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Top economist says ‘get ready for markets' ballistic phase'
Finbold· 2025-09-17 14:40
Core Viewpoint - Financial markets are expected to enter a "ballistic phase" following the Federal Reserve's anticipated rate cut, despite potential short-term volatility and pullbacks [1][2]. Market Dynamics - The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is expected to implement its first rate cut of the current cycle to alleviate pressure on consumers and businesses [1]. - This pivot may lead to increased liquidity, potentially driving equity markets higher, although initial reactions may not reflect the longer-term trend [2]. Economic Disconnection - There is a growing disconnect between financial markets and the real economy, with stock indices, particularly the S&P 500, rising due to trends like artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency enthusiasm [3]. - Despite market optimism, the labor market is showing signs of strain, including declining job openings, rising unemployment, and increasing consumer stress due to the cost of living [3][4]. Analyst Perspectives - Analysts at large financial institutions may be misinterpreting the current situation by focusing on asset prices and monetary policy rather than the struggles of ordinary households [4]. - A recession is viewed as inevitable, despite the short-term market exuberance that may follow the Fed's rate cut, highlighting the unsustainable nature of the optimism on Wall Street compared to the challenges faced by Main Street [4][5].
Bullish涨超4%,获纽约BitLicense牌照
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-17 13:58
Group 1 - The core point of the article is that the cryptocurrency trading platform Bullish has gained over 4% in early trading after receiving the New York BitLicense, which will allow the company to expand into the U.S. market [1]
【财闻联播】大牛股公告:明日复牌!“韩流”入华面临阻碍?外交部回应
券商中国· 2025-09-17 12:19
Macro Dynamics - The Chinese Foreign Ministry commented on the recent postponement or cancellation of concerts by Korean artists in China, indicating that China does not oppose healthy cultural exchanges between China and South Korea [2] Industry Developments - The Ministry of Commerce announced the establishment of five industry standardization technical committees, including those for automotive circulation and pharmaceutical circulation [3] Financial Data - The Ministry of Finance reported that from January to August 2025, the securities transaction stamp duty reached 118.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 81.7% [4] - The retail sales of passenger cars in China from September 1 to 14 totaled 732,000 units, a year-on-year decrease of 4%, while the cumulative retail sales for the year reached 15.497 million units, a year-on-year increase of 9% [5][6] Market Performance - On September 17, the A-share market saw all three major indices rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.37% and the ChiNext Index up 1.95%. The total trading volume was approximately 23,767.46 billion yuan [9] - The financing balance of the two markets increased by 22.54 billion yuan, with the Shanghai Stock Exchange reporting a balance of 1,205.86 billion yuan and the Shenzhen Stock Exchange reporting 1,162.11 billion yuan [10] Company News - Xinhua Insurance reported a cumulative original insurance premium income of 158.086 billion yuan from January to August 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21% [8] - Tempus Co., Ltd. announced that its stock will resume trading on September 18, 2025, after a significant price increase, but noted uncertainties regarding control changes and potential risks of a rapid decline in stock price [13] - Peak's chairman denied reports of a company-wide salary reduction, stating that the overall reduction was less than 10% and not applicable to all employees [14] - Mindray Medical responded to rumors of a potential secondary listing in Hong Kong, confirming that it would rely on official announcements for information [15]
21Shares Reaches 50 Listed Crypto ETPs in Europe with Launch of Two New Products
Globenewswire· 2025-09-17 07:00
Core Insights - 21Shares has launched two new physically backed crypto ETPs, reaching a total of 50 listed ETPs in Europe, solidifying its position as the largest issuer in the market [1][3][2] - The company manages over $11 billion in assets under management (AUM), demonstrating the scale and resilience of its product offerings [2][3] Company Overview - 21Shares is recognized as one of the leading providers of cryptocurrency exchange-traded products (ETPs), offering the largest suite of physically backed crypto ETPs globally [4] - Founded to enhance accessibility to cryptocurrency for investors, 21Shares aims to bridge traditional finance with decentralized finance [4] New Product Launches - The 21Shares Artificial Superintelligence Alliance ETP (AFET) provides exposure to a decentralized AI ecosystem, while the 21Shares Raydium ETP (ARAY) offers access to Raydium, a leading decentralized exchange protocol [6] - These new ETPs are designed to democratize access to innovative sectors within the crypto economy [6]
全美楼市低迷不振,AI创富神话下硅谷上演“逆周期”狂奔
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-09-17 03:32
目前硅谷楼市中,每四笔交易中就有一笔是以全现金完成。 美国房地产市场的低迷态势仍在延续,但硅谷地区却上演着火热景象。 根据全美住房建筑商协会(NAHB)9月16日发布的数据,九月份房屋建筑商信心指数持续徘徊于低 位。该月有65%的建筑商提供了某种形式的购房优惠,报告降价的建筑商比例达到39%,为疫情以来的 最高水平。 然而,硅谷却呈现出截然不同的景气度。"我有时与得克萨斯州等地的同行交流,当我提到硅谷的房屋 成交价始终高于挂牌价时,他们都感到难以置信。"美国房产经纪公司Compass经纪人、硅谷房地产经 纪人协会全球商业理事会主席马克·王(Mark Wong)告诉第一财经记者。 "硅谷最不缺的就是现金买家" 尽管美国房地产市场整体趋于停滞,湾区尤其是硅谷的住房市场却依然价格高企。根据房地产信息提供 商Realtor.com,在旧金山,购房者需年收入达到26.3万美元才可负担中位价房屋,圣何塞的这一门槛更 是高达37万美元。 深耕北加州市场二十年的加州佩隆居地产(Pellego)合伙人甄勇斌(Barry Zhen)向第一财经记者举例 称:"距离硅谷约一小时车程的都柏林(Dublin),2024年人口流入增长率高 ...
400亿美元!特朗普访英,美科技巨头齐“下注”英国
Ge Long Hui A P P· 2025-09-17 02:37
Group 1: Core Agreement and Investment Overview - The UK and the US have reached a landmark "Tech Prosperity Deal," with US tech giants committing to invest over £31 billion ($42.3 billion) in AI systems, quantum computing, and other tech projects in the UK [1][7] - Microsoft plans to invest $30 billion in the UK from 2025 to 2028, including $15.5 billion in additional capital and $15.1 billion in local operations, marking its largest financial commitment in the UK [2] - Other tech companies, including Nvidia, Google, OpenAI, and Salesforce, have also announced significant investments in the UK, contributing to the overall commitment under the Tech Prosperity Deal [3][5] Group 2: Company-Specific Investments - Nvidia will invest approximately $15 billion in the UK, deploying 120,000 Blackwell GPU chips, the largest deployment in Europe to date [3] - Google plans to invest around $6.8 billion in the UK over the next two years, including the establishment of a new data center in Waltham Cross, expected to create 8,250 jobs [3] - Salesforce has increased its investment in the UK to $6 billion, up from a previous commitment of $4 billion [5] Group 3: Strategic Implications - The investments are aimed at making the UK a leader in AI development rather than just a user, as stated by Nvidia's European sales head [3] - The Tech Prosperity Deal is expected to enhance collaboration in AI, quantum computing, and civil nuclear energy, supporting economic growth and scientific research between the two nations [7][8] - The agreement also includes commitments to develop AI models for healthcare and expand quantum computing capabilities [7]
423亿美元!特朗普访英,美科技巨头齐“下注”英国
Ge Long Hui· 2025-09-17 02:18
Group 1 - The core point of the news is the announcement of a "Tech Prosperity Deal" between the UK and the US, which will see major American tech companies invest over £31 billion ($42.3 billion) in the UK for AI systems, quantum computing, and other tech projects [1][10][11] Group 2 - Microsoft plans to invest $30 billion in the UK from 2025 to 2028, including $15.5 billion in additional capital and $15.1 billion in local operations, marking its largest financial commitment in the UK [2][3] - This investment will support the construction of the UK's largest supercomputer, equipped with over 23,000 advanced GPU chips, in collaboration with UK cloud computing company Nscale [3] Group 3 - Nvidia announced an investment of approximately $15 billion in the UK, partnering with Nscale and CoreWeave to deploy 120,000 Blackwell GPU chips, marking the largest deployment in Europe [5] - Google plans to invest around $6.8 billion in the UK over the next two years for AI, R&D, and related engineering, including the establishment of a new data center in Waltham Cross [6][7] Group 4 - OpenAI will invest in the UK through the "Stargate UK" initiative, planning to deploy up to 8,000 GPUs initially, with potential expansion to about 31,000 GPUs [7] - Salesforce has increased its investment in the UK to $6 billion, up from a previously committed $4 billion in 2023 [7] Group 5 - CoreWeave has added £1.5 billion to its investment in the UK, bringing its total investment over the past year to £250 million, and plans to collaborate with DataVita to build a large AI data center powered by renewable energy [7] - Oracle and Amazon Web Services have also reaffirmed or announced multi-billion-pound investment commitments to the UK [7]
陆家嘴财经早餐2025年9月17日星期三
Wind万得· 2025-09-16 22:28
Group 1 - The Ministry of Commerce and nine other departments released policies to expand service consumption, proposing five areas with 19 measures, including eight related to "high-quality service supply" [2] - The document emphasizes the launch of "Service Consumption Season" activities and support for high-quality consumption resources collaborating with well-known IPs [2] - It also mentions the expansion of pilot programs in telecommunications, healthcare, and education, as well as optimizing student holiday arrangements [2] Group 2 - U.S. President Trump announced plans to speak with Chinese leaders, highlighting the strategic importance of leader-level diplomacy in U.S.-China relations [3] - Chinese Premier Li Qiang emphasized innovation-driven and green development during his research trip in Gansu and Qinghai [3] - The People's Bank of China Governor pointed out the inherent instability of a single country's currency as a global public good and discussed the evolution of the international monetary system [3] Group 3 - The Ministry of Agriculture reported that China's grain production exceeded 1.4 trillion jin last year, an increase of 74 billion jin from 2020 [4] - The revenue of large-scale agricultural product processing enterprises reached approximately 18 trillion yuan [4] - The Ministry reiterated the prohibition of urban residents purchasing rural housing and land [4] Group 4 - The A-share market saw fluctuations with the three major indices closing higher, particularly in the robotics sector, while some sectors like rare earth and insurance stocks declined [5] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index slightly decreased, while the Hang Seng Technology Index rose [6] - Chery Automobile plans to launch an IPO aiming for a valuation of 140 billion HKD, potentially becoming the largest car company IPO in Hong Kong this year [6] Group 5 - The construction of the world's largest ±800 kV UHVDC transmission project has begun, with a total investment of approximately 53.2 billion yuan [9] - Guangdong Province introduced an action plan to empower the toy industry with AI, targeting a revenue of 100 billion yuan by 2027 [9] Group 6 - Cloudfin announced a placement of 191 million new shares to raise approximately 1.17 billion HKD for virtual asset trading services [10] - The Malta Financial Services Authority opposed proposals for increased EU regulatory powers over cryptocurrency companies [10] - Citibank released a report predicting Ethereum's price targets, indicating potential overvaluation due to ETF inflows [10] Group 7 - The U.S. Senate narrowly confirmed the nomination of Milan to the Federal Reserve Board, allowing him to participate in upcoming meetings [13] - The U.S. retail sales in August increased by 0.6%, marking the third consecutive month of exceeding expectations [16] - The Canadian CPI in August rose by 1.9%, below the expected 2% [16] Group 8 - The onshore RMB against the USD closed at 7.1163, appreciating by 65 basis points [22] - The U.S. dollar index fell by 0.73%, with most non-USD currencies appreciating [22]
都以为赵长鹏完了,结果他用531亿,买了张“最贵门票”
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 15:58
Core Insights - Zhao Changpeng, the founder of Binance, has made a remarkable comeback after facing a $53.1 billion fine and a four-month imprisonment, showcasing his ability to adapt and seize opportunities in a changing political landscape [1][20][29] Group 1: Company Background and Growth - Binance was founded in 2017 by Zhao Changpeng, who quickly established the platform as a leader in the cryptocurrency space, achieving a net profit of $2 billion within six months of its launch [3][19] - The platform's rapid user growth, with 250,000 new users daily, exemplified the "China speed" in the tech industry [3] - Zhao's initial belief in the power of technology to disrupt traditional finance led him to operate Binance without a physical headquarters, challenging existing regulatory frameworks [5][7] Group 2: Regulatory Challenges and Strategic Decisions - The U.S. government took action against Binance in 2021, citing over a dozen charges, primarily focusing on anti-money laundering violations, which highlighted the clash between innovative technology and regulatory compliance [9][20] - Zhao's decision to accept the hefty fine was a strategic retreat, allowing him to maintain a foothold in the global market rather than face total destruction of wealth and freedom [23][29] - Following the fine, a shift in U.S. political attitudes towards cryptocurrency occurred, with the new administration aiming to position the U.S. as a global hub for digital currencies, benefiting Zhao's strategic positioning [25][29] Group 3: Personal Journey and Adaptation - Zhao's life story reflects a unique ability to identify and capitalize on opportunities, transitioning from a technical idealist to a political realist [11][31] - His experiences illustrate the importance of adapting to political realities, as he learned that technological advancements cannot exist independently of regulatory frameworks [33][38] - The transformation in Zhao's approach serves as a valuable lesson for other innovators, emphasizing the need for both technical prowess and political acumen in achieving success in a globalized economy [38][40]
报道:阿联酋20亿美元投资“特朗普家族核心代币公司”后,白宫允许GPU销售
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-09-16 13:33
Core Insights - The UAE has invested $2 billion in World Liberty Financial, a cryptocurrency company linked to the Trump family, which has led to the U.S. approving the sale of advanced AI chips to the UAE [1] - The number of chips sold to the UAE is expected to increase from approximately 100,000 per year to 500,000 over the next few years, with 20% going to G42, a company directly controlled by the UAE leader [1] - In return for the chip sales, the UAE has committed to investing hundreds of billions of dollars in U.S. industrial growth over the next decade, including in the AI sector [1] Group 1 - The UAE's investment in World Liberty Financial provides the company with $2 billion in bank deposits, facilitating its investment in Binance [1] - Key figures involved in the transactions include Steve Witkoff, who is both a special envoy for Trump in the Middle East and a co-founder of World Liberty Financial, and David Sacks, who is responsible for AI and cryptocurrency affairs in the government [2] - David Sacks has significant connections in Silicon Valley and the Middle East, and his venture firm, Craft Ventures, has early investors that include the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority [2] Group 2 - The chips being sold to the UAE are described as the most advanced products on the market [1] - The agreement indicates a strategic partnership between the U.S. and UAE, focusing on technological advancements and economic growth [1] - The involvement of high-profile individuals from the Trump administration highlights the intersection of politics and business in these transactions [2]