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速递|DeepMind爆发科学家大逃亡,谷歌商业利益绑架AGI研究,核心论文遭6个月"冷冻禁令"
Z Finance· 2025-04-01 11:04
图片来源: DeepMind "如今再想公开发表像Transformer那样的论文,几乎是不可能的。"一位现任研究员感慨道。 据两位知情人士透露,DeepMind对涉及生成式AI的"战略性"论文设置了长达六个月的"冷却期",研 究人员还需说服多个团队,证明论文的发表价值。 一位接近公司的人士解释称,此举旨在减少研究 人员在"战略或商业上难以获批"的项目上浪费时间。他补充说,DeepMind每年仍发表数百篇论文, 并持续在顶级AI会议上保持影响力。 据七位现任及前任DeepMind研究人员透露,公司已引入更严格的审查机制和行政流程,显著提高了 论文发表的门槛。三位前员工表示, DeepMind尤其避免公开可能被竞争对手利用的技术创新,或可 能使谷歌Gemini大模型在对比中处于劣势的研究。 这一转变标志着DeepMind的战略重心从学术影响力向商业竞争力的倾斜。过去,该机构以发表突破 性论文和吸引全球顶尖AI人才著称——2017年谷歌研究人员发布的Transformer论文奠定了大语言模 型的基础,并直接推动了生成式AI的爆发。然而,随着OpenAI等竞争对手的崛起,DeepMind已成为 谷歌重振AI领导地位 ...
10年后,机器人数量或将超过人类
Huan Qiu Shi Bao· 2025-03-28 00:36
本报赴博鳌特派记者 陈子帅 在今年的博鳌亚洲论坛年会上,人工智能(AI)无疑是焦点话题之一。从技术创新到应用前景,再到 全球治理与合作,与会嘉宾们在思想交锋中探讨着AI发展的未来之路。作为论坛"AI界大咖"之一,中国 工程院院士、清华大学智能产业研究院(AIR)院长张亚勤在现场接受《环球时报》记者专访时表示, AI已经开启第四次工业革命,中国有机会成为这场智能革命的领军者。而未来10年,机器人的普及将 改变人类的生活生产方式。 实现这一场景的前提是机器人"大脑"的升级。张亚勤说,未来机器人的后台——"大脑"的80%都是相同 的,只是前台的表现形式——"四肢"不同。"与现在相比,这是一个巨大的改变。现在每个大模型、每 个特定任务的数据都不同,只有未来机器人拥有共同的'大脑',才能实现智能涌现的本质。" 当机器人数量超越人类后,我们的生活和生产方式将会出现重大改变吗?"这意味着生产力的大幅提 升,人们有了更多选择的自由。"张亚勤表示,200多年前工业革命的影响至今犹在——它使人们在工作 岗位上、在工厂流水线上付出大量时间,机器人革命有望改变这一情况——那些"必须性工作"将会减 少,10年后人们可能每周只工作两三天 ...
为什么未来不需要我们
Hu Xiu· 2025-03-28 00:06
Core Insights - The emergence of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) represents a significant shift in the relationship between labor and capital, potentially redefining human value in society [3][5][12] - The traditional social contract based on labor exchange for survival and dignity may collapse as AGI can perform all forms of labor, leading to a re-evaluation of human identity and worth [4][6][12] - The concentration of power and wealth may intensify, creating a static society where those with capital and AI resources dominate, while the majority become irrelevant [6][7][16] Group 1: Redefinition of Labor and Identity - AGI could replace human roles in various professions, leading to existential questions about personal identity and value [2][3] - The historical reliance on human labor for value creation will be challenged, as capital can directly purchase outcomes without human intermediaries [3][5] - The shift from labor-based identity to a focus on unique human experiences, values, and perspectives is essential for redefining human worth in an AGI-dominated world [11][18] Group 2: Power Dynamics and Social Structure - The rise of AGI may lead to a final transfer of power, eliminating the need for human resources in societal changes, which historically relied on human labor [5][6] - The potential for a static society where wealth and power are concentrated among a few who control AI technologies raises concerns about social mobility and equity [6][12] - The implications of AGI on governance could reduce the need for human involvement in political processes, risking the erosion of democratic checks and balances [6][7] Group 3: Human Value in an AGI World - The unique human traits of context understanding, value judgment, emotional depth, and creativity may become the new basis for human value as AGI takes over labor [8][10][11] - The challenge lies in maintaining human dignity and purpose in a world where traditional labor roles are obsolete [18][20] - The future may require a shift from viewing human value through the lens of productivity to recognizing the intrinsic worth of human experiences and perspectives [11][20] Group 4: Potential Paths Forward - Three potential paths are identified: adaptation to redefine identity, resistance through regulation and wealth redistribution, and transcendence via human-technology integration [19] - The urgency of addressing these challenges is emphasized, as the rapid advancement of AGI technology may outpace societal adaptation [15][16] - The choices made now will significantly influence the future societal structure and the role of humans in an AGI-driven world [14][20]
中国工程院院士张亚勤在博鳌接受《环球时报》专访:10年后,机器人数量或将超过人类
Huan Qiu Wang Zi Xun· 2025-03-27 23:12
Core Insights - Artificial Intelligence (AI) is a focal topic at the Boao Forum, with discussions on its technological innovations, application prospects, and global governance [1] - Zhang Yaqin, a prominent figure in AI, predicts that robots will outnumber humans in the next decade, significantly altering human lifestyles and production methods [2][3] Industry Trends - The next ten years will see a substantial increase in robot adoption, with costs comparable to smartphones, making them accessible to everyone [2] - Zhang Yaqin envisions that individuals may own an average of ten robots, which will serve various roles such as companions, secretaries, and drivers [2][3] Technological Development - Achieving advanced AI capabilities requires a significant upgrade in the "brains" of robots, with 80% of their backend being similar, differing only in their physical forms [2][3] - The path to achieving Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is outlined in three stages: information intelligence, physical intelligence, and biological intelligence, with a timeline of 15 to 20 years [4] Economic Impact - The anticipated robot revolution could lead to a drastic reduction in mandatory work hours, potentially allowing people to work only two to three days a week [3] - The fourth industrial revolution, driven by AI, presents an opportunity for China to become a leader, contrasting its previous roles in earlier industrial revolutions [5] Global Cooperation and Risks - The forum highlighted the importance of balancing AI application and governance, emphasizing the need for international consensus and cooperation, especially for developing countries [6][7] - Zhang Yaqin warns against "AI isolation," where different countries develop separate AI systems, which could hinder global progress and exacerbate inequalities [7]
一文看懂多模态思维链
量子位· 2025-03-25 00:59
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the emergence of Multimodal Chain of Thought (MCoT) as a significant advancement in AI, enabling it to process and reason across various modalities such as images, audio, and text, thereby enhancing its reasoning capabilities to be more human-like [1][4][17]. Summary by Sections MCoT Overview - MCoT represents a shift from traditional Chain of Thought (CoT) by integrating multiple sensory inputs, allowing AI to perform complex reasoning tasks that reflect real-world scenarios [2][3][4]. - The development of MCoT is a collaborative effort from researchers at several prestigious institutions, addressing the lack of comprehensive reviews in this field [5]. MCoT Methodology - MCoT's success relies on a systematic methodology comprising six technical pillars, enhancing the precision and fluency of academic expression [7]. 1. Reasoning Construction Perspective - Prompt-based: Utilizes carefully designed multimodal instruction templates to guide models in generating reasoning chains in few-shot scenarios [8]. - Plan-based: Constructs dynamic reasoning paths, allowing models to explore multiple hypotheses and select optimal solutions [8]. - Learning-based: Embeds reasoning tasks during training to enhance the model's intrinsic reasoning capabilities [8]. 2. Structured Reasoning Perspective - Asynchronous Modality Modeling: Decouples perception and reasoning modules to improve modular efficiency [10]. - Defined Procedure Staging: Employs predefined procedural rules to ensure orderly reasoning processes [10]. - Autonomous Procedure Staging: Dynamically generates sub-task sequences based on task requirements [10]. 3. Information Enhancement Perspective - Expert Tools Integration: Combines specialized tools to improve task accuracy and practicality [12]. - World Knowledge Retrieval: Utilizes retrieval-augmented generation techniques to enrich model background information [12]. - In-context Knowledge Retrieval: Analyzes entity relationships within task contexts to enhance logical consistency [12]. 4. Target Granularity Perspective - Introduces multimodal thinking processes to improve interpretability and intuitiveness in reasoning tasks [14]. - Coarse Understanding: Focuses on macro-level scene understanding [14]. - Semantic Grounding: Achieves mid-level analysis by detecting specific object locations [14]. - Fine-grained Understanding: Conducts micro-level analysis for precise segmentation [14]. 5. Multimodal Rationale - Emphasizes the importance of reasoning across multiple modalities to enhance AI's cognitive capabilities [15]. 6. Testing and Expansion Perspective - Slow-Thinking Mechanism: Encourages deep reasoning through long-chain examples and diverse reasoning paths [16]. - Reinforcement Learning Optimization: Guides reasoning processes with reward functions to improve performance in complex tasks [16]. Applications and Future Challenges - MCoT is already influencing various sectors, including robotics, autonomous driving, healthcare, creative generation, and education [17][25]. - Key challenges for MCoT's future development include: 1. Efficient use of computational resources, requiring algorithm improvements and hardware optimization [18][19]. 2. The chain effect of reasoning errors, necessitating real-time error detection and correction algorithms [20][21]. 3. Ethical concerns regarding content credibility, prompting the need for content verification frameworks [22][23]. 4. The diversity of task scenarios, which calls for cross-domain evaluation systems to enhance MCoT's applicability [24].
蔡浩宇,下一个梁文锋?
投中网· 2025-03-23 04:35
以下文章来源于凤凰网科技 ,作者凤凰网科技 凤凰网科技 . 凤凰科技频道官方账号,带你直击真相。 将投中网设为"星标⭐",第一时间收获最新推送 行业当前对Anuttacon的争议,主要聚焦在其能有多大的创新,这决定了蔡浩宇能不能匹配上"下一 个梁文锋"的称号。 作者丨董雨晴 来源丨凤凰网科技 "这是紧急求救信号""来自盖亚星球的广播""如果你收到这个,请立即回复"。 2025年3月,一款科幻题材互动游戏在X平台上发布了部分片段,很快引发了讨论。 根据预告,玩家会在这款游戏中体验一种前所未有的AI驱动角色玩法,其核心机制是以实时对话推 动剧情发展,玩家的任务是帮在外星球上的女主角Stella找到回家的路。 AI游戏本不新鲜,新鲜的是,这款游戏背后的掌舵者,是米哈游创始人蔡浩宇。 凤 凰 网 科 技 了 解 到 , 去 年 9 月 , AI 行 业 收 到 了 一 条 英 雄 帖 。 蔡 浩 宇 二 次 创 业 创 办 的 新 公 司 Anuttacon,向行业广纳精英,重点招聘预训练与LLM人才,办公地点则是在硅谷。 一位接触过Anuttacon的投资行业人士在当时向投资界表示,Anuttacon早期是做AI+ ...
杨立昆“砸场”英伟达:不太认同黄仁勋,目前大模型的推理方式根本是错的,token 不是表示物理世界的正确方式|GTC 2025
AI科技大本营· 2025-03-21 06:35
责编 | 王启隆 出品丨AI 科技大本营(ID:rgznai100) 黄教主的演讲 感觉才没过几天,今年的 GTC 英伟达大会也即将迎来尾声了。 而今年比尔·达利则是对话"AI 教父" 杨立昆 (Yann LeCun),很有前后呼应的感觉。 但 GTC 并不只有黄仁勋和杨立昆,还有许多精彩的演讲与对话,比方说: ………… 接下来的一段时间, CSDN AI 科技大本营 将会在「 GTC 2025 大师谈 」栏目持续更新这些精华内容的全文整理,尽情期待。 比尔·达利 自己就在采访杨立昆之后进行了一场 演讲 ,系统性地讲解了英伟达 2024 一整年的四大项目进展,内容干货很多; OpenAI o1 作者 诺姆·布朗 (Noam Brown)和英伟达的 AI 科学家来了一场 对话 ,他认为现在 AI 圈最需要来一场革命的,就是这些五花八 门的 基准测试 (Benchmark),而且改这个东西还不需要花太多算力资源; 2018 年诺贝尔化学奖得主 弗朗西斯·阿诺德 (Frances Arnold)围绕 AI for Sciense 还有蛋白质工程进行了一场相当硬核的 圆桌对话 ; UC 伯克利教授 彼得·阿比尔 (P ...
深度|前谷歌高管Mo Gawdat万字访谈:AI将重新定义经济学、工作、人生目标和人际关系
Z Potentials· 2025-03-20 02:56
Core Insights - The essence of AI has evolved from basic image recognition to a revolution in unsupervised learning, indicating a significant leap in capabilities and understanding [3][4][6] - The acceleration of AI performance is governed by a law of accelerating returns, with capabilities doubling approximately every 5.9 months, leading to exponential growth in intelligence [3][46] - The emergence of AI technologies like ChatGPT marks a pivotal moment in public awareness and interaction with AI, akin to the introduction of the Netscape browser for the internet [10][11] AI Development Milestones - The first major realization of AI's potential occurred around 2007 with Google's advancements, particularly highlighted by the "cat paper" which demonstrated unsupervised learning [3][4] - A second significant moment was in 2016, when breakthroughs in reinforcement learning and deep learning led to revolutionary training methods for machines, exemplified by AlphaGo's success [11][13] - The concept of AI as a tool for enhancing human intelligence is emphasized, with the potential for individuals to significantly increase their cognitive capabilities through effective use of AI [46][48] Skills Required in the AI Era - Three essential skills for thriving in the AI era are identified: mastering AI as a tool, engaging in truth-seeking debates, and fostering human connections [46][49] - The importance of human connection is highlighted, as businesses that prioritize genuine human interaction will likely outperform those relying solely on AI [49][50] Ethical and Philosophical Considerations - The discussion touches on the ethical implications of AI development, emphasizing that the true challenge lies not in the technology itself but in the values and motivations driving its evolution [38][40] - The potential for AI to surpass human intelligence raises questions about decision-making authority and the implications of transferring critical decisions to AI systems [42][43] Future Outlook - Predictions suggest that Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) could emerge as early as 2025, with profound implications for society and human interaction with technology [38][41] - The narrative warns against the dangers of a singular focus on AI's capabilities without addressing the underlying human values that shape its development and application [40][41]
蔡崇信最新访谈全文:为什么我们对AI如此兴奋?
YOUNG财经 漾财经· 2025-03-17 10:55
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is that AI is expected to create a market space of up to $10 trillion by potentially replacing 20% of human labor and reducing costs by 20% [2][9] - Key industries that will benefit from the AI revolution include e-commerce, cloud computing, advertising, and financial analysis [2][10] - The company aims to adopt a startup mentality to enhance agility and responsiveness in a competitive e-commerce landscape [3][4] Group 2 - The company emphasizes the importance of empowering younger management team members to make decisions and learn from mistakes [5][7] - The AI strategy is closely linked to the company's cloud computing business, which will benefit from AI deployment across various use cases [10][11] - The pursuit of Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) is seen as a philosophical challenge, with implications for understanding human intelligence limits [12][19] Group 3 - The article discusses the diminishing value of developing the smartest AI in isolation, emphasizing the need for practical applications in real-world scenarios [20][21] - Open-source models are highlighted as a means to democratize AI capabilities, allowing a wider range of developers to innovate [20][21] - The company believes that AI will enhance rather than replace human jobs, improving the quality of work in fields like equity research and law [22]
微软和OpenAI,是如何渐行渐远的?
创业邦· 2025-03-17 09:05
Core Viewpoint - The relationship between Microsoft and OpenAI has evolved from a close partnership to a strategic distancing, driven by changing ambitions and financial pressures on both sides [2][4][29]. Group 1: Investment and Partnership History - In July 2019, Microsoft invested $1 billion in OpenAI, establishing itself as the exclusive cloud provider and preferred commercialization partner [5]. - By early 2023, Microsoft announced an additional investment of approximately $10 billion, increasing its stake in OpenAI to about 49% and gaining exclusive commercialization rights to OpenAI's technology [6]. - The partnership led to significant developments, including the exclusive licensing of the GPT-3 model and the launch of AI products like GitHub Copilot and Azure OpenAI Service [6][7]. Group 2: Recent Developments and Tensions - In November 2023, OpenAI's board unexpectedly fired CEO Sam Altman, causing shockwaves in the tech community and raising concerns within Microsoft about OpenAI's stability [7][9]. - Following Altman's brief dismissal, Microsoft gained a non-voting observer seat on OpenAI's board, but tensions grew as Microsoft executives expressed worries about over-reliance on OpenAI [9][10]. - OpenAI's financial struggles became apparent, with projected losses of $5 billion in 2024 and soaring computing costs, prompting OpenAI to seek renegotiations of its exclusive agreement with Microsoft [9][10]. Group 3: Strategic Shifts and Future Plans - OpenAI began diversifying its investor base, securing $6.6 billion in funding in October 2024, with participation from Nvidia and other investors, reducing Microsoft's dominant role [10][11]. - The "Stargate" project, announced in January 2025, aims to establish a $500 billion data center initiative to support OpenAI's computing needs, marking a significant shift in its reliance on Microsoft [11][13]. - By 2030, the Stargate project is expected to fulfill 75% of OpenAI's computing requirements, fundamentally altering its dependency on Microsoft [13][14]. Group 4: Microsoft's Independent AI Strategy - Microsoft has initiated a strategy to reduce its dependency on OpenAI by developing its own AI capabilities, including hiring key personnel from AI startups [18][20]. - The company is testing models from various AI firms to create alternatives to OpenAI's technology, reflecting a cautious approach to its partnership [21][28]. - Despite the evolving relationship, Microsoft retains significant commercial interests, holding a 49% stake in OpenAI and the right to a 75% profit share until its investment is recouped [16][29].