Report Summary 1. Investment Rating No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. 2. Core View The recent peak in demand in the live - hog market has passed, and the supply - side contradictions remain to be resolved. However, the low - price shock of hog prices in the short term has increased the enthusiasm of second - round fattening. The price of the live - hog futures LH2603 contract is expected to mainly operate in a wide - range shock at a low level [14]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Contract Market**: On December 26, 2025, the live - hog lh2603 contract showed a fluctuating trend, closing at 11,645 points, up 1.48% from the previous settlement price, with a full - day trading volume of 117,200 lots and an open interest of 171,500 lots [2]. - **Variety Price**: The prices of live - hog futures contracts varied. The total open interest of the variety was 355,353 lots, an increase of 8,016 lots from the previous trading day [4]. - **Related Market**: The daily trading volume of live - hog options was 35,251 lots, with a total open interest of 63,671 lots, an increase of 3,212 lots in open interest, and 0 lots were exercised on the day [6]. 3.2 Spot Market - **Basis Data**: The live - hog basis was 205 yuan/ton yesterday and 145 yuan/ton today, a decrease of 60 yuan/ton from the previous trading day, indicating a slight convergence of the basis [7]. - **Registered Warehouse Receipts**: According to the warehouse receipt report of the Dalian Commodity Exchange, there were 863 registered warehouse receipts today, with no change from the previous trading day [8]. 3.3 Influencing Factors - **Industry News**: Wenhua Finance reported that the spot price was 11.58 yuan/kg yesterday, a month - on - month increase of 0.09%. On the supply side, the slaughter rhythm across the country was moderately slow in late December. The previous epidemic situation led to an increase in the slaughter of small and medium - sized pigs, driving a slight decline in the average weight this week. Overall, the contradiction of supply accumulation has not been resolved [10]. - **Technical Analysis**: The daily K - line of the live - hog lh2603 futures closed in a positive line, showing a short - term increase during the day. The K - line broke through the upper track of the BOLL line, and the BOLL line was in an open state [11][12].

Core Viewpoint - A total of 65 stocks in the A-share market experienced block trading today, with a total transaction value of 1.12 billion yuan, indicating active trading activity in the market [1] Group 1: Trading Activity - The top three stocks by transaction value were Jinfakeji (1.12 billion yuan), Zhiwei Intelligent (71.23 million yuan), and Changying Precision (63.91 million yuan) [1] - Among the stocks traded, 4 were at par value, 1 at a premium, and 60 at a discount; Muyuan Foods had a premium rate of 0.61% [1] - The highest discount rates were observed in Xiangming Intelligent (22.13%), Tianyin Electromechanical (21.64%), and Shenxinfeng (21.22%) [1] Group 2: Institutional Trading - The top buying amounts from institutional special seats were led by Zhiwei Intelligent (36.18 million yuan), Baosheng Co. (28.99 million yuan), and Bai'ao Chemical (13.52 million yuan) [1] - The top selling amounts from institutional special seats included Senqilin (10.59 million yuan) and Kangtai Biological (7.33 million yuan) [1]

证券时报·数据宝统计显示，牧原股份今日收盘价为50.58元，下跌0.61%，日换手率为0.70%，成交额为 13.42亿元，全天主力资金净流入4739.33万元，近5日该股累计上涨5.11%，近5日资金合计净流入3.99亿 元。 两融数据显示，该股最新融资余额为49.59亿元，近5日增加8923.30万元，增幅为1.83%。（数据宝） 12月31日牧原股份大宗交易一览 | 成交量 | 成交金 | 成交价 | 相对当日收 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | （万 | 额（万 | 格 | 盘折溢价 | 买方营业部 | 卖方营业部 | | 股） | 元） | （元） | （%） | | | | 25.80 | 1312.96 | 50.89 | 0.61 | 中信证券股份有限公司杭州 玉皇山南基金小镇证券营业 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司 杭州新业路第一证券营业部 | | | | | | 部 | | （文章来源：证券时报网） 牧原股份12月31日大宗交易平台出现一笔成交，成交量25.80万股，成交金额1312.96万元，大宗交易成 交价为50.89元，相对今日 ...

进一步统计，近3个月内该股累计发生5笔大宗交易，合计成交金额为2.87亿元。该股近5个交易日累计 上涨5.11%，主力资金合计净流入2亿元。 责任编辑：小浪快报 炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 12月31日，牧原股份收跌0.61%，收盘价为50.58元，发生1笔大宗交易，合计成交量25.8万股，成交金 额1312.96万元。 第1笔成交价格为50.89元，成交25.80万股，成交金额1,312.96万元，溢价率为0.61%，买方营业部为中 信证券股份有限公司杭州玉皇山南基金小镇证券营业部，卖方营业部为国泰海通证券股份有限公司杭州 新业路第一证券营业部。 ...

农林牧渔行业今日下跌1.10%，全天主力资金净流出15.11亿元，该行业所属的个股共105只，今日上涨 的有32只，涨停的有1只；下跌的有69只。以资金流向数据进行统计，该行业资金净流入的个股有29 只，其中，净流入资金超千万元的有6只，净流入资金居首的是金新农，今日净流入资金8782.64万元， 紧随其后的是神农种业、牧原股份，净流入资金分别为5127.45万元、4739.33万元。农林牧渔行业资金 净流出个股中，资金净流出超3000万元的有7只，净流出资金居前的有平潭发展、正邦科技、温氏股 份，净流出资金分别为8.94亿元、1.68亿元、7214.84万元。（数据宝） 沪指12月31日上涨0.09%，申万所属行业中，今日上涨的有15个，涨幅居前的行业为国防军工、传媒， 涨幅分别为2.13%、1.54%。跌幅居前的行业为通信、农林牧渔，跌幅分别为1.35%、1.10%。农林牧渔 行业位居今日跌幅榜第二。 资金面上看，两市主力资金全天净流出322.70亿元，今日有9个行业主力资金净流入，国防军工行业主 力资金净流入规模居首，该行业今日上涨2.13%，全天净流入资金60.58亿元，其次是传媒行业，日涨幅 为1. ...

| 交易日期 | 证券代码 | 证券简称 | 成交价格 (元) | 成交量 (万股/万份) | 成交金额 买方营业部 (万元) | 卖方营业部 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-12-31 | 002714 | 牧原股份 | 50.89 | 25.80 | 1,312.96中信证券股份有限 | 国泰海通证券股份 | | | | | | | 公司杭州玉量山南 | 有限公司杭州新业 | | | | | | | 基金小镇证券昌亚 | 路第一证券营业部 | | | | | | | 新 | | 12月31日，牧原股份大宗交易成交25.8万股，成交额1312.96万元，占当日总成交额的0.97%，成交价 50.89元，较市场收盘价50.58元溢价0.61%。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints - The short - term supply of live pigs is tightening, which supports the price to fluctuate slightly stronger, but the supportive effects of secondary fattening and demand are weakening, and the risk of price decline is increasing [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Week - to - Week Highlights - **Market Performance**: The live pig price rose and then adjusted. The main contract 2603 increased by 1.29% on a weekly basis [7][10]. - **Market Outlook**: At the beginning of the month, there may be supply reduction operations, and the supply of fat pigs is tight, reducing short - term supply pressure. However, the entry of secondary fattening is becoming more cautious. The current demand is in the peak season, but after the New Year's Day stocking ends, the demand drops from the small peak, and the terminal consumption's acceptance of price increases is limited, so the increase in slaughter volume is limited [7]. 3.2 Futures and Spot Markets - **Futures Market** - **Price Movement**: The futures rebounded this week, with the main contract 2603 rising 1.29% weekly [10]. - **Net Position and Warehouse Receipts**: As of December 31, the net short position of the top 20 holders in live pig futures decreased by 119 hands to 51,598 hands, and the number of futures warehouse receipts was 1,013, an increase of 150 from the previous week [16]. - **Contract Spreads**: The spread between lh2603 and lh2605 contracts was - 370, and the spread between lh2603 and lh2607 contracts was - 1,010 [22]. - **Spot Market** - **Live Pig and Piglet Prices**: The average national live pig market price this week was 12.28 yuan/kg, up 0.65 yuan/kg from last week. The average price of 15 - kg weaned piglets was 23.72 yuan/kg, up 0.34 yuan/kg from last week [36]. - **Pork and Sow Prices**: In the week of December 25, the national pork market price was 22.48 yuan/kg, down 0.05 yuan/kg from the previous week. The average market price of binary sows last week was 32.46 yuan/kg, remaining flat from the previous week [40]. - **Pig - to - Grain Ratio**: As of the week of December 24, 2025, the pig - to - grain ratio was 5.24, up 0.01 from the previous week [44]. 3.3 Industry Situation - **Upstream** - **Sow Inventory**: In October 2025, the official inventory of breeding sows was 39.9 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 1.12% and a year - on - year decrease of 2.038%. According to Mysteel data, in November, the inventory of breeding sows in large - scale farms decreased by 0.37% month - on - month and increased by 0.07% year - on - year, while that in small and medium - sized farms decreased by 0.78% month - on - month and increased by 0.78% year - on - year [49]. - **Live Pig Inventory**: At the end of the third quarter of 2025, the national live pig inventory was 436.8 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 2.9% and a year - on - year increase of 2.3%. According to Mysteel data, in November, the inventory of commercial pigs in large - scale farms increased by 0.32% month - on - month and 5.28% year - on - year, while that in small and medium - sized farms decreased by 0.07% month - on - month and increased by 6.94% year - on - year [53]. - **Slaughter Volume and Average Weight**: In November, the slaughter volume of commercial pigs in large - scale farms was 11.3649 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 0.65% and a year - on - year increase of 5.59%. The slaughter volume of small and medium - sized farms was 0.5151 million heads, a month - on - month decrease of 2.03% and a year - on - year increase of 29.75%. The average slaughter weight of national outer - ternary live pigs this week was 123.55 kg, a decrease of 0.12 kg from last week [58]. - **Industry Profit** - **Live Pig and Poultry Farming Profits**: As of December 26, the loss of purchasing piglets for farming was 162.8 yuan/head, narrowing by 26.7 yuan/head; the loss of self - breeding and self - raising was 130.11 yuan/head, narrowing by 0.76 yuan/head. The profit of laying hens was - 0.47 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 0.11 yuan/head, and the profit of 817 meat - hybrid chickens was 0.01 yuan/head, a week - on - week decrease of 0.03 yuan/head [63]. - **Domestic Import** - **Pork Imports**: In November, China's pork imports were 60,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 33.33%. From January to November, the total pork imports were 920,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 6.12% [68]. - **Substitutes** - **Prices**: As of the week of December 26, the price of white - striped chickens remained flat at 14.1 yuan/kg compared with last week. As of the week of December 25, the average price difference between standard and fat pigs was - 0.61 yuan/kg, widening by 0.13 yuan/kg from last week [73]. - **Feed** - **Raw Material Prices**: As of December 31, the spot price of soybean meal was 3,172.29 yuan/ton, a decrease of 2.57 yuan/ton from the previous week, and the corn price was 2,351.57 yuan/ton, an increase of 12.94 yuan/ton from the previous week [78]. - **Feed Index and Price**: As of December 31, the closing price of the Dalian Commodity Exchange's pig feed cost index was 892.17, and the price of finishing pig compound feed was 3.33 yuan/kg, remaining flat from last week [81]. - **Feed Output**: In November 2025, the monthly feed output was 29.77 million tons, a month - on - month increase of 209,000 tons. The sales of piglet feed increased by 0.42% month - on - month and 53.28% year - on - year [85]. - **CPI**: As of November 2025, China's CPI increased by 0.7% year - on - year [89]. - **Downstream** - **Slaughter and Cold Storage**: In the 52nd week, the slaughter enterprise's operating rate was 40.24%, an increase of 0.37 percentage points from last week and 1.16 percentage points from the same period last year. The fresh - sales rate of key domestic slaughter enterprises was 87.42%, a decrease of 0.44% from last week, and the cold - storage capacity utilization rate was 18.20%, an increase of 0.01% from last week [92]. - **Slaughter Volume and Catering Consumption**: As of November 2025, the slaughter volume of designated live pig slaughtering enterprises was 39.57 million heads, a month - on - month increase of 3.21% and a 24.04% increase compared with the previous period. In November 2025, the national catering revenue was 605.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.2% [97]. - **Live Pig - Related Stocks**: The report mentions the trend charts of Muyuan Co., Ltd. and Wens Co., Ltd., but no specific analysis is provided [98].

Core Viewpoint - The company has entered a phase of steady development, focusing on reducing overall debt levels while maintaining stable operations [2] Group 1: Financial Strategy - Capital expenditures are expected to gradually decrease as the company aims for a more sustainable growth model [2] - The company plans to issue bonds opportunistically based on market conditions, with interest rates on bonds issued this year showing a downward trend [2] - Efforts will be made to optimize the debt structure and lower financing costs, ensuring financial metrics remain at safer and healthier levels [2] Group 2: Operational Quality - The company is committed to enhancing overall operational quality as part of its financial strategy [2]

Core Insights - The company, Wan'an Technology, and its parent company, Wan'an Group, engaged in a specific investor survey to discuss key topics such as aluminum-magnesium alloy product layout, wireless charging project progress, convertible bond issuance plans, performance growth points, and cost control measures [1] Group 1: Business Layout and Project Progress - The aluminum-magnesium alloy business is focused on lightweight chassis components, primarily aluminum alloy products, which are crucial for the new energy vehicle (NEV) sector, with key products like aluminum alloy subframes and fixed calipers already integrated into the supply chains of leading NEV manufacturers such as Leap Motor, NIO, and Xiaomi [2] - The wireless charging project by the subsidiary Yichuang Zhilian has achieved multi-scenario deployment, including passenger vehicles and low-speed unmanned vehicles, with a commercial progress in the low-speed unmanned vehicle sector and partnerships established with companies like Huzhou Columbus and Yingfeng Environment. The wireless charging efficiency in passenger vehicles reaches 92%-93%, leading the industry [3] - The company’s subsidiary Hengchuang Zhixing is set to start small-scale production of electronic mechanical brake systems (EMB) for passenger vehicles in 2026, following the implementation of new regulations. This product is expected to enhance safety and reduce weight, becoming a significant growth driver for the company [4] Group 2: Financial Planning and Cost Control - The company has successfully issued the first phase of convertible bonds and plans to initiate the second phase after the first phase's completion to optimize its capital structure and support business expansion [5] - To mitigate the impact of rising raw material costs, the company is implementing various cost control measures, including procurement cost reduction, product structure optimization, and price linkage mechanisms to ensure stable profitability [6] Group 3: Future Strategy - The company aims to focus on automotive electronic control systems as its core development direction, continuing to advance the marketization of aluminum alloy lightweight components and intelligent driving projects, leveraging existing customer resources and technological accumulation for steady growth [7]

Core Insights - The visit of Guangdong Wens Group to Henan Muyuan Group focused on key topics such as large-scale breeding, disease prevention, cost control, and digital applications [1][3] - Both companies engaged in an unprecedented level of technical exchange in the Chinese pig farming industry, discussing details on breeding systems, feed nutrition standards, and pig house site selection [3] Group 1 - Wens Group's visit was not a superficial tour but involved in-depth exploration of Muyuan's technical core areas, including innovative practices in building design and environmental control systems [3] - The two companies held substantial technical dialogues in three main areas: breeding and health management, feed nutrition, and pig farm design and environmental protection [3] - Muyuan emphasized its commitment to an open and shared approach, aiming to advance the pig farming industry collaboratively with peers [3] Group 2 - Both companies have evolved into key national leaders in agricultural industrialization since their inception in the 1980s and 1990s [3] - The collaboration between these two industry giants from different regions is expected to attract attention and potentially lead to the establishment of a healthier and more sustainable industry ecosystem [3]