★ 宏观动态 ★ 财政部：2025年证券交易印花税增长57.8% 国务院关税税则委员会公告：自2026年2月2日起，对威士忌酒实施5%的进口暂定税率。该商品归在 《中华人民共和国进出口税则（2026）》税则号列22083000项下。 育儿补贴已惠及3000多万名婴幼儿 1月30日，财政部社会保障司副司长刘英在财政部举行的新闻发布会上表示，据统计，截至目前，全国 已向3000多万名婴幼儿发放了育儿补贴。对于2025年已通过审核但尚未发放到位的有关申请，将督促行 业主管部门指导各地进一步加快工作进度，确保2026年3月底之前全部足额发放到位。 ★ 1月30日，财政部举行新闻发布会，介绍2025年财政收支情况。会上，财政部国库司副司长郑涌介绍， 2025年，证券交易印花税达到2035亿元，增长57.8%。 两部门：将通过容量电价回收煤电机组固定成本的比例提升至不低于50% 国家发展改革委、国家能源局发布关于完善发电侧容量电价机制的通知。其中提出，完善煤电及天然气 发电容量电价机制。各地按照《关于建立煤电容量电价机制的通知》（发改价格〔2023〕1501号）要 求，将通过容量电价回收煤电机组固定成本的比例提升至不低于 ...

A股开盘，三大指数集体高开，沪指涨0.09%报3968.73点，深证成指涨0.17%，创业板指涨0.15%。盘面 上，教育、存储芯片概念高开，影视院线、跨境支付板块小幅回调。光通信领域"小巨人"蘅东光上市首 日高开近1008%，报350元。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. For different financial derivatives, the outlooks are as follows: - **Stock Index Futures**: The outlook is "oscillation" [7]. - **Stock Index Options**: The outlook is "oscillation" [7]. - **Treasury Bond Futures**: The outlook is "oscillation" [8]. 2. Core View of the Report The report analyzes the market conditions of stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures on December 31, 2025, and believes that better investment opportunities may come after the holiday. It also provides corresponding operation suggestions for different derivatives based on market trends and signals [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Conditions and Suggestions for Different Derivatives Stock Index Futures - **Market Conditions**: On Tuesday, the Shanghai Composite Index opened lower and recovered, closing flat at the end of the session with basically the same trading volume and continued cooling market sentiment. There are three signals: the daily high has decreased; only one hot - spot sector can be supported; new hot - spots are emerging. Incremental funds have returned to rationality, and it is expected that there will be no systematic opportunities at the end of the year [7]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Retain long positions, wait for the opportunity to increase positions after New Year's Day, and temporarily use high - dividend and price - increase chains as the main allocation lines, with large - cap stocks preferred over small - cap stocks. The recommended operation is "Dividend ETF + IC long positions" [7]. Stock Index Options - **Market Conditions**: The equity market opened lower and fluctuated higher. The trading volume of each option variety increased slightly, but the increase was limited, and the trading volume remained at a relatively low level. The intraday implied volatility of options fluctuated sharply and showed a strong overall trend. It is speculated that the proportion of investors in directional trend trading has decreased, and the demand for option hedging and risk management may be more stable [7]. - **Operation Suggestions**: Continue to hold sold options to increase returns, and can also supplement with a small amount of bought put options for protection and defense. The recommended operation is "covered call" [7]. Treasury Bond Futures - **Market Conditions**: Treasury bond futures closed with differentiated performance. The 30 - year main contract rose 0.17%, the 10 - year main contract fell 0.02%, the 5 - year main contract fell 0.01%, and the 2 - year main contract rose 0.01%. The yields of major inter - bank interest - rate bonds mostly increased, and the yields of spot bonds showed differentiated trends. The central bank's net injection of funds was 25.32 billion yuan, but the year - end capital market tightened, which affected the bond market. However, considering the central bank's care for the capital market, the probability of continued tight capital after the New Year is low [8]. - **Operation Suggestions**: For trend strategies, expect oscillation. For hedging strategies, pay attention to short - position hedging at low basis levels. For basis strategies, pay attention to the widening of the basis. For curve strategies, expect the curve to remain steep [9]. 3.2 Economic Calendar The economic calendar shows the time, region, indicators, previous values, forecast values, and unpublished release values of economic data from December 30, 2025, to January 1, 2026, including data from the United States, China, and Europe [11]. 3.3 Important Information and News Tracking - **Regulatory Policy**: The "Regulations for the Implementation of the Value - Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" will be implemented on January 1, 2026, aiming to implement the "Value - Added Tax Law of the People's Republic of China" [11]. - **Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery**: The Central Rural Work Conference from December 29th to 30th analyzed the situation and challenges of "agriculture, rural areas, and farmers" and deployed work for 2026 [12]. - **TMT**: The Ministry of Education plans to issue relevant policy documents next year to promote the application of artificial intelligence in education and build an education system for the future [12]. - **Real Estate**: Starting from January 1, 2026, individuals selling housing will have different value - added tax policies depending on the length of housing ownership [13]. - **Consumption**: The National Development and Reform Commission and the Ministry of Finance will implement a large - scale equipment renewal and consumer goods trade - in policy in 2026, with clear funding channels and cost - sharing ratios [14]. 3.4 Derivatives Market Monitoring The report mentions the monitoring of stock index futures, stock index options, and treasury bond futures data, but does not provide specific data content [15][19][31].

盘面上，商业航天概念反复活跃，大业股份5连板，中国卫通3天2板创新高，中超控股5天4板。人形机 器人概念延续强势，天奇股份4连板，五洲新春2连板。数字货币概念表现活跃，御银股份、翠微股份双 双2连板。AI应用端持续走高，酷特智能20cm涨停。下跌方面，海南自贸概念跌幅居前，海南发展、罗 牛山下挫。多只零售概念股走弱，百大集团触及跌停，东百集团、茂业商业跌超5%。 光大证券指出，场内资金分歧明显，但考虑到4000点已经近在眼前，多头或将推动沪指继续向4000点震 荡上行，同时，热点轮动的风格大概率将延续。 热门板块 1、AI智能体概念全线走强 AI智能体、AI营销、智谱AI、传媒等AI应用概念全线走强，酷特智能、百纳千成、湖北广电等多股涨 停。 点评：消息面上，Meta以数十亿美元收购开发AI应用Manus的公司蝴蝶效应。东兴证券认为，人工智能 行业景气度仍有上行空间，其在科技投资领域的主线地位较难撼动。 2、影视院线板块拉升 12月30日，多空分歧明显，沪指早盘一度震荡翻红，创业板指冲高回落；截至午间收盘，沪指跌 0.10%，深证成指涨0.23%，创业板指跌0.06%。沪深两市半日成交额1.29万亿，较上个交 ...

转自：新华财经 新华财经北京12月22日电 （胡晨曦）A股三大指数12月22日早间集体高开，随后全天震荡走强，沪指重 返3900点上方，创业板指大涨超2%。沪深两市成交额1.86万亿，较上一个交易日放量1360亿。盘面 上，海南板块集体爆发，海南矿业、海南橡胶等近20股涨停；算力硬件概念表现活跃，新易盛再创历史 新高，亨通光电、长飞光纤等涨停；商业航天概念反复走强，神剑股份回封涨停。下跌方面，AI医疗 概念下挫，华人健康跌超9%；影视院线概念下挫，博纳影业跌停。 小米17 Ultra定档12月25日发布 巨丰投顾：周一市场震荡反弹，海南自贸区板块涨幅居前。从目前趋势看，市场整体趋势依然向上，多 数板块在60日均线位置获得支撑，并开启反弹行情；部分热门股创出历史新高。投资者可重点关注前期 热门行业龙头回调后的低吸机会。从长期趋势来看，在政策刺激下，A股与经济有望同步出现向上的拐 点。具体投资方向上，中线建议关注维持高景气度的半导体、消费电子、人工智能、机器人、商业航天 等领域的增量机会；对于风险偏好较低的投资者，可逢低关注中证A500ETF、沪深300ETF等宽基基 金。 中信证券：截至2025年12月中旬Sp ...

相关快讯 相关文章 南方财经12月22日电，市场高开高走，三大指数集体反弹，创业板指涨超2%。截至收盘，沪指涨 0.69%，深成指涨1.47%，创业板指涨2.23%。沪深两市成交额1.86万亿，较上一个交易日放量1360亿。 盘面上，市场热点快速轮动，全市场超2900只个股上涨，其中有105只个股涨停。从板块来看，海南自 贸概念全线爆发，海汽集团、海南海药等近20股涨停。算力硬件概念表现活跃，新易盛再创历史新高， 长飞光纤4天3板。机器人概念股午后拉升，首开股份、卧龙电驱等多股涨停。商业航天概念反复走强， 神剑股份回封涨停。下跌方面，影视院线概念下挫，博纳影业跌停。板块方面，海南自贸区、贵金属、 算力硬件等板块涨幅居前，医药商业、影视院线、教育、银行等板块跌幅居前。 相关股票： 神剑股份卧龙电驱长飞光纤新易盛长飞光纤海汽集团海南海药博纳影业首开股份 A股收评：创业板指涨超2% 全市场超百股涨停 2025-12-22 15:03 南方财经12月22日电，市场高开高走，三大指数集体反弹，创业板指涨超2%。截至收盘，沪指涨 0.69%，深成指涨1.47%，创业板指涨2.23%。沪深两市成交额1.86万亿，较上一个交 ...

有券商表示，近期A股经历阶段性调整后，当前已具备适当乐观的基础，可积极布局春季躁动行情。岁末年初，机构再配置需求释放与资金回流，有望持续 改善市场流动性、提振交易活跃度，跨年攻势已逐步启动。内外环境共振下，2026年A股跨年配置行情有望提前启动，为春季躁动行情奠定良好基础。 | 代码 | 名称 | 现价 | 涨跌幅 | IOPV 溢折率 换手率 成交金额 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 563360 | A500ETF华泰柏瑞 | 1.235 | 0.82% | 1.2344 0.05% 20.31% | 80.50 | | 512050 | A500ETF基金 | 1.163 | 0.87% | 1.1626 0.03% 26.34% | 73.53 | | 159352 | A500ETF南方 | 1.216 | 0.83% | 1.2163 -0.02% 17.08% | 57.51 | | 159361 | A500ETF易方达 | 1.191 | 0.76% | 1.1904 0.05% 19.80% | 48.81 | | 159338 | ...

Market Overview - A-shares experienced a low opening on December 16, followed by a day of fluctuating adjustments, with total trading volume at 1.72 trillion yuan, a decrease of 49.3 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3824.81 points, down 1.11%, with a trading volume of 733.3 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12914.67 points, down 1.51%, with a trading volume of 990.9 billion yuan; the ChiNext Index closed at 3071.76 points, down 2.10%, with a trading volume of 453.3 billion yuan [1] Sector Performance - The smart driving concept saw gains, with companies like Zhejiang Shibao and Suoling Co. hitting the daily limit [1] - The commercial retail sector also experienced a surge, with several companies including Yonghui Supermarket and Eurasia Group reaching the daily limit [1] - The dairy industry showed strength, with Huangshi Group hitting the daily limit and Huanlejia rising over 9% [1] - Conversely, the film and cinema sector faced significant declines, with Bona Film Group experiencing two consecutive daily limit drops [1] - The precious metals sector weakened, with Xiaocheng Technology dropping over 8% and Western Gold falling over 7% [1] Institutional Insights - Jufeng Investment Advisory noted that the market is undergoing adjustments, with commercial retail leading the gains. They suggest that under policy stimulus, A-shares may see an upward turning point in sync with the economy, recommending a focus on high-growth sectors like semiconductors, consumer electronics, AI, robotics, and commercial aerospace [3] - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) highlighted that the electric grid and industrial control sectors are expected to perform steadily upward by 2025, emphasizing structural investment opportunities. They noted that domestic electric grid investment remains robust, particularly with the acceleration of ultra-high voltage project approvals [3] - Bank of China Securities stated that A-shares are still in an upward channel, with a smooth transition in policy from "bottoming out" to "quality improvement," creating a stable macroeconomic environment. They anticipate a shift from policy-driven market momentum to one driven by fundamental earnings growth [3] Policy Developments - The Guangzhou Municipal Government released a plan for the construction of a green and low-carbon modern industrial system, aiming for significant growth in six future industries and the development of strategic industrial clusters by 2035 [4] Company News - XPeng Motors has obtained an L3-level autonomous driving road testing license in Guangzhou, initiating regular L3 road tests on high-speed routes [6]

下跌方面，影视院线概念集体大跌，博纳影业2连跌停。海南板块下挫，海南瑞泽跌超9%。板块方面，零售、乳业等板块涨幅居前，贵金 属、影视院线、军工、海南等板块跌幅居前。截至收盘，沪指跌1.22%，深成指跌1.88%，创业板指跌2.35%。 今日早盘，A股市场早盘震荡调整，沪指、深成指跌超1%，创业板指跌超2%。沪深两市半日成交额1.12万亿，较上个交易日缩量606亿。全市场超 4400只个股下跌。 从板块来看， 零售概念反复活跃， 百大集团4连板，红旗连锁、广百股份双双2连板。消息面上，12月16日出版的第24期《求是》杂志发 表中共中央总书记、国家主席、中央军委主席习近平的重要文章《扩大内需是战略之举》。文章指出，扩大内需既关系经济稳定，也关系经 济安全，不是权宜之计，而是战略之举。实施扩大内需战略，是保持我国经济长期持续健康发展的需要，也是满足人民日益增长的美好生活 的需要。要加快补上内需特别是消费短板，使内需成为拉动经济增长的主动力和稳定锚。 智能驾驶概念逆势拉升， 浙江世宝、索菱股份等十余股涨停。数字货币概念走强，翠微股份、航天信息涨停。消息方面，12月15日，工信部公布了 两款L3级自动驾驶车型产品准入 ...

12月16日，A股三大股指低开低走，深成指，创业板指分别失守13000点及3100点关口，截止午盘，沪 指跌1.22%报3820.85点，深成指跌1.88%报12866.09点，创业板指跌2.35%报3063.97点，科创50指数跌 2.02%报1292.3点；沪深两市半日成交额1.12万亿，全市场超4400只个股下跌。 盘面上，智能驾驶概念逆势拉升，浙江世宝、索菱股份等十余股涨停；数字货币概念走强，翠微股份、 航天信息涨停；零售概念反复活跃，百大集团4连板，红旗连锁、广百股份双双2连板；下跌方面，影视 院线概念集体大跌，博纳影业2连跌停；海南板块下挫，海南瑞泽跌超9%；光伏板块走低，东方日升跌 超10%，中利集团逼近跌停，中闽能源、阿特斯、上能电气、艾罗能源、阳光电源均跌超5%。 热门板块 零售概念反复活跃 零售概念反复活跃，百大集团4连板，红旗连锁、东百集团、广百股份、汇嘉时代跟涨。 消息面上，三部门近日联合印发《关于加强商务和金融协同 更大力度提振消费的通知》，提出精准施 策推动惠民生和促消费紧密结合，形成提振和扩大消费的更大工作合力。 乳业概念再度走强 乳业概念再度走强，皇氏集团一字涨停晋级2连板，欢 ...