ooo[Table_ReportInfo] 2026 年 02 月 27 日 证券研究报告•宏观定期报告 宏观周报（2.24-2.27） 激活银发经济再出招，央行出手干预升值斜率 摘要 [Table_Summary] 一周大事记 国内：LPR报价继续持稳，银发经济扩容提质。2月 24日，央行公布 2月 LPR 报价，LPR连续第 9个月保持不变，1年期 LPR为 3.0%，5年期以上 LPR为 3.5%。预计年内降准降息仍有一定空间，但节奏和幅度将保持温和；同日，国 务院部署银发经济和养老服务发展有关工作，政策首次将"释放银发消费需求" 置于突出位置，标志我国正将人口老龄化挑战转化为保障民生、促进消费、升 级产业的历史机遇；25 日，上海市推出稳楼市"沪七条"政策，新政以梯度 松绑、分区施策为特点，在坚守"房住不炒"底线的同时，有助于修复市场预 期；27 日，中共中央召开政治局会议。本次会议是两会前的最后确认环节， 完成了从"十四五"到"十五五"的阶段转换确认，释放出未来五年将更加注 重结构优化与效率提升的明确信号。 海外：人民币汇率持续走强，日本 CPI 跌破政策目标。当地时间 2月 24日， 特朗普发表第 ...

为加快公司新市场新产品的拓展，公司在技术创新与市场开拓方面的投入仍保持着较高水平，使得公司期间费用 增加；随着募投项目部分工程达到预定可使用状态转入固定资产，公司折旧费用相应增加；受资金规模收窄及银 行金融理财收益下行的影响，公司利息及投资理财收益减少，同时受汇率波动影响汇兑损失较上期增加；此外， 公司基于谨慎原则计提的减值损失同比增加。以上因素共同对报告期内利润产生影响。 公告强调，报告期内公司经营遇到了阶段性的挑战，消费电子等传统应用领域业务承压，AI服务器、氢能源等新 兴业务正处于拓展期，公司正处于新旧动能转换的关键时期。为此，管理层高度重视当前情况，并积极采取应对 措施，通过开展系统性复盘，公司深入剖析了运营中存在的痛点与难点，持续推进市场开拓、资源配置优化及降 本增效等工作，努力提升公司整体盈利水平。 公告对经营业绩变动原因进行了详细说明。报告期内，公司处于新旧动能转换期，新市场新产品尚未规模化放 量。公司智能设备产品的下游应用包括消费电子、汽车电子、AI服务器、新能源等多个行业领域，其中消费电子 是公司收入占比最大的应用领域，预计收入占比达到60%以上。 在消费电子传统市场方面，国际大客户产品创新 ...

安达智能发布业绩快报，2025年度实现营业收入6.95亿元，同比下降2.32%；净利润亏损1.12亿元，上 年同期亏损3074.52万元。报告期内，公司处于新旧动能转换期，新市场新产品尚未规模化放量。公司 智能设备产品的下游应用包括消费电子、汽车电子、AI服务器、新能源等多个行业领域，其中消费电 子是公司收入占比最大的一个应用领域（预计收入占比达到60%以上）。在消费电子传统市场方面，国 际大客户产品创新需求不足，叠加全球贸易摩擦升级导致供应链竞争加剧，公司国际大客户的收入减 少。在AI服务器、氢能源等新兴市场方面，公司虽然已取得了一定的业务进展，但这些市场的智能设 备产品出货量尚未规模化放量。 ...

转自：成都日报锦观 马蹄声声踏新程 养老院里，中科源码的智能设备既能陪伴聊天，又能守护安全；还有塔子山公园内，冰淇淋机器人40秒 制作一份甜蜜…… 人机协作场景背后，是城市对产业赛道的敏锐布局。数据显示，目前成都千亿级产业链已达13条，而去 年营收实现两位数增长的10条产业链中，人工智能位列其中。于宏观大局中找准方位，于苗头萌芽中捕 捉先机，唯有先人一步、见微知著，才能赢得主动。 蹄不快则行难远。定下的事马上办、办就办好，离不开立说立行。 以机制赋能抓落实，建立"一项目一专班"机制，坚持"以周保月、以月保季、以季保年"，围绕今年1134 个重点项目，成都持续优化"部署—落实—督查—反馈—改进"工作闭环；以服务重塑提效能，落实"高 效办成一件事"改革，重点事项业务办理268万件。雷厉风行，就必须不观望、不拖延。 鬃毛飞扬，是骏马一往无前的驰骋姿态，而真正的驰骋，更需以创新创造破局。 对问题不回避，瞄准基层减负，目前，成都已实现全市23个区（市）县、市县两级部门、261个镇（街 道）和3045个村（社区）"报表通"共性业务全面贯通。 对标准不放松，六维排查、社会共治，通过开展"大排查、大曝光、大整治"行动，全市生 ...

国海证券发布研报称，考虑到联想集团(00992)混合式AI进展显著，调整公司盈利预测，预计公司 FY2026-FY2028营收分别为801.44、876.00、932.35亿美元，non-HKFRS净利润分别为17.96、19.73、 21.11亿美元，对应non-HKFRSP/E倍数为8.0x、7.2x、6.8x，维持"买入"评级。 智能设备业务集团：平均售价上升及产品结构优化促进业务利润提升 FY2026Q3，公司智能设备业务集团收入同比增长14%，运营利润同比增长15%。受惠于平均售价上升 以及高端个人电脑、人工智能个人电脑、游戏个人电脑及个人电脑周边业务的净利润率增长，个人电 脑、平板电脑及其他智能设备的盈利能力保持强劲。个人电脑周边业务收入取得高双位数增长，利润率 显著提升，进一步改善整体组合及盈利水平。 基础设施方案集团：进行战略重组，预计将加速在FY2027重回盈利轨道 FY2026Q3，得益于云基础设施业务客户群扩大，公司基础设施方案业务集团收入创下52亿美元的最高 水平，同比增长31%。并且，公司推行了战略重组计划，产生一次性重组费用2.85亿美元，此举通过调 整产品组合，提升员工技能，实现 ...

Group 1: Weichuang Electric / Automation Equipment - The company is strengthening collaborations to promote technological innovation and market expansion in the robot-driven component business [4] - Plans to establish a joint venture in Thailand with Zhejiang Rongtai to expand the smart robot electromechanical integration market, with both parties holding 50% shares [4] - The company aims to deepen industry demand and continue global expansion, focusing on regions like Asia, Africa, and Latin America while enhancing product offerings [5] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.977 billion, 2.444 billion, and 3.108 billion yuan, with net profits of 288 million, 346 million, and 419 million yuan respectively [6] Group 2: Lenovo Group / Computer Equipment - Lenovo reported FY2026Q3 revenue of approximately 22.204 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 546 million USD, down 21% year-on-year [7][8] - The adjusted net profit increased by 36% year-on-year, driven by efficiency optimization and a high-end product mix [8] - The Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) is undergoing strategic restructuring, expected to accelerate the return to profitability in FY2027 [9] Group 3: Shipping and Ports Industry - National import and export total reached 45.47 trillion yuan in 2025, with a 3.8% year-on-year growth [13] - Container throughput at major coastal ports reached 31.198 million TEUs, a 7% year-on-year increase [15] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) rose by 135.95% year-on-year, indicating a significant increase in dry bulk shipping rates [19] Group 4: Google-A / Overseas - Google reported Q4 2025 revenue of 113.828 billion USD, an 18% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 33.455 billion USD, up 30% year-on-year [25] - Search advertising revenue grew by 17% year-on-year, driven by AI innovations enhancing user experience and monetization efficiency [26] - Google Cloud revenue surged by 48% year-on-year, reaching 17.7 billion USD, with a significant increase in annual recurring revenue [27] Group 5: Yutong Technology / Packaging Printing - The company plans to acquire 51% of Huayan Technology for 449 million yuan, aiming to enhance its capabilities in precision manufacturing [32][34] - The acquisition is expected to leverage industry synergies and empower the second growth curve, focusing on high-profile clients like Google and Samsung [34] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 19.069 billion, 21.001 billion, and 23.077 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.608 billion, 1.798 billion, and 1.980 billion yuan respectively [34] Group 6: NetEase-S / Gaming - NetEase reported Q4 2025 revenue of 27.5 billion yuan, a 3% year-on-year increase, with a net profit of 6.2 billion yuan, down 28.8% year-on-year [36][37] - The gaming segment showed resilience with a revenue of 22 billion yuan, driven by strong performance from popular IPs and new game launches [38] - The company is focusing on AI-driven strategies to enhance operational efficiency and optimize its business structure [39] Group 7: Aidi Pharmaceutical / Biopharmaceuticals - The company is advancing its international product launch and received GMP certification from Tanzania, facilitating entry into the African market [43] - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 721 million yuan, a 72.57% year-on-year increase, with a focus on HIV innovative drug sales [43] - Multiple new drug pipelines are actively progressing, with significant clinical trial approvals received [44] Group 8: Meituan-W / Local Life Services - Meituan is projected to achieve total revenue of 916 billion yuan in Q4 2025, with a core local business revenue of 648 billion yuan, reflecting a competitive landscape [45][46] - The company is strategically increasing investments in marketing and rider incentives to enhance operational efficiency amid fierce competition [46] - Long-term growth potential is anticipated through refined operations in instant delivery and overseas expansion [49] Group 9: Huahong Semiconductor / Semiconductors - Huahong Semiconductor reported Q4 2025 revenue of 660 million USD, a 22.4% year-on-year increase, with a wafer shipment of 1.45 million pieces [50]

Core Viewpoint - Chengdu's industrial enterprises are rapidly resuming production after the Spring Festival, aiming for a strong start to the year, with many companies operating at full capacity to meet domestic and international orders [4][5][6]. Group 1: Production Resumption - Key industrial enterprises in Chengdu are leading the recovery of production, with some maintaining 24-hour operations during the holiday to fulfill orders [5]. - For instance, BaMo Technology reported that all orders for the first quarter are fully booked, and employees are working diligently to ensure timely delivery [5]. - China National Beverage Corporation's Sichuan branch achieved full production capacity on the second day of the new year, producing 237,000 products in one day, matching regular output levels [5]. Group 2: Production Efficiency - Chengdu Tianma Precision Machinery Company has improved its production efficiency to 70% of normal capacity post-holiday, compared to only 50% in previous years [5]. - China National Heavy Duty Truck Group's Chengdu subsidiary expects to produce 10,000 vehicles in the first quarter, with a projected output value of 2.8 billion yuan [6]. Group 3: Regional Collaboration - Various districts and industrial parks in Chengdu are working in unison to boost production, with companies like Quan Yi Food ramping up operations to meet a quarterly output target of 260 million yuan [7]. - In Jin Tang County, Sichuan Natuo New Materials has maintained full production since December, achieving over 1 billion yuan in output [8]. Group 4: Technological Innovation - Chengdu's robotics industry is showcasing its capabilities, with local companies exporting products to over 40 countries, enhancing production efficiency [9]. - The "Chengdu-made" robots are not only improving industrial productivity but also providing innovative solutions in community services, such as elder care [9].

转自：成都日报锦观 13条千亿级产业链成形 10条营收两位数增长 系列行动之下，成都产业集群加速成势，国家级产业集群总数增至17个。 去年11月初，工信部公布了2025年度（第四批）中小企业特色产业集群名单和2022年度（第一批）中小 企业特色产业集群复核通过名单。成都新增成华区智能机器人产业集群、青白江区超高强度合金材料产 业集群、崇州市板式家具产业集群3个中小企业特色产业集群。至此，成都国家级中小企业特色产业集 群达到8个。 截至目前，成都国家级先进制造业集群总数达5个，数量居全国第二。此外，还有2个国家级战略性新兴 产业集群，2个国家创新型产业集群。拥有4个省级先进制造业集群，12个省级战略性新兴产业集群，12 个省级中小企业特色优势产业集群。 新兴产业培育全面加速。成都人工智能近3年平均增速30%以上；2025年，本土汽车企业实现"零的突 破"，新能源汽车产量增长181%；固态电池研发和产业化加快；火箭总装等薄弱环节实现补强。 未来产业加快破局起势。2025年，成都成功举办聚变能国际大会，落地中国聚变能源产业创新基地项 目；全球首颗常温量子传感半导体芯片下线。 脊梁硬 集群梯次培育发展体系进一步完善 ...

中新网成都2月23日电(祝欢)机器轰鸣此起彼伏，生产线高速运转不停，"成都造"机器人贴心服务…… 随着春节假期落幕，成都市工业企业开足马力按下复工复产"快进键"，为一季度工业经济"开门红"筑牢 根基、夯实底气。 企业复工现场。成都市经信局市新经济委供图 重点企业是工业经济的"压舱石"，更是复工复产的"排头兵"。成都重点工业企业率先发力、抢先一步， 以最快速度恢复生产、释放产能，引领全市工业复工复产跑出"加速度"。 "为抢抓海内外订单，我们春节期间未停工、不停产，生产线始终保持24小时连续运转、满负荷生产状 态。"成都巴莫科技有限责任公司相关负责人介绍，目前企业一季度海内外订单已全部排满，全体员工 凝心聚力赶进度，全力确保订单按时交付。 中粮可口可乐四川公司正月初二复工，实现复工首日即满产。新都区生产车间内，一条条智能化生产线 高速运转，依托先进的数字化工厂管理系统，复工首日便高效生产产品23.7万件，产能与日常水平持 平。与此同时，该企业销售力量下沉市场一线，全面覆盖全省239家主要商场、超市及社区零售点，全 力保障全川32万家客户的服务不打折、产品供应不断档。 成都天马精密机械有限公司正月初三启动复工，正月 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2025, China's GDP surpassed 140 trillion yuan for the first time, achieving a year-on-year growth of 5.0% at constant prices, maintaining a leading growth rate among major global economies [1][4]. Economic Growth and Resilience - China's economy has shown remarkable resilience, achieving a historic total increase during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, with GDP rising from 110 trillion yuan to 140 trillion yuan, averaging over 5% growth [5]. - The manufacturing sector has maintained its position as the world's largest for 16 consecutive years, contributing significantly to economic stability and technological innovation [5]. - Grain production has stabilized at 1.4 trillion jin for two consecutive years, ensuring food security for over 1.4 billion people amidst global price fluctuations and extreme weather [5]. Risk Resistance and Stability - China's large economic scale has translated into strong risk resistance, maintaining stability in the face of global debt challenges and protectionist measures [7]. - The average urban unemployment rate during the "14th Five-Year Plan" was 5.2%, with real per capita disposable income growing by 5.0%, reflecting synchronized economic growth and improved living standards [7]. Domestic and International Demand - The domestic market has shown robust vitality, with significant consumer activity during holidays and a notable contribution of 52.0% from final consumption expenditure to economic growth [8]. - Despite global trade slowdowns, China's total import and export volume increased by 3.8%, with high-tech product exports rising by 13.2% [8]. Structural Optimization - The service sector's contribution to GDP reached 57.7%, becoming the largest industry, while new business models in cultural tourism and heritage revitalization are driving consumption upgrades [12]. - Strategic emerging industries such as high-end equipment manufacturing and biomedicine are rapidly developing, while traditional manufacturing is improving through technological upgrades [12]. Foreign Trade and Open Economy - High-level foreign trade initiatives, such as the Hainan Free Trade Port, have facilitated cross-border movement and increased imports, with a 37% rise in inbound tourists [14]. - The "Belt and Road" initiative has strengthened trade relationships with over 150 countries, enhancing China's integration into the global economy [14]. Innovation and New Productivity - China's R&D expenditure as a percentage of GDP has reached 2.8%, surpassing the OECD average, indicating a new phase of stable growth and quality improvement in technological innovation [16]. - The innovation index has ranked China among the top ten globally, with significant breakthroughs in key technologies supporting the development of emerging industries [16]. Conclusion - Overall, China's economy in 2025 illustrates resilience under pressure and the emergence of new opportunities during transformation, with a clear direction for high-quality development in the future [18].