多地发布"136"号文衔接机制，风光抢装潮持续 [Table_Industry] —电力行业 4 月月报 [Table_ReportDate] 2025 年 6 月 6 日 证券研究报告 行业研究 [行业月报 Table_ReportType] 电电力行业 投资评级 看好 上次评级 看好 [Table_Author] 左前明 能源行业首席分析师 执业编号：S1500518070001 联系电话：011-83326712 邮 箱：zuoqianming@cindasc.com 李春驰 电力公用行业联席首席分析师 执业编号：S1500522070001 联系电话：011-83326723 邮 箱： lichunchi@cindasc.com 化工行业： 邢秦浩 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500524080001 联系电话：010-83326712 邮 箱：xingqinhao@cindasc.com 唐婵玉 电力公用分析师 执业编号：S1500525050001 邮 箱：tangchanyu@cindasc.com 信达证券股份有限公司 CINDA SECURITIES CO.,LTD 北京市西城区宣武门西大 ...

Group 1 - The article discusses the implementation of the "Implementation Opinions" issued by the National Energy Administration to deepen the management of electricity business qualifications and better serve the construction of a new power system [1][2] - The necessity for reform is highlighted, emphasizing the need to optimize the market access environment and support the high-quality development of the electricity industry in light of ongoing reforms and the construction of a new power system [2][3] Group 2 - Key measures proposed include improving institutional norms, optimizing market access for new business entities, and adjusting access conditions to stimulate the vitality of various ownership entities in the electricity sector [3] - Strengthening regulatory oversight is emphasized, focusing on key areas such as generation, transmission, and distribution, while ensuring fair access to the electricity market [3][4] - Enhancing service levels through the optimization of qualification and credit information systems, expanding data sharing, and providing expedited processing for major projects is also a focal point [3][4] Group 3 - The implementation of the "Implementation Opinions" requires collaboration among relevant departments and enterprises, with clear responsibilities outlined for the National Energy Administration and provincial electricity authorities [4] - A mechanism for coordination and supervision of qualification management is to be established, ensuring compliance and enhancing the quality and efficiency of the licensing process [4]

Core Viewpoint - The recent notification from the National Energy Administration aims to promote the construction of a new power system through seven key directions, which is expected to improve the consumption situation of renewable energy and benefit leading national renewable energy generation companies [2][3]. Group 1: Market Performance - As of June 6, 2025, the China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy Index (932037) increased by 0.19%, with notable gains from Yunnan Copper (000878) at 1.61% and China Power Construction (601669) at 1.48% [1]. - The National State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF (561790) rose by 0.28%, with a recent price of 1.06 yuan, and has accumulated a 1.93% increase over the past month [1]. Group 2: Policy Impact - The notification outlines seven focus areas for pilot projects, including grid-structured technology, system-friendly renewable power plants, smart microgrids, and virtual power plants, which are expected to catalyze advancements in the energy sector [2]. - The emphasis on clean and efficient transformation of coal power units is anticipated to stimulate demand for zero-carbon and low-carbon fuels, aiding the successful transition of coal power and enhancing profitability and valuation [2][3]. Group 3: ETF Performance Metrics - The China Securities National New State-Owned Enterprises Modern Energy ETF has recorded a maximum monthly return of 10.03% since its inception, with an average monthly return of 3.17% and a historical one-year profit probability of 76.10% [3]. - As of June 5, 2025, the ETF's maximum drawdown this year was 7.91%, with a management fee of 0.50% and a custody fee of 0.10%, making it one of the lowest in its category [3]. Group 4: Top Holdings - As of May 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the index accounted for 51.1%, with Changjiang Electric (600900) leading at 10.48% [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - The company held a performance briefing on June 5, 2025, to discuss its Q1 2025 results and address investor concerns regarding its financial health and operational strategies [1][2]. Group 1: Performance and Financial Health - The company reported a significant increase in net profit for Q1 2025, despite a high debt ratio of 81.78%, down from 85.17% at the beginning of the year [3][4]. - The company reassured investors that its operations are normal and management is committed to enhancing company value [3]. - The company is actively working on measures to improve operational efficiency and profitability to further reduce the debt ratio [3]. Group 2: Corporate Governance and Strategy - Investors raised concerns about the independence of the company’s finances, particularly regarding transactions with its controlling shareholder, Clean Energy Group, which the company defended as necessary for stable coal supply and cost savings [3][4]. - The company is progressing with the "one enterprise, one policy" reform plan approved by local government, aimed at enhancing its development in the new energy sector [4][5]. - The company plans to respond to national policies on new power systems and will implement relevant measures in accordance with legal regulations [5]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The management expressed optimism about improving operational conditions and achieving profitability, while also seeking new profit growth points [5][6]. - The company emphasized its commitment to transparency and will disclose further details in future reports [5][6].

存处于高位状态。硅片企业前期采购的多晶硅尚未完全消化，导致库存积压，对市场价格形成明显压制。 免责声明 操作中长线依旧高空为主。 何保证，据此投资，责任自负。本报告不构成个人投资建议，客户应考虑本报告中的任何意见或建议是否符合其特定状况。本 报告版权仅为我公司所有，未经书面许可，任何机构和个人不得以任何形式翻版、复制和发布。如引用、刊发，需注明出处为 瑞达期货股份有限公司研究院，且不得对本报告进行有悖原意的引用、删节和修改。 本报告中的信息均来源于公开可获得资料，瑞达期货股份有限公司力求准确可靠，但对这些信息的准确性及完整性不做任 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力收盘价:多晶硅(日,元/吨) | 34540 | -515 主力持仓量:多晶硅(日,手) | 65802 | -2071 | | | 06-07月合约价差:多晶硅(日,元/吨) | 2935 | 995 多晶硅-工业硅价差(日,元/吨) | 27405 | -370 | | 现货市场 | 品种现货价:多晶 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The main contract of Shanghai copper shows a volatile trend, with a decrease in open interest, a spot premium, and a weakening basis [2]. - The overall fundamentals of Shanghai copper may be in a situation of sufficient supply and relatively stable demand. It is recommended to conduct short - term long trades at low prices with a light position, paying attention to controlling the rhythm and trading risks [2]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market - The closing price of the main futures contract of Shanghai copper is 78,170 yuan/ton, a decrease of 30 yuan; the price of LME 3 - month copper is 9,680 dollars/ton, an increase of 58.5 dollars [2]. - The spread between the main contract and the next - month contract is 130 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan; the open interest of the main contract of Shanghai copper is 193,023 lots, a decrease of 2,191 lots [2]. - The positions of the top 20 futures holders of Shanghai copper are 3,161 lots, a decrease of 1,541 lots; the LME copper inventory is 141,350 tons, a decrease of 2,500 tons [2]. - The inventory of cathode copper in the Shanghai Futures Exchange is 105,791 tons, an increase of 7,120 tons; the LME copper cancelled warrants are 83,300 tons, an increase of 8,275 tons [2]. - The warehouse receipts of cathode copper in the Shanghai Futures Exchange are 31,687 tons, a decrease of 2,856 tons [2]. Spot Market - The spot price of SMM 1 copper is 78,415 yuan/ton, a decrease of 70 yuan; the spot price of 1 copper in the Yangtze River Non - ferrous Metals Market is 78,355 yuan/ton, a decrease of 140 yuan [2]. - The CIF (bill of lading) price of Shanghai electrolytic copper is 98 dollars/ton, unchanged; the average premium of Yangshan copper is 79 dollars/ton, a decrease of 2 dollars [2]. - The basis of the CU main contract is 245 yuan/ton, a decrease of 40 yuan; the LME copper premium (0 - 3) is 48.48 dollars/ton, a decrease of 3.83 dollars [2]. Upstream Situation - The import volume of copper ore and concentrates is 292.44 million tons, an increase of 53.13 million tons; the rough smelting fee (TC) of domestic copper smelters is - 43.56 dollars/kiloton, an increase of 0.72 dollars [2]. - The price of copper concentrates in Jiangxi is 68,660 yuan/metal ton, a decrease of 170 yuan; the price of copper concentrates in Yunnan is 69,360 yuan/metal ton, a decrease of 170 yuan [2]. - The processing fee for crude copper in the south is 800 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan; the processing fee for crude copper in the north is 750 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Industry Situation - The output of refined copper is 125.40 million tons, an increase of 0.60 million tons; the import volume of unwrought copper and copper materials is 440,000 tons, a decrease of 30,000 tons [2]. - The social inventory of copper is 41.82 million tons, an increase of 0.43 million tons; the price of 1 bright copper wire in Shanghai is 55,340 yuan/ton, an increase of 100 yuan [2]. - The ex - factory price of 98% sulfuric acid of Jiangxi Copper is 540 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of 2 copper (94 - 96%) in Shanghai is 66,900 yuan/ton, unchanged [2]. Downstream and Application - The output of copper products is 208.10 million tons, a decrease of 4.42 million tons; the cumulative completed investment in power grid infrastructure is 1,408.16 billion yuan, an increase of 451.95 billion yuan [2]. - The cumulative completed investment in real estate development is 27,729.57 billion yuan, an increase of 7,825.40 billion yuan; the monthly output of integrated circuits is 4,167,000,000 pieces, a decrease of 30,199.90 pieces [2]. Option Situation - The 20 - day historical volatility of Shanghai copper is 9.77%, a decrease of 0.03%; the 40 - day historical volatility of Shanghai copper is 23.25%, a decrease of 0.22% [2]. - The implied volatility of the current - month at - the - money IV is 11.34%, a decrease of 0.0012%; the call - put ratio of at - the - money options is 0.83, an increase of 0.0285 [2]. Industry News - The "Beige Book" released by the Federal Reserve shows that the US economic activity has slightly declined, and the overall economic outlook remains pessimistic. Some enterprises plan to raise prices in the next three months [2]. - US President Trump called on Powell to cut interest rates. The US ADP employment in May increased by 37,000, far lower than expected [2]. - The National Energy Administration organized the first batch of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system and required the acceleration of the continuous operation of power spot markets [2]. - The wholesale sales of new energy passenger vehicles in China in May reached 1.24 million, a year - on - year increase of 38% and a month - on - month increase of 9% [2].

撰写人：王福辉 从业资格证号：F03123381 投资咨询从业证书号：Z0019878 | | 撰写人：王福辉 从业资格证号：F03123381 投资咨询从业证书号：Z0019878 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | | 沪铝主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) 本月-下月合约价差:沪铝(日,元/吨) 主力合约持仓量:沪铝(日,手) | 20,010.00 75.00 184,164.00 | -65.00↓ 氧化铝期货主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) -30.00↓ 本月-下月合约价差:氧化铝(日,元/吨) -5805.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:氧化铝(日,手) | 2,943.00 83.00 319,472.00 | -120.00↓ +58.00↑ +19574.00↑ | | 期货市场 | LME铝注销仓单(日,吨) | 46,025.00 | 0.00 库存:氧化铝:合计(周,万吨) | 184,673.00 | -35128.00↓ | | | LME电解铝三个月 ...

Core Insights - The Chinese renewable energy sector has experienced rapid growth, with installed capacity reaching 2.017 billion kilowatts by the end of April 2023, a year-on-year increase of 58% [1] - Wind and solar power combined installed capacity has surpassed thermal power for the first time, reaching 1.53 billion kilowatts [1] - In 2024, new renewable energy installations are projected to be 373 million kilowatts, accounting for approximately 86% of total new power installations [1] - Renewable energy is expected to contribute 3.47 trillion kilowatt-hours to the total power generation in 2024, representing about 35% of the total generation [1] Industry Developments - The National Energy Administration has implemented measures to enhance the power system's capacity to absorb renewable energy, including coordinated development of power sources and networks, improving system regulation capabilities, and increasing the comprehensive carrying capacity of distribution networks [1] - The focus on building a new power system will guide local energy authorities and power companies to promote high-quality development of renewable energy and advance the green and low-carbon transition of China's energy sector [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the National Energy Administration's notification on the first batch of pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on innovative technologies and models to enhance energy efficiency and integration of renewable energy sources [1][2]. Group 1: New Power System Construction - The notification outlines seven key areas for pilot projects, including grid-based technology, system-friendly renewable energy plants, smart microgrids, synergy between computing power and electricity, virtual power plants, large-scale renewable energy delivery, and next-generation coal power [1]. - Emphasis is placed on the integration of computing power and electricity, particularly in regions with abundant energy resources, to enhance the green electricity supply for data centers [1]. Group 2: Next-Generation Coal Power - The notification encourages the development of pilot projects for existing and new coal power units that meet clean carbon reduction and efficient adjustment criteria, aligning with the "Next-Generation Coal Power Upgrade Action Plan (2025-2027)" [2]. - It highlights the need for policy reforms to support pilot projects and the importance of integrating existing coal power units with renewable energy projects [2]. Group 3: Electricity Market Development - A recent meeting in Kunming emphasized the need for a unified national electricity market, addressing new challenges and tasks in market construction and regulation [3]. - The meeting called for the continuous operation of provincial electricity spot markets and the integration of renewable energy into the market framework [3].

Group 1 - The National Energy Administration has initiated pilot projects for the construction of a new power system, focusing on seven key areas including grid technology, system-friendly renewable energy plants, smart microgrids, and virtual power plants [1] - Emphasis is placed on the collaboration between computing power and electricity, particularly in regions with abundant energy resources, to enhance the green electricity supply for data centers and improve energy efficiency [1] - The new generation of coal power is encouraged to meet clean carbon reduction and efficient adjustment indicators, with pilot projects supported by favorable policy environments and funding channels [2] Group 2 - A recent meeting in Kunming highlighted the need for a unified national electricity market, addressing new challenges and tasks while promoting the continuous operation of electricity spot markets across provinces [3] - The meeting also focused on enhancing regulatory capabilities and implementing innovative digital supervision practices to ensure the stable operation of the electricity market [3]