 2025 - Jiuhua Tourism: Expected net profit growth of 0% to 15% in Q4 2025 [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on sectors with performance elasticity during the Spring Festival, including duty-free, certain tourist attractions, and gold and jewelry [9] - For 2026, the report suggests looking at service consumption and product consumption, particularly in duty-free and travel chains, as well as undervalued segments with improving fundamentals [9]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [5] Core Views - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on sub-sectors with performance elasticity during the upcoming Spring Festival peak season, including duty-free, certain scenic spots, supermarkets, and gold jewelry [9] - It suggests that the recent fundamentals of duty-free and travel chains have improved, warranting ongoing observation and validation [9] - For 2026, the report recommends focusing on service consumption and product consumption, particularly in the duty-free and travel chain sectors, as well as the gold jewelry sector and Miniso, which have high valuation attractiveness [9] Summary by Relevant Sections Retail Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Gold Jewelry: - Lao Feng Xiang: Expected net profit growth of -15% to 5% - Zhou Da Sheng: Expected net profit growth of 15% to 30% - Chao Hong Ji: Forecasted net profit of 436 million to 533 million, a year-on-year increase of 125% to 175% - Cai Bai Co.: Expected net profit of 1.06 billion to 1.23 billion, corresponding to a growth of 150% to 254% - Yu Garden Co.: Forecasted loss of 4.312 billion, primarily due to asset impairment provisions [1] - Trendy Toys: - Miniso: Expected revenue growth of 25% to 30%, with adjusted operating profit and net profit growth of 10% to 20% [1] Supermarket and Department Store Outlook for Q4 2025 - Chongqing Department Store: Expected net profit of 1.021 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 22.4% - Wangfujing: Expected net profit of -45 million to -23 million, with a growth rate of -6.6% to 7.3% - Yonghui Supermarket: Expected loss of 2.14 billion, with a growth rate of -3.1% - Jiajiayue: Expected net profit of 198 million to 228 million, growth of 50.1% to 72.8% - Hongqi Chain: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 0% [2] Cross-Border and E-commerce Outlook for Q4 2025 - Small Commodity City: Expected net profit growth of 5% to 15% - Anker Innovation: Expected net profit growth of 10% to 20% - Saiwei Times: Expected net profit of 90 million to 130 million - Huakai Yibai: Expected net profit of 80 million to 110 million, driven by improved operational efficiency [3] Social Services Sector Outlook for Q4 2025 - Duty-Free: China Duty-Free Group: Expected net profit growth of 29% to 173% - Tourism: - Songcheng Performance: Expected net profit growth of -204% to 294% - Tianmu Lake: Expected net profit growth of -10% to 5% [4] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies such as Small Commodity City, China Duty-Free, Huazhu Group, Shoulu Hotel, Jinjiang Hotel, Chao Hong Ji, Jiuhua Tourism, Ruoyu Chen, Qingmu Technology, and Miniso, while also keeping an eye on other companies with potential [10]

Group 1 - The company Zhejiang Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism Co., Ltd. announced that its controlling shareholder, Anhui Xiangyuan Cultural Development Co., Ltd., has had 216,831,958 shares frozen, which represents 100% of its holdings and 20.56% of the company's total share capital [1] - As of the announcement date, the shareholder Xiangyuan Travel has a total of approximately 394 million shares frozen, accounting for 100% of its holdings and 37.38% of the company's total share capital [1] - The shareholder Anhui Xiangyuan has a total of approximately 217 million shares frozen, representing 100% of its holdings and 20.56% of the company's total share capital [1] - The shareholder Yu Faxiang has approximately 1.44 million shares frozen, which is 100% of its holdings and 0.14% of the company's total share capital [1]

证券代码：600576 证券简称：祥源文旅 公告编号：临 2026-008 浙江祥源文旅股份有限公司 关于控股股东之一致行动人股份被轮候冻结的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述 或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 重要内容提示： 注：1、本表中部分合计数与各明细数直接相加之和在尾数上如有差异，是由于四舍五入所造成。 2、累计被冻结数量未包含轮候冻结数量。公司实际控制人俞发祥先生、控股股东祥源旅开及其一致行动人安 徽祥源累计被轮候冻结股份1,072,958,127 股，占其合计所持股份数的 175.20%，占公司总股本的101.75%。 1 本次浙江祥源文旅股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）控股股东之一致行 动人安徽祥源文化发展有限公司（以下简称"安徽祥源"）被轮候冻结股 份216,831,958股（均为无限售流通股），占其所持股份的100%，占公司总 股本的20.56%。 截至本公告披露日，公司实际控制人、控股股东祥源旅游开发有限公司（ 以下简称"祥源旅开"）及其一致行动人安徽祥源合计持有公司股份 612,433,915股，占公司总股本的58.0 ...

证券代码：600576 证券简称：祥源文旅 公告编号：临 2026-007 浙江祥源文旅股份有限公司 关于变更签字注册会计师的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈 述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 浙江祥源文旅股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）分别于 2025 年 4 月 16 日 召开第九届董事会第八次会议、2025 年 5 月 22 日召开的 2024 年年度股东大会， 审议通过了《关于公司续聘会计师事务所的议案》，同意续聘上会会计师事务所 （特殊普通合伙）（以下简称"上会"）为公司 2025 年审计机构。具体内容详见 公司于 2025 年 4 月 18 日在上海证券交易所网站披露的《关于续聘会计师事务所 的公告》（公告编号：临 2025-016）。 近日，公司收到上会《关于变更签字注册会计师的函》，现将具体情况公告 如下： 一、签字会计师变更情况 上会作为公司 2025 年度财务报告和内部控制审计的审计机构，原委派王芳 山（项目合伙人）、索龙强为签字注册会计师，唐慧珏作为质量控制复核人，为 公司提供 2025 年度审计服务。现因上会内部工作 ...

证券研究报告：商贸零售|点评报告 行业投资评级 强于大市|维持 近期研究报告 《11 月社零数据如何？》 - 2025.12.22 12 月社零数据如何？ ⚫ 事件 | 行业基本情况 | | --- | | 收盘点位 | | 2470.34 | | --- | --- | --- | | 52 | 周最高 | 2584.65 | | 52 | 周最低 | 1877.67 | 行业相对指数表现（相对值） -8% -5% -2% 1% 4% 7% 10% 13% 16% 19% 22% 25% 2025-02 2025-04 2025-06 2025-09 2025-11 2026-01 商贸零售 沪深300 资料来源：聚源，中邮证券研究所 研究所 分析师:李鑫鑫 SAC 登记编号:S1340525010006 Email:lixinxin@cnpsec.com 国家统计局发布最新社零数据，12 月份，社会消费品零售总额 45136 亿元，同比增长 0.9%。其中，除汽车以外的消费品零售额 39654 亿元，增长 1.7%。2025 年，社会消费品零售总额 501202 亿元，比上 年增长 3.7%。其中，除汽车 ...

上海丰豫投资低空经济产业投资基金成立于去年。2025年4月，上海丰豫计划以自有资金出资人民币 6500万元（其中计划首期投资金额为1300万元，目前已完成实缴260万元），与深圳市启赋安泰投资管 理有限公司、江苏黄海汇创私募基金管理有限公司等共同投资设立低空经济产业投资基金。 据悉，上海丰豫投资低空经济产业投资基金的初衷是，拓展公司在低空产业制造端的布局，实现从低空 应用端到制造端的延展，同时依托基金管理人的行业经验、管理和资源优势，拓展投资渠道，提升公司 综合竞争能力和抗风险能力。 1月27日，祥源文旅（600576）公告，为进一步聚焦低空文旅垂直业态，公司全资子公司上海丰豫拟从 低空经济产业投资基金退伙。低空经济产业投资基金于2026年1月26日召开全体合伙人会议，一致同意 上海丰豫从合伙企业退伙。低空经济产业投资基金应支付上海丰豫的退伙资产=该合伙人财产份额-应扣 减款项，上海丰豫退伙财产份额价值为257.15万元，全部以现金形式支付。 不过，高增长部分属于外延式并购增长。2024年以来，公司通过并购等行为扩充了并表范围。 "本次交易主要基于公司低空战略规划及投资模式的调整，为进一步聚焦对于低空文旅业态 ...