2025 年 07 月 01 日 金融工程研究团队 魏建榕（首席分析师） 证书编号：S0790519120001 张 翔（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520110001 傅开波（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520090003 高 鹏（分析师） 证书编号：S0790520090002 苏俊豪（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522020001 胡亮勇（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522030001 王志豪（分析师） 证书编号：S0790522070003 券商金股解析月报（2025 年 7 月） 魏建榕（分析师） 高鹏（分析师） weijianrong@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790519120001 盛少成（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523060003 苏 良（分析师） 证书编号：S0790523060004 何申昊（分析师） 证书编号：S0790524070009 蒋 韬（研究员） 证书编号：S0790123070037 相关研究报告 ——金融工程定期 《开源量化评论（23）-"金股+"组 合的量化方案》-2021.4.26 《开源量化评论（32）-券商金股的内 部收益结构》-2021.8. ...

随着上半年交易收官，券商金股组合上半年投资"成绩单"也随之出炉。 每市APP数据显示，近九成的券商金股组合在上半年取得正收益，其中东北证券以45.45%的组合收益率稳居第 一。 从新鲜出炉的7月金股名单来看，电子、医药生物、机械设备行业的股票数量最多，电力设备、非银金融也有 不低的占比。 展望7月，大盘指数能否再次向上突破成为券商关注焦点。有券商认为，市场依旧具备尝试突破的潜力，配置 上，泛科技、券商等方向受到机构重点推荐。 6月最牛金股大涨63% 回顾6月金股表现，每市APP数据显示，申万宏源、国元证券共同推荐的巨人网络（002558.SZ）以63.09%的月 涨幅当选6月最牛金股，主要由于该公司推出的新游《超自然行动组》数据走强。由东北证券推荐的胜宏科技 （300476.SZ）以55.39%的月涨幅排名第二，该公司是英伟达在国内算力板领域的核心供应商。 排名第三的是由天风证券推荐的内蒙一机（600967.SH），当月涨幅为54.80%，该股属于国防军工板块。此 外，由中泰证券推荐的源杰科技（688498.SH）、由开源证券推荐的新易盛（300502.SZ）月涨幅也超40%。 数据显示，随着A股半年度收官， ...

监管最新调研券商数字化转型 涉及经纪业务互联网展业情况 智通财经7月1日电，券商数字化转型情况迎来最新质检。记者获悉，根据今年4月发布的《金融"五篇大 文章"总体统计制度（试行）》相关要求，中证协正在调研券商数字化转型最新情况，此次调研与以往 有所不同，指标涉及了2024年互联网经纪业务（销售金额）当年累计发生额，以及全部经纪业务（销售 业务）当年累计发生额两项内容。受访人士认为，两项指标体现了券商利用互联网技术获取客户、开展 业务的能力以及从整体上展现经纪业务的经营状况。此次调研可直观了解券商数字化转型在经纪业务领 域是否带来了业务量的增长，衡量数字化转型对业务发展的促进作用，为评估券商数字化转型成效提供 关键数据支持。（智通财经记者 林坚） ...

Group 1 - The securities sector is experiencing strong capital inflow, with the Securities ETF leading to a net subscription of 160 million units and a net inflow of 193 million yuan, reaching a new high of 1.693 billion units as of June 30, 2025 [1] - The National Securities Leading Index (399437) has shown a slight increase of 0.02%, with notable gains from individual stocks such as Hualin Securities (up 0.56%) and Dongxing Securities (up 0.27%) [1] - The Securities ETF has accumulated a weekly increase of 5.59% as of June 30, 2025, indicating positive market sentiment [1] Group 2 - Recent favorable policies in the brokerage industry, including the approval of virtual asset trading licenses, suggest regulatory support, which may catalyze sector performance [2] - The market is closely monitoring the performance outcomes of the "1+1" integration of existing brokerages, focusing on operational efficiency and business synergy as key indicators of successful mergers [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the National Securities Leading Index account for 78.71% of the index, with major players including Dongfang Fortune and CITIC Securities [2]

长江大金融-政策空间和配置线索 20250630 摘要 6 月售均价单月增长 12.9%，但整体金额仍下滑。重点 20 城二手房成 交同比下降约 4 个百分点，市场持续承压。 政策方面，市场对政策空间存在分歧。若 7 月初无政策出台，三季度压 力或加大，预计 9 月出台政策概率较高，但常规产业政策空间有限。 超常规政策如结构性货币或财政工具（降息、补贴、提高公积金额度） 值得期待，以提升居民购房能力。大规模城中村收储也是潜在手段。 开发类个股位置较低，可适度左侧配置等待交易窗口。长期关注华润置 地、滨江等具备稳定现金流或潜在高股息的商业地产和物管公司。 券商板块受益于市场热度回升和交投活跃度修复，头部券商通过战略配 置稳定 ROE，下半年仍是配置 AH 优质头部券商的良好时机。 银行板块近期调整是机构交易行为导致的情绪波动，但基本面稳固，息 差边际企稳，资产质量稳定，看好港股大行和招商银行等高股息红利个 股。 招商银行股息率在回调后重回 4.5%左右，红利价值突出，无再融资计 划，股息含金量高。头部城商行如杭州银行、江苏银行等增长优异，推 荐关注。 Q&A 如何理解当前产业政策的空间？ 2025 年上半年房地 ...

【导读】南京证券50亿元定增计划延期 历时两年，南京证券50亿元定增计划终于有了进展。 6月30日晚间，南京证券公告称，在今日的股东大会上，通过了《关于延长公司向特定对象发行A股的决议及相关授权有效期的议案》。 | 股东类型 | 同意 | | 反对 | | 弃权 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 票数 | 比例 | 票数 | 比例 | 票数 | 比例 | | | | (%) | | (%) | | (%) | | A 股 | 842,323,253 99.1540 6,929,167 | | | 0.8156 | 257,100 | 0.0304 | 从2023年4月首次披露到2025年5月获上交所受理，南京证券的50亿元定增计划历时两年，迟迟未落定。其间，方案还经历了重大调整，并最终在5月27日 收到上海证券交易所出具的《审核问询函》，要求公司对向特定对象发行A股股票的申请文件进行补充说明。 6月27日，公司正式披露问询回复报告及更新后的募集说明书，标志着其50亿元定增计划进入关键审核阶段。 根据最新披露的预案，南京证券的募资投向从聚焦投 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nanjing Securities has made progress on its 5 billion yuan private placement plan after two years of delays, with the plan's validity extended to July 4, 2026 [2][5]. Group 1: Private Placement Plan - The private placement plan was first disclosed in April 2023 and received acceptance from the Shanghai Stock Exchange in May 2025, indicating a lengthy approval process [7]. - The fundraising focus has shifted from investment-centric to a balanced layout, allocating 5 billion yuan each to investment banking, wealth management, proprietary trading, and asset management, with 13 billion yuan for debt repayment, 10 billion yuan for alternative and private subsidiaries, and 7 billion yuan for IT and compliance [8]. - Nanjing Securities has 21.4 billion yuan in outstanding bonds, with 7.7 billion yuan maturing before the end of 2025, raising concerns about the adequacy of the 13 billion yuan debt repayment plan [8]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has emphasized the need for securities firms to rationally determine financing scale and timing, focusing on shareholder returns and operational efficiency [11]. - Several securities firms, including Nanjing Securities, have adjusted their refinancing plans in response to regulatory changes, with a trend towards financing that supports light capital businesses [12]. - Recent developments indicate a "conditional normalization" of refinancing in the industry, with Nanjing Securities' private placement plan being part of this trend [12][14]. Group 3: Industry Trends - The focus of securities firms' refinancing is shifting from scale expansion to quality improvement, with Nanjing Securities aiming to enhance services for innovative enterprises through equity investments [14]. - The recent private placements by firms like Tianfeng Securities and Nanjing Securities reflect a broader industry movement towards supporting the real economy [12][14].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the ranking of comprehensive securities firms based on their performance in the "Top Leaders in Listed Securities Firms" evaluation for 2024, with Guotai Haitong's Li Junjie ranking fourth among 50 listed securities firms [1][2] - The evaluation categorizes the firms into three groups: comprehensive securities firms (1-10), industry-featured development firms (11-20), and growth development firms (21-50), based on various performance metrics [1] - Guotai Haitong scored 89.50 points in the industry data evaluation, ranking third among eight evaluated comprehensive securities firms, indicating strong performance in company scale and third-party ratings [2] Group 2 - In 2024, Guotai Haitong reported a revenue scale of 43.397 billion yuan and total assets of 1,047.745 billion yuan, both ranking second among the 50 listed securities firms [2] - The company’s investment banking business has improved its rating, now positioned among the industry's top performers [2] - Li Junjie, born in August 1975, has held various significant positions in the financial sector and has been the president of Guotai Haitong since January 2024 [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article is the release of the first leadership TOP list for listed securities firms, ranking 50 firms based on their revenue scale for 2024 and evaluating their performance across multiple dimensions [1] - The ranking categorizes firms into three groups: comprehensive securities firms (1-10), industry-featured development firms (11-20), and growth development firms (21-50) [1] - The evaluation committee consists of senior management from securities research institutions, independent wealth management agencies, and media, assessing leadership capabilities across five dimensions: foresight, control, innovation, compliance, and influence [1] Group 2 - Zhang Jian from Shenwan Hongyuan Securities scored 87.16 in the peer evaluation, ranking 13th among listed securities firms [1] - The highest score in the compliance dimension was 89.66, while the influence dimension received a lower score of 84.98 [1] - In the foresight dimension, the industry ranking was 11th, with the lowest score from evaluators being 8; in the control dimension, the ranking was 14th with a minimum score of 6; in the innovation dimension, the ranking was 13th with a minimum score of 5; in the compliance dimension, the ranking was 14th with a minimum score of 7; and in the influence dimension, the ranking was 14th with a minimum score of 7 [1] Group 3 - Zhang Jian, born in November 1977, holds a PhD in economics and is a senior economist [3] - He joined Shenwan Hongyuan Securities at the end of 2017 and has held various positions, including executive committee member, deputy general manager, and was appointed general manager in February 2024 [3]

综合性券商TOP榜：国信证券邓舸第六 网络声量得分仅70分 新浪财经首届上市券商领军人物领导力TOP榜结果出炉。本届"上市券商领军人物领导力TOP榜"以50家 上市券商为参评对象，根据2024年度营收规模进行排序，将参评券商划分为综合性券商（1-10名）、行 业特色发展券商（11-20名）、成长发展券商（21-50名）三个组别。明确组别后，综合考虑2024年度业 绩表现、同业评价、网络声量等多维度数据，对各组券商进行评分与排名。 在同业评价方面，评审委员会由券商研究所、独立财富管理机构、媒体等高级管理人员组成，其中领导 力评估模型包括前瞻力、控制力、创新力、合规性、影响力五大维度，评审委员对领军人物领导力能力 进行打分（打分维度为1-10分），最终综合所有评分并进行百分制换算，最终得出同业评价总得分。 据同业评价数据显示，国信证券邓舸同业评价总得分为86.25分，上市券商行业总排名第14名，其中控 制力维度得分最高，达89.58分（百分制），前瞻力维度得分较低，为83.73分（百分制）。 其中前瞻力维度评比中，行业排名为第17名，评审委员最低打分为7分； 控制力维度评比中，行业排名为第11名，评审委员最低打分 ...