Core Viewpoint - The financial performance of major Chinese tire companies, including Sailun, Linglong, and Triangle, shows significant divergence in 2024, with Sailun and Linglong experiencing substantial growth in revenue and net profit, while Triangle faced declines in both revenue and profit [2][4][8]. Financial Performance Summary - **Sailun Tire**: - Revenue reached 31.802 billion yuan, up 22.4% year-on-year - Net profit was 4.063 billion yuan, a 31.4% increase - R&D expenses amounted to 1.013 billion yuan, a 20.8% increase [3][4][6][8] - **Linglong Tire**: - Revenue was 22.058 billion yuan, growing by 9.4% - Net profit reached 1.752 billion yuan, up 26% - R&D expenses totaled 920 million yuan, a 12.97% increase [3][4][7][8] - **Triangle Tire**: - Revenue fell to 10.156 billion yuan, down 2.55% - Net profit decreased to 1.103 billion yuan, a decline of 21.03% - R&D expenses were 150 million yuan, a 6% increase [3][4][8] Market Trends and Challenges - The global tire market is expanding, driven by the recovery of the automotive industry, with a total global tire sales volume of 1.856 billion units in 2024, a 1.86% increase year-on-year [4][12] - The domestic tire market saw a total production of 847 million units, up 7.8% year-on-year [4] - The industry is facing challenges from rising raw material prices, particularly natural rubber and synthetic rubber, which increased by 30% and 19% respectively [7][11] Q1 2025 Performance - **Sailun**: - Revenue for Q1 2025 was 8.411 billion yuan, a 15.28% increase year-on-year - Net profit was 1.039 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.47% [9][10] - **Linglong**: - Q1 revenue reached 5.697 billion yuan, up 12.92% - Net profit fell to 341 million yuan, down 22.78% [9][10] - **Triangle**: - Q1 revenue was 2.244 billion yuan, down 5.92% - Net profit decreased significantly to 166 million yuan, a decline of 43.54% [9][11] Strategic Developments - Sailun is enhancing its digital and intelligent manufacturing capabilities, establishing a comprehensive digital ecosystem to improve production efficiency and reduce costs [6][8] - Linglong is expanding its global footprint with new factories in Brazil and Serbia, aiming to strengthen its international competitiveness [14] - Triangle is also investing in digital transformation to improve operational efficiency despite facing significant challenges [7][11]

国投期货高级分析师 胡华钎 从业资格号：F0285606 投资咨询号：Z0003096 | 2025年4月30日 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上市公司轮胎业务数据 | | 2021年 | 2022年 | 2023年 | 2024年 | 同比(%) | | 玲珑轮胎 | 产量(万条) | 7026.69 | 6571.03 | 7911.70 | 8912.23 | 12.65 | | (601966) | 销量(万条) | 6470.71 | 6184.52 | 7798.16 | 8544.71 | 9.57 | | | 库存(万条) | 928.69 | 1110.04 | 1084.26 | 1354.17 | 24.89 | | 赛轮轮胎 | 产量(万条) | 4539.77 | 4320.78 | 5578.63 | 7481.11 | 34.10 | | (601058) | 销量(万条) | 4361.97 | 4390.30 | 5863.54 | 7215.58 | 23.06 | | | 库存(万条 ...

证券研究报告 | 公司点评 | 汽车零部件 赛轮轮胎(601058) 报告日期：2025 年 04 月 30 日 产销稳健增长，盈利能力彰显韧性 ——赛轮轮胎 24 年及 25Q1 点评 报告导读 公司发布 2024 年报，实现营收 318.0 亿元，同比增 22.42%，实现归母净利润 40.6 亿 元，同比增 31.42%。其中 24Q4 营收 81.7亿元，同比增 17.33%，环比降 3.54%；归母 净利润 8.2 亿元，同比降 23.18%，环比降 25.00%。 公司发布 2025 一季报，实现营收 84.1 亿元，同比增 15.29%，环比增 2.90%；实现归 母净利润 10.4 亿元，同比增 0.47%，环比增 26.79%。 投资要点 ❑ 25Q1 销量同环比增长，盈利能力强劲 24 年公司轮胎产量 7481 万条，同比增 27.59%，其中半钢、全钢、非公路产量同 比分别增 31%、14%、9%。24 年公司轮胎销量 7216 万条，同比增 29.34%。原材 料方面，24年公司主要原材料天然胶、合成胶、钢帘线、炭黑采购价格同比分别 变动+28.23%、+11.57%、-7.42%、- ...

汽车/汽车零部件 赛轮轮胎（601058.SH） 2024 年业绩再创新高，看好公司长期成长空间 2025 年 04 月 30 日 投资评级：买入（维持） | 日期 | 2025/4/29 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 12.25 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 17.60/11.37 | | 总市值(亿元) | 402.79 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 402.79 | | 总股本(亿股) | 32.88 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 32.88 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 74.01 | 股价走势图 -36% -24% -12% 0% 12% 24% 2024-04 2024-08 2024-12 2025-04 赛轮轮胎 沪深300 数据来源：聚源 相关研究报告 《Q3 业绩符合预期，全球化布局稳步 推 进 — 公 司 信 息 更 新 报 告 》 -2024.10.31 《配套及替换市场双线发力，Q2 业绩 实现同环比增长—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.8.26 《墨西哥项目奠基仪式顺利举行，全 球化布局持续推进—公司信息更新报 告》-2024.5.21 | —— ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 31.802 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 4.06 billion yuan, up 31.4% year-on-year, while the net profit after deducting non-recurring items was 3.99 billion yuan, an increase of 26.9% year-on-year [1] - For Q4 2024, the company reported operating revenue of 8.17 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 17.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.5% [1] Group 2: Tire Production and Sales - Global tire demand saw a slight increase, with total tire sales reaching 1.856 billion units in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 1.9% [2] - The company achieved a record high in tire production and sales, with annual tire production of 74.81 million units, up 27.6% year-on-year, and sales of 72.16 million units, an increase of 29.3% year-on-year [2] - In Q4 2024, tire production and sales were 20.18 million and 18.28 million units respectively, with a quarter-on-quarter increase and decrease [2] Group 3: Cost and Margin Analysis - In Q4 2024, the comprehensive procurement prices of key raw materials increased by 21.7% year-on-year and 7.6% quarter-on-quarter, leading to a slight decline in gross margin [3] - The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 25.3%, down 8.3 percentage points year-on-year and 2.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] - For Q1 2025, the gross margin recorded was 24.7%, with a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.5 percentage points [3] Group 4: Capacity and Future Outlook - The company has planned production capacity of 27.65 million full steel radial tires, 106 million semi-steel radial tires, and 447,000 tons of non-road tires [3] - The company is expected to continue releasing performance capabilities as domestic and overseas bases ramp up production [3] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 project net profits of 4.61 billion, 5.66 billion, and 6.75 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9, 7, and 6 times [3]

Summary of the Conference Call for Sailun Tire Company Overview - **Company**: Sailun Tire - **Industry**: Tire Manufacturing Key Points and Arguments Sales and Production Performance - In 2024, total sales reached 72.16 million tires, a year-on-year increase of 29.3%, with semi-steel tires growing by 32% and off-road tires increasing by 49% [2][4] - For Q1 2025, total sales were 19.37 million tires, a year-on-year growth of 16.8% despite a slight decline due to the Spring Festival [2][6] Financial Performance - Revenue for 2024 was 31.8 billion yuan, up 22.4% year-on-year, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 4.063 billion yuan, a 31.4% increase [2][7] - Q1 2025 revenue was 8.41 billion yuan, a 15.3% increase year-on-year, with net profit of 1.039 billion yuan, showing a slight increase [2][7] - Gross margin decreased due to rising raw material prices, with Q1 2025 gross margin at 24.74%, down 3 percentage points [2][7] Cash Flow and Dividend Policy - Cash flow for 2024 was 2.29 billion yuan, while Q1 2025 showed a negative cash flow of 400 million yuan, primarily due to increased scale and wage payments [2][8] - The annual dividend plan is 0.23 yuan per share, totaling approximately 1.2 billion yuan, which is 30.76% of the annual profit [2][8] Capacity Expansion and Global Strategy - The company is expanding production capacity and global presence, with multiple factories operational and two new factories expected to start production in May and June 2025 [2][9] - Focus on high-value products like giant tires and liquid gold, which are gradually achieving scale [2][9] Impact of U.S. Tariff Policies - The U.S. imposed a 25% tariff on passenger and light truck tires, but the company expects limited impact on profitability due to product structure adjustments and proactive measures [2][10][11] - The company is enhancing its production and shipping strategies to mitigate the effects of tariffs [2][11] Sustainable Development Goals - Sailun Tire is the first domestic tire company to set specific sustainability targets for 2030, indicating a commitment to long-term environmental goals [2][26] Market Dynamics and Challenges - The tire industry is not a sunset industry; demand is driven by increasing global vehicle ownership, with 75% of tires used for replacement [2][19] - The company faces challenges such as market demand fluctuations, rising shipping costs, and raw material price volatility [2][9] Brand Building and Channel Strategy - The company is actively building its brand and exploring innovative sales models through joint ventures with provincial agents [2][5][17] - The strategy aims to reduce the cyclical impact of the industry and improve direct engagement with consumers [2][12] Inventory Management - Increased inventory is attributed to expanded operations and the need to accumulate stock for shipping, not due to sales pressure [2][24][25] Confidence in Future Growth - The actual controller's significant share purchases reflect strong confidence in the company's future, especially given the current low valuation due to tariff uncertainties [2][27][28] Raw Material Procurement Strategy - The company employs a mix of long-term contracts and spot purchases for raw materials, maintaining a significant inventory to ensure production stability [2][20] Future Outlook - The company anticipates that high-value products will mitigate the impact of raw material price fluctuations, maintaining profitability [2][21] This summary encapsulates the key insights from the conference call, highlighting Sailun Tire's performance, strategies, and market outlook.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 19.20 CNY, compared to the current price of 12.07 CNY [4][9]. Core Insights - The company has demonstrated stable operating performance, focusing on product competitiveness and global capacity layout. The revenue for 2024 reached 31,802 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 22.42%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 4,063 million CNY, up 31.42% year-on-year [9][10]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 0.23 CNY per share for 2024, amounting to a total of 1,249 million CNY, which represents 30.76% of the annual net profit [9]. - The company has seen a steady increase in tire production and sales, with 2024 figures showing production of 74.81 million tires and sales of 72.16 million tires, reflecting year-on-year growth of 27.6% and 29.3%, respectively [9][10]. Financial Performance - For Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 8,411 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 15.29%, and a net profit of 1,039 million CNY, which is a slight increase of 0.47% year-on-year [9]. - The average selling price of tire products in Q1 2025 was 417.6 CNY per tire, showing a decrease of 0.4% year-on-year [9]. - The company’s gross margin for Q1 2025 was 24.74%, down 2.94 percentage points year-on-year, influenced by rising raw material costs [9]. Market and Production Insights - The company achieved revenues of 23,810 million CNY from overseas markets and 7,550 million CNY from domestic markets in 2024, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 23.6% and 19.9% [9]. - The overseas subsidiaries in Vietnam and Cambodia reported revenues of 8,644 million CNY and 4,039 million CNY, respectively, with significant growth in Cambodia [9]. - The company has a robust capacity planning, with a total planned annual production capacity of 27.65 million full-steel tires and 106 million semi-steel tires, indicating strong growth potential [9]. Future Projections - The report adjusts the net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 to 4,193 million CNY and 5,019 million CNY, respectively, with a new forecast for 2027 at 5,829 million CNY [9][10]. - The projected price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the upcoming years are 10x for 2024, 9x for 2025, and 8x for 2026, indicating a favorable valuation compared to historical averages [10].

01 事件概述 ► 液体黄金性能优异，助力公司品牌力提升 液体黄金轮胎应用国际首创化学炼胶技术，降低轮胎滚动阻力，提升抗湿滑和耐磨性能，成功解决了困扰轮胎行业多年的"魔鬼三角"问题，已经过国际权威机构西班牙 IDIADA、史密斯实验室、中国橡胶工业协会等多项权威机构的测试和认证。此外平均1条液体黄金卡客车胎、轿车胎可分别降低能耗4%、3%以上，新能源轿车可提高续 航5%-10%。 03 投资建议 披露2024年报及2025一季报：2024年营收318.0亿元，同比+22.4%，归母净利40.6亿元，同比+31.4%，扣非归母净利39.9亿元，同比+26.9%。2025Q1营收84.1亿元，同比 +15.3%/环比+2.9%；归母净利10.4亿元，同比+0.4%/环比+26.8%；扣非归母净利10.1亿元，同比-0.7%/环比+16.3%。 02 分析判断 ► 2025Q1业绩稳健增长 高盈利水平持续 收入端： 公司2024Q4营收同比+17.3%/环比-3.5%，2025Q1营收同比+15.3%/环比+2.3%，收入的同比高增主要系新产能持续投放，展望2025年印尼及柬埔寨产能会陆续 达到量供状态。 利润端： ...

证券研究报告 赛轮轮胎 (601058 CH) 24 年净利增长，全球竞争力持续提升 | | | 公司发布 24 年年报与 25 年一季报，全年实现营收 318 亿元，yoy+22%， 归母净利 41 亿元（扣非后 40 亿元），yoy+31%（扣非后 yoy+27%）；Q4 营收 82 亿元，同环比+17%/-4%，归母净利 8 亿元，同环比-23%/-25%。 25Q1 公司实现营收 84 亿元，同环比+15%/+3%；实现归母净利润 10 亿元， 同环比+0.5%/+27%，公司 25Q1 净利略低于我们前瞻预期（11 亿元），主 要是受原材料成本高位影响。2024 年公司股利支付率 31%， 25 年计划实 施中期分红；公司实控人及一致行动人计划增持公司股份 5-10 亿元。考虑 美国加征关税，短期公司业绩或受一定影响，下调盈利预测；但长期伴随公 司增量产能投放，以及全球同等加税下，公司有望凭借性价比优势提升在美 份额，公司全球竞争力有望持续增强。维持"买入"评级。 24 年产销再创新高，业绩稳健增长 2024 年伴随公司新增产能放量、海外市场需求恢复、以及国内市场持续开 拓，全年轮胎产销再创新高。2 ...