中证报中证网讯(记者张韵)1月7日，平安基金举办2026年投资策略会，明确将科技创新与周期品供需再 平衡列为两大投资主线。其中，科技领域聚焦全球AI资本开支高速增长带动的硬件创新机会，以及自 主可控叠加国内AI产业需求带动的国产半导体产业链投资机会；周期领域关注供给约束良好、需求温 和复苏的品种，如化工和工业金属等。 平安基金权益投资总监神爱前在策略会上表示，展望2026年，预期政策持续发力、经济温和复苏、流动 性保持充裕、内外部环境逐渐改善，这些因素有望驱动市场行情稳步延续。相较于2025年，2026年上涨 驱动力或将更多来自盈利驱动与行业催化。看好业绩驱动的泛科技、泛周期两条线索投资机会。同时， 他分享道，平安基金近年全面升级了投研体系。通过"一个理念(坚持做长期正确的事)、两大驱动(人才 与平台相互成就)、三多策略(多团队、多风格、多策略)、四真机制(真机制、真团队、真人才、说真 话)"的平台化路径，构建投研竞争力。 平安科技创新混合基金经理翟森表示，AI基础设施建设远未达到需要讨论泡沫的阶段。从历史上看， 生产力革命的资本开支高峰期一般会达到全社会GDP的3%-4%，而2026年的AI资本开支预计规模 ...

Group 1 - The three major indices in the stock market have risen, with the Shanghai Composite Index increasing by 1.88%, the Shenzhen Component Index by 3.53%, and the ChiNext Index by 3.90, indicating a positive market trend [1][16] - Citic Securities suggests that the market requires more diverse sources of economic growth to sustain upward momentum, emphasizing the need for structural opportunities in a fluctuating market [2][17] - Everbright Securities highlights the potential for a "spring rally" driven by policy support and increased capital inflows, suggesting that historical patterns indicate a seasonal market uptrend [3][18] Group 2 - The focus on growth and consumption sectors is recommended, with particular attention to the commercial aerospace concept as a potential investment opportunity [4][19] - Zhongtai Securities notes that the market has room for upward movement before the Spring Festival, with a favorable risk appetite and a focus on low-cost positioning [5][20] - Zheshang Securities identifies three driving factors for the market's shift towards a bullish sentiment, including strong performance from the CSI A500 ETF and the ongoing popularity of commercial aerospace [6][21] Group 3 - The overall valuation of A-shares has expanded, with the non-ferrous metals sector leading the gains, driven by global liquidity and tight supply conditions [10][26] - The current PB (LF) for the non-ferrous metals sector is at the 84.4% historical percentile, indicating that valuations have not reached extreme levels [10][26] - Long-term strategies under the current trend include focusing on technology and defensive sectors, particularly in light of the ongoing appreciation of the RMB [11][27] Group 4 - The market is expected to stabilize around the 4000-point mark on the Shanghai Composite Index, with a focus on macroeconomic data and policy changes [12][28] - The upcoming Spring Festival is anticipated to bring about a continuation of the spring rally, with a focus on technology and cyclical sectors [13][29] - The outlook for January includes expectations of further policy support and a potential increase in liquidity, which may enhance market conditions [14][30]

丨证券研究报告丨 战略数据研究丨专题报告 [Table_Title] 人民币升值下的"春季躁动"机会有何不同 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 我们认为此轮人民币升值下跨年行情配置可以落地的交易策略为中期"泛科技"+短期"防御"， 即重点关注：商业航天、机器人、AI 应用端等机会，不因当下的汇率升值而切换至传统金融防 御，科技仍是第一生产力。卫星策略上可以以较低仓位布局防守/补涨主线，如直接受益于人民 币升值的造纸与航空机场，正值年报预告披露期，汇率升值带来的业绩增厚预期将在短期内被 反复交易。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 陈洁敏 SAC：S0490518120005 SFC：BUT348 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title2] 人民币升值下的"春季躁动"机会有何不同 [Table_Summary2] 跨年布局机会：人民币升值下的受益全景图 在北向资金因圣诞假期缺席背景下，上证指数（也简称为沪指）依托内资强劲动能实现"八连 阳"，并在 12 月 25、26 日连续两日维持 1.9 万亿以上成交额，市 ...

关于2026年的投资布局，郭琳表示，将重点关注科技、资源品、出口链及部分顺周期品种。具体而言，TMT领域聚焦有边 际变化且景气向好的环节，包括AI产业中的海外算力、国产算力及自主可控方向；资源品在2026年全球流动性宽松和国内"反 内卷"环境下，价格易涨难跌，且当前股票估值不高。 郭琳同时认为："2026年，A股与港股共同面临的风险主要包括估值修复节奏与盈利拐点的确认。外部地缘政治不确定性、 内需政策力度与持续性、部分行业'反内卷'政策的推行效果等，均需持续关注。尽管存在风险和不确定性，我们依然会寻找性 价比和相对确定性的资产进行布局。" 本报讯 （记者昌校宇）今年以来，A股市场表现积极，新质生产力相关板块领涨。一批新生代基金经理凭借对科技成长的 敏锐洞察和均衡配置能力开始崭露头角，景顺长城基金的基金经理郭琳便是其中一位。近日，郭琳分享了其投资思考。 回顾2025年以来的A股市场，郭琳表示，科技成长与传统经济板块显著分化，这背后是宏观环境、产业趋势、资金偏好等 多重因素共同作用的结果。她介绍称："实际操作中，产业趋势好、经营周期有拐点、成本又低往往难以兼得。更多时候是选 择优质资产，中长期赚取业绩、估值与分红 ...

Group 1: Macro Overview - The main theme for the 2026 overseas market is "weak recovery + rebalancing," driven by factors such as "balance sheet repair + loose monetary policy + fiscal stimulus + AI investment wave," with a gradual economic recovery expected, albeit with weak momentum due to high interest rates and tariff impacts [2] - Different countries and industries are expected to transition from divergence to convergence, with economic, policy, and asset prices influenced by multiple factors reaching a balance point [2] Group 2: Fixed Income Strategy - The report emphasizes that the industrial wave of AI computing power and robotics is gradually being realized, supporting a high level of performance in equity markets, which underpins the high valuation of convertible bonds [3] - The supply-demand dynamics for convertible bonds are tightening, with continuous inflows into fixed income, further supporting their valuation; "pan-technology" is identified as a strategic allocation focus for equities and convertible bonds [3] - Recommended convertible bond targets include Guowei Convertible Bond, Xinfeng Convertible Bond, Weier Convertible Bond, Lianang Convertible Bond, Yiwai Convertible Bond, and Jianfan Convertible Bond [3] Group 3: Real Estate Sector - From January to November, the cumulative sales amount of new homes decreased by 11.1% year-on-year, with a total sales amount of 751.3 billion yuan, and the sales area decreased by 7.8% [6] - The report indicates that the new housing market is expected to remain under pressure in 2026, with a low performance due to the lack of significant policy changes [7] - The report suggests maintaining an "overweight" rating on real estate-related stocks, highlighting the importance of policy-driven dynamics and the potential benefits for quality real estate companies in a changing competitive landscape [7] Group 4: Steel Industry Insights - The quality of steel production statistics has declined since May, affecting the assessment of steel demand due to discrepancies between reported and actual production data [10] - The report notes that the weak reality continues to unfold against strong expectations in the steel sector, indicating challenges in demand and production regulation [10] Group 5: Company-Specific Analysis - Sutonju Chuang reported a Q3 2025 shipment of 186,000 laser radars, a year-on-year increase of 34%, with significant growth in the robotics sector [11] - The company's revenue for Q3 2025 reached 410 million yuan, a slight decrease of 0.2% year-on-year, with a gross margin of approximately 23.9% [11] - The report maintains a "buy" rating for Sutonju Chuang, projecting total revenues of 2.3 billion, 3.5 billion, and 4.4 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with a target market value of approximately 21.14 billion yuan [14]

证券研究报告 | 固定收益 gszqdatemark 2025 12 16 年 月 日 年度策略 固收+为势，科技为王——2026 年可转债年度策略 权益主题不断叠加政策支持，转债随股市震荡上行，2025 年内累计收益 17.35%，可转债基金产品收益和抗回撤表现均不俗。截至 11 月 21 日， 上证综指年初至今累计涨跌幅为上涨 17.54%，深证成指上涨 24.29%， 创业板指上涨 41.72%。转债市场走势与权益趋同，中证转债指数收盘在 482.94，较年初累计上涨 17.35%，双低策略失效，高价低溢价率转债领 跑。权益基金产品年化收益率为 29.37%，转债基金年化收益率为 22.63%， 涨幅小幅跑输但波动率和抗回撤表现均优于权益，其中转债产品年化波动 率为 11.13%，最大回撤仅为 7.34%。 AI 算力、机器人等产业化浪潮逐步实现，业绩兑现预期向好，支撑权益 持续高景气，这是转债估值居高不下的底层逻辑。同时，转债供需持续收 紧、固收+资金流入不断，进一步支撑转债估值。A 股销售毛利率、ROE 触底反弹，平均 ROE 从 2024 年的 20.1%大幅提升至 27.9%，增幅达 38.9% ...

Core Viewpoint - Company 37 Interactive Entertainment (三七互娱) announced its subsidiary 37Starseek's investment in Lighthouse Founders' Fund L.P., aiming to enhance its strategic positioning in the AI and technology sectors [1] Investment Details - 37Starseek will invest up to $2 million as a limited partner in Lighthouse Founders' Fund L.P., which has a total expected size of no more than $80 million [1] - The general partner, Lighthouse Founders' Fund GP Ltd., and its affiliates will contribute at least 2% of the total fund size [1] - If the fund reaches its maximum size of $80 million, 37Starseek's investment will represent approximately 2.5% of the total fund [1] Strategic Objectives - The investment will focus on high-quality companies in the AI and related technology sectors, aligning with the company's strategic development in cutting-edge technology and capital appreciation [1]

Core Insights - The investment framework emphasizes a "bottom-up stock selection" approach, with a strict definition of "leading companies" that must be industry leaders and capable of global expansion [2][6] - The investment strategy has evolved to include a cautious approach to profit forecasting, avoiding linear extrapolation of market trends [4][5] - The focus is on identifying "alpha" opportunities by selecting companies with strong competitive advantages and significant market potential [6][8] Investment Strategy - The investment style features high stock concentration, with a dynamic adjustment of risk-reward ratios to control drawdowns [2][6] - The current allocation to the semiconductor sector is kept below 50% to avoid reliance on a single industry's beta [5][8] - Two pools of potential investments are maintained: one with over 100 leading companies and another tracking 300-400 quality firms [6] Market Analysis - The global semiconductor industry is in the latter half of an upcycle, with domestic demand influenced by government subsidy policies in sectors like home appliances and automotive [5][8] - The AI sector is viewed through a practical lens, focusing on the alignment of foundational model capabilities with user experience and productivity enhancements [7][8] - Specific areas of interest within AI include edge computing applications and software solutions that leverage AI for efficiency improvements [7][8]

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market experienced a collective rebound, with significant gains in technology stocks, particularly in the CPO concept and coal sectors, driven by favorable policies and market conditions [1][2][4]. Group 1: A-share Market Performance - On October 20, all three major A-share indices rose, with the ChiNext Index increasing by over 3% at one point. The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3863.89 points, up 0.63%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 12813.21 points, up 0.98%, and the ChiNext Index at 2993.45 points, up 1.98% [1]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 175.13 billion yuan, a decrease of 20.31 billion yuan from the previous trading day [1]. Group 2: Technology Sector - The technology sector saw a concentrated rebound, led by the CPO concept, with stocks like Huayue Ecology and Cambridge Technology hitting the daily limit, and Zhongji Xuchuang and Tianfu Communication rising nearly 8% [2]. - The domestic computing power leader, Cambricon, reported a third-quarter revenue of 1.727 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1332.52%, and a net profit of 567 million yuan. For the first three quarters, revenue reached 4.607 billion yuan, up 2386.38%, with a net profit of 1.605 billion yuan [2]. - The Ministry of Industry and Information Technology announced a plan to accelerate the deployment of high-performance networks between computing power centers, aiming for a 50% deployment rate by 2027 [2]. Group 3: Coal Sector - The coal and gas sectors continued to show strong performance, with companies like Dayou Energy and Shaanxi Black Cat hitting the daily limit. The rebound in coal prices is expected to improve coal companies' profits, with a positive outlook for the fourth quarter [4]. - Inventory pressures have eased significantly compared to the first half of the year, supporting the rebound in coal prices. The current phase is seen as the beginning of a new upward cycle for the coal economy [4]. - High-quality coal companies are expected to maintain high barriers, cash flow, dividends, and yield characteristics over the next 3 to 5 years, making the coal sector an attractive investment opportunity [4]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The broader technology sector is expected to remain a key market theme in the medium term, with ongoing trends in the AI industry and a rising order trend in the TMT sector [5]. - The recent adjustments in the technology growth style are viewed as healthy and conducive to a favorable environment for the upcoming "spring rally," which may begin as early as December [5].

Group 1 - The company, Ji'an Medical, is actively investing in the pan-technology sector through partnerships with professional investors [2]