Core Points - The fate of Trump's tariff policy is uncertain as the U.S. Supreme Court hears a case that could overturn it, potentially leading to over $100 billion in tariff refunds [2][4] - The atmosphere in the Supreme Court was tense, with several justices expressing doubts about the legality of Trump's tariffs, questioning whether such powers should rest with Congress [4][5] - The probability of the Supreme Court supporting Trump's tariffs has significantly decreased, dropping from 40% to around 20% [4] Tariff Policy - The Supreme Court's decision will determine the future of Trump's tariffs, which he has claimed are essential for national security [5] - The Senate previously voted to terminate Trump's comprehensive tariff policy, indicating a shift in legislative support [4] Government Shutdown - The U.S. government has been in a shutdown for 37 days, marking the longest in history, which has exacerbated economic uncertainties [6][8] - The shutdown has led to significant disruptions in transportation, affecting thousands of flights and millions of travelers [6][7] - Essential programs like the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program have halted, impacting 42 million Americans [7] Economic Impact - The prolonged government shutdown is causing employers to delay investments and hiring, with potential large-scale layoffs [8][9] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that if the shutdown lasts six weeks, economic losses could reach $11 billion, with GDP growth potentially declining by 1 to 2 percentage points in Q4 [9]

11月6日，天然橡胶期货盘中高位震荡运行，截至发稿主力合约报15080.00元/吨，小幅上涨1.75%。 天然橡胶生产国协会（ANRPC）天胶月报显示，2025年9月份，天然橡胶价格波动并承压，因产量改善 且需求维持低迷。全球2025年天然橡胶产量预计较2024年温和增加1.3%。 机构观点 国都期货：基本面来看，当前阶段全球仍处于高产期，橡胶供给较多，且天气较前期扰动减少，供给较 为顺畅。我国市场来看，天然橡胶供给充分，8月份数据显示，我国天胶供给较历史同比偏多，1-8月我 国供应同比增长4.4%。下游需求来看，国内轮胎企业开机率维持较高水平，但轮胎企业库存较多，限 制其补库热情。保税区继续累库，且进口持续处于偏高水平。9月，轮胎产量延续同比增长，轮胎出口 延续小幅正增长，汽车消费暂稳，重卡消费连续6个月同比大幅增长，增速呈逐月扩大趋势。政策上来 看，中美贸易关系改善，韩国釜山新一轮谈判取消10%芬太尼关税，继续推迟34%关税期限1年，美国 政府停摆进入第36天，商品市场承压。展望后市，12月份开始，我国割胶进度将逐步放缓，供给压力料 将减轻，消费不温不火，政策仍存托底作用，胶价下行空间或将有限。 瑞达期货 ...

新华财经北京11月6日电（崔凯）美国联邦政府"停摆"于当地时间11月5日零时进入第36天，打破2018– 2019年35天的历史纪录，成为美国建国以来持续时间最长的一次政府关门事件。此次停摆源于民主、共 和两党在2026财年临时拨款法案上的严重分歧，核心争议集中于《平价医疗法案》的政府补贴问题。 （文章来源：新华财经） 据美国国会预算办公室（CBO）评估，若停摆持续，第四季度美国实际国内生产总值（GDP）年增长 率或将下降1至2个百分点。英国广播公司（BBC）援引经济专家估算，停摆每持续一周，将给美国经济 造成约150亿美元的直接损失；彭博社则指出，损失区间可能高达100亿至300亿美元。 截至目前，参议院已第14次未能通过临时拨款法案。两党均未展现出妥协意愿。共和党方面坚持削减福 利开支，民主党则拒绝放弃医保补贴条款。中国人民大学国际关系学院教授刁大明分析称， ...

今日周三(11月5日)亚盘时段，白银期货目前交投于11234一线上方，今日开盘于11230元/千克，截至发 稿，白银期货暂报11248元/千克，下跌0.98%，最高触及11283元/千克，最低下探11103元/千克，目前来 看，白银期货盘内短线偏向震荡走势。 打开APP，查看更多高清行情>> 整体上，55%的受访者认为关税政策使家庭财务状况恶化。超过六成受访者认为关税推高美国通胀，并 损害本国及被征税国家的经济。 另外美国国会参议院再次未能推进众议院已通过的、共和党提出的一项联邦政府临时拨款法案。这意味 着10月1日开始的本轮联邦政府"停摆"即将打破2018年年底至2019年年初"停摆"35天的历史纪录，成为 美国历史上持续时间最长的政府"停摆"。 当天这次表决再次未能达到通过所需的60票"门槛"，最终投票结果为54票赞成、44票反对。3名民主党 参议员投票支持，1名共和党参议员投票反对。这也是参议院第14次未能推动政府"停摆"结束。 【最新白银期货行情解析】 沪银周二下跌至11145附近，收盘在11200附近，沪银也进入了11000到11600的区间震荡范围，在没有突 破这个区间内，均可以做有效的高空低多交 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached its 36th day, breaking the previous record of 35 days set in late 2018 to early 2019, marking the longest shutdown in U.S. history [1][26] - The Congressional Budget Office estimates that the prolonged shutdown will lead to a decrease in the annual GDP growth rate by 1 to 2 percentage points in the fourth quarter of this year [3] - The BBC estimates that each week of the shutdown costs the U.S. economy approximately $15 billion [3] Group 2 - The shutdown has significantly impacted various sectors, including food assistance, healthcare benefits, and air travel, affecting the livelihoods of many Americans [5] - Over 3.2 million travelers have experienced flight delays or cancellations since the shutdown began, with thousands of flights delayed daily [9] - The U.S. Transportation Secretary has warned that if the shutdown continues, parts of the airspace may need to be closed [9] Group 3 - The shutdown has raised concerns about the potential delay in military pay for U.S. troops if it persists into mid-November [14] - The ongoing political standoff has turned vulnerable populations, such as children, the elderly, and low-income families, into political pawns, according to Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer [5]

随着美国国会参议院第14次否决临时拨款法案，美国联邦政府正在经历"史上最长停摆"。此次"停摆"已 严重影响美国航空运输、食品救济、医疗保障等多个民生领域。而美国两党却进入"摆烂"模式，政府没 有"开门营业"的迹象。是什么原因造成了美国历史上最长时间的"停摆"，什么时候会结束。我们视频记 者采访到国际问题专家萨苏，解读美国政府"停摆"的影响，民主、共和两党都在忙什么。 ...

Core Points - The U.S. government shutdown has reached its 36th day, breaking the previous record for the longest shutdown [1] - The Senate has failed 14 times to pass a temporary funding bill, leading to ongoing political disputes between the two parties [1][5] - The shutdown has significantly impacted various sectors, including food assistance, healthcare benefits, and aviation [1][26] Group 1: Legislative Actions - The Senate's attempts to advance a temporary funding bill have not garnered the necessary 60 votes, leaving the funding deadlocked [1][6] - President Trump has called for an end to the "filibuster" rule to expedite the funding process, but has faced resistance from within his party [8][6] - The current political impasse reflects a broader trend of increasing polarization and dysfunction in U.S. governance [14][13] Group 2: Public Sentiment - Recent polls indicate that a majority of Americans feel disconnected from both political parties, with nearly 80% disapproving of Congress's performance [9][11] - The ongoing shutdown has led to widespread dissatisfaction among the public, with many viewing both parties as responsible for the crisis [14][9] Group 3: Impact on Federal Employees - The shutdown has forced hundreds of thousands of federal employees into unpaid leave or mandatory work without pay, with significant numbers affected across various departments [19][22] - There are concerns that federal employees may not receive back pay once the shutdown ends, contrary to typical practices [25] Group 4: Broader Societal Effects - The shutdown has disrupted essential services, including air travel, housing assistance, and the operation of national parks and museums [26][27] - The situation has become a subject of satire in media, highlighting the absurdity of the political stalemate amid growing public hardship [27][30]

Core Points - The U.S. federal government shutdown has reached a historic 36 days, surpassing the previous record of 35 days from late 2018 to early 2019, due to ongoing political conflicts between the Democratic and Republican parties [1][3] - The 14th attempt to pass a temporary funding bill failed, primarily due to disagreements over healthcare spending related to the Affordable Care Act, which has led to significant increases in insurance premiums [3][4] - The shutdown is severely impacting lower-income individuals, with hundreds of thousands of federal employees furloughed and essential services disrupted, leading to potential food insecurity and other social issues [5][6] Political Dynamics - The political standoff is characterized by a lack of willingness from both parties to negotiate, with President Trump refusing to engage in discussions, contrasting with his previous approach during the 2018 shutdown [3][4] - The Democratic leadership is using the shutdown to strengthen party unity and frame healthcare as a critical issue for the upcoming midterm elections [4][7] - Polls indicate widespread dissatisfaction among the public with both parties, with a significant majority believing that neither party is addressing the needs of the citizens [7] Economic Impact - Economic experts estimate that the shutdown could cost the U.S. economy between $10 billion to $30 billion for each additional week it continues, with potential long-term effects on economic growth [5][6] - The prolonged nature of this shutdown, combined with a more fragile economy compared to previous years, could lead to a decrease in the fourth-quarter economic growth rate by as much as 2 percentage points [6][7] - The perception of government shutdowns has shifted, with them becoming a normalized aspect of U.S. politics rather than a rare occurrence, raising concerns about the implications for governance and public trust [7]

| 今日金店黄金回收价格一览(2025年11月5日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | | 回收报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | | 黄金 | 898. 50 | 元/克 | | 菜自黄金 | 901. 50 | 元/克 | | 周生生黄金 | 890. 80 | 元/克 | | 周大福黄金 | 900. 10 | 元/克 | | 老凤祥黄金 | 909.00 | 元/克 | 11月5日金价速报，国内品牌金店的首饰金价转跌，跌幅超10元/克。其中，周大福的首饰金价下跌10元/克，报1255元/克， 与多家金店并列最高价；上海中国黄金下跌8元/克，报价1180元/克，还是最低价金店。今日金价高低价差微缩，报75元/ 克。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价： | | | 今日金店黄金价格一览(2025年11月5日) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 金店报价 | 今日金价 | 单位 | 变动幅度 | 涨跌 | | 老庙黄金价格 | 1249 | 元/克 | 13 | 跌 | | 六福黄金价格 | 1253 | 元/克 | 10 | 昧 | | 周大福黄金价 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. Senate failed for the 14th time to advance a temporary funding bill, resulting in a government shutdown that has now matched the 35-day record set from late 2018 to early 2019 [3] - The main contention between the Democratic and Republican parties regarding the temporary funding bill revolves around healthcare spending, particularly related to the Affordable Care Act, which is set to begin enrollment for the 2026 fiscal year on November 1 [3] - Due to the lack of agreement on government subsidies, insurance companies have announced significant increases in annual premiums, with Democratic Senate leader Schumer stating that 4 million Americans could completely lose their health insurance as a result [3] Group 2 - President Trump continues to blame the shutdown on the Democrats, emphasizing that emergency funds for food assistance will only be released once the government is reopened [4] - The ongoing government shutdown is severely impacting various sectors, including food assistance, early education, aviation, and healthcare [4]