过去几天，中国投资圈的目光几乎都聚焦在同一个现象上 ——" 大佬 封盘 "。 10 月 29 日，宁泉资产公告暂停旗下产品新投资者的首次申购；两天后，睿远基金宣布旗下部分专户产品暂停申购。杨东与陈光明，两位在市场上以长期 主义著称的投资 管理 人，几乎在同一时间选择 "封盘"，引发广泛揣测。 有人说，这是对市场流动性与估值水平的警示；也有人认为，这或许是基金经理对规模、策略与 认知 边界的自觉克制。 无论解读如何，这一幕都折射出当前市场的复杂心态：在不确定的周期里，我们究竟该如何认识风险、评估机会、保持理性？ 10月28日，橡树资本联合创始人 霍华德 ·马克斯发布了他的新备忘录——《 深入探究： 引擎盖下的世界》（ A Look Under the Hood）。如果说"封 盘"让人看到的是投资者行为层面的"止步"，那这篇备忘录讨论的，则是更底层的 ， 我们 到底应该 如何做决策。 马克斯这次以观察者与参与者的双重身份，记录了他与一家美国州立养老金董事会的会议。 这家机构的顾问，用一个简洁的二维矩阵区分了 "风险承受能力"与"风险意愿"：高承受能力却低意愿的人是"防御型"；低承受能力却高意愿的人是" 幼稚 型 ...

Investment Research and Strategy - Conducting due diligence is essential for making informed investment decisions, whether for stocks or bonds [1][2] - Understanding investment products, their evaluation, and the importance of consulting with investment professionals can enhance decision-making [2][3] Financial Planning - Defining investment goals and time horizons is crucial before opening an investment account, as it influences the types of investments chosen [4] - Establishing a solid financial foundation, including an emergency fund and paying off high-interest debt, is recommended before starting to invest [5] Investment Approach - Diversification across different asset classes and sectors can reduce risk and smooth out portfolio volatility [7] - Awareness of costs and fees associated with investments is vital, as even small differences can significantly impact overall returns [8][9] Account Management - Different investment accounts have varying fee structures, and understanding these costs is important for effective investment management [10][11] - Utilizing tax-advantaged accounts can provide benefits for long-term savings, including retirement and education [12][13] Investment Strategy - Regular investment through strategies like dollar-cost averaging can help mitigate market timing risks and benefit from compounding [15] - Monitoring investments and staying informed about market changes is essential for aligning with financial goals [16][17] General Investment Advice - Each investor's financial situation is unique, and skepticism towards investment fads is advised; thorough research is necessary [18]

SmartAsset and Yahoo Finance LLC may earn commission or revenue through links in the content below. When I retired in September 2022, my 401(k) was invested aggressively (90/10 split between stocks to bonds) and lost approximately 30%. I left the 401(k) invested in mutual funds in hopes it would gain back some of the losses. A year later it has gained back approximately 20%. I’m not required to take RMDs for another five years. My question is should I transfer the 401(k) funds to my traditional IRA accoun ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the importance of balancing investments between high-yield savings accounts (HYSAs) and stocks to achieve financial goals [1][2] - HYSAs provide security and modest growth, suitable for short-term goals, while stocks offer higher potential returns but come with increased risk [1][5] Group 1: High-Yield Savings Accounts (HYSA) - HYSAs offer higher-than-average interest rates, with the best accounts paying upwards of 4% APY [3] - They are ideal for emergency funds and short-term savings due to their liquidity and low risk of losing money [4][5] - However, HYSAs may not significantly grow wealth over the long term, making them less suitable for long-term goals like retirement [5] Group 2: Investing in Stocks - Investing in stocks involves purchasing ownership in a company, with the potential for significant returns, historically averaging around 10% per year [6] - Stocks carry risks, including the possibility of value drops, especially in the short term, making them unsuitable for funds needed within five years [7][12] - A longer investment horizon of 5-10 years is recommended for stock investments to benefit from market fluctuations and compounding [13] Group 3: Considerations for Investment Strategy - Liquidity is crucial; individuals should have liquid cash in HYSAs before investing in stocks to avoid selling at a loss during emergencies [10] - Time horizon affects investment decisions; short-term needs should be met with HYSAs, while longer-term goals can be pursued through stocks [11][12] - Risk tolerance varies; those with stable income and emergency savings may opt for higher-risk stocks, while those prioritizing safety may prefer HYSAs [14][15][16]

楼市的寒意已然渗透进千家万户，房价下跌的速度之快，恐怕已无需赘述。三年多来，多数城市的房价相比高峰时期都已跌去三成甚至更多。面对这样的市 场环境，一个现实问题摆在了许多购房者的面前：一套原价150万的房子，如今只需100万，而你恰好手握100万现金准备购房，是选择全款付清，还是首付 20万、贷款30年？这个问题无疑困扰着许多潜在的购房者。 一部分人秉持着"无债一身轻"的传统观念，渴望彻底摆脱债务的束缚；另一部分人则坚信，贷款是利用银行资金进行资产增值的绝佳途径。然而，两种选择 带来的实际差距，远比我们想象的要大得多——正确的选择，或可在三十年后实现资产翻倍的增长；而错误的决策，则可能让你白白奋斗十年。 全款购房的优势显而易见：省去了支付利息的麻烦，无需时刻惦记还款日，更不必担心因失业等原因导致的断供风险。以一套100万的房产为例，若选择贷 款80万元、30年期还款、利率3%的方案，等额本息还款总利息大约为41万多元，全款购房确实能省下这笔开支。此外，全款购房在议价时也更具优势。在 与开发商谈判时，全款购房者往往能争取到一定的优惠；而在购买急于出手的二手房时，甚至能压低几万元的价格。据中介机构的数据显示，全款购 ...

Group 1 - The core idea of fund asset allocation is to diversify investments across different types of funds to achieve a balanced risk-return profile [1] - Different types of funds exhibit distinct characteristics; for instance, equity funds can yield high returns in bull markets but face significant risks during downturns, while bond funds provide stability and act as a buffer during market volatility [1] - Investors must clarify their investment goals and risk tolerance, which influence asset allocation decisions, such as whether to prioritize short-term gains or long-term savings [1] Group 2 - Asset allocation is not static; it requires regular evaluation and adjustment based on changing market conditions, macroeconomic factors, and policy shifts [2] - When the proportion of a specific asset class deviates from its initial target due to market movements, adjustments should be made to restore the desired allocation [2] - Considering the correlation between funds is crucial; selecting funds with low correlation can enhance the effectiveness of asset allocation and reduce overall risk [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the importance of risk assessment in investment, highlighting that understanding one's risk tolerance is crucial for selecting suitable fund products and making informed investment decisions [3][4][10]. Risk Assessment - Risk assessment is a process to determine an investor's risk tolerance, which helps in identifying appropriate fund investments [4][5]. - Fund products are categorized into five risk levels (R1 to R5), with R1 being low risk and R5 being high risk, while investors are classified into five categories (C1 to C5) based on their risk tolerance [5][6]. - The classification allows investors with lower risk tolerance (C1) to invest in low-risk products (R1), while those with higher risk tolerance (C5) can invest in a broader range of products, including high-risk options [5][7]. Changes in Risk Tolerance - An investor's risk tolerance is generally stable over short periods but can change over longer durations due to factors like age, family assets, and financial knowledge [8]. - For instance, a novice investor may start with a low-risk tolerance (C1) but may evolve to a higher risk tolerance (C2 or C3) as they gain experience and knowledge [8]. Investment Planning - Investors should avoid following market trends and instead focus on investments that align with their risk tolerance [10][11]. - A diversified investment portfolio should be constructed based on risk tolerance, with lower-risk investors (C1, C2) primarily investing in fixed-income funds while allowing for some exposure to mixed funds [11]. - It is crucial for investors to anchor their investment strategies to their risk tolerance rather than market fluctuations to avoid emotional decision-making during market volatility [11]. Long-term Investment - The article advocates for a long-term investment approach, emphasizing that investors should commit to holding suitable funds over time to achieve satisfactory returns [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles emphasizes the importance of risk assessment for investors to determine their suitable fund products based on their risk tolerance levels [1][2][6] - Risk assessment helps categorize fund products into five risk levels (R1 to R5), allowing investors to understand which products align with their risk profiles [2][3] - Investors are classified into five categories (C1 to C5) based on their risk tolerance, with C1 being the lowest and C5 the highest, influencing the types of funds they can invest in [3][5] Group 2 - The articles discuss that an investor's risk tolerance can remain stable over short periods but may change over longer periods due to factors like age, family assets, and investment knowledge [6][7] - It is suggested that investors should not follow market trends blindly but should adhere to their risk tolerance when making investment decisions [8][9] - The importance of long-term investment strategies is highlighted, encouraging investors to maintain their risk assessment as a guiding principle rather than reacting to market fluctuations [9]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses asset allocation strategies for individual investors, particularly focusing on a case where an investor has 5 million yuan to invest with a preference for safety and moderate returns [6][9]. Group 1: Weekly Highlights - The article mentions a weekly selection of posts from a community, highlighting key topics such as bond market adjustments and investment strategies [4][5]. Group 2: Investment Strategy Discussion - An investor inquired about how to invest 5 million yuan with a focus on capital safety and a target annual return of 5-6%, while accepting a volatility of 10-15% [8][12]. - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding potential risks and the reality of achieving desired returns, noting that a conservative approach may yield around 3% annually without market risk [12][13]. - It is suggested that the investor should avoid certain products like insurance and short-term debt due to their unsuitability for the investment horizon and return expectations [17][18]. Group 3: Recommended Investment Products - Recommended investment options include bank wealth management products, especially those with multi-asset strategies, and broker asset management products that offer higher yield potential [18][19]. - Public funds with fixed income and index products are also suggested, with a focus on broad-based indices and ETFs to minimize risk [19][20]. Group 4: Portfolio Allocation Advice - A proposed allocation strategy for the investor includes a mix of global, quantitative, and fixed-income products, with a suggested risk tolerance level of moderate [21][22]. - The article highlights the benefits of diversified investment through professional management, while also cautioning about the risks of relying on a single manager's strategy [24][25]. Group 5: Practical Investment Steps - The article advises the investor to initially invest 30-50% of the total amount and to gradually deploy the remaining funds over a period of 6 months to 1 year, allowing for better market timing and emotional management [25][26]. - It emphasizes the importance of learning from the investment process and developing a solid understanding of market dynamics through engagement with professional advisors [26][27].

Core Insights - The article discusses the decision-making process between choosing fixed deposits and wealth management products, emphasizing the balance between safety, returns, and liquidity. Group 1: Key Differences Between Fixed Deposits and Wealth Management Products - Fixed deposits offer principal protection and fixed interest rates, making them suitable for risk-averse investors, with a maximum insurance coverage of 500,000 yuan under the Deposit Insurance Regulations [3] - Wealth management products provide non-principal guaranteed floating returns, with risk levels ranging from R1 (low risk) to R5 (high risk), and potential for principal loss [3] - Current 3-year fixed deposit rates are approximately 2.5%-3% [4] - Expected returns for wealth management products can reach 3%-5% for medium to low-risk options, but actual returns are subject to market fluctuations [5] Group 2: Liquidity Differences - Fixed deposits allow for early withdrawal, but interest is calculated at a lower rate (typically 0.2%-0.3%) [6] - Some closed-end wealth management products cannot be redeemed early, while open-end products may incur fees or be affected by market value fluctuations [6] Group 3: Decision-Making Based on Fund Usage and Risk Tolerance - For short-term needs or risk-averse individuals, fixed deposits are recommended, with a "ladder savings method" suggested to optimize liquidity [8] - For long-term idle funds seeking returns, wealth management products are advised, particularly medium to low-risk options with annual returns of 3%-4% [9] - Aggressive investors may allocate 10%-20% of their funds to high-risk assets like stocks or mixed funds, while maintaining a majority in fixed or stable wealth management products [10] Group 4: Practical Recommendations - In a rising interest rate environment, short-term fixed deposits or open-end wealth management products are preferable for flexible adjustments; in a declining rate environment, locking in long-term fixed deposits or closed-end wealth management is advised [12] - It is crucial to review product details such as fees, investment direction, and historical return volatility [13] - Maintaining an emergency reserve of 10%-20% of funds in liquid assets or money market funds is recommended for unexpected expenses [14] Group 5: Summary of Investment Strategies - Conservative strategy: 70% in fixed deposits (ladder savings) and 30% in money market or low-risk wealth management [16] - Balanced strategy: 50% in fixed deposits, 40% in medium to low-risk wealth management, and 10% in high-risk assets [16] - Aggressive strategy: 30% in fixed deposits, 50% in mixed wealth management, and 20% in stocks or funds [16] - The final choice should align with individual financial planning, risk preferences, and market conditions, with fixed deposits providing a safety net and wealth management expanding return potential [16]