华尔街巨头警告，美元指数未来一年将跌9%。 据报道，摩根士丹利策略师团队在最新报告中预测，美元将在明年年中跌至新冠疫情期间的低位水平。 该行预计，美元指数将在未来一年内下跌约9%，跌至91附近，主要驱动因素是美联储的降息周期和经济放缓。 以Matthew Hornbach为首的策略师团队在5月31日的研究报告中指出： "我们认为利率和货币市场已经开启了可持续的重大趋势——在经历了两年的宽幅区间震荡交易后，美元将大幅走低，收益率曲线将显 著变陡。" 大摩还在报告中表示，欧元、日元、瑞郎将成为美元走软的最大受益者。 周一，美元对一篮子货币走低，美元指数下跌超0.7%，最低触及98.68，似乎也印证了市场对美元前景的谨慎态度。与此同时，欧元升至一个月高 位，英镑来到1.3550，美元/日元跌至142.80附近。 值得注意的是，摩根士丹利的分析报告呼应了市场上质疑美元前景的声音。 摩根大通策略师团队在上周也向投资者表达了对美元的看空立场，转而建议投资者将资金配置到日元、欧元和澳元等货币上。 "央行降息+经济放缓"，美元将走软 根据大摩的预测，美联储将在未来实施175个基点的降息，这将对美元构成重大压力。 该行预计，1 ...

Core Viewpoint - Australia's first quarter GDP data is expected to show weak growth due to low consumer demand and declining business investment, which may reinforce expectations for interest rate cuts by the central bank [1] Economic Growth - The GDP growth for the first quarter is anticipated to be 0.4% quarter-on-quarter, leading to an annual growth rate of 1.5% [1] Contributing Factors - Growth in trade, government spending, and residential investment are expected to contribute positively to the GDP figures [1]

Group 1 - The South African Rand reached an intraday high following a 25 basis points interest rate cut by the South African Reserve Bank, which was in line with market expectations [1]

金十数据5月29日讯，荷兰国际集团高级经济学家Min Joo Kang在一份报告中写道，韩国央行可能在下 半年再降息两次，到2025年底将政策利率降至2.0%，以支撑疲软的经济。在韩国央行将2025年韩国经 济增长预期从1.5%下调至0.8%，并将基准利率下调0.25个百分点至2.50%后，Kang表示："韩国央行现 在的重点是促进增长，而不是抑制通胀。"她说，高于预期的美国关税预计将抑制出口，而低迷的建筑 投资预计将破坏今年的整体经济增长。 荷兰国际：韩国央行下半年可能再降息两次 ...

韩国央行降息25个基点至2.5%，符合预期。 ...

智通财经5月28日电，新西兰央行现金利率预测显示，其将至少再降息25个基点。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) is considering extending trading hours to enhance market activity and liquidity for investors, following similar moves by other global exchanges [1][2][3]. Group 1: Indonesian Stock Exchange Developments - IDX is exploring the addition of a third daily trading session, currently in preliminary discussions with market stakeholders [2][3]. - The proposal aims to provide greater flexibility for investors without increasing the number of trading days [2][3]. - Previous adjustments have already been made, extending the closing time from 3:00 PM to 4:00 PM Jakarta time [3]. Group 2: Global Exchange Trends - Nasdaq plans to introduce 24-hour trading services by 2026, responding to growing demand from global investors [3][4]. - The Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) announced plans for 24-hour trading pending regulatory approval [5]. - The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) aims to extend trading hours to 22 hours on weekdays, pending regulatory approval [5]. Group 3: Monetary Policy and Economic Context - The Indonesian central bank recently cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.5% to stabilize inflation and support economic growth [6]. - This marks the second rate cut in 2023, following a reduction from 6% to 5.75% earlier in the year [6]. - A memorandum of understanding was signed between the central banks of China and Indonesia to promote bilateral currency settlement, expanding the scope of cooperation [7].

Group 1 - The Indonesian Stock Exchange (IDX) is considering extending trading hours to enhance market activity and provide greater flexibility for investors [2][3] - The proposal aims to add a third trading session without increasing the number of trading days, while still adhering to the national calendar and central bank's working hours [2][3] - Iman Rachman, the IDX president, emphasized the need for strategic adjustments based on a clear understanding of the target market and ongoing discussions with market participants [3] Group 2 - Other global exchanges, such as Nasdaq and the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), are also exploring extended trading hours, with Nasdaq planning a 24-hour trading service by the second half of 2026, pending regulatory approval [3][4] - The New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) announced plans to extend trading hours to 22 hours per day for its fully electronic trading platform, pending regulatory approval [5][6] - The Tokyo Stock Exchange has already extended its trading hours by 30 minutes to improve market efficiency, resulting in a total trading time of 5.5 hours [6] Group 3 - The Indonesian central bank recently cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.5% to stabilize inflation and support economic growth, marking the second rate cut this year [7] - The central bank aims to maintain inflation within a target range of 2.5%±1% for 2025 and 2026, while also promoting digital economy and inclusive finance [7] - A memorandum of understanding was signed between the central banks of China and Indonesia to enhance bilateral currency settlement cooperation, expanding the scope to include capital and financial accounts [8]

欧洲央行会议纪要：部分成员表示，他们可能会对50个基点的降息感到满意。 ...

金十数据5月22日讯，汇丰全球研究的两位经济学家表示，继周三降息25个基点后，印尼央行可能在未 来几个季度进一步降息100个基点。汇丰预计，2025年第三季度将降息25个基点，2025年第四季度将降 息50个基点，2026年第一季度将降息25个基点，使政策利率达到4.50%。印尼的"增长与通胀的组合显 然支持在财政可能无法解决所有增长问题的情况下进一步放松利率。"印度央行可能需要做一些繁重的 工作来支持经济增长，这可能需要印度央行比以往给予印尼盾更多自由度。 汇丰：印尼央行可能在未来几个季度进一步降息100个基点 ...