Group 1 - The construction of a national unified market in China is advancing, releasing new development vitality [1] - In the first half of the year, the import and export scale of China's western regions reached a record high [4] - The civil aviation transportation scale in China also reached a new high in the first half of the year [5] Group 2 - The third batch of funds to support the replacement of consumer goods has been allocated [11][11] - The eighth China International Import Expo has signed exhibition areas exceeding 330,000 square meters, with preparations progressing steadily [11] - China's largest coalbed methane field has achieved an annual production capacity of over 2.5 billion cubic meters [11] Group 3 - The global largest single green ammonia facility has been put into operation [11] - The Hubei Shuangliu Yangtze River Bridge has successfully completed its main structure [11] Group 4 - The vocational skills training is stimulating new employment vitality [8] - Various regions are actively promoting urban renewal to create livable cities [7]

Core Insights - China's foreign trade report for the first half of the year shows a total import and export value of 21.79 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [1] - Exports of high-end equipment grew by over 20%, and the export of "new three types" products accelerated [1] - The report highlights the need for innovation and market vitality to enhance the resilience of foreign trade amid a challenging global environment [1] Group 1 - The total import and export value of China's goods trade reached 21.79 trillion yuan, with growth in trade with over 190 countries and regions [1] - The focus is on transforming price and cost advantages into technological comparative advantages, emphasizing the value of "Made in China" [1] - There is a call to enhance the independent controllability of strategic emerging industries and to strengthen core technologies [1] Group 2 - The strategy includes diversifying trade markets to mitigate risks associated with reliance on single markets [2] - The importance of responding to diverse consumer demands with customized products is emphasized to maintain competitiveness [2] - China's deep integration into global supply chains is highlighted, showcasing mutual benefits in various sectors such as textiles and agriculture [2]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the ongoing transformation and standardization of investment attraction practices in various regions of China, emphasizing the shift from traditional tax incentives and subsidies to a more structured approach involving government investment funds and the promotion of local industries [3][4][5]. Group 1: Regulatory Changes - The Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region has abolished the "Guangxi Investment Attraction Incentive Measures," reflecting a broader trend of regulatory compliance in local investment practices [1][4]. - The implementation of the "Fair Competition Review Regulations" since August last year prohibits preferential treatment for specific operators without legal basis, aiming to create a level playing field [1][2]. Group 2: Shift in Investment Attraction Models - The traditional "tax incentive" and "reward-subsidy" models for attracting investment are being phased out, giving rise to a "fund investment" model that emphasizes the linkage between investment and attraction [5][6]. - Local governments are increasingly establishing specialized investment funds that prioritize collaboration with local investment attraction departments, indicating a shift towards a more integrated approach [5][6]. Group 3: Local Practices and Innovations - Guangdong Province has introduced measures that incorporate attracting venture capital and industry funds into the performance evaluation of investment attraction efforts, showcasing a commitment to nurturing local industries [7]. - The emergence of "merger and acquisition attraction" as a new strategy highlights the evolving landscape of investment attraction, with local governments exploring opportunities to acquire listed companies to strengthen local industries [9]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The emphasis on nurturing endogenous industrial ecosystems suggests that investment institutions will continue to find opportunities in project evaluation and investment empowerment, despite the shift away from investment attraction as a primary goal for government funds [8]. - The central government's focus on standardizing and increasing transparency in investment attraction practices is expected to further shape the landscape, leading to more structured and accountable approaches [10].

光大期货金融期货日报（2025 年 07 月 25 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | | | 周末，雅鲁藏布江下游水电工程开工建设，投资规模约 1.2 万亿元，带动基 | | | | 建板块冲高，建材继续上涨 4.5%，煤炭单日涨超 6%。6 月经济和金融数据 | | | | GDP 5.2%，6 4.8%，规模以上工业增加 发布，二季度我国 同比 月社零同比 | | | | 值同比 6.8%，固定资产投资累计同比 2.8%，房地产开发投资累计同比 | | | | 11.2%，需求扰动仍在，投资继续回落；金融数据方面，M1 同比 4.6%，表 | | | | 现亮眼，企业短期贷款同比多增明显。近期中央财经委召开第六次会议，强 | | | | 调："纵深推进全国统一大市场建设，基本要求是"五统一、一开放"。市场对 | | | 股指 | 于反内卷背景下企业盈利回升和通胀企稳的预期颇高，但与市场此前预测不 | 震荡 | | | 同，中央财政仍是通过投资端刺激经济企稳回升，短期可能会为市场带来增 | | | | 量资金，长期效果有待观察。海外方面，"非农"强 ...

中信证券认为，"反内卷"政策强度不断升级，有望成为持续投资主线。长期看，"反内卷"需要全国统一 大市场建设，优化绩效考核机制，让中国企业实现高质量产能出海。短期看，当前"反内卷"落地政策尚 未全面出台，整体仍处于交易预期阶段，持仓相对出清的低位周期制造品种有望成为交易主线。 开源证券认为，"反内卷"行情持续发酵存在三大原因：1、"反内卷"政策层级高、频次高，深受市场关 注；背后反映的是高层定调，随后经历了三轮的演变及层层加码。2、"反内卷"行业筹码干净，存在较 强回补动力；从基金二季报角度来看，典型的"反内卷"行业，基金配置比例仍然低于自由流通市值比 例，筹码出清干净。3、当前市场风险偏好高位，对利好敏感；当前，政策稳定预期、市场资金承载力 增强、投资者活跃度提升，以及主题主线的持续明确，正逐步成为驱动A股走强的核心动因。以上三点 构成了"反内卷"的三大优势，也解释了近期"反内卷"行情能持续发酵的原因。 东吴证券认为，周四，A股市场全天震荡走高，三大指数再度创出年内新高，上证指数收盘站上3600 点。盘面上，海南自贸区、稀土永磁、锂矿、超级水电等板块涨幅居前，贵金属、银行等板块跌幅居 前。市场的强势程度可见一 ...

Core Viewpoint - The economic performance of Henan Province in the first half of 2023 shows a steady and positive trend, with significant growth in GDP, retail sales, and foreign trade, supported by targeted policy measures and initiatives [1][2][3] Economic Performance - The GDP of Henan Province grew by 5.7% year-on-year, surpassing the national average by 0.4 percentage points [1] - The total retail sales of consumer goods increased by 7.2% year-on-year, exceeding the national growth rate by 2.2 percentage points [1] - The total foreign trade import and export value reached 412.53 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 26.2%, outpacing the national growth of 23.3% [1] - The new international cargo routes from Zhengzhou Airport contributed to a cargo and mail throughput of 435,000 tons, a year-on-year increase of 23.9% [1] - The China-Europe (Asia) freight trains operated 1,522 trains, marking a year-on-year growth of 56.1% [1] Policy Measures - Henan Province implemented 28 targeted policy measures early in the year, including the issuance of 350 million yuan in consumption vouchers for tourism, accommodation, and dining [2] - The province saw a significant increase in the retail sales of various consumer goods, with year-on-year growth rates of 102.7% for smartphones, 95.3% for wearable devices, 35.1% for home appliances, and 28% for new energy vehicles [2] - The number of foreign trade enterprises with import and export performance increased by 11.8% year-on-year [2] Future Initiatives - Henan Province has developed 36 policy measures aimed at sustaining economic growth in the second half of 2023, focusing on stabilizing employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [2] - The province plans to enhance consumer spending through various initiatives, including summer consumption activities and the continuation of subsidies for replacing old consumer goods [3] - Efforts to deepen integration into the national market and expand foreign trade are underway, including the construction of logistics hubs and support for foreign trade enterprises [3]

Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Municipal Financial Committee emphasizes the need to align thoughts and actions with the important speech by General Secretary Xi Jinping, focusing on economic development and high-quality growth in the second half of the year [1][2] Group 1: Economic Development Strategy - The meeting highlighted the importance of actively serving the construction of a unified national market and enhancing the role of the Yangtze River Delta in driving economic growth [1] - There is a call to accelerate the high-quality development of the marine economy, leveraging leading enterprises and enhancing the competitiveness of the shipping service industry [1] - The focus is on deepening the market-oriented allocation of factors, improving regulatory enforcement, and addressing "involution" competition [1] Group 2: Policy Implementation and New Growth Drivers - The meeting stressed the need to recognize and grasp the economic development situation, ensuring stability in employment, enterprises, markets, and expectations [2] - There is an emphasis on capturing major policy opportunities and concentrating efforts on implementing various policy measures effectively [2] - The importance of cultivating new growth drivers and maintaining strategic agility in niche markets was also highlighted [2] Group 3: Enhancing Economic Work Capabilities - The need to improve the ability to conduct economic work by integrating macro and micro perspectives was emphasized [2] - The meeting called for a problem-oriented approach to identify trends and opportunities from emerging issues [2] - A spirit of striving for excellence and self-pressure was encouraged to foster a proactive and enterprising atmosphere across the city [2]

冉学东 反内卷政策持续推进，金融市场反应明显，首先就是大宗商品的牛市。 大宗商品期货市场近期出现强劲的牛市，7月23日，焦煤期货主力合约继前一日夜盘触及涨停后，虽然日内打开涨 停板，但尾盘再度涨停，收涨11%；多晶硅期货主力合约盘中一度涨停，这是月内第四次触及涨停，之后回调， 收涨5.5%；焦炭也持续上涨，日盘收涨3.83%。24日，焦煤上涨了7.97%，碳酸锂上涨了7.21%、玻璃上涨了 6.87%、多晶硅上涨了5.13%，其他如纯碱、橡胶、甲醇、焦炭等的涨幅也相当可观。 而有关部门就直接把价格作为行业治理的目标之一，媒体报道，农业农村部23日召开推动生猪产业高质量发展座 谈会。农业农村部部长韩俊要求进一步完善有关政策举措，坚决防止出现生产大起大落、价格大涨大跌，切实消 除生猪产业高质量发展的深层次制约，提升生猪产业发展综合素质和竞争力。 市场监管总局近日也曝光了一批质量领域"内卷式"竞争违法行为典型案例，其共同特点是企业忽视品牌、质量、 技术竞争，为获取短期市场份额和利润，降低成本投入，以"低质"产品破坏市场公平竞争秩序。这些忽视品牌卷 价格、牺牲质量卷成本，罔顾规则卷下限的恶性竞争行为，导致产品质量整体 ...

Economic Performance - Beijing's GDP reached 25,029.2 billion yuan in the first half of the year, with a year-on-year growth of 5.5% [2][3] - Fixed asset investment increased by 14.1% year-on-year, while total market consumption grew by 0.9%, with service consumption rising by 4.7% [2] - The average urban unemployment rate was 4.1%, and per capita disposable income was 45,144 yuan, reflecting a real growth of 5.1% [3] Technological and Industrial Development - The city is focusing on strengthening basic research and key core technology breakthroughs, with 29 major technological achievements announced at the Zhongguancun Forum [2] - The value added of the information service industry, financial industry, and industrial sector grew by 11.1%, 8.1%, and 6.9% respectively, contributing a combined 87% to economic growth [2] - The first batch of 132 key laboratories in Beijing has been launched, and significant advancements in technology have been made, including the successful launch of the "North Brain No. 1" intelligent brain-machine system [4] Infrastructure and Urban Development - The remaining sections of Metro Line 17 and the southern extension of Line 6 are set to open, along with the completion of the Chengping and Jingping expressway expansion projects [7][8] - The city is actively promoting the construction of community-based childcare and elderly care facilities, with 45 such projects underway [3] - The first batch of four "Double First-Class" universities has begun construction in the Xiong'an New Area, supporting the coordinated development of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [5][6] Policy and Regulatory Framework - Beijing plans to deepen reforms in key areas, including the establishment of a mechanism for implementing policies that support the private economy [4][7] - The city will introduce a market access efficiency evaluation implementation plan and a new negative list for market access [7] - A comprehensive regulatory platform has been launched, with non-site inspections accounting for 67.9% of total inspections, aiming to reduce unnecessary disruptions to businesses [4][7]

光大期货金融期货日报 | | 国债期货收盘，30 年期主力合约跌 0.21%，10 年期主力合约跌 0.11%，5 年 | | | --- | --- | --- | | | 期主力合约跌 0.09%，2 年期主力合约跌 0.03%。中国央行开展 2148 亿元 7 | | | | 天期逆回购操作，利率持稳于 1.4%。公开市场有 3425 亿元逆回购到期，净 | | | 国债 | 回笼 1277 亿元。银行间市场方面，DR001 加权利率上行 bp 至 1.37%，DR007 | 震荡 | | | 加权利率上行 1 bp 至 1.48%。6 月出口增速超预期，金融数据总量超预期同 | | | | 时结构持续改善，二季度 GDP 增速 5.2%，6 月经济数据保持韧性。经济保 | | | | 持韧性短期内降息预期较低，当前股债跷跷板效应明显，短期国债偏空运行。 | | 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 EVERBRIGHT FUTURES 2 光大期货金融期货日报 光大期货金融期货日报（2025 年 07 月 24 日） 一、研究观点 | 品种 | 点评 | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | ...