Core Viewpoint - Meituan's stock price is currently at HKD 132, showing a rebound of 2.64%, but is struggling near the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, with significant resistance at the 10-day and 30-day moving averages [1][3] Technical Analysis - The first support level at HKD 122.5 is crucial; if breached, the stock may drop to the strong support zone at HKD 113.3 [3] - The upper resistance level is at HKD 136.6, and a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of HKD 142.7 [3] - The RSI indicator shows an oversold state at 38, while the VR ratio indicates a buy signal, suggesting a potential technical rebound with a 56% probability [3] - The MACD maintains a sell signal, but momentum oscillators show signs of divergence, indicating possible buying opportunities [1][3] Derivative Products Performance - Citigroup's put option (16254) achieved an 18% increase within two trading days following a 3.53% drop in Meituan's stock price [3][5] - Other put options, such as Morgan Stanley's (64017) and UBS's (63423), recorded gains of 18% and 19%, respectively, with UBS's product being the best-performing short tool of the day [3][5] - HSBC's call option (26318) has a strike price of HKD 150.1 with a leverage of 7.6 times, offering a cost-effective choice for bullish investors [6] - UBS's call option (26512) has a lower leverage of 7.3 times but provides a stable investment option due to its relatively low implied volatility [6] Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment indicates a potential test of the support at HKD 122.5 or a direct challenge to the resistance at HKD 136.6 [12] - The analysis suggests that the breakout of either key price level could significantly alter trading strategies [12]

Core Viewpoint - The Hong Kong stock market is gradually recovering, with specific high-quality blue-chip stocks, such as China Merchants Bank (3968.HK), showing potential for technical breakthroughs, making it a noteworthy option for short to medium-term traders [1][4]. Price Performance - As of June 23, China Merchants Bank's stock closed at HKD 53.9, up 1.51% for the day, indicating a favorable technical position [1]. - The stock recorded a 5% price fluctuation over the past five trading days, with a trading volume of HKD 1.078 billion, reflecting high market interest [1]. - The stock is currently above several key moving averages, suggesting a strengthening overall trend [1]. Technical Indicators - The 10-day moving average is at HKD 52.74, while the 30-day and 60-day moving averages are at HKD 50.5 and HKD 47.4, respectively, forming a bullish pattern known as a "golden cross" [1]. - The RSI indicator is at 67, indicating a slight overbought condition but still showing strong buying momentum without signs of a pullback [1][2]. - Other momentum indicators, such as CCI, MACD, and various oscillators, are also signaling bullish trends [2]. Support and Resistance Levels - Short-term support is at HKD 51.5, with a stronger support zone at HKD 49.4, indicating solid downside protection [2]. - The first resistance target is set at HKD 55.5, with a further target of HKD 57.2 if the initial resistance is breached [2]. - The estimated probability of an upward movement is 53%, slightly favoring bullish strategies [2]. Overall Technical Summary - The technical indicators collectively suggest a "strong buy" rating, with a high intensity score of 17 on June 23, making it one of the few stocks in the Hong Kong market to receive such a high technical evaluation [2][4]. - If the market continues to stabilize and trading volume remains active, the stock is expected to break through the HKD 55.5 resistance level, initiating the next upward phase [4]. Derivative Products - Two call options linked to China Merchants Bank are analyzed for potential investment strategies: - The first product, issued by UBS (code 17405), has a strike price of HKD 61.55 and an expiration date of November 24, 2025, with a premium of 18.11% and approximately 7.5 times leverage, suitable for conservative investors [5][6]. - The second product, issued by Citigroup (code 16652), has a lower premium of 14.16% and a higher leverage of 12.6 times, making it more suitable for aggressive investors looking to capitalize on short-term price movements [6][8]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to consider entering positions near support levels (e.g., HKD 51.5) with initial target prices set between HKD 55.5 and HKD 57.2, while placing stop-loss orders below HKD 49.4 to manage risk [4][8]. - The two call options provide different risk-return profiles, allowing investors to choose based on their risk tolerance and investment horizon [8].

Cryptocurrency Exchanges & Trading Platforms - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance is mentioned as the largest global exchange, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX is noted as an established exchange with commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Cryptocurrency Topics & Keywords - The document references various cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Luna/Terra [1] - Key concepts include technical analysis, Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci sequence, harmonic patterns, natural trading theory, Gann theory [1] - Mentions of fundamental concepts such as hardware wallets, Satoshi Nakamoto, Bitcoin contracts, Bitcoin options, and Bitcoin ETFs [1] - Trading strategies and terms like "buy the dip", "long", "short", and "hedging" are included [1] Resources & Community - Links are provided for a Discord membership, Discord/Telegram customer support, a Twitter account, a course website, and a Telegram announcement group [1]

Group 1 - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) is currently showing weak signals, with a potential drop to support levels around 22,855 points and a lower Bollinger Band at 22,900 points [1] - Investors are considering entering the market at 23,000 points, with a focus on bear certificates with a recovery price of 23,865 HKD [1] Group 2 - Tencent Holdings (00700) is experiencing a bearish trend, with a technical signal indicating "sell." The stock price is currently above the lower Bollinger Band but has dipped below it during the day [3] - Key levels to watch include the middle Bollinger Band at 490 HKD; if it fails to hold, further declines may occur [3] Group 3 - Meituan-W (03690) is also showing a "sell" signal, with potential support levels at 121.9 HKD and 114.5 HKD, close to the lower Bollinger Band at 116.7 HKD [5] - Investors are advised to observe these support levels before considering a rebound at around 120 HKD [5] Group 4 - HSBC Holdings (00005) has shown relatively smaller declines compared to other stocks, but the technical signal remains "sell." The stock is nearing the lower Bollinger Band, indicating a weak trend [8] - The support level to watch is 88.1 HKD, with the middle Bollinger Band at 86.3 HKD [8] Group 5 - BYD (01211) is trading near its support level of 121 HKD, with a bearish signal indicating further potential declines [10] - Key support levels are identified at 119.5 HKD and 112 HKD [10] Group 6 - Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation (00981) is also under a "sell" signal, with the stock approaching the lower Bollinger Band [13] - Short-term support levels are at 38.1 HKD and 36.4 HKD, with the weekly Bollinger Band bottom at 36.6 HKD [13]

Market Analysis - The analysis suggests that Bitcoin's recent rally might be short-lived, with potential resistance around 108,000 [1] - The report identifies a bearish divergence in the market, with price failing to make new highs while CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) does, indicating potential selling pressure [1] - The analysis suggests a possible retracement to test support levels, specifically the support-resistance flip zone, before any further upward movement [1] - The report anticipates a period of consolidation or sideways trading before a potential C wave rally [1] - The analysis points out the similarity between the current market pattern and previous patterns, suggesting a potential dip to liquidate long positions before a new high [2] Technical Indicators - The analysis uses Fibonacci retracement levels (0.618%, 0.66%, 0.786%) to identify potential resistance areas [1] - The report highlights a bearish divergence based on CVD (Cumulative Volume Delta) analysis, signaling potential weakness in the rally [1] - MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is used to compare current market conditions with historical patterns, identifying potential similarities and future trends [2] - The analysis notes that a large number of long positions (146 million, 18 million, 85 million) may indicate an overbought condition [1] Risk Management - The report advises caution due to potential market volatility and the possibility of unexpected events, such as geopolitical tensions, impacting the market [2] - The analysis emphasizes the importance of having a clear trading plan and adhering to stop-loss orders to manage risk [2]

Core Viewpoint - China Life Insurance (02628.HK) has shown strong technical performance, breaking out of a previous sluggish phase and establishing a mid-term upward trend, with significant trading volume indicating increased investment in the financial insurance sector [1][3]. Technical Analysis - The stock price has surpassed key resistance levels of 16.00 to 16.14 HKD and is approaching a short-term resistance level of 17.10 HKD. A solid hold above this level could pave the way for challenges to previous highs of 19 HKD and even 20.50 HKD [3]. - The technical structure displays a typical W-bottom rebound, supported by ideal trading volume, indicating market consensus on the rebound and suggesting the potential for a new mid-term upward trend [3]. - Technical indicators such as the MACD show a bullish momentum with a golden cross and increasing histogram, while the RSI is above 70, indicating overbought conditions but without clear signs of weakness [3][6]. Market Signals - Currently, the market has set a short-term target price for China Life at 18.42 HKD, suggesting approximately 2.91% upside potential, with mid-term potential to challenge above 20 HKD [6]. - The market sentiment remains highly bullish, with 16 strong buy signals identified, reflecting a strong technical buying consensus [6]. Investment Strategy - Investors are advised to monitor the consolidation platform between 16.10 and 16.30 HKD. If the stock price maintains stability and breaks above 17.20 HKD with increased volume, it will confirm the breakout, allowing for incremental buying with targets set between 19 and 20.50 HKD [9].

Core Viewpoint - Tencent's stock price is currently at 506 HKD, showing a slight decline of 0.78%, with trading volume at 2.854 billion HKD, indicating a cautious market sentiment as the stock hovers below the 10-day moving average [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is experiencing narrow fluctuations below the 10-day moving average of 512.3 HKD, with the MACD indicator signaling a sell but nearing the zero axis, suggesting reduced volatility [1] - Key support is identified at 491 HKD, with potential downside to 474 HKD if this level is breached; resistance is noted at 522 HKD, with a breakthrough potentially leading to a challenge at 539 HKD [1] - Despite multiple moving averages indicating sell signals, the RSI at 52 is in a neutral zone, while the Williams indicator shows an oversold buy signal, reflecting a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces [1] Market Instruments - In the current market, bullish options include HSBC call warrant 15418 (16.3x leverage, exercise price 576.38 HKD) and UBS call warrant 17137 (11.6x leverage, exercise price 563.5 HKD), both exhibiting relatively low implied volatility [5] - For bearish strategies, options such as Morgan Stanley put warrant 15137 (10.3x leverage, exercise price 443.33 HKD) and UBS put warrant 16669 (10.7x leverage, exercise price 443.13 HKD) are available, along with Morgan Stanley bear certificate 58426 (16.9x leverage, redemption price 540 HKD) and UBS bear certificate 54414 (13.2x leverage, redemption price 550 HKD) [8]

Cryptocurrency Exchange Platforms & Promotions - Bybit is highlighted as a preferred platform for technical analysis [1] - Binance offers a 40% fee reduction [1] - OKX provides commission waivers [1] - Pionex is recommended for grid trading [1] Cryptocurrency & Blockchain Topics - Mentions of Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Cardano (ADA), Binance Coin (BNB), Ripple (XRP), Polkadot (DOT), Avalanche (AVAX), and Luna/Terra [1] - Discussion of technical analysis concepts including Dow Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Fibonacci, Harmonic Patterns, and Gann Theory [1] - References to Bitcoin halving in 2024, Bitcoin ETFs, Bitcoin futures, and hardware wallets [1] - Mentions of stablecoins like Tether (USDT) [1] Trading Strategies & Concepts - Discussion of trading strategies such as going long, going short, hedging, and bottom fishing ("抄底") [1] - Mentions of contract trading and margin trading [1] Social Media & Community - Promotion of Discord and Telegram communities for support and announcements [1] - Links to Twitter and a course website [1]

Core Viewpoint - WuXi Biologics (02269) shows strong performance with a stock price of HKD 26.4, up 1.54%, indicating continued capital inflow and strong short-term momentum [1] Technical Analysis - The stock is in a bullish pattern with key resistance at HKD 27.5; a breakthrough could lead to a challenge of HKD 29, while support is at HKD 24.7, presenting a potential buying opportunity [1] - The 10-day, 30-day, and 60-day moving averages are in a bullish arrangement, suggesting a positive medium-term trend [1] - The MACD has shown a golden cross and continues to expand, indicating further upward potential, although the RSI is nearing overbought levels [1] - Current technical signals include 15 buy signals, 6 neutral signals, and 3 sell signals [1] Product Performance - On June 6, 2025, WuXi Biologics' stock rose 7.1% over two days, leading to strong performance in related warrants, with UBS bull certificates (56751) rising 43% and JPMorgan bull certificates (57118) increasing by 38% [3] - For those optimistic about WuXi Biologics breaking through HKD 27.5, low-premium, high-leverage call options are recommended, such as HSBC call option (14447) with a strike price of HKD 29.15 [5] Investment Opportunities - In the bull certificate market, JPMorgan bull certificate (57118) offers a leverage of 4.4 times with a recovery price of HKD 22, while UBS bull certificate (56751) has a recovery price of HKD 22.5 [9] - For bearish strategies, UBS bear certificate (57177) provides 5 times leverage with a recovery price of HKD 30, and Societe Generale bear certificate (58298) also offers 5 times leverage with a recovery price of HKD 30.5 [9]

Core Viewpoint - China National Offshore Oil Corporation (CNOOC) shows a strong bullish trend with stock price steadily approaching resistance levels, reflecting increased market confidence [1][10]. Technical Analysis - CNOOC's stock closed at HKD 18.52, up 1.31%, continuing a stable upward trend, with the price recovering above all major moving averages [1]. - The stock has formed a bullish pattern, with a strong buy signal indicated by various technical indicators, including MACD and ADX [1][10]. - The RSI is at 69, nearing overbought territory, but not yet in extreme conditions, suggesting a healthy upward trend [3]. - The stock's volatility is manageable, with a 5-day amplitude of 3.6%, indicating no significant speculative activity [1]. Market Activity - Trading volume reached HKD 1.128 billion, indicating active market participation supporting the price increase [1]. - CNOOC's related derivatives have outperformed the stock, with notable gains in structured products like the Societe Generale bull certificate and HSBC call warrants [1][6]. Derivative Products - CNOOC's derivatives offer diverse investment options, with UBS and HSBC call warrants providing approximately 10x leverage, making them attractive for bullish strategies [6]. - The Societe Generale bull certificate leads with 7x leverage, offering an efficient tool for bullish investors [6]. Summary - CNOOC exhibits a clear bullish trend supported by healthy trading volume and positive indicator resonance, although caution is advised due to potential overbought signals and divergence risks [10].