机构：长江证券 研究员：杨洋 混合式AI 战略框架下，个人与企业智能双轮驱动。联想集团作为AIPC 与服务器的龙头，在混合式AI 时代可为个人和企业用户提供全套解决方案。在个人智能领域，打造多形态智能体原生终端设备，丰富 超级智能体应用生态，推动智能体活跃度(天禧个人超级智能体平均周活跃率40%)；在企业智能领域， 构建人工智能模型工厂，开发智能体平台，推进联想混合式人工智能优势集落地。看好联想持续发挥 AI 云端协同的龙头优势，预计FY2026- FY2028 实现归母净利润16.89/19.90/22.96 亿美元，维持"买 入"评级。 风险提示 1、AI 基础设施建设不及预期； IDG 业务超预期，PC 与手机双高速增长，成为拉动业绩的主要动能。根据IDC 公布数据，2025Q2 全球 PC 销量同比增长6.5%，其中联想作为PC 行业的龙头，销量同比增速达到15.2%，市场份额为24.6%为 历史新高（联想财报口径），且全球各主要地区均实现良好增长，不存在明显的地区效应。其中AIPC 推进节奏同步加快，Windows AIPC 居全球市场第一，带动产品结构中枢向高端攀升，联想PC 业务营 收增速同比增 ...

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨联想集团（0992.HK） [Table_Title] PC 业务超预期，全站式 AI 高速增长 报告要点 [Table_Author] 杨洋 SAC：S0490517070012 SFC：BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 联想集团（0992.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Summary] 8 月 14 日，联想集团发布 FY2025/26 财年第一季度业绩， FY2025/26 Q1 公司实现营收 188.30 亿美元，同比+22%；归母净利润 5.38 亿美元，同比+112%。毛利率 14.7%，同比下滑 1.9pct； 归母净利率 2.68%，同比增长 1.11pct。 Non GAAP 净利润 3.89 亿美元，同比增长 22%。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Title2] PC 业务超预期，全站式 AI 高速增长 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 8 月 14 日，联想集团发布 FY2025/26 财年第一季度业绩， FY2025/26 Q1 公司实现营收 1 ...

智算新纪元，盛会再启幕。8月22日，作为我国算力产业风向标的2025中国算力大会在山西省大同市正 式举办。大会期间，政产学研用各方代表齐聚古都大同，聚焦算力网络新趋势，共话算力产业新未来。 作为全球领先的算力基础设施和服务提供商，联想集团连续第三次受邀参会。 联想集团副总裁、中国基础设施业务群总经理陈振宽在大会主论坛发表《联想全栈AI 让AI成为创新生 产力》主旨演讲，并宣布正式发布《2025 AI方案赋能白皮书》，与生态伙伴携手共探智能时代新机 遇。 片来源：企业供图 （2025中国算力大会联想展台） 据了解，在颇具影响力的算力大会颁奖环节，联想万全大模型训推一体解决方案斩获"年度重大突破成 果奖"。这也是联想连续第二年斩获殊荣，不仅凸显了联想AI基础设施全球领先的技术实力，更是对联 想行业领跑地位的权威认可。 片来源：企业供图 （联想集团副总裁、中国基础设施业务群总经理陈振宽发表主旨演讲） 本次参展，联想也带来了AI大潮下的最新进展。围绕"混合式AI 让AI成为创新生产力"主题，联想集中 呈现了面向企业与个人客户的包含AI终端、AI基础设施和AI解决方案及服务在内的全栈AI创新成果与 最佳实践。 其中AI ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Lenovo Group (00992.HK) [1] Core Views - Lenovo Group's FY2026 Q1 performance shows robust growth, with revenue reaching $18.83 billion, a year-on-year increase of 21.9% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 10.9%. Net profit attributable to shareholders was $510 million, up 107.6% year-on-year and 462.2% quarter-on-quarter. All three core business segments (IDG, ISG, SSG) achieved double-digit year-on-year growth, indicating strong performance [7] - The company is expected to continue benefiting from the AI development trend, with projections for net profit attributable to shareholders for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 at $1.63 billion, $1.80 billion, and $2.01 billion respectively. The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 are projected to be 10.5, 9.5, and 8.5 times respectively [7] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - For FY2024A, total revenue is projected at $56.895 billion, with a year-on-year decrease of 8.16%. For FY2025A, revenue is expected to rise to $69.077 billion, a 21.41% increase. By FY2026E, revenue is forecasted to reach $75.558 billion, reflecting a 9.38% growth [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be $1.011 billion for FY2024A, increasing to $1.384 billion for FY2025A (up 37.01%), and further to $1.630 billion for FY2026E (up 17.73%) [1] Business Segments - IDG segment revenue reached $13.5 billion in FY2026 Q1, growing 18% year-on-year, with a strong operating profit margin of 7.1%. The PC revenue grew by 20%, marking the fastest growth in 15 quarters, with a global market share of 24.6% [7] - ISG segment revenue was $4.3 billion in FY2026 Q1, up 36% year-on-year, with AI infrastructure business doubling in growth. Cloud and enterprise infrastructure revenues grew by 36% and 35% respectively [7] - SSG segment revenue hit a record high of $2.3 billion in FY2026 Q1, growing 20% year-on-year, with an operating profit margin of 22.2% [7]

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group reported a strong performance for the first quarter of the 2025/2026 fiscal year, with revenue reaching 136.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22%, marking a historical high for the same period [2] Group Summaries Financial Performance - The net profit under non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards increased by 22% to 2.816 billion yuan [2] - According to Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards, net profit surged by 108% to 3.66 billion yuan, primarily due to changes in the fair value of stock warrants [3] Business Segments - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated revenue of 97.3 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 17.8%, with the PC business achieving its fastest growth in 15 quarters [2] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw revenue growth of 35.8% [2] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) reported a revenue increase of 19.8%, with an operating profit margin of 22.2% [2] AI and Market Position - AI PC shipments accounted for over 30% of total PC shipments, with AI PC shipments in the Chinese market reaching 27% of total notebook shipments [3] - The active user ratio for the "Tianxi" personal super intelligent agent reached an average of 40% [3] - Lenovo is advancing the construction of a unified AI entry point and exploring new paradigms for intelligent experiences across devices and ecosystems [3] Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo is building a full-stack AI product system centered on hybrid cloud platforms, intelligent agent management platforms, and industry-specific solution libraries [3] - The AI infrastructure business experienced a revenue increase of 155% year-on-year [3] - The company aims to shift market focus towards its core operational performance as reflected in non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards [3]

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a 22% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 of the 2025/2026 fiscal year, reaching 136.2 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the same period [1] - The company's net profit under non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards also increased by 22% to 2.816 billion yuan [1] Business Segments Performance - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) generated revenue of 97.3 billion yuan, a 17.8% increase, with the PC business achieving its fastest growth in 15 quarters [1] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a revenue growth of 35.8% [1] - The Solutions and Services Group (SSG) reported a revenue increase of 19.8%, with an operating profit margin of 22.2% [1] AI and Market Trends - Non-PC business revenue now accounts for 47% of total revenue, indicating a more balanced growth structure and supporting the company's mixed AI strategy [1] - Lenovo's AI PC shipments exceeded 30% of total PC shipments, with AI PC shipments in the Chinese market reaching 27% of total notebook shipments [2] - The "Tianxi" personal super intelligent agent has seen a significant increase in user engagement, with a weekly active user ratio averaging 40% [2] AI Infrastructure and Product Development - Lenovo is building a comprehensive AI product system centered around a hybrid cloud platform, intelligent agent management platform, and industry-specific solution library [2] - The AI infrastructure business experienced a remarkable 155% year-on-year revenue growth [2] - The company is developing an AI model factory and intelligent agent platform to enhance its mixed AI capabilities [2] Financial Reporting and Market Focus - Under Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards, Lenovo's net profit increased by 108% to 3.66 billion yuan, primarily due to non-cash gains from stock option valuation changes [2] - The management emphasizes that non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards provide a clearer reflection of the company's core operational performance and quality [2]

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group reported a strong performance for the first quarter of the 2025 fiscal year, with significant revenue and profit growth driven by AI-related demand and a robust global manufacturing strategy [2][4]. Financial Performance - Revenue for the first quarter reached 136.2 billion RMB, a 22% year-on-year increase, marking a historical high for the same period [2]. - Net profit under non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards increased by 22% to 28.16 billion RMB, while under Hong Kong standards, net profit surged by 108% to 36.6 billion RMB [2]. - Gross profit margin decreased by 1.9 percentage points to 14.7%, attributed to changes in product mix and lower margins in the infrastructure solutions business [7]. Market Position and Growth - Lenovo achieved a global PC market share of 24.8% in Q2 2025, an increase of nearly 2 percentage points year-on-year, with shipments reaching 16.97 million units, a 15.2% increase [4]. - The Intelligent Devices Group (IDG) reported revenue of 97.3 billion RMB, a 17.8% year-on-year growth, with non-PC business revenue now accounting for 47% of total revenue [4]. - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a robust revenue growth of 35.8%, significantly exceeding market expectations [4]. Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo's hybrid AI strategy aims to integrate personal and enterprise intelligence, positioning it as a key focus for the next decade [5]. - The company launched several "super intelligent agents" in May, marking a significant advancement in AI capabilities [5]. - The Chinese market, as Lenovo's global base, experienced over 35% revenue growth, contributing to a quarter of global revenue, with non-PC business revenue exceeding 54.9% [6].

Core Viewpoint - Lenovo Group is leveraging its "hybrid AI" strategy to create value from both hardware and software, positioning itself for sustainable growth and profitability in the evolving AI landscape [8][12][13]. Financial Performance - For the first quarter of the 2025/26 fiscal year, Lenovo reported a revenue increase of 22% year-on-year to 136.2 billion RMB, achieving a historical high for the same period [4]. - Net profit under non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards also grew by 22% to 2.816 billion RMB, while under Hong Kong standards, net profit surged by 108% to 3.66 billion RMB, primarily due to non-cash gains from stock option valuations [4][5]. AI Strategy and Market Position - Lenovo's "hybrid AI" strategy is driving structural growth across its three main business segments, with AI PCs becoming a significant growth driver [6][9]. - AI PC shipments are expected to grow by 77% year-on-year in 2025, potentially reaching 70% of total PC shipments by 2027 [6]. - In the Chinese market, AI PCs accounted for 27% of total notebook shipments, while globally, Lenovo's AI PC shipments represented over 30% of total PC shipments, maintaining the leading position in the Windows AI PC market [6][7]. Infrastructure and Growth Opportunities - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) saw a 36% year-on-year revenue increase, with AI infrastructure revenue skyrocketing by 155% [7]. - The global demand for AI infrastructure is expected to continue its high growth trend, with the server market projected to grow by 44.6% in 2025 [7]. Future Outlook - Lenovo aims to create an "AI ecosystem" similar to Apple's, integrating various AI applications with its hardware [12]. - The company is transitioning from being primarily a hardware supplier to a software service provider through its AI initiatives [12][13].

Core Insights - The article highlights that Lenovo Group has achieved record high performance in Q1, driven by the rising trend of hybrid AI technology [2] Group 1: Company Performance - Lenovo Group's Q1 revenue reached a new high, indicating strong demand and effective market strategies [2] - The company reported a year-on-year growth of 15% in its AI-related product sales, showcasing its commitment to innovation and adaptation to market trends [2] - The overall profitability of Lenovo improved, with net income increasing by 10% compared to the previous quarter, reflecting operational efficiency [2] Group 2: Industry Trends - The hybrid AI sector is identified as a significant growth area, with increasing investments and interest from various industries [2] - The article notes that companies leveraging hybrid AI technologies are likely to gain competitive advantages in their respective markets [2] - The demand for AI solutions is expected to continue rising, with projections indicating a market growth rate of 25% annually over the next five years [2]

Core Insights - Lenovo Group reported a 22% year-on-year revenue growth for Q1 of the 2025/26 fiscal year, reaching 136.2 billion yuan, marking a historical high for the same period [1] - The company is advancing its "mixed AI" strategy, aiming for long-term competitiveness in the AI era, with R&D expenses increasing by over 10% year-on-year [2] Financial Performance - Non-Hong Kong Financial Reporting Standards net profit increased by 22% to 2.816 billion yuan, while net profit under Hong Kong standards surged by 108% to 3.66 billion yuan, primarily due to non-cash gains from stock price fluctuations [1][3] - The IDG smart device business group achieved revenue of 97.3 billion yuan, a 17.8% increase, with PC business growth at its fastest pace in 15 quarters [1][4] Business Segments - The ISG infrastructure solutions business group saw a revenue increase of 35.8%, while the SSG solution services business group reported a 19.8% revenue growth, achieving an operating profit margin of 22.2% [1] - Non-PC business revenue now accounts for 47% of total revenue, indicating a more balanced growth structure and supporting the company's mixed AI strategy [1] Market Trends - The global PC market is experiencing an unexpected recovery, with IDC reporting a 6.5% year-on-year increase in global PC shipments for Q2 2025 [3] - AIPC shipments accounted for over 30% of total PC shipments, with a projected 77% year-on-year growth in AIPC shipments by 2025 [2][4] Strategic Initiatives - Lenovo is building a comprehensive AI product system centered around a hybrid cloud platform and intelligent management solutions to accelerate enterprise-level AI deployment [2] - The company is focusing on creating a unified AI entry point and exploring new intelligent experiences across devices and ecosystems [2][5]