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延续特朗普上任后下滑趋势 美国消费者信心连降三月
智通财经网· 2025-10-10 15:24
智通财经APP获悉,周五,美国密歇根大学最新数据显示,10月美国消费者信心连续第三个月恶化,反 映出在政府关门阴影下、通胀回升与就业增长放缓的双重压力中,经济信心进一步动摇。整体指数较市 场预期略好,但仍明显低于今年初及特朗普重新入主白宫前的水平。 根据负责任联邦预算委员会的分析,2018年底至2019年初的上一次35天政府关门期间,美国消费者信心 指数曾大幅下滑逾7点,而此前三次关门期间也均出现不同程度下降。 目前,美国政府关门已进入第10天,国会两党七次投票均未能通过拨款法案,僵局毫无缓解迹象。此时 美国经济正处于微妙时刻:招聘速度明显放缓、经济衰退忧虑上升,而通胀仍未被完全控制。美联储主 席鲍威尔上月曾表示,决策者正试图在"动荡时期"中引导经济,面对的是一个"充满挑战的局面"。 数据显示,消费者信心指数在10月继续下降,延续自特朗普上任后重新出现的下滑趋势。今年的最低点 接近2021年通胀高峰期时的低位。调查还显示,未来一年的通胀预期从9月的4.7%略降至4.6%,但仍远 高于当前2.9%的实际通胀水平;长期通胀预期与上月持平。 此次消费者信心数据受到格外关注,因为政府关门导致美国官方就业和通胀等关键经 ...
Dow Surges 150 Points; US Consumer Sentiment Edges Lower - CARISMA Therapeutics (NASDAQ:CARM), Bollinger Innovations (NASDAQ:BINI)
Benzinga· 2025-10-10 14:23
U.S. stocks traded higher this morning, with the Dow Jones index gaining more than 150 points on Friday.Following the market opening Friday, the Dow traded up 0.39% to 46,542.50 while the NASDAQ rose 0.29% to 23,090.45. The S&P 500 also rose, gaining, 0.26% to 6,752.41.Check This Out: Top 2 Tech & Telecom Stocks That May Implode This MonthLeading and Lagging SectorsConsumer staples shares jumped by 0.7% on Friday.In trading on Friday, energy stocks fell by 1%.Top HeadlineThe University of Michigan consumer ...
美国政府停摆进入第二周 经济与民生双重承压
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-09 02:42
新华财经北京10月9日电(崔凯)自当地时间10月1日起,美国联邦政府正式进入"停摆"状态,成为近七 年来首次全面暂停非必要运作的重大公共事件。据路透社报道,此次停摆已导致约75万名联邦雇员被迫 停薪休假,仅军队、边境巡逻等关键岗位人员维持无薪工作。由于国会两党在《平价医疗法案》 (ACA)补贴等核心议题上僵持不下,参议院多次否决临时拨款法案,致使公共服务体系陷入瘫痪, 并对宏观经济构成实质性冲击。 停摆拖累经济增长,GDP反弹势头恐难维系 经济学家警告,政府停摆将直接抑制国内生产总值(GDP)增速。"让政府陷入停滞并拉低经济产出并 非合理选择,劳动者收入与消费能力已受到切实影响,"一位分析人士指出。数据显示,美国第二季度 GDP年化增长率达3.8%,亚特兰大联储的"GDPNow"模型此前预测第三季度将维持相近增幅。然而,若 停摆持续,这一强劲增长势头或将逆转。 高盛经济学家龙尼·沃克(Ronnie Walker)与亚历克·菲利普斯(Alec Phillips)进一步指出,若停摆延续 至10月15日——即军方常规发薪日——仍未解决,将引发重大政治与社会压力,可能成为促成两党妥协 的关键节点。 关键经济数据停摆, ...
【真灼机构观点】 周二美股收低,美国政府停摆市场不确定性加剧
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-10-08 04:39
来源:凯基证券 来源:市场资讯 周二美股收低,标普 500 指数下跌 0.4%。政府停摆源于国会预算争议已进入第三天,导致就业报告等 关键经济数据延迟发布,市场不确定性加剧。虽然股市短期内未受重大冲击,标普五百指数在非衰退期 内的历史表现显示平均回报仍维持正向,但若停摆延长,可能引发债务上限危机,放大通胀压力并削弱 消费者信心。 (来源:真灼财经) 港股通因国内公众假期而暂停。 大市点评 ...
纽约联储调查:美国消费者通胀预期上升 消费者信心持续走弱
智通财经网· 2025-10-07 23:09
智通财经APP获悉,周二,纽约联储最新月度调查显示,美国消费者对未来一年通胀的预期明显上升, 尤其是低收入与教育程度较低的群体感受到更强烈的物价压力。 美联储官员正密切关注消费者通胀预期变化,以判断近期关税政策是否仅导致一次性价格上升,还是将 引发更持久的通胀冲击。上月,美联储将利率下调0.25个百分点,并显示出多数官员倾向于今年内再降 息两次。然而,一些决策者仍对进一步宽松持谨慎态度,理由是核心通胀率仍高于2%的目标约一个百 分点。 纽约联储指出,消费者信心持续走弱,反映出高通胀与就业市场放缓的双重压力。调查显示,消费者对 劳动力市场的预期继续恶化,未来12个月内失业的可能性上升,对全美失业率上升的预期增强。不过, 9月份消费者对"未来三个月内找到工作"的信心略有回升,此前8月该指标录得历史最大单月跌幅。 在个人财务状况方面,调查呈现分化。认为"目前状况较去年改善"的受访者比例上升,但预计"未来一 年财务状况将恶化"的受访者也同步增加,显示美国消费者在经济前景上的信心依然脆弱。 调查结果显示,消费者对未来一年物价上涨的预期从8月的3.2%升至9月的3.4%,创下近数月新高。其 中,年收入低于5万美元的家庭, ...
Australian Consumer Confidence Takes a Hit Amid RBA Caution on Rates
WSJ· 2025-10-06 22:55
Australian consumer confidence fell last week as the Reserve Bank of Australia left interest rates on hold and signaled that the inflation outlook might limit further cuts. ...
Budget Deficit, Fed Minutes, Consumer Sentiment; Delta, Pepsi; and More to Watch This Week
Barrons· 2025-10-05 18:00
Group 1 - The FOMC will release the minutes from its mid-September meeting, which may provide insights into future monetary policy decisions [1] - The University of Michigan will release the results of its consumer survey, which is expected to reflect consumer sentiment and spending trends [1] - This week will also bring earnings reports from Constellation Brands, which could impact the beverage industry and investor sentiment [1]
新华财经早报:10月4日
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-10-04 01:06
Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce of China firmly opposes Mexico's recent anti-dumping investigations against Chinese products, including float glass and PVC-coated fabrics, and will closely monitor the investigation's progress to protect the legitimate rights of Chinese enterprises [2] - In October, the total cross-regional personnel flow in China was 30,177.02 million, a month-on-month decrease of 10.1% but a year-on-year increase of 6.4% [2] - The China Railway Group reported that on October 2, 19.288 million passengers were sent by rail, with a forecast of 18.25 million for October 3, indicating sustained high passenger flow [2] Group 2 - The Ministry of Commerce estimates that China's digital consumer spending will reach 23.8 trillion yuan in 2024, accounting for 44.2% of total consumer spending that year [2] - The China Council for the Promotion of International Trade organized 2,249 business groups to visit 102 countries and regions in 2024, averaging six groups per day [2] - The National Healthcare Security Administration reported that there are over 230 anti-cancer drugs in the national medical insurance catalog, covering more than 20 common cancers [2] Group 3 - Morgan Stanley reported a net inflow of $4.6 billion from foreign investors into the Chinese stock market in September, the highest monthly figure since November 2024, driven mainly by $5.2 billion inflow from passive funds [2] - The report noted that since mid-July, U.S. funds have significantly flowed into the Chinese stock market, with European passive funds also beginning to invest [2] - Active funds increased their holdings primarily in capital goods and semiconductors, while reducing their positions in insurance, durable goods, and apparel [2]
Why DraftKings Plunged Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-30 18:00
Key Points Privately held Kalshi had record sports-betting volumes this past weekend. The venture-backed betting platform could become an increasing threat to existing sports-betting leaders. Tuesday's consumer sentiment reading also fell flat, harming any stock related to consumer spending. 10 stocks we like better than DraftKings › Shares of sports betting and iGaming giant DraftKings (NASDAQ: DKNG) fell 10.2% on Tuesday as of 12:32 p.m. ET. DraftKings didn't have any company-specific news tod ...
随着消费者信心的急剧下降,泰经济衰退势头进一步加剧
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-09-30 17:00
(原标题:随着消费者信心的急剧下降,泰经济衰退势头进一步加剧) 总体而言,波恩猜表示泰国的经济稳定性依然良好。这一情况从8月份的通胀数据中可见一斑:当 时整体通胀率为-0.79%,核心通胀率为0.81%。截至7月底,泰国公共债务占国内生产总值的比例为 64.5%,仍符合《国家财政与金融纪律法》所规定的财政纪律框架要求。外部稳定性也依然强劲,足以 抵御全球经济波动带来的风险。这一点的体现是国际储备水平——截至8月底,国际储备规模已高达 2674亿美元。 据曼谷邮报9月30日报道,根据泰国财政政策办公室的数据,8月份泰国的经济依然表现疲软:私人消费 放缓,农民收入下降,同时由于美国征收关税的影响,出口也出现了疲软趋势。泰国消费促进局局长波 恩猜在周一表示,与去年同期相比,8月份的私人消费出现了放缓趋势,尤其是在耐用品消费方面。8月 份实际农业收入同比下降了10.8%;与此同时,消费者信心指数也从上个月的51.7点跌至50.1点。这些 现象反映了经济复苏的步伐缓慢、生活成本居高不下,以及人们对地缘政治紧张局势的担忧。与去年同 期相比,民间投资保持稳定。从资本货物进口数据来看,8月份民间在机械设备领域的投资同比增长了 ...