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8月25日【港股Podcast】恆指、阿里、百度、京東、洛陽鉬業、紫金
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-25 11:22
1、恆指:看多投資者表示今日放量大升,至少升穿26000,收市加近牛。也有投資者認為點位跳空高走,不敢高追,反手部署熊證。 Simon:指數升穿保力加通道頂部(25760)。目前信號總結為"買入"為主。不過要注意今日高開,指數在上周逼近頂部,今日升穿頂部,雖然信號輕微看 好,但需要判斷,是否會出現技術性的調整。支持位在25299點,阻力位在26343點。 恆指(HSI) | | | 国商塞 蛋商隆 2、阿里巴巴-W (09988.HK):投資者認為 125是一個分水嶺,跨過站穩面對的就是150了。窩輪市場上持有收回價111元的牛證。 Simon:阿里全日收124.5元,盤中最高見126元,升穿日線圖的保力加通道頂部。買賣信號為"買入",短線的阻力位131.8元和132.8元。投資者期待的150元需 要時間觀望。持有牛證的投資者,收回價選擇111元的產品相對安全,低於下方兩個支持位119.8元和116.6元。 阿里巴巴 (09988) | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 1 貝人 | C | | 阿里巴巴(09988)衍生品回顧 8% 7% 0.4 ...
8月22日【港股Podcast】恆指、中興通訊、華虹、小米、快手、港交所
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-22 12:58
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is expected to open higher next Monday, with predictions of a rise between 300 to 500 points, aiming to challenge the 26,000 mark [1] - Current resistance level for HSI is at 25,578 points, and if broken, it could test 25,995 points [1] - The closing index is at 25,339 points, which is close to the day's high of 25,349 points, indicating a positive trend [1] Group 2 - ZTE Corporation (00763.HK) shows strong momentum, with a recent price of 36.06 HKD, and a potential resistance at 39.9 HKD and 43 HKD [8] - Investors holding a call option with an exercise price of 40 HKD are seeing a 12% out-of-the-money level based on current prices [8] Group 3 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) closed at 56 HKD, with a buy signal despite a significant price increase, and resistance at 63.4 HKD [10] - Support levels are identified at 47.1 HKD and 43.1 HKD [10] Group 4 - Xiaomi Group (01810.HK) closed at 52.55 HKD, below the Bollinger channel, indicating a sell signal [17] - Support levels are at 50.8 HKD and 49.2 HKD, with resistance at 54.6 HKD [17] Group 5 - Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) fluctuated between 69.2 HKD and 75.3 HKD, with a buy signal but not reaching a strong buy position [20] - Support levels are at 70.5 HKD and 67 HKD [20] Group 6 - Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (00388.HK) closed at 448 HKD, with a buy signal and a first resistance level at 456 HKD [28] - Support levels are at 436 HKD and 426 HKD [28]
8月21日【港股Podcast】恆指、百度、中移動、長城汽車、華潤啤酒、蔚來
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-21 20:06
1、恆指:看多投資者認為跌不穿25000有支持,繼續牛證,收回價24773。看淡投資者認為明天低開300點殺牛,過夜熊證收回價25520的產品。 Simon:恆指窄幅波幅,收市價25104點,在保力加通道中線(25113)附近。輕微跌穿中線位置,但守在25000大關之上。指數的買賣信號沒有明顯的方向, 維持"中立"方向。從圖表看,挨近中線為位置,意味著向上或向下的可能性都是存在的,明天週五,無論部署牛證還是熊證,需要留意的第一:市場可能維 持牛皮格局,第二:可能會出現某個方向的大起大落,然後收市價回到比較平穩的價格。所以面對這類行情,觀望一下再選擇方向會更好一些。如果小注參 與的話,在收回價方面,選擇上需要謹慎一些。參考支持位24717點和24200點,牛證收回價可選擇在挨近24200左右的產品。上方阻力位25400點和25900 點。熊證也是同樣道理,挨近第二個阻力位會更安全。 恆指 (HSI) | | | 国商塞 恆指(HSI)衍生品回顧 21% 20% -0.58% 瑞銀熊證 中 62210 6 2、百度集團-SW (09888.HK):連跌接近底部,多少可以進?窩輪市場上,有投資者入Call等反彈 S ...
瑞聲突破保力加通道頂部;關鍵阻力位52元在望!
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-18 19:17
Core Viewpoint - 瑞声科技 (02018) has shown strong upward momentum, breaking through key technical levels and signaling potential for further gains in the near term [1][2]. Technical Analysis - The stock price reached a high of 50.6 HKD, currently trading at 50.15 HKD, reflecting a 6.03% increase [1]. - The price has surpassed the 10-day (44.86 HKD), 30-day (41.93 HKD), and 60-day (40.45 HKD) moving averages, indicating a "buy" signal [1]. - The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 76, entering the overbought territory, while the Williams and Stochastic indicators also signal buying opportunities [1]. - CCI indicator shows overbought conditions, suggesting potential short-term pullback risks [1]. Support and Resistance Levels - Immediate support levels are at 45.1 HKD (Support 1) and 42.8 HKD (Support 2) [2]. - Resistance levels are identified at 52 HKD (Resistance 1) and 56.2 HKD (Resistance 2) [2]. Derivative Products Performance - A notable performance was observed in the recommended derivative products, with a call option (15694) surging by 50% during a 9.13% rise in 瑞声科技 [4]. - The 国君 call option (15427) offers a leverage of 5.5 times with an exercise price of 54.73 HKD, making it suitable for investors anticipating a breakout above 52 HKD [6]. - The 中银 call option (18352) has a slightly lower leverage of 2.8 times but offers a favorable implied volatility of 61.89%, suitable for short-term trading [6]. Market Sentiment - The market shows mixed sentiments with a 5-day volatility of 12.6%, reflecting differing opinions on future price movements [2]. - The bullish camp argues that the MACD and moving averages indicate strong short-term momentum, suggesting that any pullback could be a buying opportunity [10]. - Conversely, the cautious camp highlights the overbought RSI and potential for a price correction, advocating for strict stop-loss measures when entering positions [10].
8月15日【港股Podcast】恆指、中金、長汽、網易、中移動、瑞聲科技
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-15 11:12
| 信號總結 | 賣出信號 | 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 買入 | | 8 | 10 | | | | | | | 国际登 | 恆指(HSI)衍生品回顧 110% 46% 40% 2.20% 2.20% 2.20% 瑞銀認購證 滙豐牛證 中銀認購證 63644 27991 14427 1、恆指:投資者認為25200是鑽石底!下週一再試25500,過夜牛證,收回價24618;看淡投資者認為沒有跌完,最少要收下個裂口,持有熊證,收回價 26018。 2、中金公司 (03908.HK):有希望挑戰歷史高位嗎?投資者看至25-30元,等待回踩22元再進場。窩輪市場上,持有行使價18元的認購證。 Simon:指數在盤中低位接近保力加通道的中線。技術信號為"買入"。上方阻力位25600點和26100點;下方支持位24779和24400。如果根據支持位計算,選 擇牛證收回價24618點,相對安全,如果選擇保守一些的可留意收回價選擇24400會更安全。熊證方面的話,收回價高於兩個阻力位,也是安全的選擇。 恆指 (HSI) Simon:8月份開始,股價穩步 ...
8月13日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、紫金礦業、洛陽鉬業、吉利、百度
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-13 10:58
1、恆指:看多投資者認為RSI 14天未到80,以及騰訊業績加持,繼續上望26000。也有投資者認為拉高出貨,熊過夜。 Simon:指数升幅靚麗,最終收市價25613點 ,挨近保力加通道頂部25782點。目前指數的信號為"中立",雖然今日升幅比較多,但數據顯示沒有方向。上方 的阻力位在 25831和26300點,有望突破26000重點關口。如果過夜熊證的話,參考支持位24900點和24600點。還有一點需要提醒大家,比如今日升幅比較 急,當然買入牛證的話,肯定是好事。那如果買入的是熊證,產品就容易被立刻被收回,所以建議大家參考支持位和阻力位選擇收回價遠一點的產品,可以 儘量避免被立刻收回的風險。 恆指(HSI) Simon:走勢反彈比較理想,收市價(124.3元)接近保力加通道的中線125.6元。信號總結為"賣出"。投資者認為底部反彈但仍低於中線下方,走勢是否還是 偏弱,其实是不排除偏弱走勢的。從近期8月份來看,股價始終受阻於中線之下。信號也看淡。參考數據系統分析的下方支持位在119.3元和113.2元。投資者 留意收回價106元的牛證,相比支持位來看,是相對安全的。當然市場比較波動,投資者要時刻關注產品的條 ...
8月8日【港股Podcast】恆指、中移動、海螺水泥、贛鋒鋰業、美團、洛陽洛陽鉬業
Ge Long Hui· 2025-08-08 10:52
2、中國移動 (00941.HK):股價跳空,上方阻力多少?也有投資者反手做Put 1、恆指:看跌方向的投資者表示,在24828位置加熊證(收回價25288點),下週跌回24500。也有投資者過夜牛證,收回價24773 Simon:全日收24858點,比較失望的是跌穿保力加通道中線以下。需要提醒的是衍生品選擇週末持倉過夜的話,產品的收回價要謹慎一些。技術信號為"中 立"。有9個賣出和4個買入以及10個中立信號。參考支持位和阻力位分別是24395點和25355點。投資者選擇牛證的話,收回價選擇挨近24000點的會比較安 全。熊證則收回價也高於第二個阻力位25600之上的產品會安全。 | 信號總結 | 賣出信號 中立信號 | 買入信號 | | --- | --- | --- | | 中立 | 10 | | 3、海螺水泥 (00914.HK):水泥股逆勢上升,走勢企穩了嗎?是否挑戰25元 Simon:收市價89.6元,升穿保力加通道中線。從低位85元左右開始反彈。參考技術分析的信號總結為"中立"。上方阻力位90.1元和93.4元。建議多一個觀 察。當然技術分析沒有百分百確定,我們統計的數據也是給大家多一個參考。 S ...
7月31日【港股Podcast】恆指、快手、金山軟體、泡泡瑪特、中芯、金沙
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-31 21:32
Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index is experiencing a downward trend, with investors anticipating further declines, particularly around the 24600 level, while some see support at 24700 and are considering bullish options with a recovery price of 24200 [1] - Technical signals for the index are neutral, indicating a 50% probability of either rising or falling as it approaches the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [1] Kuaishou Technology (01024.HK) - The stock price is nearing the upper limit of the Bollinger Bands, with a strong buy signal indicated by 16 buy signals and 1 sell signal [3] - Resistance levels are identified at 81 and 87.1, while support is close to 69.7, aligning with investor expectations around 70 [3] Kingsoft Corporation (03888.HK) - The stock is showing resilience in a declining market, stabilizing above the recent low of 34.7, with a target range of 38-40 [6] - Technical signals suggest a buy, with resistance at 37.9 and support at 33.7 and 32.6 [7] Pop Mart International (09992.HK) - The stock closed at 246, with a sell signal indicated, and primary support identified at 236 [10] - Investors are holding put options with a strike price of 178.78, which may be too far from the current price, leading to lower price sensitivity [10] Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981.HK) - The stock opened high but closed at 51.1 after reaching a peak of 52.95, with a recent volatility of 9.2% [13] - Technical signals indicate a buy with 13 buy signals and 4 sell signals, resistance levels at 54.2 and 56.8, and support at 47.2 and 45.2 [13][14] Sands China Ltd. (01928.HK) - The stock closed at 19.04, maintaining position above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands [17] - A buy signal is indicated, with resistance at 19.6 and 20, and support at 18.3 and 17.3 [17][20]
7月24日【港股Podcast】恆指、美團、泡泡瑪特、藥明、華虹、蔚來
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-24 11:37
Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is perceived by bullish investors as entering a slow bull market, with all stocks reaching new highs, targeting levels between 25,700 and 26,000 [1] - Bearish investors anticipate a short-term correction to fill the gap below, with a recovery price of 25,900 for overnight bear certificates [1] - Technical analysis indicates a high of 25,735 points, with 15 buy signals and 4 sell signals, suggesting a bullish trend [1] Group 2 - Meituan (03690.HK) is currently trading near the upper Bollinger Band at 134.6 HKD, with a buy signal and resistance levels at 137.7 HKD and 147.6 HKD [3] - The closing price is 134 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 178.98 HKD, indicating a potentially high entry point for investors [3] - Investors are advised to consider options with exercise prices closer to the current market price to mitigate risks associated with high exercise prices [3] Group 3 - Pop Mart (09992.HK) shows a weak recent trend, with a closing price near the middle Bollinger Band at 255.8 HKD and a buy signal, though not a strong buy [5] - Resistance levels are identified at 263 HKD and 273 HKD, with a call option exercise price of 225 HKD providing a defensive position for investors [5] - Investors are encouraged to compare the terms of options when selecting products to manage risk effectively [5] Group 4 - WuXi Biologics (02269.HK) is viewed positively with a strong buy signal, facing a resistance level at 31.1 HKD and 33.3 HKD [8] - Investors are optimistic about the stock's potential to break through the 30 HKD level, with a target price of 46 HKD [8] Group 5 - Hua Hong Semiconductor (01347.HK) is under observation for its structural stability, with a target price of 40.6 HKD [11] - The stock is currently showing a strong buy signal, indicating positive sentiment among investors [11] Group 6 - NIO Inc. (09866.HK) is experiencing a slight downward trend, with the stock price near the upper Bollinger Band at 38.99 HKD [14] - The stock maintains an overall upward trend with 14 buy signals and 6 sell signals, suggesting cautious optimism [14] - Resistance levels are set at 41.7 HKD and 47.3 HKD, while support levels are at 33.7 HKD and 29.9 HKD for put options [14]
保力加通道擴張,小米短線動能增強
Ge Long Hui· 2025-07-22 18:52
Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi (01810.HK) is experiencing positive market sentiment with investors targeting a price of 60 HKD, supported by strong demand for call options with a strike price of 68.88 HKD [1] Technical Analysis - Xiaomi's stock price closed above the middle line of the Bollinger Bands, indicating a bullish signal for investors [1] - Key resistance levels are identified at 59.8 HKD and 61.1 HKD, while immediate support is at 55.5 HKD, with a potential drop to 54.5 HKD if this support is breached [3] - The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover, suggesting increasing short-term momentum, although the RSI is neutral at 55, indicating a need for more volume before challenging resistance [1][3] Derivative Instruments - Recent price fluctuations have created trading opportunities for derivative investors, with HSBC and UBS offering call options with leverage ratios of 4.9x and 5.1x, respectively [6] - Notable performance of structured products includes a 44% increase in JPMorgan's bull certificate and a 33% rise in UBS's bull certificate following a 2.85% rise in Xiaomi's stock [3] - Bearish strategies include put options from UBS and JPMorgan, both providing leverage of 4.8x, with strike prices around 53.94 HKD and 53.99 HKD [9] Market Sentiment - The overall sentiment towards Xiaomi remains optimistic, with a focus on potential price movements and the effectiveness of derivative products in capitalizing on market volatility [1][6]